It is possible to observe the movement or lack of movement to determine the outcome. Not that its 100%, but I sure hope so this particular week.
My line of thinking is that the NFL is very difficult to handicap as it appears that one flag, one T/O, one change of momentum can swing the outcome, one bad defensive play, poor clock management or a poor choice by a coach can allow a back door cover.
The reality is that with so many variables that cannot be calculated into the equation, how can a thorough examination of teams truly predict the outcome ?
The perfect sport for TV that keeps most of us hanging on to the end of the game.
I've seen many a great prognosticator make great write-ups that appear to give you the side only to see a completely different result. That is the one thing about the NFL --- that you can make a case very easily and then be surprised later.
This is the reason I've gone to studying point spreads years ago to gain an edge in the outcome. It is as good as any method that I've come across and has taken a lot of refining & studying to completely comprehend and use it as a tool.
In following the pt spread I see the sides that will give you
the best edge.
The best edge in these games are to be on the sides of :
Houston -4
Detroit +10.5
Atlanta +3
As far as Pittsburgh / Denver goes there is no evidence at the moment to persuade a side. My personal lean is Pittsburgh to create an even split of two home teams covering, two Favs covering.
Good luck in whichever sides you choose. Stay within your range and don't overload on the weekend. Remember that we have 3 rounds before the SB and the whole idea is to just get an edge in each round. TC
It is possible to observe the movement or lack of movement to determine the outcome. Not that its 100%, but I sure hope so this particular week.
My line of thinking is that the NFL is very difficult to handicap as it appears that one flag, one T/O, one change of momentum can swing the outcome, one bad defensive play, poor clock management or a poor choice by a coach can allow a back door cover.
The reality is that with so many variables that cannot be calculated into the equation, how can a thorough examination of teams truly predict the outcome ?
The perfect sport for TV that keeps most of us hanging on to the end of the game.
I've seen many a great prognosticator make great write-ups that appear to give you the side only to see a completely different result. That is the one thing about the NFL --- that you can make a case very easily and then be surprised later.
This is the reason I've gone to studying point spreads years ago to gain an edge in the outcome. It is as good as any method that I've come across and has taken a lot of refining & studying to completely comprehend and use it as a tool.
In following the pt spread I see the sides that will give you
the best edge.
The best edge in these games are to be on the sides of :
Houston -4
Detroit +10.5
Atlanta +3
As far as Pittsburgh / Denver goes there is no evidence at the moment to persuade a side. My personal lean is Pittsburgh to create an even split of two home teams covering, two Favs covering.
Good luck in whichever sides you choose. Stay within your range and don't overload on the weekend. Remember that we have 3 rounds before the SB and the whole idea is to just get an edge in each round. TC
NFL Playoff record posting sides is 2-2 although I did make a comment last year in the thread that the line showed that I was on the wrong side of one game .
I should have followed more intensely my own methods of line study, but let my head , heart or actual handicapping study persuade me differently on the Pitt / Balt game and suffered a tough loss after a big lead on that one. TC
NFL Playoff record posting sides is 2-2 although I did make a comment last year in the thread that the line showed that I was on the wrong side of one game .
I should have followed more intensely my own methods of line study, but let my head , heart or actual handicapping study persuade me differently on the Pitt / Balt game and suffered a tough loss after a big lead on that one. TC
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