It's been a sweet ride with the giants the last several games and i believe it will continue tomorrow night. Let's look at some numbers:
144 Detroit Verlander 2
Giants Zito 54
Det. opens up as a 144 favorite. The numerical rating I have for verlander is 2 and for zito 54 (lower the better). Clearly verlander is better. In addition, verlander has more strikeouts than innings pitched - a great sign of a good to great pitcher. However, when looking at the line 144 matched up to these numerical ratings - many of my data points - show the home team winning in this situation - thus i'm on the giants for game 1.
Another thing to be aware of - when dominant pitchers face teams they are not use to facing - often they struggle - this could be the case for zito as well - either way i'm on the giants. Good luck all.