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Quote Originally Posted by Mancity: If you need a lock go to Home Depot get a lock... I'm sure you could just go to Wally World.
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Jfassler18 | 12 |
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Quote Originally Posted by JJJ-3J: I have this. Should I ride it? PARLAY (3 TEAMS) [857] WASHINGTON STATE +11-115 (B+½) WIN [859] NORTHERN KENTUCKY +10½-115 (B+½) PENDING [877] BOSTON COLLEGE +12½-115 (B+½) PENDING If you can hedge live, that is your leverage.
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theparlaypicker | 297 |
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I see standard vig on Syracuse +2.5 currently?
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chuckles394 | 27 |
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I suggest you invest your time on more important things, anything in the world.
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dangimgd | 5 |
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[Quote: Originally Posted by rm990] Why would you include Pitt-6 in the original bet then come back and hedge with Balt+6. That's literally the same expected value as straight betting both sides @ 6. Is that something any reasonable person would do? No. Then why do it here?
That's what hedging is, reducing risk in order to guarantee profit. Seems it was an accident that it was placed in a round-robin. I would wait until the game starts, and attempt to hedge it live. If you can middle your bet at Baltimore around a key number like +10 then I would attempt to middle it live and (hedge with benefit) for about the initial investment you made.
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ObamaGotUs | 11 |
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The Braves are really good.
They haven't won as a favorite this year, and they have been extremely profitable to fade on the RL. Since their little four game rally earlier this year- which they swept Miami (in Miami) and then won the opener against Dodgers- they have not won three straight. I have been fading the Braves at -1 after a win, and fading them at home specifically because they are still being shown some value in ATL as a home team. The Braves are 22-34 (39.3%) RL, so by adjusting the way you attack them. I understand that this may change, but I have made solid money fading them as their rotation isn't consistent and the team seems to care less about how well they perform at home.
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CapperUni | 3 |
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Lot of opportunities on this PP..
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hradekbr | 95 |
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Don't pick the losing one.
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jaywilliamssp | 3 |
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replied to
***Macwesties Fri.. Jan. 22, 2016 * NCAAB College Basketball Play***
in College Basketball
I like the Rockets as well, good luck to us!
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Macwestie1 | 7 |
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Hope all is well, guys, as I haven't posted on here for a while. But love checking in and sharing information when I can.
Strongest play today is one that I normally only touch when I can completely digest lines and all prop bets. 2.5x Risk: MLB: 810PM: Twins TTO 3.5 (-115) Best of luck and hopefully I'll see you at the window |
CapperUni | 1 |
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Detroit in the 1H should be strong as they look for their new identity.
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sparty_31 | 6 |
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Super upset I missed this bargain of a line, regardless of the result.
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smiss81275 | 5 |
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My personal recommendation is to take them ATS 1H, don't let them give up a moose cover late.
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Wllhay2527 | 5 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Luca_Brasi: U like them picks straight up capperuni? Thinking bout picking them singles. Apologies for no response here, Luca. It looked like the most efficient way to bet these lines was without the tease. Regardless, I can't complain as it was a rather stress free cover for all of the games. Best of luck on Sunday, fellas.
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CapperUni | 7 |
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I already noticed an error:
I actually played a 10.5 point teaser. I did this specifically to get MSU under a TD for the spread. Apologies & Cheers!
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CapperUni | 7 |
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So, this is not something that I would obviously recommend to play day-in, and day-out... however, I will be personally playing this.
I never recommend a teaser, so this is very far out of my comfort zone. I am typically the person that makes fun of friends, etc, which bet teasers and buy obnoxious amounts of points. Well... I think this teaser is perfect for Saturday. I get action that everyone wants out of watching the games. But also- I think we cash in nicely. 3-Team 10pt Teaser: MSU -6.5 Georgia Southern -7 UCF O34.5 This pays out -120 in my book. I added an empty slot, so I will have a payout of approximately +135 if I hit the last play. Please understand that every line should look good when it's 10 points altered, don't go crazy. Teasers are typically the way the books clean up. Best of luck, CU |
CapperUni | 7 |
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There are always certain perimeters that determine which book is best for you. If you bet less than 30$ per game, then I recommend Bovada. If you try to trade lines, have a larger bankroll, or bet larger than 30$ per play- then I recommend 5D.
I can't say I've had a problem depositing or withdrawing from either, the credit card and ID are so that they know that you are tied with the account. This also helps them keep money in accounts (some which deposit won't go through the effort to withdraw this way...) There are a lot of reasons that I recommend these, but 5D offers the ability to buy and sell points as well as open parlays and nice large teasers - if that is your thing. Best of luck, buddy, |
SEC_CHEF | 21 |
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"Don't put all your eggs in one basket"
Sorry to hear it buddy, I was on the other side of it but I also took the Lynx 3Q ML. Better team on their home court, lots of people went against it. Win tomorrow, come with a vengeance.
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eggshog | 4 |
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I will offer you a guaranteed pick :)
...But seriously, I have a winner for week 1. It is not a side however, but a total.
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Andyman69 | 19 |
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Quote Originally Posted by bleedgreengold: Capper U. , The only thing that made me not interested in your friends system is I play per week, That's not enough to interest me into paying for the system. But, your arguments for betting a1,5 % of bankroll were dead on. Based on my expected win % using Kelly Criterion, I bet 2,5% of bankroll. You need the mindset that your investing, not gambling. It's a business, run it like one. I think we're on the same side here, in regards to it being a business and everything, although they don't sell the service at this time. It doesn't come down to flat betting 1.5% each week or anything as for them it's anything above a threshold percentage and they will hit it. I respect them a lot for it because that means they: A) do not force plays & B) respect their money and treat it as an investment. (I'm actually impressed because they refuse to bet playoffs as they don't have the proper numbers & can't track the market as well due to the line changes inconsistencies.) If they do choose to provide it as a service, I spoke with them and they expect to have at least 2 plays per wk. over the span of 16 weeks to average at least 32 plays over the stretch of the season. They're leaning to create a service actually, documented results and everything. They actually met with a top handicapper (tout) service that offered them a large sum of money to sell it directly to them and remove all of the algorithms from their computers and teach them how to run it. They have turned it down thus far; as I expect them to take the service route. I haven't been online here, but I will try to share and help whenever I can! Hope you all have a bunch of success this year :) |
CapperUni | 23 |
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