LIV Golf Jeddah Picks & Odds: Koepka Eyes Royal Greens Three-Peat

Two of Brooks Koepka's three LIV victories have come here at Royal Greens and he'll have a chance to complete the three-peat as he enters the week second on the board behind Jon Rahm. Read more in our full LIV Golf Jeddah preview below.

Feb 28, 2024 • 14:56 ET • 4 min read
Brooks Koepka LIV Golf Jeddah
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

All eyes will be on Brooks Koepka as he looks to win LIV Golf's Jeddah event for the third year in a row. 

The three-time LIV winner needed a playoff in both of those wins, taking down Peter Uihlein in the 2022 edition and Talor Gooch a season ago. He's third on the golf odds board at 11/1 to complete the three-peat this week.

We break down his chances and dive into the rest of the field in our full LIV Golf Jeddah betting preview below.

2024 LIV Golf Jeddah picks

Picks were made on February 28 at 2:30 p.m. ET.

Odds to win LIV Golf Jeddah

Golfer bet365 DraftKings
Jon Rahm +500 +550
Dustin Johnson +1,000 +800
Brooks Koepka +1,100 +1,100
Joaquin Niemann +1,100 +1,100
Talor Gooch +1,200 +1,400
Tyrell Hatton +1,400 +1,100
Bryson DeChambeau +1,600 +1,400
Cameron Smith +1,600 +1,400

Odds as of February 27, 2024. 

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LIV Golf Jeddah and Royal Greens course notes

This will be the third stop at Royal Greens Golf & Country Club for this week’s LIV Golf Jeddah. This is a 7,048-yard Par-70 track with a handful of water hazards, large Paspalum greens, and ample bunkers. Wind will be the track’s main defense with the course running right alongside the Red Sea. 

Royal Greens has also hosted professional events multiple times since opening in 2017, including the PIF Saudi International, the flagship event on the Asian Tour.

LIV Golf Jeddah picks and predictions

Jon Rahm to win outright (+550)

With 20 professional wins on his resume, Jon Rahm’s first LIV Golf victory is coming sooner than later. He’s already third in the individual standings with a T3 and an eighth-place finish through two events, and he ranks third in greens-in-regulation percentage and fifth in birdies.

His elite approach game will serve him well at Royal Greens and I’m expecting to see improvement on the greens. He’s ranked 14th in putting average through two LIV events after finishing sixth in putting average on the PGA Tour last season.

Pick: Jon Rahm to win outright (+550 at DraftKings)

Paul Casey to win outright (+3,500)

Fairways and greens cure a lot of ills, and Paul Casey ranks sixth in fairways-hit percentage and second in GIR%. It has led to him putting a sixth-ranked 27 circles on the card through two events and turning in T11 and T5 finishes to start the year.

This will also be the fourth straight year playing Royal Greens. He finished T12 at the 2021 PIF Saudi International, T5 at the 2022 Jeddah, and T24 at last year’s event. 

Pick: Paul Casey to win outright (+3,500 at DraftKings, 0.5 units)
Pick: Paul Casey Top 10 (+225 at DraftKings)

Thomas Pieters Top 20 (+150)

The Belgian bomber finished T29 in last year’s Jeddah event and is off to a quiet start to 2024 with a T43 at Mayakoba and a T30 in Las Vegas. Still, he had success in the PIF Saudi International with a T10-T3-T22 run during the event's history, and he shot under par in nine of his 12 rounds.

Pieters ranks 61st in GIR% despite ranking ninth in driving distance and 14th in fairways-hit percentage. If he tidies up the approach game, he’ll be just fine this week at a familiar track.

Pick: Thomas Pieters Top 20 (+150 at DraftKings)

LIV Golf Jeddah field and favorites

While Jon Rahm remains the No. 1 betting favorite, the story of the odds board begins with Brooks Koepka. 

We've mentioned his success in Jeddah already and oddsmakers weren't scared to chop his odds: he's been listed in the 15/1 range for the season's first two LIV events but is on the board as short as 11/1 this time around. 

Dustin Johnson is also seeing much shorter odds this week winning in Vegas last time out. He closed with 16/1 odds in Sin City but can be had between 8/1 and 10/1 at Royal Greens.

Joaquin Niemann won the season opener at Mayakoba and sits fourth on the board at 11/1 as of Tuesday afternoon.

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LIV Golf recent winners and odds history

Let's take a look at some recent LIV Golf winners and their closing odds to win:

Event Golfer Closing odds
Las Vegas (February 2024) Dustin Johnson +1,600
Mayakoba (February 2024) Joaquin Niemann +1,400
Jeddah (October 2023) Brooks Koepka (3) +1,600
Chicago (September 2023) Bryson DeChambeau (2) +1,100
Bedminster (August 2023) Cameron Smith (3) +1,000
Greenbrier (August 2023) Bryson DeChambeau +1,400
London (July 2023) Cameron Smith (2) +900
Andalucia (July 2023) Talor Gooch (3) +1,600
Washington (May 2023) Harold Varner III +2,000
Tulsa (May 2023) Dustin Johnson (2) +1,200
Singapore (April 2023) Talor Gooch (2) +1,600
Adelaide (April 2023) Talor Gooch +2,500
Orlando (April 2023) Brooks Koepka (2) +4,000
Tucson (March 2023) Danny Lee +8,000
Mayakoba (Feb. 2023) Charles Howell III +4,000

Odds courtesy of GolfOdds.

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