11-2 SU at home so we know what their capable of. This line is low and the value is right in plain sight. I was actually willing to lay up to -4.5. Factor in a few angles. Seeking revenge from a 94-88 OT loss against the Dream. Actually they have lost consecutive games in overtime with the other team being the Liberty. They have yet to lose 3 in a row in 2010 which now will be put to the test. Last but not least they are 6-2 ATS at home as when installed as a 6 point favorite or less.
WASHINGTON +11 ( 2 units )
This team still getting no respect on the pointspread value chart. The Mystic have been solid of late covering the spread as a dog. Their 5-18 SU record is a little misleading. The talent is there but they are so badly coached. Last nights game was a perfect example when Ajavon purposely tried to miss the back end of a free throw instead of putting of her team by 2. I like this play 11 points is plenty.
LOS ANGELES / TULSA OVER 151 ( 2 units )
After scoring only 68 points yesterday and losing by 20 !!! Tulsa would be a good team to take out your frustrations.
11-2 SU at home so we know what their capable of. This line is low and the value is right in plain sight. I was actually willing to lay up to -4.5. Factor in a few angles. Seeking revenge from a 94-88 OT loss against the Dream. Actually they have lost consecutive games in overtime with the other team being the Liberty. They have yet to lose 3 in a row in 2010 which now will be put to the test. Last but not least they are 6-2 ATS at home as when installed as a 6 point favorite or less.
WASHINGTON +11 ( 2 units )
This team still getting no respect on the pointspread value chart. The Mystic have been solid of late covering the spread as a dog. Their 5-18 SU record is a little misleading. The talent is there but they are so badly coached. Last nights game was a perfect example when Ajavon purposely tried to miss the back end of a free throw instead of putting of her team by 2. I like this play 11 points is plenty.
LOS ANGELES / TULSA OVER 151 ( 2 units )
After scoring only 68 points yesterday and losing by 20 !!! Tulsa would be a good team to take out your frustrations.
gl bud . i didnt have a problem with her missing that free throw....chicago was out of timeouts with 2.5 seconds left so there was no way they were going to be able to get a 2 point play off and that way they couldnt set up anything out of bounds. just an awful call by the ref deciding the game like that
gl bud . i didnt have a problem with her missing that free throw....chicago was out of timeouts with 2.5 seconds left so there was no way they were going to be able to get a 2 point play off and that way they couldnt set up anything out of bounds. just an awful call by the ref deciding the game like that
gl bud . i didnt have a problem with her missing that free throw....chicago was out of timeouts with 2.5 seconds left so there was no way they were going to be able to get a 2 point play off and that way they couldnt set up anything out of bounds. just an awful call by the ref deciding the game like that
That's my whole point-------------When she went to the line there was 4.2 seconds left on the clock and not 2.5. Way too much time to bang the ball off the rim.
gl bud . i didnt have a problem with her missing that free throw....chicago was out of timeouts with 2.5 seconds left so there was no way they were going to be able to get a 2 point play off and that way they couldnt set up anything out of bounds. just an awful call by the ref deciding the game like that
That's my whole point-------------When she went to the line there was 4.2 seconds left on the clock and not 2.5. Way too much time to bang the ball off the rim.
i disagree thats not enough time to get a 2 point basket off a lose ball and chicago didnt...they had a running 3 at the buzzer.. you cant plan on a foul on a 3 pointer. just awful luck. you see that once every 100 times maybe ...... if they make that shot they go up 2 and chicago can set up a play out of bounds with 4 seconds left, that i would agree is enough time to get a decent look at a 3 for the win.
i disagree thats not enough time to get a 2 point basket off a lose ball and chicago didnt...they had a running 3 at the buzzer.. you cant plan on a foul on a 3 pointer. just awful luck. you see that once every 100 times maybe ...... if they make that shot they go up 2 and chicago can set up a play out of bounds with 4 seconds left, that i would agree is enough time to get a decent look at a 3 for the win.
i disagree thats not enough time to get a 2 point basket off a lose ball and chicago didnt...they had a running 3 at the buzzer.. you cant plan on a foul on a 3 pointer. just awful luck. you see that once every 100 times maybe ...... if they make that shot they go up 2 and chicago can set up a play out of bounds with 4 seconds left, that i would agree is enough time to get a decent look at a 3 for the win.
I agree there's not enough time to get a 2 point basket off a lose ball. But what if there's a foul called off a missed shot during a scramble and your only up by 1 instead of 2.
i disagree thats not enough time to get a 2 point basket off a lose ball and chicago didnt...they had a running 3 at the buzzer.. you cant plan on a foul on a 3 pointer. just awful luck. you see that once every 100 times maybe ...... if they make that shot they go up 2 and chicago can set up a play out of bounds with 4 seconds left, that i would agree is enough time to get a decent look at a 3 for the win.
I agree there's not enough time to get a 2 point basket off a lose ball. But what if there's a foul called off a missed shot during a scramble and your only up by 1 instead of 2.
44, I agree with your assessment of CONN -3.5, although I think that the line is about right. Initially, I like the line because of their homecourt dominance. In the last game of this home-and-home series, I also noticed the officials' blatant homerism in the second half. It's just the latest in what has been a rather controversial week (see the Parker/Jelly Bean tirades, the Trudi Lacey tirade, and an incredulous NYL team).
People are particularly high on ATL after going 7-3 over the past 10 games. I think the Dream has improved substantially since the beginning of the year; they are looking much more like the team that rolled through the Eastern Conference Playoffs last year. That said, this team also has numerous glaring shortcomings, notably their poor 3P and FT %s. If they can't hammer the offensive boards and force turnovers, they're SOL.
44, I agree with your assessment of CONN -3.5, although I think that the line is about right. Initially, I like the line because of their homecourt dominance. In the last game of this home-and-home series, I also noticed the officials' blatant homerism in the second half. It's just the latest in what has been a rather controversial week (see the Parker/Jelly Bean tirades, the Trudi Lacey tirade, and an incredulous NYL team).
People are particularly high on ATL after going 7-3 over the past 10 games. I think the Dream has improved substantially since the beginning of the year; they are looking much more like the team that rolled through the Eastern Conference Playoffs last year. That said, this team also has numerous glaring shortcomings, notably their poor 3P and FT %s. If they can't hammer the offensive boards and force turnovers, they're SOL.
Do you think the Shock manage to put up 72? I would think Parker's return improves the Sparks' defense enough to prevent the Shock from breaking 70. I'm not sure how this one sails over. It seems like this total will be awfully close unless TUL pulls its weight. 82-70? What's your projection?
Do you think the Shock manage to put up 72? I would think Parker's return improves the Sparks' defense enough to prevent the Shock from breaking 70. I'm not sure how this one sails over. It seems like this total will be awfully close unless TUL pulls its weight. 82-70? What's your projection?
44, I agree with your assessment of CONN -3.5, although I think that the line is about right. Initially, I like the line because of their homecourt dominance. In the last game of this home-and-home series, I also noticed the officials' blatant homerism in the second half. It's just the latest in what has been a rather controversial week (see the Parker/Jelly Bean tirades, the Trudi Lacey tirade, and an incredulous NYL team).
People are particularly high on ATL after going 7-3 over the past 10 games. I think the Dream has improved substantially since the beginning of the year; they are looking much more like the team that rolled through the Eastern Conference Playoffs last year. That said, this team also has numerous glaring shortcomings, notably their poor 3P and FT %s. If they can't hammer the offensive boards and force turnovers, they're SOL.
Atlanta was as high as -6.5 when they hosted on Friday. With Conn being a -3.5 today i hardly think Atlanta deserves to be a -3 on Neutral court which is the point spread differential subtracted from each teams home court chalk. I know this formula shouldn't be the basis of anyone's handicapping strategy because over a 34 game schedule the intangibles kick in. However it should be used as an indicator over a 72 hour span. I also consider Connecticut a team with a strong home court advantage.
44, I agree with your assessment of CONN -3.5, although I think that the line is about right. Initially, I like the line because of their homecourt dominance. In the last game of this home-and-home series, I also noticed the officials' blatant homerism in the second half. It's just the latest in what has been a rather controversial week (see the Parker/Jelly Bean tirades, the Trudi Lacey tirade, and an incredulous NYL team).
People are particularly high on ATL after going 7-3 over the past 10 games. I think the Dream has improved substantially since the beginning of the year; they are looking much more like the team that rolled through the Eastern Conference Playoffs last year. That said, this team also has numerous glaring shortcomings, notably their poor 3P and FT %s. If they can't hammer the offensive boards and force turnovers, they're SOL.
Atlanta was as high as -6.5 when they hosted on Friday. With Conn being a -3.5 today i hardly think Atlanta deserves to be a -3 on Neutral court which is the point spread differential subtracted from each teams home court chalk. I know this formula shouldn't be the basis of anyone's handicapping strategy because over a 34 game schedule the intangibles kick in. However it should be used as an indicator over a 72 hour span. I also consider Connecticut a team with a strong home court advantage.
Do you think the Shock manage to put up 72? I would think Parker's return improves the Sparks' defense enough to prevent the Shock from breaking 70. I'm not sure how this one sails over. It seems like this total will be awfully close unless TUL pulls its weight. 82-70? What's your projection?
I need each team's total to be 3 points higher than their season average. The Sparks have only gone under 70 only 4 times and most teams are scoring into the high 70s low 80s versus the Shock. I'm not over confident and in no way is it a lock but the games in Tulsa and I'm hoping the Sparks don't widen the gap. That's the key.
Do you think the Shock manage to put up 72? I would think Parker's return improves the Sparks' defense enough to prevent the Shock from breaking 70. I'm not sure how this one sails over. It seems like this total will be awfully close unless TUL pulls its weight. 82-70? What's your projection?
I need each team's total to be 3 points higher than their season average. The Sparks have only gone under 70 only 4 times and most teams are scoring into the high 70s low 80s versus the Shock. I'm not over confident and in no way is it a lock but the games in Tulsa and I'm hoping the Sparks don't widen the gap. That's the key.
conn might be good at home but the dream have owned the sun in head to head matchups. im laying off this game but i would have rather taken the points with atlanta.
conn might be good at home but the dream have owned the sun in head to head matchups. im laying off this game but i would have rather taken the points with atlanta.
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