2012-2013 playoffs. Home teams were 3-1 ats (the final Sunday night game the dog covered)
2011-2012 playoffs. Home teams were 3-1 ats (the final Sunday night game the dog covered)
*i believe same numbers SU but ill have to go back and check
now I'm not saying this will happen again.....
But it is important to point out how crucial home field advantage is during the playoffs.
Have we seen KC in a dome? Will NO persevere through the outdoor elements Sunday night in Philly? Will the chargers give cincy their first home loss all season?
The only home team I have not covering on my card is GB
2012-2013 playoffs. Home teams were 3-1 ats (the final Sunday night game the dog covered)
2011-2012 playoffs. Home teams were 3-1 ats (the final Sunday night game the dog covered)
*i believe same numbers SU but ill have to go back and check
now I'm not saying this will happen again.....
But it is important to point out how crucial home field advantage is during the playoffs.
Have we seen KC in a dome? Will NO persevere through the outdoor elements Sunday night in Philly? Will the chargers give cincy their first home loss all season?
The only home team I have not covering on my card is GB
I do think the Saints can pull off a win on the road though. In recent history, no matter how good they are playing, I would never hesitate to go against the Saints, but the key difference here is the Saints really struggle against real physical hard nosed kind of teams that run, run, run, and chew up clock. Teams with tough physical defenses.
Now I'm not saying Philly are totally soft. And I'm not saying they can't line up and run the ball. But its a different kind of running game. Lots of shotgun, spread em out kind of runs and an uptempo offense. So yea, they will get their yards on the ground, but I don't believe its a physical CRUSH the saints front 7, wear them down, and hold the ball for 36 minute kind of attack. Also, as good as Foles has been, he has had some rough stretches where pressure has rattled him for almost entire games. The Saints defense is gonna bring a lot of pressure and coupled with him being young and in his first playoff game.....where Brees is a big game veteran.....I think the Saints can pull this game off.
SF my brain wants to take, but I think GB being at home could be a huge advantage. Every stat, every angle says SF is the play, but something in me has kept me away from actually making the play where I already locked up Cincy -6.5, Indy -2.5, and NO +3. Green Bays defense HAS to play though. They have always been a bend, but don't break kind of D with Capers, but if they don't force a couple turnovers, its full blown BREAK the last couple years. Kap has been quiet with his run option stuff that was so devastating late last year and either Harbaugh and company scrapped it, or he's a mad genius waiting for the playoffs to unleash it again. Who better than to start it against than the team they have destroyed with if a couple games in recent history?? But if GB can play the middle Gore ground game well, and their ends can keep contain early in the game, they can possibly hold SF just enough for a-rod to win it with 24-27 points.
On the flip side, I'm a little worried about Rodgers and his injury. He's still pretty delicate at this point, and SF's defense is vicious bringing pressure unlike the bears on Sunday. They are gonna hit him and hit him a lot. I'm not saying they are gonna re-injure Rodgers, but 4-5 hits early can really have him THINKING about that collarbone so that worries me. If you asked me Sunday, I would have said 2.5 or less and I pound SF without thinking, but now its here, and I'm hesitant. This might be a game I pass on and just root GB(I love A-Rod and think any future NFC games are a lot more interesting the pack are in whether I'm tailing or fading).
I do think the Saints can pull off a win on the road though. In recent history, no matter how good they are playing, I would never hesitate to go against the Saints, but the key difference here is the Saints really struggle against real physical hard nosed kind of teams that run, run, run, and chew up clock. Teams with tough physical defenses.
Now I'm not saying Philly are totally soft. And I'm not saying they can't line up and run the ball. But its a different kind of running game. Lots of shotgun, spread em out kind of runs and an uptempo offense. So yea, they will get their yards on the ground, but I don't believe its a physical CRUSH the saints front 7, wear them down, and hold the ball for 36 minute kind of attack. Also, as good as Foles has been, he has had some rough stretches where pressure has rattled him for almost entire games. The Saints defense is gonna bring a lot of pressure and coupled with him being young and in his first playoff game.....where Brees is a big game veteran.....I think the Saints can pull this game off.
SF my brain wants to take, but I think GB being at home could be a huge advantage. Every stat, every angle says SF is the play, but something in me has kept me away from actually making the play where I already locked up Cincy -6.5, Indy -2.5, and NO +3. Green Bays defense HAS to play though. They have always been a bend, but don't break kind of D with Capers, but if they don't force a couple turnovers, its full blown BREAK the last couple years. Kap has been quiet with his run option stuff that was so devastating late last year and either Harbaugh and company scrapped it, or he's a mad genius waiting for the playoffs to unleash it again. Who better than to start it against than the team they have destroyed with if a couple games in recent history?? But if GB can play the middle Gore ground game well, and their ends can keep contain early in the game, they can possibly hold SF just enough for a-rod to win it with 24-27 points.
On the flip side, I'm a little worried about Rodgers and his injury. He's still pretty delicate at this point, and SF's defense is vicious bringing pressure unlike the bears on Sunday. They are gonna hit him and hit him a lot. I'm not saying they are gonna re-injure Rodgers, but 4-5 hits early can really have him THINKING about that collarbone so that worries me. If you asked me Sunday, I would have said 2.5 or less and I pound SF without thinking, but now its here, and I'm hesitant. This might be a game I pass on and just root GB(I love A-Rod and think any future NFC games are a lot more interesting the pack are in whether I'm tailing or fading).
I'm surprised so few have picked up on this trend... in particular, the obvious teams won the first 3 games in Wildcard weekend, and the then the late game Sunday flipped it around...
Not to say it has no merit, but I can tell you this weekends games are quite easy, for at least 3 of them:
Colts, Saints and 49ers will all cover! Just lay off the Cincy-SD game or bet SD if you can get 7.5... those picks will win money!
I'm surprised so few have picked up on this trend... in particular, the obvious teams won the first 3 games in Wildcard weekend, and the then the late game Sunday flipped it around...
Not to say it has no merit, but I can tell you this weekends games are quite easy, for at least 3 of them:
Colts, Saints and 49ers will all cover! Just lay off the Cincy-SD game or bet SD if you can get 7.5... those picks will win money!
Laying 7 points is a lot for a Bengal team who has never won a playoff game under Marvin Lewis..... But they have been dominate at home, I'm still torn on that one.
I really like the eagles due to historical matchup trends and the outdoor weather.... Kickoff is at 8pm.... It will be a cold one.
Laying 7 points is a lot for a Bengal team who has never won a playoff game under Marvin Lewis..... But they have been dominate at home, I'm still torn on that one.
I really like the eagles due to historical matchup trends and the outdoor weather.... Kickoff is at 8pm.... It will be a cold one.
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