So I am bored at work and just figured I'd put my two cents in, even though no body will probably read this.
If I were going to bet on this game which I am not, I'd take the Baltimore Ravens.
This Ravens team and the lines throughout the playoffs are so similar to the NY Giants two trips and wins in the super bowl its not even funny.
As a local New Jersey resident, I followed the NY Giants closely when they made their runs. During the regular season the team had many hiccups and struggled with injuries. However, as the playoffs began, the team got healthy at the right time, the Defense gelled, and the offense started to click.
This phenomena was overlooked by many as the Giants in 2007 were 14 pt dogs in the super bowl versus the patriots and then last year were I believe 4 pts underdogs just like the Ravens this year. The Giants were also underdogs throughout their entire run (I truly believe there is value in finding a dog you think can make a run in the playoffs and taking a small wager and letting it ride at the start of the playoffs).
I am not betting on the Ravens because the only bet worth for me making is at least 1k on the spread or ML, however, this game IMO could come down to a turnover, such as a dropped punt so I won't be putting my money down. (I only have an online book and the fees involved with withdrawing make it so only large wagers are worth it).
However, the Ravens are just to eerily similar to the NY Giants, and trust me I rode those bastards a long way and made my best score in sports betting ever trusting my instinct and going against public opinion. The public has hated this Ravens team during the regular season and during the playoffs. How can a team be 8 pt underdogs and win 28-13.
If you are worried about the outcome and still need to bet, I'd take the Ravens, history told you so.
So I am bored at work and just figured I'd put my two cents in, even though no body will probably read this.
If I were going to bet on this game which I am not, I'd take the Baltimore Ravens.
This Ravens team and the lines throughout the playoffs are so similar to the NY Giants two trips and wins in the super bowl its not even funny.
As a local New Jersey resident, I followed the NY Giants closely when they made their runs. During the regular season the team had many hiccups and struggled with injuries. However, as the playoffs began, the team got healthy at the right time, the Defense gelled, and the offense started to click.
This phenomena was overlooked by many as the Giants in 2007 were 14 pt dogs in the super bowl versus the patriots and then last year were I believe 4 pts underdogs just like the Ravens this year. The Giants were also underdogs throughout their entire run (I truly believe there is value in finding a dog you think can make a run in the playoffs and taking a small wager and letting it ride at the start of the playoffs).
I am not betting on the Ravens because the only bet worth for me making is at least 1k on the spread or ML, however, this game IMO could come down to a turnover, such as a dropped punt so I won't be putting my money down. (I only have an online book and the fees involved with withdrawing make it so only large wagers are worth it).
However, the Ravens are just to eerily similar to the NY Giants, and trust me I rode those bastards a long way and made my best score in sports betting ever trusting my instinct and going against public opinion. The public has hated this Ravens team during the regular season and during the playoffs. How can a team be 8 pt underdogs and win 28-13.
If you are worried about the outcome and still need to bet, I'd take the Ravens, history told you so.
the difference is the 49ers are not the same type of favorite that the Giants faced in the super bowl each time being the Goliath Patriots.......this time the Ravens are the public darlings and everyone is for the most part betting on them at a 60% clip
the difference is the 49ers are not the same type of favorite that the Giants faced in the super bowl each time being the Goliath Patriots.......this time the Ravens are the public darlings and everyone is for the most part betting on them at a 60% clip
In my opinion the publis is in love with the Ravens and everyone is thinking along the same lines as yourself and comparing them to the Giants. In fact that is what worries me most and I keep 2nd quessing myself saying "are the ravens last years giants?". But like stated by luckyhands this is an entirely different situation. First off the Giants where the better team getting points vs the always overrated Pats. Second Everyone loved the almighty Patriots (fav). This year its completely different because the majority is betting the dog getting points and Vegas is not backing down. Either way this game is a coinflip. Not confident at all but I am going with niners.
In my opinion the publis is in love with the Ravens and everyone is thinking along the same lines as yourself and comparing them to the Giants. In fact that is what worries me most and I keep 2nd quessing myself saying "are the ravens last years giants?". But like stated by luckyhands this is an entirely different situation. First off the Giants where the better team getting points vs the always overrated Pats. Second Everyone loved the almighty Patriots (fav). This year its completely different because the majority is betting the dog getting points and Vegas is not backing down. Either way this game is a coinflip. Not confident at all but I am going with niners.
I mean in all honesty no one should be betting this game. Vegas will make money just taking in bets and the vig. It's only logical, however, if the line opens at 5, for people to take Ravens plus 5 and then as it moves closer to -3.5 for people to take the 49ers.
I did not however ever seen the line at 5 at my online book as it opened at 4 and has pretty much not moved.
Anyway as I think about these two teams there really is no reason to love either of them.
The Ravens were down 7 pts to the broncos and converted a 3rd and long to stay alive and then threw that hail mary that 90 percent of the time should not have been converted. I am not in love with them at all.
The 49ers also have shown great weakness in domes. I watched the Rams go toe to toe with them. The Falcons also could have beaten them, Ryan's int and their inability to convert in the red zone on the last drive is the reason they are in.
I actually really hate both sides, hence why I am not betting. My gut, however, would just ride with the odds and underdogs biting hard. As I write this though I am actually becoming interested in the under, as I could see a defensive battle in a championship game.
I mean in all honesty no one should be betting this game. Vegas will make money just taking in bets and the vig. It's only logical, however, if the line opens at 5, for people to take Ravens plus 5 and then as it moves closer to -3.5 for people to take the 49ers.
I did not however ever seen the line at 5 at my online book as it opened at 4 and has pretty much not moved.
Anyway as I think about these two teams there really is no reason to love either of them.
The Ravens were down 7 pts to the broncos and converted a 3rd and long to stay alive and then threw that hail mary that 90 percent of the time should not have been converted. I am not in love with them at all.
The 49ers also have shown great weakness in domes. I watched the Rams go toe to toe with them. The Falcons also could have beaten them, Ryan's int and their inability to convert in the red zone on the last drive is the reason they are in.
I actually really hate both sides, hence why I am not betting. My gut, however, would just ride with the odds and underdogs biting hard. As I write this though I am actually becoming interested in the under, as I could see a defensive battle in a championship game.
I mean in all honesty no one should be betting this game. Vegas will make money just taking in bets and the vig. It's only logical, however, if the line opens at 5, for people to take Ravens plus 5 and then as it moves closer to -3.5 for people to take the 49ers.
I did not however ever seen the line at 5 at my online book as it opened at 4 and has pretty much not moved.
Anyway as I think about these two teams there really is no reason to love either of them.
The Ravens were down 7 pts to the broncos and converted a 3rd and long to stay alive and then threw that hail mary that 90 percent of the time should not have been converted. I am not in love with them at all.
The 49ers also have shown great weakness in domes. I watched the Rams go toe to toe with them. The Falcons also could have beaten them, Ryan's int and their inability to convert in the red zone on the last drive is the reason they are in.
I actually really hate both sides, hence why I am not betting. My gut, however, would just ride with the odds and underdogs biting hard. As I write this though I am actually becoming interested in the under, as I could see a defensive battle in a championship game.
This I strongly agree with. If it wasnt the Super Bowl I wouldnt bet it, maybe small play on the Under. But its the SUPER BOWL and Im going big just because I can and dont bet on any other sports. Its not proper money managament but the way I look at it is I am up on the year no matter what and I am going out with a bang. But you are 100% correct there is no right pick so no one should be confident or talking trash like many are.
I mean in all honesty no one should be betting this game. Vegas will make money just taking in bets and the vig. It's only logical, however, if the line opens at 5, for people to take Ravens plus 5 and then as it moves closer to -3.5 for people to take the 49ers.
I did not however ever seen the line at 5 at my online book as it opened at 4 and has pretty much not moved.
Anyway as I think about these two teams there really is no reason to love either of them.
The Ravens were down 7 pts to the broncos and converted a 3rd and long to stay alive and then threw that hail mary that 90 percent of the time should not have been converted. I am not in love with them at all.
The 49ers also have shown great weakness in domes. I watched the Rams go toe to toe with them. The Falcons also could have beaten them, Ryan's int and their inability to convert in the red zone on the last drive is the reason they are in.
I actually really hate both sides, hence why I am not betting. My gut, however, would just ride with the odds and underdogs biting hard. As I write this though I am actually becoming interested in the under, as I could see a defensive battle in a championship game.
This I strongly agree with. If it wasnt the Super Bowl I wouldnt bet it, maybe small play on the Under. But its the SUPER BOWL and Im going big just because I can and dont bet on any other sports. Its not proper money managament but the way I look at it is I am up on the year no matter what and I am going out with a bang. But you are 100% correct there is no right pick so no one should be confident or talking trash like many are.
there will be at least twice as many people making bets on Balt (+4) as there will on SF (-4)... first of all! that does not saying anything about the dollars bet... just the number of bets!
there will probably be 5 to 10 times as many bets on Balt ML as there will on SF ML... and almost certainly the ML bets will not equate to an even handle or payout for both sides...
these are two realities that cannot be successfully denied...
there will be at least twice as many people making bets on Balt (+4) as there will on SF (-4)... first of all! that does not saying anything about the dollars bet... just the number of bets!
there will probably be 5 to 10 times as many bets on Balt ML as there will on SF ML... and almost certainly the ML bets will not equate to an even handle or payout for both sides...
these are two realities that cannot be successfully denied...
This Ravens team and the lines throughout the playoffs are so similar to the NY Giants two trips and wins in the super bowl its not even funny.
As a local New Jersey resident, I followed the NY Giants closely when they made their runs. During the regular season the team had many hiccups and struggled with injuries. However, as the playoffs began, the team got healthy at the right time, the Defense gelled, and the offense started to click.
This Ravens team and the lines throughout the playoffs are so similar to the NY Giants two trips and wins in the super bowl its not even funny.
As a local New Jersey resident, I followed the NY Giants closely when they made their runs. During the regular season the team had many hiccups and struggled with injuries. However, as the playoffs began, the team got healthy at the right time, the Defense gelled, and the offense started to click.
In fact that is what worries me most and I keep 2nd quessing myself saying "are the ravens last years giants?". But like stated by luckyhands this is an entirely different situation.
Not entirely different.. but i do agree that this Niners team is a very good team on both sides of the ball, unlike the Pats of before.
In fact that is what worries me most and I keep 2nd quessing myself saying "are the ravens last years giants?". But like stated by luckyhands this is an entirely different situation.
Not entirely different.. but i do agree that this Niners team is a very good team on both sides of the ball, unlike the Pats of before.
ice4blood---you do make an intersting point that I have never really thought about in that the bets made and the dollar amounts do not have to equal in the slightess.
IMO if there are any similarities between these past few super bowls, it will probably take precedent in the total points scored. I have long said that championship games tend to become defensive battles, such as the 2011 BCS Championship last year between the Ducks and Auburn....they set that total in the 60s and the final score was 22-19.
I feel as if the public is watching these two teams put up 28-35 points a game and must be dying to put bets on the over, which is so nicely set at 47 or 47.5... I'd expect at least 51.
Anyway these teams may be amped up and when nerves come in play the 1st quarter could be low scoring. These are also two power house defenses Ravens just held pats to 13 (even though Pats definately could have put more points up).
Would not be suprised when people are shocked to see a low scoring 21-17 type game. Just like last years super bowl.
ice4blood---you do make an intersting point that I have never really thought about in that the bets made and the dollar amounts do not have to equal in the slightess.
IMO if there are any similarities between these past few super bowls, it will probably take precedent in the total points scored. I have long said that championship games tend to become defensive battles, such as the 2011 BCS Championship last year between the Ducks and Auburn....they set that total in the 60s and the final score was 22-19.
I feel as if the public is watching these two teams put up 28-35 points a game and must be dying to put bets on the over, which is so nicely set at 47 or 47.5... I'd expect at least 51.
Anyway these teams may be amped up and when nerves come in play the 1st quarter could be low scoring. These are also two power house defenses Ravens just held pats to 13 (even though Pats definately could have put more points up).
Would not be suprised when people are shocked to see a low scoring 21-17 type game. Just like last years super bowl.
Mkuhi.....The 49'ers defense has been suspect almost all the playoffs (mostly last two games) What makes you think they can hold the Ravens to 3 scores? Everything I have watched from both Ravens offense and 49'ers D tells me that Ravens will put up around 24-28. 9'ers will get there share too even though I firmly believe the Ravens D is better. So I'm thinking Ravens absolute minimum of 21 points and 49'ers absolute minimum of 17.....thats 38 right there if game is very slow paced and neither offense can get clicking. Very small chance this happens IMO. That why I think under money is not the right side
Mkuhi.....The 49'ers defense has been suspect almost all the playoffs (mostly last two games) What makes you think they can hold the Ravens to 3 scores? Everything I have watched from both Ravens offense and 49'ers D tells me that Ravens will put up around 24-28. 9'ers will get there share too even though I firmly believe the Ravens D is better. So I'm thinking Ravens absolute minimum of 21 points and 49'ers absolute minimum of 17.....thats 38 right there if game is very slow paced and neither offense can get clicking. Very small chance this happens IMO. That why I think under money is not the right side
Vegas I agree that the over seems the way to go. But with your logic why set total at 48 and drop it to 47. Just seems vegas looking to make its money in the total. I can't see them caring who wins as imo its a toss up. Perhaps one team gets a lead and is mot aggressive and runs more I dono. I'd think the over was easy in ne game and it was not.
Vegas I agree that the over seems the way to go. But with your logic why set total at 48 and drop it to 47. Just seems vegas looking to make its money in the total. I can't see them caring who wins as imo its a toss up. Perhaps one team gets a lead and is mot aggressive and runs more I dono. I'd think the over was easy in ne game and it was not.
Again Im an ubiased observer the only bet I got is my boxes 3 and 5 blah. And my boss likes the over so I may just bet him 50 to haveaction but the line he is getting from me is 51
Again Im an ubiased observer the only bet I got is my boxes 3 and 5 blah. And my boss likes the over so I may just bet him 50 to haveaction but the line he is getting from me is 51
Mkuhi.....The 49'ers defense has been suspect almost all the playoffs (mostly last two games) What makes you think they can hold the Ravens to 3 scores? Everything I have watched from both Ravens offense and 49'ers D tells me that Ravens will put up around 24-28. 9'ers will get there share too even though I firmly believe the Ravens D is better. So I'm thinking Ravens absolute minimum of 21 points and 49'ers absolute minimum of 17.....thats 38 right there if game is very slow paced and neither offense can get clicking. Very small chance this happens IMO. That why I think under money is not the right side
ravens defense is not better at any position ur a moron
Mkuhi.....The 49'ers defense has been suspect almost all the playoffs (mostly last two games) What makes you think they can hold the Ravens to 3 scores? Everything I have watched from both Ravens offense and 49'ers D tells me that Ravens will put up around 24-28. 9'ers will get there share too even though I firmly believe the Ravens D is better. So I'm thinking Ravens absolute minimum of 21 points and 49'ers absolute minimum of 17.....thats 38 right there if game is very slow paced and neither offense can get clicking. Very small chance this happens IMO. That why I think under money is not the right side
ravens defense is not better at any position ur a moron
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