Good point. It is merely a theoretical question, but once we have an answer I can explain how I'd like to apply it.
Good point. It is merely a theoretical question, but once we have an answer I can explain how I'd like to apply it.
I think he may be refrencing it to a live betting scenerio???
anyway, the answer saadly is no, it wont necessarily help you, my advice to you since you do seem to know capping, is look for the MIDDLES in this scenerio, take a position, then look to middle and get 6-8 points,,,
that is sage advice my frined
tater
I think he may be refrencing it to a live betting scenerio???
anyway, the answer saadly is no, it wont necessarily help you, my advice to you since you do seem to know capping, is look for the MIDDLES in this scenerio, take a position, then look to middle and get 6-8 points,,,
that is sage advice my frined
tater
I think he may be refrencing it to a live betting scenerio???
anyway, the answer saadly is no, it wont necessarily help you, my advice to you since you do seem to know capping, is look for the MIDDLES in this scenerio, take a position, then look to middle and get 6-8 points,,,
that is sage advice my frined
tater
I think he may be refrencing it to a live betting scenerio???
anyway, the answer saadly is no, it wont necessarily help you, my advice to you since you do seem to know capping, is look for the MIDDLES in this scenerio, take a position, then look to middle and get 6-8 points,,,
that is sage advice my frined
tater
I think he may be refrencing it to a live betting scenerio???
anyway, the answer saadly is no, it wont necessarily help you, my advice to you since you do seem to know capping, is look for the MIDDLES in this scenerio, take a position, then look to middle and get 6-8 points,,,
that is sage advice my frined
tater
Thanks for the response tate. Would you mind elaborating on why it wouldnt help? I just cant get my head around it... given that the spread hits at 50% every year, why wouldnt the down 3 off spread % be the same if you are only taking time left and numeric deficit into account?
I think he may be refrencing it to a live betting scenerio???
anyway, the answer saadly is no, it wont necessarily help you, my advice to you since you do seem to know capping, is look for the MIDDLES in this scenerio, take a position, then look to middle and get 6-8 points,,,
that is sage advice my frined
tater
Thanks for the response tate. Would you mind elaborating on why it wouldnt help? I just cant get my head around it... given that the spread hits at 50% every year, why wouldnt the down 3 off spread % be the same if you are only taking time left and numeric deficit into account?
I guess logically, being down 3 against the spread with 8 minutes left will comeback a greater % of the time than being down 4 over the long run....That should be a fact, no?
but you're saying these two percentages will vary too greatly within those logical confines to be reliable over 500 games?
I guess logically, being down 3 against the spread with 8 minutes left will comeback a greater % of the time than being down 4 over the long run....That should be a fact, no?
but you're saying these two percentages will vary too greatly within those logical confines to be reliable over 500 games?
w3rdy, the truth is with NBA(ugh) some teams will fight to the end, others will not, the questions you ask are extremely complex, lets say for example steve nash, he is thegrandmaster of clock management, you want an OVER,,, he is who you want in that game lol,,,, (especially with his team down,,)
the real question is what teams have alot of fight in them and can close a gap???? spurs,,,,, bost(finally),,,denver,,,
the real quesiton is,,,, what teams dont giv a sht??? Miami Memphis seattle,,,,,,,
Now PLUG those into your equation, and you will have a statistical lean as to gaining a tiny bit of advantage, Now at this point you have to figure out how much a team wants to win, now with the NBA that could be ANYTIME??? thats why capping this sport is so dam hard,,,
Your presumption that getting in at 8 mins left will gain you some advantage??? well,,, I definatley would advise you to track it with whats left of the season, but here again I believe your njumbers will be askew, as to who cares???? and whos given up???
gl
tater
w3rdy, the truth is with NBA(ugh) some teams will fight to the end, others will not, the questions you ask are extremely complex, lets say for example steve nash, he is thegrandmaster of clock management, you want an OVER,,, he is who you want in that game lol,,,, (especially with his team down,,)
the real question is what teams have alot of fight in them and can close a gap???? spurs,,,,, bost(finally),,,denver,,,
the real quesiton is,,,, what teams dont giv a sht??? Miami Memphis seattle,,,,,,,
Now PLUG those into your equation, and you will have a statistical lean as to gaining a tiny bit of advantage, Now at this point you have to figure out how much a team wants to win, now with the NBA that could be ANYTIME??? thats why capping this sport is so dam hard,,,
Your presumption that getting in at 8 mins left will gain you some advantage??? well,,, I definatley would advise you to track it with whats left of the season, but here again I believe your njumbers will be askew, as to who cares???? and whos given up???
gl
tater
T-
Very interesting response, but let me try to distance this from the betting standpoint.
Lets make things a bit easier here with a simpler and more to-the-point theoretical question:
If I pick a random team with 8 minutes in the 4th quarter 500 times:
How many of those teams will beat the opponent by 3 points or more at the end of those 8 minutes?
Say we get 44%. Meaning 44% of the time the team we chose will beat the opponent by 3 or more within that 8 minutes. Will this percentage be accurate over the next 500 random teams?
ANSWER ME THIS, and i can go to bed sanely.
T-
Very interesting response, but let me try to distance this from the betting standpoint.
Lets make things a bit easier here with a simpler and more to-the-point theoretical question:
If I pick a random team with 8 minutes in the 4th quarter 500 times:
How many of those teams will beat the opponent by 3 points or more at the end of those 8 minutes?
Say we get 44%. Meaning 44% of the time the team we chose will beat the opponent by 3 or more within that 8 minutes. Will this percentage be accurate over the next 500 random teams?
ANSWER ME THIS, and i can go to bed sanely.
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so. It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly. Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality. Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it. As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.