Have taken the past few days thinking from another 25+ year veteran like yourself. Wondering if you agree with these thoughts, in general, from Mr. Sheridan in September.
There’s a reason why 200-plus legal Nevada sports books have never had a losing season booking football, and why they win between $75 million-$125 million annually on football wagers alone. The same winning pattern exists for the legal sports books now in 35 U.S. states.
At least 85 percent of NFL bettors bet favorites, and only one of 1,000 bettors wins money betting the NFL, which tells me that oddsmakers (who know this) inflate the line to attract equal betting on both teams.
If you bet a favorite, you’re laying more points than you should, especially on the popular public teams.
Lastly, do NOT bet on double-digit favorites They were 27-3 SU, but a miserable money-losing 11-19 ATS last year (36.6 percent).
In sum, only bet on Dogs, Unders, especially DD Dogs, divisional dogs, etc.
Me thinks the best way to make money betting on games is to actually be the book, which is where I am putting my real money. https://www.investopedia.com/ best-gambling-etfs-5216110
Have taken the past few days thinking from another 25+ year veteran like yourself. Wondering if you agree with these thoughts, in general, from Mr. Sheridan in September.
There’s a reason why 200-plus legal Nevada sports books have never had a losing season booking football, and why they win between $75 million-$125 million annually on football wagers alone. The same winning pattern exists for the legal sports books now in 35 U.S. states.
At least 85 percent of NFL bettors bet favorites, and only one of 1,000 bettors wins money betting the NFL, which tells me that oddsmakers (who know this) inflate the line to attract equal betting on both teams.
If you bet a favorite, you’re laying more points than you should, especially on the popular public teams.
Lastly, do NOT bet on double-digit favorites They were 27-3 SU, but a miserable money-losing 11-19 ATS last year (36.6 percent).
In sum, only bet on Dogs, Unders, especially DD Dogs, divisional dogs, etc.
Me thinks the best way to make money betting on games is to actually be the book, which is where I am putting my real money. https://www.investopedia.com/ best-gambling-etfs-5216110
Square betting is profitable too. You just have to pick your spots.
If you think it is fix, you just have to be on the right side of the fix.
LL ast but not least, your win/loss record is nothing in comparison to the different units you are betting. Best motto is to lose on small bets and win on huge bets. Just like counting cards in BJ. When the count is in your favor, bet bigger. Without my big bets winning, I'll belong to this so called degenerate gambling statistics too. I just got lucky because cover guys are great in telling me what not to bet. I lose less this way.
Square betting is profitable too. You just have to pick your spots.
If you think it is fix, you just have to be on the right side of the fix.
LL ast but not least, your win/loss record is nothing in comparison to the different units you are betting. Best motto is to lose on small bets and win on huge bets. Just like counting cards in BJ. When the count is in your favor, bet bigger. Without my big bets winning, I'll belong to this so called degenerate gambling statistics too. I just got lucky because cover guys are great in telling me what not to bet. I lose less this way.
There’s a reason why 200-plus legal Nevada sports books have never had a losing season booking football
Yes. And that is called 10% (minimum) vig. It is not because dogs and unders hit more than favs and overs.
At least 85 percent of NFL bettors bet favorites, and only one of 1,000 bettors wins money betting the NFL, which tells me that oddsmakers (who know this) inflate the line to attract equal betting on both teams.
Total speculation on those statistics.
Look - I am not sure about longterm statistics of unders and dogs. I would think they are both about 50/50 over the last 10 years (longterm). I doubt they are better than the vig - and I doubt you can come up with a longterm winning process around this theory.
I never met a hater better than me. I am on twitter
There’s a reason why 200-plus legal Nevada sports books have never had a losing season booking football
Yes. And that is called 10% (minimum) vig. It is not because dogs and unders hit more than favs and overs.
At least 85 percent of NFL bettors bet favorites, and only one of 1,000 bettors wins money betting the NFL, which tells me that oddsmakers (who know this) inflate the line to attract equal betting on both teams.
Total speculation on those statistics.
Look - I am not sure about longterm statistics of unders and dogs. I would think they are both about 50/50 over the last 10 years (longterm). I doubt they are better than the vig - and I doubt you can come up with a longterm winning process around this theory.
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