FEEL THE SAME WAY ABOUT THIS ONE AS I DID ABOUT DETROIT VS DALLAS LAST WEEK. RAMS WILL KEEP THIS ONE PRETTY CLOSE IF NOT A STRAIGHT UP WIN. HIGH SCORING AFFAIR
FEEL THE SAME WAY ABOUT THIS ONE AS I DID ABOUT DETROIT VS DALLAS LAST WEEK. RAMS WILL KEEP THIS ONE PRETTY CLOSE IF NOT A STRAIGHT UP WIN. HIGH SCORING AFFAIR
Here's a tip for when you think Vegas is right and the game will go as they say. If you're betting online and your book has adjusted lines, then bet on both the adjusted lines. You can do it for the spread or the over/under.
For example, for Denver@Houston, I have the spread at DEN -2 and the total at 47. This means the score would be:
DEN 24.5 HOU 22.5
If you think the spread is accurate, then bet on HOU +7.5 and DEN +3.5:
HOU +7½ Risking:$100.00 To Win:$37.77
DEN +3½ Risking:$100.00 To Win:$44.44
If the game stays close and both bets win, you win $82. You aren't really risking $200, though because it is impossible for both of these to lose, but if one of them loses, you lose the bet. Depending on which loses, you lose $62 or $56.
If you think the total is accurate, then bet on the high under and the low over:
TOTAL (DEN/HOU) u57½ Risking:$100.00 To Win:$25.00
TOTAL (DEN/HOU) o37½ Risking:$100.00 To Win:$25.00
So you have a 20-point range of victory that wins you $50. Again, it is impossible for both to lose, but if either loses, you lose $75.
The amount the spread/total is adjusted and the payouts change quite a bit from game to game so these numbers aren't accurate for every game but they are in the ballpark.
I remember at some point last year seeing the headline: Think you know football? Vegas does. To this point in the season, there have been 100 overs, 99 unders, and 9 pushes.
So if they can be that accurate, try betting with them sometimes. Good luck.
Here's a tip for when you think Vegas is right and the game will go as they say. If you're betting online and your book has adjusted lines, then bet on both the adjusted lines. You can do it for the spread or the over/under.
For example, for Denver@Houston, I have the spread at DEN -2 and the total at 47. This means the score would be:
DEN 24.5 HOU 22.5
If you think the spread is accurate, then bet on HOU +7.5 and DEN +3.5:
HOU +7½ Risking:$100.00 To Win:$37.77
DEN +3½ Risking:$100.00 To Win:$44.44
If the game stays close and both bets win, you win $82. You aren't really risking $200, though because it is impossible for both of these to lose, but if one of them loses, you lose the bet. Depending on which loses, you lose $62 or $56.
If you think the total is accurate, then bet on the high under and the low over:
TOTAL (DEN/HOU) u57½ Risking:$100.00 To Win:$25.00
TOTAL (DEN/HOU) o37½ Risking:$100.00 To Win:$25.00
So you have a 20-point range of victory that wins you $50. Again, it is impossible for both to lose, but if either loses, you lose $75.
The amount the spread/total is adjusted and the payouts change quite a bit from game to game so these numbers aren't accurate for every game but they are in the ballpark.
I remember at some point last year seeing the headline: Think you know football? Vegas does. To this point in the season, there have been 100 overs, 99 unders, and 9 pushes.
So if they can be that accurate, try betting with them sometimes. Good luck.
Packers will cover. Last week shows it. I was worried about the game and they came out running the ball all over Oakland. Even if Favre isn't 100% the Pack can still run it down your throat and hit a deep ball when you are least expecting it. They will continue to shut down runners this week. Jackson is having a less than stellar season anyway.
My Projection: Green Bay - 34 St. Louis - 17 Take the Packers -9
Packers will cover. Last week shows it. I was worried about the game and they came out running the ball all over Oakland. Even if Favre isn't 100% the Pack can still run it down your throat and hit a deep ball when you are least expecting it. They will continue to shut down runners this week. Jackson is having a less than stellar season anyway.
My Projection: Green Bay - 34 St. Louis - 17 Take the Packers -9
Ryan Grant will be given the quite a bit to keep Favre from hurting right before the playoffs. And Grant has been unstoppable of late.
GB still has the smother Defense and should limit St. Louis in this game. Bulger has had like 2 good games all year? If that? If Steven Jackson comes out, he can kill the clock as well.
Ryan Grant will be given the quite a bit to keep Favre from hurting right before the playoffs. And Grant has been unstoppable of late.
GB still has the smother Defense and should limit St. Louis in this game. Bulger has had like 2 good games all year? If that? If Steven Jackson comes out, he can kill the clock as well.
Great opp. for a teaser. Bulger is not a good enough reason to take the Rams and the Packers are on FIRE this season. Buuuut, Green bay has been covering too many big lines this season and StL. is not, soooo this is the best bet!
Great opp. for a teaser. Bulger is not a good enough reason to take the Rams and the Packers are on FIRE this season. Buuuut, Green bay has been covering too many big lines this season and StL. is not, soooo this is the best bet!
Line has probably dropped because Rams at home...hurting Packers...and they have been playing tough the past couple weeks. That trend ends right here. I think this is going to be another blowout win for the Packers. The Rams have a horrible defense...and its going to be a repeat of last week. A lot of Ryan Grant early...Brett Favre with 1-2 long bombs...and a good defensive performance once again. The toughest part of this one is the over/under. My initial thoughts were with the over but I'm not sure now. I see the Pack putting up 28-31 points...but I'm not sure if the Rams can put up 17. Last week's snow game in Cincy might have thrown their offense off track a little bit. Gonna play it safe though and leave over/under alone. Take Green Bay -8
Line has probably dropped because Rams at home...hurting Packers...and they have been playing tough the past couple weeks. That trend ends right here. I think this is going to be another blowout win for the Packers. The Rams have a horrible defense...and its going to be a repeat of last week. A lot of Ryan Grant early...Brett Favre with 1-2 long bombs...and a good defensive performance once again. The toughest part of this one is the over/under. My initial thoughts were with the over but I'm not sure now. I see the Pack putting up 28-31 points...but I'm not sure if the Rams can put up 17. Last week's snow game in Cincy might have thrown their offense off track a little bit. Gonna play it safe though and leave over/under alone. Take Green Bay -8
I'm gonna say the Line Drop is probably largely in part to Bulger playing (not sure if he is /or not but the movement tells me he probably is). Did you see how the line went CRAZY UP last week when it was determined Bulger was NOT playing (no Ferotte, only 3rd string QB)..Line movement this week is probably for that reason,,,but not exactly sure. As a fantasy football freak, I can tell you that a guy who comes back after missing a few games to injury DOES NOT usually perfrom as expected. If that is the basis for taking the Rams,,,I would proceed w/ caution. But someone above did have a good point that the Rams are playing decent as of late. ABSOLUTELY hate to disagree w/ my squirrel-nut dangling homie Coverditty, but my lean is toward the Pack,,,but I might just stay away and root for ditty....GL ALL
I'm gonna say the Line Drop is probably largely in part to Bulger playing (not sure if he is /or not but the movement tells me he probably is). Did you see how the line went CRAZY UP last week when it was determined Bulger was NOT playing (no Ferotte, only 3rd string QB)..Line movement this week is probably for that reason,,,but not exactly sure. As a fantasy football freak, I can tell you that a guy who comes back after missing a few games to injury DOES NOT usually perfrom as expected. If that is the basis for taking the Rams,,,I would proceed w/ caution. But someone above did have a good point that the Rams are playing decent as of late. ABSOLUTELY hate to disagree w/ my squirrel-nut dangling homie Coverditty, but my lean is toward the Pack,,,but I might just stay away and root for ditty....GL ALL
Green Bay at home at the half is a good trend to play but this one is in St. Louis. If I'm not mistaken the last time Bulger got banged up it took him a few games to shake the rust off.
Green Bay at home at the half is a good trend to play but this one is in St. Louis. If I'm not mistaken the last time Bulger got banged up it took him a few games to shake the rust off.
Great opp. for a teaser. Bulger is not a good enough reason to take the Rams and the Packers are on FIRE this season. Buuuut, Green bay has been covering too many big lines this season and StL. is not, soooo this is the best bet!
Green Bay-2 and Over 39
Green Bay-26
Rams-19
IF you think the final will be 26-19.......why would you tease the game??......add the money you would play on your tease to the straight bet and make more money?!?!? The tease bet doesn't pay enough to make that bet worth your while.........Just take St. Lou while everybody and thier mother is on the Pack.
Great opp. for a teaser. Bulger is not a good enough reason to take the Rams and the Packers are on FIRE this season. Buuuut, Green bay has been covering too many big lines this season and StL. is not, soooo this is the best bet!
Green Bay-2 and Over 39
Green Bay-26
Rams-19
IF you think the final will be 26-19.......why would you tease the game??......add the money you would play on your tease to the straight bet and make more money?!?!? The tease bet doesn't pay enough to make that bet worth your while.........Just take St. Lou while everybody and thier mother is on the Pack.
Since the Rams started the year off losing for two straight months........O -and whatever and only covering 1 time before the bye.......a closer look reveals a 3-2 SU record and 4-1 ATS record since the bye week. The only lose was in the last seconds to Seattle 24-19 when they had the ball at the 1 yardline for the last two snapps of the game and blew it.......I'll take the more than a TD spread for the home dog who seems to be playing better than most people are recognizing. Farve has a little life long trend of struggling in domes and on turf more than not.......The Pack will win, but not by more than a TD. And don't be surpized to see them go down on a last second field goal.
Since the Rams started the year off losing for two straight months........O -and whatever and only covering 1 time before the bye.......a closer look reveals a 3-2 SU record and 4-1 ATS record since the bye week. The only lose was in the last seconds to Seattle 24-19 when they had the ball at the 1 yardline for the last two snapps of the game and blew it.......I'll take the more than a TD spread for the home dog who seems to be playing better than most people are recognizing. Farve has a little life long trend of struggling in domes and on turf more than not.......The Pack will win, but not by more than a TD. And don't be surpized to see them go down on a last second field goal.
Teasing it because I like the Pack giving 2 instead of 8 and it should be a fairly high scoring game. The Packers AREN'T an overwhelming favorite either by the way, only 80% on the Packers if it was -7 I am sure it would be closer to 90%. That is why I am teasing it, Packers are due for somewhat of a letdown, but they should still win outright. That's all.
Teasing it because I like the Pack giving 2 instead of 8 and it should be a fairly high scoring game. The Packers AREN'T an overwhelming favorite either by the way, only 80% on the Packers if it was -7 I am sure it would be closer to 90%. That is why I am teasing it, Packers are due for somewhat of a letdown, but they should still win outright. That's all.
I will say one thing about the Rams and that is that in MOST games we have been able to pretty much limit the run. I do not see Grant as a factor tomorrow, unfortunately they have given up that 30 or 40yrd run which makes it look like they are weak vs the run in total numbers. I live in the Lou and the games between Pack and Steelers probably define if they keep Linehan or not. The team is not giving up and with Bulger in the lineup they should be able to put up points. The safe play is the over and if the O-line can find a way to keep Marc off his back a possible cover as well.
I will say one thing about the Rams and that is that in MOST games we have been able to pretty much limit the run. I do not see Grant as a factor tomorrow, unfortunately they have given up that 30 or 40yrd run which makes it look like they are weak vs the run in total numbers. I live in the Lou and the games between Pack and Steelers probably define if they keep Linehan or not. The team is not giving up and with Bulger in the lineup they should be able to put up points. The safe play is the over and if the O-line can find a way to keep Marc off his back a possible cover as well.
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