Results :
Teams coming off their bye week
16 Favorites
16 Undderdogs
Favorites won 12 games SU & ATS ( 75.00 % )
Favorites won 2 games SU & lost ATS ( 12.5 % )
Favorites Lost 2 games SU & ATS ( 12.5 % )
Underdogs Lost 8 games SU & ATS ( 50.00 % )
Underdogs lost 3 games SU & won ATS ( 18.75 % )
Underdogs won 4 games SU & ATS ( 25.00 % )
Underdogs tie 1 game SU & won ATS ( 6.25 % )
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Looking back at all of the teams performance after their byes last season : ( 2007 season only )
18 Favorites
14 Underdogs
14 of the teams were underdogs ( + 3.5 , 9, 3, 7, 4.5 , 3, 2.5 , 4.5 , 2, 9, 9.5 , 9.5 , 1.5, 10.5 )
18 of the teams were favorites ( - 3.5 , 3.5 , 2.5 , 3, 3, 2. 5 , 1 , 3, 2, 2.5, 16, 4, 4.5 , 4.5 , 10, 3, 7.5, 4 )
In bold are the spreads that were higher than 3 on both sides ( 9 on the underdog side & 10 of them on the favorites side )
So, how did the 14 Dogs perform coming off their byes :
Underdogs lost 8 games SU & ATS ( 57 % )
Underdogs won 6 games SU & ATS ( 43 % )
Underdogs lost 0 games SU & covered the spread ( 0 % )
So, how did the 18 favorites perform coming off their byes :
Favorites won 13 games SU & ATS ( 72.2 % )
Favorites won 1 game SU & Lost ATS ( 5.6 % )
Favorites lost 4 games SU & ATS ( 22.2 % )
In conclusion , Only 1 out of 32 teams last season either didn't cover when winning SU or covered when losing SU .
Significant , since out of those 32 spreads , 19 of them were higher than 3 ...
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Finally , the performance of all the teams coming off their bye week in 2006 season only
There were of course 32 teams.
Byes took place between weeks 3 & 9
Week 4 was the first week where teams played a post-bye game
Week 10 was the last week where teams played a post-bye game
16 of the teams were set a favorites
16 of the teams were set as underdogs
The spreads for the favs : -10, 7, 5.5, 6, 3, 4.5, 3, 8, 7.5, 5.5, 16, 1, 3, 3.5, 10, 9 ( 12 of them higher than 3 )
The average spread for the favorites >>> - 6.4
The spread for the dogs : +1, 1, 3.5, 7, 13, 4.5, 6, 6.5, 1, 16, 9.5, 5, 13, 3, 6.5, 10.5
The average spread for the underdogs >>> + 6.7
Results : ( 16 favs / 16 dogs )
Overall teams coming off a bye won 19 games & lost 13 SU
Favorites : ( 16 total )
Favorites won 11 games SU & ATS ( 68.75 % )
Favorites won 1 game SU & lost ATS ( 6.25 % )
Favorites lost 4 games SU & ATS ( 25.00 % )
Underdogs : ( 16 total )
Underdogs lost 8 games SU & ATS ( 50.00% )
Underdogs lost 1 game SU & won ATS ( 6.25 % )
Underdogs won 7 games SU & ATS ( 43.75 % )
The dogs that won outright overcame spreads of + 6 , + 6.5 , + 5 , + 13 , + 3, + 3, + 13
The favs that lost outright blew spreads of - 3, - 4.5, - 7.5, - 1
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