GL to everyone in week 1 of the NFL season. If you bet against some of my bet's, I would be lying if I wished you best of luck since I wan't to win mine. However, I do hope you all are profitable. Any input, questions, advice, good luck comments, comments involving how I'm the man, or your own parlays if you have any are more then welcome in the comment section. After the game's are done I'll update the thread to see how I (we) did. GL Fella's
- Slum
Bet #1
Risk $110.00 = Profit $210.00(Net Profit: $100.00)
New England at Tennessee = New England -6.5 (-110)
Bet Reasoning: A proven QB, with an exceptional offence going into battle against a rookie QB without their number 1 weapon in the air (Kenny Britt, assuming he is suspended, on unable to play due to his surgeries). Tennessee seems like a sleeper team, don't get me wrong. Jake Locker can play football, or so we think at this point. Chris Johnson has proven himself to be an elite RB, even with last years performance. The guy is fully capable of posting up +100 yards on the ground with a score or two. Will these guys put up some points against a non potent New England defence (who has improved IMO since last year…) of course. I'm not arguing that, or trying to say they won't. It's a matter of, I don't think they will be able to keep up with the patriots. Comparing both offences it is painfully clear which one has the edge. Brady has so many more weapons, and with a fresh Offensive Coordinator, I'm excited to see how they go about with Lloyd as a deep threat. Needless to say, I think -6.5 is a safe, or at the very least, promising bet in comparison to other bets.
Bet #2
Risk $110.00 = Profit $210.00(Net Profit: $100.00)
St Louis at Detroit = Detroit -9.0 (-110)
Bet Reasoning: Detroit seems to be a lethal offensive team. As of now they appear to be lacking depth in the run game which hurts there offence, but lets be real, its the throwing game that keeps defensive coordinators up at night. Titus young and Calvin should do there thing at home with stafford throwing them the ball. Rumour has is that detroit is in the hunt for trading for a RB to help the depth… Will this happen before week 1? No probably not, and if it does I'm not sure if it will have an impact since the new player would have much to learn. So the run game is a wash most likely. However, I think St. Louis is a joke, even with the new QB. I think Bradford is nothing special, and it will come down to him not being able to produce in detroit. Big surprise… Maybe I'm not giving this team enough credit, but I think steven jackson is the only real threat on that team. I like Detroit spread for this one since the passing game is so potent, and they are at home.
Parlay #1
Risk $165.00 = Profit $2186.70 (Net Profit: $2021.xx)
Indianapolis at Chicago = Chicago -10.0 (-110)
New England at Tennessee = New England -6.5 (-110)
St Louis at Detroit = Detroit -9.0 (-110)
Miami at Houston = Houston -6.5 (-110)
Bet Price: +1228
Bet Reasoning: First off, I don't normally recommend parlays. At all. However, I had some extra funds from some plays in the olympics that wouldn't affect me in any major way if I lost this bet. So, I took some favourites I liked in the late summer, and went for I suppose a hail mary play. Now, I tried to pick all home favourites(Chicago, Detroit, and Houston) playing against weak teams, as well as New England since I liked the play so much. At the time, preseason did not start yet, so I had no concerns. Now Luck worries me a little bit, but I suppose all one can do now is sit back and watch on sunday. Now some of the lines have changed since (Chicago moved down from -10 to -9.5, and Houston moved up from -6.5 to -10!). Critique my play if you will, but its a waste of time. This is more of a value play, risking money I am ok with loosing. Worthwhile investment for me.