Indianapolis at Baltimore: Did you know the Colts have the worst scoring offense (22.3 PPG) amongst all playoff teams and along with the Redskins they have the worst scoring defense (24.2 PPG). Indianapolis is the only team in the postseason that gives up more points than it scores. What does this mean to me? It tells us that Indy knows it can’t win a shootout on the road with the talent it has. The Colts have 11 wins and the ‘under’ went 9-2 in those games. Indy needs to control the ball and make this a low-scoring game. That’s easier said than done against a Baltimore offense that put up 30-plus in five of its eight home games this season. The Ravens’ defense is definitely a step slower but most would expect the experienced unit to give rookie QB Andrew Luck trouble. And for everybody that’s already sold on the kid, he did toss 18 interceptions and only completed 54% of his passes.
Indianapolis at Baltimore: Did you know the Colts have the worst scoring offense (22.3 PPG) amongst all playoff teams and along with the Redskins they have the worst scoring defense (24.2 PPG). Indianapolis is the only team in the postseason that gives up more points than it scores. What does this mean to me? It tells us that Indy knows it can’t win a shootout on the road with the talent it has. The Colts have 11 wins and the ‘under’ went 9-2 in those games. Indy needs to control the ball and make this a low-scoring game. That’s easier said than done against a Baltimore offense that put up 30-plus in five of its eight home games this season. The Ravens’ defense is definitely a step slower but most would expect the experienced unit to give rookie QB Andrew Luck trouble. And for everybody that’s already sold on the kid, he did toss 18 interceptions and only completed 54% of his passes.
According to the below table, the ‘under’ has produced an 18-14 (57%) record in the first round of the playoffs the last eight seasons, but the 'over' went 3-1 in last year’s playoffs. Will we see the ‘under’ bounce back this weekend? There are some things to take into consideration. For starters, every total in this year’s first round is listed at 43 points or above. It might not seem like a big deal, but that hasn’t happened since 2004 and you could argue that these numbers might be inflated.
According to the below table, the ‘under’ has produced an 18-14 (57%) record in the first round of the playoffs the last eight seasons, but the 'over' went 3-1 in last year’s playoffs. Will we see the ‘under’ bounce back this weekend? There are some things to take into consideration. For starters, every total in this year’s first round is listed at 43 points or above. It might not seem like a big deal, but that hasn’t happened since 2004 and you could argue that these numbers might be inflated.
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