Last week was my worst week thus far in the NFL and certainly wish I would not have loaded up on the Seahawks...oh well, it happens.
Starting off Week 8 with some Thursday night action
Chargers +9
Yes, I know Chargers are a bit banged up. McCoy knows Denver and last year Denver won by 8 and 7 and the Chargers won by 7 - they play each other close typically. I see this as Denver is a bit overvalued due to the big public win and San Diego is a bit undervalued due to the loss to KC. Denver wins but Rivers keeps it within the number...and this could be a shootout as well.
Last week was my worst week thus far in the NFL and certainly wish I would not have loaded up on the Seahawks...oh well, it happens.
Starting off Week 8 with some Thursday night action
Chargers +9
Yes, I know Chargers are a bit banged up. McCoy knows Denver and last year Denver won by 8 and 7 and the Chargers won by 7 - they play each other close typically. I see this as Denver is a bit overvalued due to the big public win and San Diego is a bit undervalued due to the loss to KC. Denver wins but Rivers keeps it within the number...and this could be a shootout as well.
3-2 ATS today but more excited about the 2 team teaser of the week hitting big
32-12-1 ATS year to date and 2-1 on my 2 team teasers.
I am having a hard time tonight......betting against Brees in New Orleans seems so wrong. However, betting against Captain Discount Double Check also seems wrong. While I am only 1-2 on totals, I am going to go with my 4th total bet of the year and try to bring us back to .500 there.....
3-2 ATS today but more excited about the 2 team teaser of the week hitting big
32-12-1 ATS year to date and 2-1 on my 2 team teasers.
I am having a hard time tonight......betting against Brees in New Orleans seems so wrong. However, betting against Captain Discount Double Check also seems wrong. While I am only 1-2 on totals, I am going to go with my 4th total bet of the year and try to bring us back to .500 there.....
3-3 ATS this week with a teaser and total win. Let's look to bump the ATS number over the .500 mark with Monday Night Football.....
On to Monday Night. This game is such a mismatch:
TO's = Dallas +1 to Wash -11
Dallas 89 Penalties for 690 YDS
Wash 121 Penalties for 1049 YDS
Dallas converts 57.4% of third downs, Wash 31.7%
Dallas RYPG 159.7 vs. Wash D 103.3
Seattle and NYG are the two teams that had rushing success
Basically, Dallas stays on the field, converting 3rd downs and not committing stupid penalties or turnovers that kill drives. Washington cannot maintain drives and have a knack for turning the ball over. Add to this that Washington has committed more defensive penalties than anyone else in the NFL, and that just helps sustain the Dallas drives. I realize that Dallas is typically a public team, and overvalued out of the gate. With Colt McCoy starting, with a big time MNF venue, with Washington self inflicted wounds, I just see this game as a 13+ point win for the Cowboys. I hate laying this amount of points on teams who are already public teams, but unless Washington is reborn with Colt McCoy, this is going to be a skunker.
3-3 ATS this week with a teaser and total win. Let's look to bump the ATS number over the .500 mark with Monday Night Football.....
On to Monday Night. This game is such a mismatch:
TO's = Dallas +1 to Wash -11
Dallas 89 Penalties for 690 YDS
Wash 121 Penalties for 1049 YDS
Dallas converts 57.4% of third downs, Wash 31.7%
Dallas RYPG 159.7 vs. Wash D 103.3
Seattle and NYG are the two teams that had rushing success
Basically, Dallas stays on the field, converting 3rd downs and not committing stupid penalties or turnovers that kill drives. Washington cannot maintain drives and have a knack for turning the ball over. Add to this that Washington has committed more defensive penalties than anyone else in the NFL, and that just helps sustain the Dallas drives. I realize that Dallas is typically a public team, and overvalued out of the gate. With Colt McCoy starting, with a big time MNF venue, with Washington self inflicted wounds, I just see this game as a 13+ point win for the Cowboys. I hate laying this amount of points on teams who are already public teams, but unless Washington is reborn with Colt McCoy, this is going to be a skunker.
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