Aright,
I decided on three plays this weekend .
My hope is that I can go 2 out of 3
I am bypassing a lot of o/u plays that look really good from a trend perspective.
But I will concentrate instead on these sides:
Buffalo + 6.5 ( 3 units )
the reasons for this pick have been stated already
Next, I am picking :
Cincinnati -10.5 ( 2 units )
Now, initially I had decided to stay away from this play.
Those of you who know my picks somewhat know that I have been high on the Bengals last 2 years.
I made my pick of the year on them when they clinched their division last year against Pittsburgh.
This team has been the perennial loser of the NFL until recently.
With the unexpected return of Carson Palmer this team is flying high having played well and covering every single preseason game and beating Kansas city on the road showing how much improved their defense is becoming.
At this point in time I dare say this team is the best team in the NFL.
That may change , but now they go home to face a Cleveland team that in the past could only hope to keep up with the Bengals on the offensive side of the ball.
With the improvemnet on defense you also have a team that can score at will, use a no-hudddle offense that rivals the Buffalo Bills that went to the Super Bowl 4 years in a row and the Colts of last few years.
I am not going to sit on the sidelines watching this team go 12-4 against the spread when I predicted they would be this good.
My third play will be on Monday night.
The play will be on Jacksonville Jaguars
The amount of units I play will vary between 1-3 units.
If I lose both it will be for 1 unit.
If I go 1-1 it will be for 2 units .
If I go 2-0 it will be for 3 units.
YTD : 8-2 ( 80 % ) + 5.6 units
1-3 units is my play until I reach 10 units of profit.
I wish you all a very succesful Sunday!