ytd 23-18 sf 63% win
recent form 24-16 chiefs 73% win
magiccarpet ride insight
I will continue picking the dog with NFL playoffs and Super Bowl.
Here are the facts:
Fact # 1 Mahomes is the best quarterback in the NFL
Fact # 2 KC has one of the best if not the best coach in the NFL
Fact # 3 KC has one of the best Defense in the NFL
49ers lost to Baltimore by 14 points this season: 33-19, KC beat Baltimore by 7
Going back a little in NFL history, we have (2018 KC 38 SF 27), (2020 KC 31 SF 20), (2022 KC 44 SF 33)
KC won all of the last 3 games with SF by MORE THAN 10 POINTS.
Mahomes vs. Purdy is truly a laughing matter. 49ers were so lucky to beat Green Bay, they were so lucky to beat Detroit, their luck will run out and they will absolutely positively lose to KC.
Going big on Kansas City + 2 or whatever it is in a week or so.
magiccarpet ride insight
I will continue picking the dog with NFL playoffs and Super Bowl.
Here are the facts:
Fact # 1 Mahomes is the best quarterback in the NFL
Fact # 2 KC has one of the best if not the best coach in the NFL
Fact # 3 KC has one of the best Defense in the NFL
49ers lost to Baltimore by 14 points this season: 33-19, KC beat Baltimore by 7
Going back a little in NFL history, we have (2018 KC 38 SF 27), (2020 KC 31 SF 20), (2022 KC 44 SF 33)
KC won all of the last 3 games with SF by MORE THAN 10 POINTS.
Mahomes vs. Purdy is truly a laughing matter. 49ers were so lucky to beat Green Bay, they were so lucky to beat Detroit, their luck will run out and they will absolutely positively lose to KC.
Going big on Kansas City + 2 or whatever it is in a week or so.
public enemy insight
2023-24 Season. Year to date: 119-79. (60%) . $+9,660.00
San Francisco vs Kansas city
Lots to consider.
What happened in those games. How did they win or lose?
What were the tougher opponents up until this game?
Who was battle-tested the most all season.?
Lets compare a few,
Lions+4 beat KC in week-one in KC 21-20.
KC led 14-7 at the half.
Lions scored on a 50 yd int return to tie it up in the 3rd.
KC had 2 FG's the rest of the game. Lions scored a TD with 7 min remaining to win.
Chiefs never got close enough to win it with a fg.
SF -7 beat Detroit - but was getting run over with the Lions run game.
A second half defensive adjustment shutout Detroit in the 2nd half except for a back door TD with seconds on the clock.
Summary: Chiefs were underachieving in week one and continued to score less than the season earlier as the year went on.
SF loses toBaltimore 33-19 in week. 14. Niners had 5 int's to lose badly, More important fact was the Niners had way more yardage in the loss. SF out gained Ravens by 110 yds. Calculate that into the performance and remove the 5 turnovers and SF wins easily.
Chiefs beat Balt in Balt in a tight game 17-10. Both scores were the lowest of both teams in a playoff game. (The Week before, Ravens rolled up 34 vs Houston. But Ravens were held to only 10 points in the first half). An indicator that a better defense could possibly beat Baltimore - which KC did.
KC lost to Green Bay 19-27.
SF beat GB 24-21.
How did they get here...
Chiefs played 3 teams with winning records at the time they played during the season before the playoffs started. They got here on a fairly weak schedule.
Those teams were Miami (6-2) Jacksonville(1-0) and Philly (8-1). None of the other teams had winning records during the regular season when KC played them.
SF played 6 teams with winning records. Rams (1-0), Dallas (3-1), Jacksonville (6-2) Seattle (6-4), Philly (10-1) Balt (11-3).
Who was battle-tested the most?
Niners were 5-1 su against those teams.
Chiefs were 2-1 SU against the teams they played.
Note: SF beat Philly 42-19.
While KC lost 17-21while being shut out in the second half - with a 17-7 halftime lead.
KC lacks a good running game.
Niners have McCaffrey, who could be MVP?
Both teams have great Tight Ends but Kelce is just better.
Niners (3.8yds/Run) is better than KC(4.5).
Niners are superior on offense with #3 run game and #4 passing game while
KC is #17 running and #8 passing.
Based on level of competition - SF is better.
SF is the best defensive team the Chiefs have faced all season. Even better than Baltimore.
Baltmore was held to 110 yards less than what SF gained in the Ravens game when SF had 5 turnovers. fumble by Flowers at the 1 yard line to change the outcome of that game.
My GOY Play.
SF ML (-130). 25 units. .
Will confirm bet on next updated injury report. Making sure Samuel, Kittle, McCaffrey and Purdy are all healthy.
May add some half-time bets(1&2) and total before game time.
It was a great season.
Thanks for all the feed back.
Best of luck to all.
public enemy insight
2023-24 Season. Year to date: 119-79. (60%) . $+9,660.00
San Francisco vs Kansas city
Lots to consider.
What happened in those games. How did they win or lose?
What were the tougher opponents up until this game?
Who was battle-tested the most all season.?
Lets compare a few,
Lions+4 beat KC in week-one in KC 21-20.
KC led 14-7 at the half.
Lions scored on a 50 yd int return to tie it up in the 3rd.
KC had 2 FG's the rest of the game. Lions scored a TD with 7 min remaining to win.
Chiefs never got close enough to win it with a fg.
SF -7 beat Detroit - but was getting run over with the Lions run game.
A second half defensive adjustment shutout Detroit in the 2nd half except for a back door TD with seconds on the clock.
Summary: Chiefs were underachieving in week one and continued to score less than the season earlier as the year went on.
SF loses toBaltimore 33-19 in week. 14. Niners had 5 int's to lose badly, More important fact was the Niners had way more yardage in the loss. SF out gained Ravens by 110 yds. Calculate that into the performance and remove the 5 turnovers and SF wins easily.
Chiefs beat Balt in Balt in a tight game 17-10. Both scores were the lowest of both teams in a playoff game. (The Week before, Ravens rolled up 34 vs Houston. But Ravens were held to only 10 points in the first half). An indicator that a better defense could possibly beat Baltimore - which KC did.
KC lost to Green Bay 19-27.
SF beat GB 24-21.
How did they get here...
Chiefs played 3 teams with winning records at the time they played during the season before the playoffs started. They got here on a fairly weak schedule.
Those teams were Miami (6-2) Jacksonville(1-0) and Philly (8-1). None of the other teams had winning records during the regular season when KC played them.
SF played 6 teams with winning records. Rams (1-0), Dallas (3-1), Jacksonville (6-2) Seattle (6-4), Philly (10-1) Balt (11-3).
Who was battle-tested the most?
Niners were 5-1 su against those teams.
Chiefs were 2-1 SU against the teams they played.
Note: SF beat Philly 42-19.
While KC lost 17-21while being shut out in the second half - with a 17-7 halftime lead.
KC lacks a good running game.
Niners have McCaffrey, who could be MVP?
Both teams have great Tight Ends but Kelce is just better.
Niners (3.8yds/Run) is better than KC(4.5).
Niners are superior on offense with #3 run game and #4 passing game while
KC is #17 running and #8 passing.
Based on level of competition - SF is better.
SF is the best defensive team the Chiefs have faced all season. Even better than Baltimore.
Baltmore was held to 110 yards less than what SF gained in the Ravens game when SF had 5 turnovers. fumble by Flowers at the 1 yard line to change the outcome of that game.
My GOY Play.
SF ML (-130). 25 units. .
Will confirm bet on next updated injury report. Making sure Samuel, Kittle, McCaffrey and Purdy are all healthy.
May add some half-time bets(1&2) and total before game time.
It was a great season.
Thanks for all the feed back.
Best of luck to all.
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