the only things i look at after 2 weeks done is how many point s teams score and how many points given up plus the teams schedules also known as situational handicapping
ex ample C owboys 80 point for 60 points against +20 div by 2 weeks plus 10 ppg cowboys away at bears bears 40 points scored but 55 points allowed 15 div 2 = -7.5 ppg
cowboys favored -3.5 but seeing trap game looking ahead to defiending champs vs KC at home so think though this carefully
this just a situation i made up not really the schedule
more examples lets show the lines week 1
ahhhhhh home dog here SF - 2 .5 @ steelers early 1pm
49ers are +10 ppg pits is -2 ppg on steelers to win s/u numbers used from standings last year
hmmm ravens - 9.5 vs Texans hmmmmmmmm fade ravens period they are +2 ppg texans -8
which come out to -6 when subtracting 2 from 8 but texans might just lay off and get whipped
denv comes in at -6.5 ppg raiders -1.5 RIADERSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSS +3.5 all day
easy peazy home dog PATS +4 vs Eagles pats +1 ppg eagles +8 and trust me i know my birds vs afc teams home or away if it aint jets or steelers fade em
Patriots cover no wait win s/u ML them +140 thats m y golden ticket baby #1 home puppy
so in short stay away from coin flips
as far as injuries already figure d in by vegas
you do not what the sharps are betting on or who they are and they have to get runners to grab people off the streets to place wagers for them hey who wouldnt take $50 just to place a 2000 wager
sharps have little time to get in those monstrous bets like 5 k - 10 k per game to stay under radar
real results i hammered last year wk 1 steelers +6.5 @ cincy won s/u 23-20
falcons +5.5 home vs rival saints easy cover lost by 1 point 26-27
easy golden ticket here cowboys dog +6.5 vs bengals cincy is 0-1 s/u coming in so are boys c boys won s/u 20-17
mnf wk 3 giants -3 n ope -1 vs c boys report nyg 6 players out huh? cowboys won 23-16
n fade every team after beating on 2 or 3 cupc akes in a row like cowboys did wk 3 @ nyg mnf wk 4 home vs wash w k 5 @ rams week 6 @ eagles s +6.5 points hammered 26-17
in short it not that they won games it's who they beat
n fade teams bringing starting qb too soone off injury pats wk 7 starting mac jones vs Bears Favored MNF spread move 2 pts -7.5 to -9.5 80% consensus here on pats
i stayed off game Bears won 33 - 14 situatoinal handicapping will save you 1000's $$$ every week