I'm staying away from Broncos/Bills, too much of a toss up and in Buffalo too? Not a game I would pick to bet.
Love the Giants. (I am from Chicago and die hard Bears fan). Bears are bad. We have 2 Highschool QB's, a beaten up, tired Defense and a coach who cant call plays to save his life.
Im on Seattle as well in a parlay
Im actually on the Jets and parlayed it with cowboys ML as well.
Good luck to you
I'm staying away from Broncos/Bills, too much of a toss up and in Buffalo too? Not a game I would pick to bet.
Love the Giants. (I am from Chicago and die hard Bears fan). Bears are bad. We have 2 Highschool QB's, a beaten up, tired Defense and a coach who cant call plays to save his life.
Im on Seattle as well in a parlay
Im actually on the Jets and parlayed it with cowboys ML as well.
Good luck to you
All good but Dallas. The reason why Dallas matchup vs the Patriots sucks is because Dallas relies too much on Amari Cooper. It is Zeke, and if Zeke can´t find it, plan B is always Dak to Amari.
And Mr. Cooper will have the best cornerback in football stuck to him all day. That enables Bellichick to crowd the box and dare Dak to win it. Spoiler: Dak can´t win it.
Additionally, the Cowboys have been burned recently by the Staffordless Lions and by the Vikings. What the fuck can that defense do to stop the GOAT?
Easiest game in the card
All good but Dallas. The reason why Dallas matchup vs the Patriots sucks is because Dallas relies too much on Amari Cooper. It is Zeke, and if Zeke can´t find it, plan B is always Dak to Amari.
And Mr. Cooper will have the best cornerback in football stuck to him all day. That enables Bellichick to crowd the box and dare Dak to win it. Spoiler: Dak can´t win it.
Additionally, the Cowboys have been burned recently by the Staffordless Lions and by the Vikings. What the fuck can that defense do to stop the GOAT?
Easiest game in the card
yep..good summation.. NE wins it..and covers
yep..good summation.. NE wins it..and covers
Because they beat the BEARS by a TD? Or because they beat the BILLS in that game that featured 20-30MPH winds?
Im not saying that their defense isnt improving and its definitely one of the better defenses NE has faced this year.
But certainly doesn't change my opinion on this game. I love Dallas.
Because they beat the BEARS by a TD? Or because they beat the BILLS in that game that featured 20-30MPH winds?
Im not saying that their defense isnt improving and its definitely one of the better defenses NE has faced this year.
But certainly doesn't change my opinion on this game. I love Dallas.
Two words refute your entire argument, and I am dead serious:
Isaiah Wynn
Here are the stats of the LT he is replacing:
Newhouse - 7 sacks, 13 QB hits, 9 pressures, 3 holds
Two words refute your entire argument, and I am dead serious:
Isaiah Wynn
Here are the stats of the LT he is replacing:
Newhouse - 7 sacks, 13 QB hits, 9 pressures, 3 holds
You are spot on Donkey. Huge impact for NE offense. But Dallas D should be able to put more pressure on Brady than a lot of previous teams they have faced.
LVE is not playing for Dallas, which is a good thing. He has been a liability this year and has been playing injured. Hopefully Sean Lee can hang.
Also, my play on Dallas has a little more to do with Dallas offense putting up points and being able to hang versus betting that NE offense can't score points on them.
You are spot on Donkey. Huge impact for NE offense. But Dallas D should be able to put more pressure on Brady than a lot of previous teams they have faced.
LVE is not playing for Dallas, which is a good thing. He has been a liability this year and has been playing injured. Hopefully Sean Lee can hang.
Also, my play on Dallas has a little more to do with Dallas offense putting up points and being able to hang versus betting that NE offense can't score points on them.
Obviously, I HATE siding with the biggest clown in the league, Jason Garrett over Bill Belichick.
But I trust the Dallas offense here. NE has struggled (albeit, lightly) against the run. And Dallas has TONS of downfield threats....again, to go against the original poster who says they JUST rely on Amari Cooper.
Dallas always loses a game it shouldnt (see JETS) and wins a game or two they shouldn't, then everyone talks SUPER BOWL!! then they lose again to a team they shouldnt.
Just saying...they will be up for this game and a real shot they win SU. The Patriots are not invincible.
Obviously, I HATE siding with the biggest clown in the league, Jason Garrett over Bill Belichick.
But I trust the Dallas offense here. NE has struggled (albeit, lightly) against the run. And Dallas has TONS of downfield threats....again, to go against the original poster who says they JUST rely on Amari Cooper.
Dallas always loses a game it shouldnt (see JETS) and wins a game or two they shouldn't, then everyone talks SUPER BOWL!! then they lose again to a team they shouldnt.
Just saying...they will be up for this game and a real shot they win SU. The Patriots are not invincible.
@Nikos_Greekos
Patriots at home, dating back to 10/22/17 (nearly 3 years)
SU: 17-0
ATS: 13-4
When spread has Pats between 4-11 point favorites: 9-0 ATS
Dallas away games this season:
ATS 3-2 (favored in all of them)
SU 3-2
Teams DAL played AWAY and points they put up and what (their opp average ppg they give up)
WAS 31 (25.3, 11th to last)
NOR 10 (19.9, 12th in league, best defense they have faced on road)
NYJ 22 (25.5, 9th to last)
NYG 37 (28.9, 2nd to last)
DET 35 (27.2, 6th to last)
The Patriots ppg given up on the season? 10.8 (1st)
The Patriots ppg given up at home this season? 11.0
Their average ppg scored this season in parens:
PIT 3 (20)
NYJ 14 (16.4)
NYG 14 (20)
CLE 13 (19.2)
AVG 11.0
DAL ?? (28.6)
Should be a good test and good game, either way BOL
@Nikos_Greekos
Patriots at home, dating back to 10/22/17 (nearly 3 years)
SU: 17-0
ATS: 13-4
When spread has Pats between 4-11 point favorites: 9-0 ATS
Dallas away games this season:
ATS 3-2 (favored in all of them)
SU 3-2
Teams DAL played AWAY and points they put up and what (their opp average ppg they give up)
WAS 31 (25.3, 11th to last)
NOR 10 (19.9, 12th in league, best defense they have faced on road)
NYJ 22 (25.5, 9th to last)
NYG 37 (28.9, 2nd to last)
DET 35 (27.2, 6th to last)
The Patriots ppg given up on the season? 10.8 (1st)
The Patriots ppg given up at home this season? 11.0
Their average ppg scored this season in parens:
PIT 3 (20)
NYJ 14 (16.4)
NYG 14 (20)
CLE 13 (19.2)
AVG 11.0
DAL ?? (28.6)
Should be a good test and good game, either way BOL
I think if New England can have a clean game (no turnovers, #1 in league in turnover margin), they win easily. If Brady throws a pick and there is a fumble, its anybodies game.
Dallas for the record is 18th in the league in turnover margin -0.1 (-0.3 last 3 games)
NEP +1.8 (+1.3 last 3)
I think if New England can have a clean game (no turnovers, #1 in league in turnover margin), they win easily. If Brady throws a pick and there is a fumble, its anybodies game.
Dallas for the record is 18th in the league in turnover margin -0.1 (-0.3 last 3 games)
NEP +1.8 (+1.3 last 3)
@Nikkos_Greekos
Thanks for tuning in, replying and opening the debate. I will gladly rebutt what you state, which I may sum up as "It is not true that Amari Cooper is crucial for Dallas" (I cannot copy your whole post or my post would already be 3k words).
I give you one thing. Gallup has been very solid, and I cannot dispute that.
However, regarding Cooper, you are pointing one single game. One exception. And the reason why Amari Cooper played a bad game was not because of his injury, but because of Darius Slay. Gallup and Cobb had some of the softest possible matcups against the other 2 Lions CBs. Even with this absurd matchup differential, Dak still threw the ball to Amari Cooper 8 goddamn times and he was owned by Slay allowing only 3 receptions. This shows, Dak does have a habit of looking automatically for Cooper.
Gallup and Cobb indeed had Season games. That is the absolute best they will ever have. I think there are two factors you are not pondering. Detroit´s secondary when you count out Slay (who did his job vs Cooper) may very well be the worst in the NFL (at least according to PFF). This time Gallup will be against Jason McCourty and Cobb against Jonathan Jones. Those two guys are exponentially better than the Lions´ cornerbacks.
And the second point and which may be even stronger is: the Lions are amongst the bottom tier defenses in terms of pressuring the QB. They have 20 sacks and NE has 37. Less time, means it will be harder for Gallup to get open (which adds to that it was already going to be harder having the Pats CBs covering him. So your 3rd and long situations will become horrible.
@Nikkos_Greekos
Thanks for tuning in, replying and opening the debate. I will gladly rebutt what you state, which I may sum up as "It is not true that Amari Cooper is crucial for Dallas" (I cannot copy your whole post or my post would already be 3k words).
I give you one thing. Gallup has been very solid, and I cannot dispute that.
However, regarding Cooper, you are pointing one single game. One exception. And the reason why Amari Cooper played a bad game was not because of his injury, but because of Darius Slay. Gallup and Cobb had some of the softest possible matcups against the other 2 Lions CBs. Even with this absurd matchup differential, Dak still threw the ball to Amari Cooper 8 goddamn times and he was owned by Slay allowing only 3 receptions. This shows, Dak does have a habit of looking automatically for Cooper.
Gallup and Cobb indeed had Season games. That is the absolute best they will ever have. I think there are two factors you are not pondering. Detroit´s secondary when you count out Slay (who did his job vs Cooper) may very well be the worst in the NFL (at least according to PFF). This time Gallup will be against Jason McCourty and Cobb against Jonathan Jones. Those two guys are exponentially better than the Lions´ cornerbacks.
And the second point and which may be even stronger is: the Lions are amongst the bottom tier defenses in terms of pressuring the QB. They have 20 sacks and NE has 37. Less time, means it will be harder for Gallup to get open (which adds to that it was already going to be harder having the Pats CBs covering him. So your 3rd and long situations will become horrible.
I gave you a pass the first time I read this, how is their best defensive player being declared OUT a good thing?
I gave you a pass the first time I read this, how is their best defensive player being declared OUT a good thing?
Indeed he did...27-47-1 for 276 yards and 0 tds...Pitts ran 13 times for 32 yards...they could move the ball in the air but they only scored 3 against that stout Pats' D.
Indeed he did...27-47-1 for 276 yards and 0 tds...Pitts ran 13 times for 32 yards...they could move the ball in the air but they only scored 3 against that stout Pats' D.
I also do concur & I will chime in & 2nd that summation
I also do concur & I will chime in & 2nd that summation
Colins prediction for Dallas in his own words:
"Guys this is not a shootout game. This is going to be low scoring game!... Prediction 32:23"
I think that says it all.
Colins prediction for Dallas in his own words:
"Guys this is not a shootout game. This is going to be low scoring game!... Prediction 32:23"
I think that says it all.
@Nikos_Greekos
Patriots at home, dating back to 10/22/17 (nearly 3 years)
SU: 17-0
ATS: 13-4
When spread has Pats between 4-11 point favorites: 9-0 ATS
Dallas away games this season:
ATS 3-2 (favored in all of them)
SU 3-2
Teams DAL played AWAY and points they put up and what (their opp average ppg they give up)
WAS 31 (25.3, 11th to last)
NOR 10 (19.9, 12th in league, best defense they have faced on road)
NYJ 22 (25.5, 9th to last)
NYG 37 (28.9, 2nd to last)
DET 35 (27.2, 6th to last)
The Patriots ppg given up on the season? 10.8 (1st)
The Patriots ppg given up at home this season? 11.0
Their average ppg scored this season in parens:
PIT 3 (20)
NYJ 14 (16.4)
NYG 14 (20)
CLE 13 (19.2)
AVG 11.0
DAL ?? (28.6)
Should be a good test and good game, either way BOL
@Nikos_Greekos
Patriots at home, dating back to 10/22/17 (nearly 3 years)
SU: 17-0
ATS: 13-4
When spread has Pats between 4-11 point favorites: 9-0 ATS
Dallas away games this season:
ATS 3-2 (favored in all of them)
SU 3-2
Teams DAL played AWAY and points they put up and what (their opp average ppg they give up)
WAS 31 (25.3, 11th to last)
NOR 10 (19.9, 12th in league, best defense they have faced on road)
NYJ 22 (25.5, 9th to last)
NYG 37 (28.9, 2nd to last)
DET 35 (27.2, 6th to last)
The Patriots ppg given up on the season? 10.8 (1st)
The Patriots ppg given up at home this season? 11.0
Their average ppg scored this season in parens:
PIT 3 (20)
NYJ 14 (16.4)
NYG 14 (20)
CLE 13 (19.2)
AVG 11.0
DAL ?? (28.6)
Should be a good test and good game, either way BOL
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