Can't believe it's already the 3rd year of me doing this. Hopefully this season will go better than last year. Had the Pats vs. the Cowboys in the Super Bowl I believe. As usual, thoughts, comments, and insults are more than welcome.
AFC EAST
New England Patriots 11-5
Much easier schedule than last year. Welker being back is absolutely incredible after that injury. Brady has a full year under him after the knee surgery that he had. Major question is the defense. They are young and inexperienced. I see them splitting against the Jets and Miami, and going 2-3 out of the following 5 games...Baltimore, Indy, San Diego, Green Bay, Minnesota...possibly even better considering only San Diego is on the road out of those games.
NY Jets 10-6
From everything that we have seen in the preseason, especially how Sanchez has played, I just can't put them as Super Bowl contenders yet. They beefed up more than any other team in the NFL during the offseason. But they beefed up in the age department and in the crazy department. Not usually the best combination for a team. Pretty much the same schedule as the Patriots, only with a brutal opening game against the Ravens. This team could very easily be 0-2.
Miami Dolphins 7-9
This team just screams mediocrity. But the major reason I'm putting them at this number is their road schedule. After the Week 1 trip to Buffalo they have Minnesota, Green Bay, Cincy, Baltimore, Oakland, NY Jets, and New England. 3-5 is more than likely the best case scenario there, probably headed for a 2-6 mark on the road. Add in the first four home games of NY Jets, New England, Pittsburgh, and Tennessee and the Dolphins could realistically be looking at a 1-7 start.
Buffalo Bills 4-12
The whipping boy of the division. Just lost too much. Great running game, but stack the box and force them to throw and what do they do? The loss of Schobel coming off the edge to put pressure on the opposition will also prove to be a huge problem. They also face a fun travel schedule late in the season of Buffalo, Cincy, Buffalo, Minnesota, Buffalo, Miami, Buffalo. Ouch.
Can't believe it's already the 3rd year of me doing this. Hopefully this season will go better than last year. Had the Pats vs. the Cowboys in the Super Bowl I believe. As usual, thoughts, comments, and insults are more than welcome.
AFC EAST
New England Patriots 11-5
Much easier schedule than last year. Welker being back is absolutely incredible after that injury. Brady has a full year under him after the knee surgery that he had. Major question is the defense. They are young and inexperienced. I see them splitting against the Jets and Miami, and going 2-3 out of the following 5 games...Baltimore, Indy, San Diego, Green Bay, Minnesota...possibly even better considering only San Diego is on the road out of those games.
NY Jets 10-6
From everything that we have seen in the preseason, especially how Sanchez has played, I just can't put them as Super Bowl contenders yet. They beefed up more than any other team in the NFL during the offseason. But they beefed up in the age department and in the crazy department. Not usually the best combination for a team. Pretty much the same schedule as the Patriots, only with a brutal opening game against the Ravens. This team could very easily be 0-2.
Miami Dolphins 7-9
This team just screams mediocrity. But the major reason I'm putting them at this number is their road schedule. After the Week 1 trip to Buffalo they have Minnesota, Green Bay, Cincy, Baltimore, Oakland, NY Jets, and New England. 3-5 is more than likely the best case scenario there, probably headed for a 2-6 mark on the road. Add in the first four home games of NY Jets, New England, Pittsburgh, and Tennessee and the Dolphins could realistically be looking at a 1-7 start.
Buffalo Bills 4-12
The whipping boy of the division. Just lost too much. Great running game, but stack the box and force them to throw and what do they do? The loss of Schobel coming off the edge to put pressure on the opposition will also prove to be a huge problem. They also face a fun travel schedule late in the season of Buffalo, Cincy, Buffalo, Minnesota, Buffalo, Miami, Buffalo. Ouch.
Reloaded once again, Flacco looks more poised with every passing game. Picked up a true #1 guy finally with Boldin, and they have a favorable schedule going up against the NFC South. Only team that can compete with them is the Saints, and with the Ravens defense the Saints might have a tough time. In my mind they are the favorites to make the Super Bowl from the AFC. In order to be a great team, you have to be able to run the ball and play defense, and the Ravens are top 5 in both.
Cincinnati Bengals 9-7
Coming off a great season, the Bengals have some expectations once again for the first time in a while. Too many off the field issues once again with the attitudes they have on the team. Tough finish to the season as well with Jets, Saints, Steelers, Chargers, and Ravens facing them in the last 6 weeks with the Brownies mixed in the middle. Just don't like that.
Pittsburgh Steelers 8-8
Possible 1-3 start, with a tough 3 game road trip ahead after the bye week. No decent QB to hold them over until Big Ben comes back...and even when he does I just think they have taken more steps backwards than forwards. 8-8 might be a generous prediction for these guys. Hines Ward can't continue to save these guys, and Limas Sweed isn't stepping up to fill anyone's shoes.
Cleveland Browns 3-13
Horrible team. When your big solution to your quarterback issues is to bring in Jake Delhomme, you are in trouble. Sorry Cleveland fans, another year of sadness. Luckily they have a cupcake start to the season with Tampa and Kansas City...other than that they will be lucky to scratch out a win.
Reloaded once again, Flacco looks more poised with every passing game. Picked up a true #1 guy finally with Boldin, and they have a favorable schedule going up against the NFC South. Only team that can compete with them is the Saints, and with the Ravens defense the Saints might have a tough time. In my mind they are the favorites to make the Super Bowl from the AFC. In order to be a great team, you have to be able to run the ball and play defense, and the Ravens are top 5 in both.
Cincinnati Bengals 9-7
Coming off a great season, the Bengals have some expectations once again for the first time in a while. Too many off the field issues once again with the attitudes they have on the team. Tough finish to the season as well with Jets, Saints, Steelers, Chargers, and Ravens facing them in the last 6 weeks with the Brownies mixed in the middle. Just don't like that.
Pittsburgh Steelers 8-8
Possible 1-3 start, with a tough 3 game road trip ahead after the bye week. No decent QB to hold them over until Big Ben comes back...and even when he does I just think they have taken more steps backwards than forwards. 8-8 might be a generous prediction for these guys. Hines Ward can't continue to save these guys, and Limas Sweed isn't stepping up to fill anyone's shoes.
Cleveland Browns 3-13
Horrible team. When your big solution to your quarterback issues is to bring in Jake Delhomme, you are in trouble. Sorry Cleveland fans, another year of sadness. Luckily they have a cupcake start to the season with Tampa and Kansas City...other than that they will be lucky to scratch out a win.
Had them at 12-4 as a minimum until I saw what that defense is capable of in the preseason. 130 points in 3 games? Preseason means nothing about the starters IMO, but it shows what your team can expect if there are injuries. The Colts almost always have defensive injuries at some point in the season, and when that happens this year, they are in trouble. Also, a brutal mid-season stretch of solid offenses will exploit that. Cincy, New England, San Diego, Dallas, and Tennessee might mean a 1-4 stretch, or at least a 2-3 stretch.
Tennessee Titans 10-6
Play good defense, and run the ball. Just like the Ravens, the Titans do both of these things very well. Vince Young is probably the worst technical quarterback in the league, but he wins. They have some average wide receivers, not terrible...but with VY's running ability it makes them that much better.
Houston Texans 8-8
Is there any reason not to make them 8-8? This is the prototypical 8-8 team. Good enough to stay in every game they play, not good enough to make the huge jump to the playoffs. They don't run the ball incredibly well, and their defense is below average at times. Win a few games by 3 points, lose a few games by 3 points.
Jacksonville Jaguars 4-12
Once again, a bad team. David Garrard is not an NFL level quarterback right now, and they're defense lacks the run stopping ability. Solid linebackers and secondary, but I see them losing because of 3rd down conversions once again...3rd to last in 2009 and can't see them getting better.
Had them at 12-4 as a minimum until I saw what that defense is capable of in the preseason. 130 points in 3 games? Preseason means nothing about the starters IMO, but it shows what your team can expect if there are injuries. The Colts almost always have defensive injuries at some point in the season, and when that happens this year, they are in trouble. Also, a brutal mid-season stretch of solid offenses will exploit that. Cincy, New England, San Diego, Dallas, and Tennessee might mean a 1-4 stretch, or at least a 2-3 stretch.
Tennessee Titans 10-6
Play good defense, and run the ball. Just like the Ravens, the Titans do both of these things very well. Vince Young is probably the worst technical quarterback in the league, but he wins. They have some average wide receivers, not terrible...but with VY's running ability it makes them that much better.
Houston Texans 8-8
Is there any reason not to make them 8-8? This is the prototypical 8-8 team. Good enough to stay in every game they play, not good enough to make the huge jump to the playoffs. They don't run the ball incredibly well, and their defense is below average at times. Win a few games by 3 points, lose a few games by 3 points.
Jacksonville Jaguars 4-12
Once again, a bad team. David Garrard is not an NFL level quarterback right now, and they're defense lacks the run stopping ability. Solid linebackers and secondary, but I see them losing because of 3rd down conversions once again...3rd to last in 2009 and can't see them getting better.
I am not convinced on Ryan Matthews yet. He should be a solid player, but when you go all-in with a rookie running back, you live and die with him. Phillip Rivers is good enough to make Malcolm Floyd and Legadu Naanee look like solid receivers, but one injury could absolutely murder this team. Luckily they still get two games against the Broncos, Raiders, and Chiefs...and even their other games are the cupcakiest cupcake pansy ass teams possible. Chiefs, Jags, Seahawks, Cardinals, Raiders, Rams? There's 6-0 right there, 5-1 at worst.
Denver Broncos 8-8
Last year wasn't a fluke, but without Brandon Marshall and his 101 catches Kyle Orton will have a much harder time finding open guys. Without Elvis Dumervil ripping off the edge, the defense won't be as protected. Giving them a .500 record because I see Moreno being the real deal and a good running game will keep them in games. Plus Denver will not be a fun place to play for Houston and San Diego in the last two weeks of the season.
Kansas City Chiefs 7-9
A full season with the offense for Matt Cassell, Jamaal Charles, and Dwayne Bowe should mean better scoring. A relatively easy road schedule should also keep them alive for a while. One of the most improved teams in the off season, but still a step away from making a serious run. Jamaal Charles will be one of the top 5 RB's in the game.
Oakland Raiders 5-11
Jason Campbell is an improvement. That's all you really need to know about this team. Running back position is weak. Wide receivers are weak. At least in Washington, Campbell had Portis, Moss, Cooley, and a good offensive line. None of that will follow him into Oakland. Tough road schedule for the Raiders as well, they may need to wait until the final week to get a win away from home.
I am not convinced on Ryan Matthews yet. He should be a solid player, but when you go all-in with a rookie running back, you live and die with him. Phillip Rivers is good enough to make Malcolm Floyd and Legadu Naanee look like solid receivers, but one injury could absolutely murder this team. Luckily they still get two games against the Broncos, Raiders, and Chiefs...and even their other games are the cupcakiest cupcake pansy ass teams possible. Chiefs, Jags, Seahawks, Cardinals, Raiders, Rams? There's 6-0 right there, 5-1 at worst.
Denver Broncos 8-8
Last year wasn't a fluke, but without Brandon Marshall and his 101 catches Kyle Orton will have a much harder time finding open guys. Without Elvis Dumervil ripping off the edge, the defense won't be as protected. Giving them a .500 record because I see Moreno being the real deal and a good running game will keep them in games. Plus Denver will not be a fun place to play for Houston and San Diego in the last two weeks of the season.
Kansas City Chiefs 7-9
A full season with the offense for Matt Cassell, Jamaal Charles, and Dwayne Bowe should mean better scoring. A relatively easy road schedule should also keep them alive for a while. One of the most improved teams in the off season, but still a step away from making a serious run. Jamaal Charles will be one of the top 5 RB's in the game.
Oakland Raiders 5-11
Jason Campbell is an improvement. That's all you really need to know about this team. Running back position is weak. Wide receivers are weak. At least in Washington, Campbell had Portis, Moss, Cooley, and a good offensive line. None of that will follow him into Oakland. Tough road schedule for the Raiders as well, they may need to wait until the final week to get a win away from home.
You put a lot of work into these rankings so I cannot be too critical but I want you to take a look at your rankings and compare them to the season ending rankings last year. See how they look strikingly similar? One thing I have learned over the years in the NFL is that due to its parity it is rare to see a repeat of the same year after year. Yes I know you have the AFC North a little different but other than that basically the same as last years finish. BOL!
You put a lot of work into these rankings so I cannot be too critical but I want you to take a look at your rankings and compare them to the season ending rankings last year. See how they look strikingly similar? One thing I have learned over the years in the NFL is that due to its parity it is rare to see a repeat of the same year after year. Yes I know you have the AFC North a little different but other than that basically the same as last years finish. BOL!
Tony Romo seems to be more focused coming into this season. I'm not sure if that is a good thing or a bad thing. What will kill this team is the offensive line. It's sad to say the least. Gurode and Davis are good, but I can't see them being a Top 10 rushing team again this year. That will put more pressure on Romo. Still a damn good team though, and they should be able to win the division.
NY Giants 8-8
Ever since their Super Bowl win, they have seemed to lose more players than they gain in the offseason. Solid running backs and offensive line once again, but terrible receivers. Going up against the defensive teams they have in their division, I see a similar season to last year...at best.
Washington Redskins 8-8
Loved the pickup of McNabb. They give this team a mobile quarterback to take the pressure off the receivers. Loved the addition of Shanahan at head coach...he will bring accountability to the players that they haven't had for a very long time. Still will be a learning curve for them however, and a division that routinely beats on each other will hurt them.
Philadelphia Eagles 6-10
Kevin Kolb isn't as good as Donovan McNabb. Not even close. I think the Eagles fans were just desperate for a change, and didn't really think this one through. I just see them losing a lot of close games, and they also might not be able to win a game in December (Houston, at Dallas, at NYG, Minnesota, Dallas)
Tony Romo seems to be more focused coming into this season. I'm not sure if that is a good thing or a bad thing. What will kill this team is the offensive line. It's sad to say the least. Gurode and Davis are good, but I can't see them being a Top 10 rushing team again this year. That will put more pressure on Romo. Still a damn good team though, and they should be able to win the division.
NY Giants 8-8
Ever since their Super Bowl win, they have seemed to lose more players than they gain in the offseason. Solid running backs and offensive line once again, but terrible receivers. Going up against the defensive teams they have in their division, I see a similar season to last year...at best.
Washington Redskins 8-8
Loved the pickup of McNabb. They give this team a mobile quarterback to take the pressure off the receivers. Loved the addition of Shanahan at head coach...he will bring accountability to the players that they haven't had for a very long time. Still will be a learning curve for them however, and a division that routinely beats on each other will hurt them.
Philadelphia Eagles 6-10
Kevin Kolb isn't as good as Donovan McNabb. Not even close. I think the Eagles fans were just desperate for a change, and didn't really think this one through. I just see them losing a lot of close games, and they also might not be able to win a game in December (Houston, at Dallas, at NYG, Minnesota, Dallas)
You put a lot of work into these rankings so I cannot be too critical but I want you to take a look at your rankings and compare them to the season ending rankings last year. See how they look strikingly similar? One thing I have learned over the years in the NFL is that due to its parity it is rare to see a repeat of the same year after year. Yes I know you have the AFC North a little different but other than that basically the same as last years finish. BOL!
In the AFC, yes most of the teams I see finishing in relatively the same order. Dropped Pittsburgh down and bumped the Ravens up...I just see the power teams in the AFC remaining the power teams. Kansas City, Houston, and Tennessee could be the shockers there. NFC will be different IMO though.
You put a lot of work into these rankings so I cannot be too critical but I want you to take a look at your rankings and compare them to the season ending rankings last year. See how they look strikingly similar? One thing I have learned over the years in the NFL is that due to its parity it is rare to see a repeat of the same year after year. Yes I know you have the AFC North a little different but other than that basically the same as last years finish. BOL!
In the AFC, yes most of the teams I see finishing in relatively the same order. Dropped Pittsburgh down and bumped the Ravens up...I just see the power teams in the AFC remaining the power teams. Kansas City, Houston, and Tennessee could be the shockers there. NFC will be different IMO though.
Great offense, great defense, great home field advantage. Not sure what else you really need. They should easily be among the best in the NFC all season long. Offensive line might be a little shaky, and as with any team an injury could make things tough...but the Packers are very good this year. Where I see them getting in trouble is if they get pass happy with Rodgers, rather than trusting the run game with Grant.
Minnesota Vikings 9-7
Too many issues with the wide receivers this year. Teams will not underestimate Favre again, which is a major reason why I think he did what he did last year. Peterson is a beast, but if he hasn't learned how to stop fumbling I don't see them making the playoffs, which is good because then Favre really won't come back. Their defense is still tops in the league though, so a winning record shouldn't be unrealistic.
Detroit Lions 5-11
Much improved in a lot of areas, and I like Matthew Stafford to make a solid jump this year. Kevin Smith looks healthy, and the offense should be able to hang in games...the defensive secondary is still sketchy at best.
Chicago Bears 5-11
Could be the worst offensive team in the league. Forte had a good first season, but I still see him being very overrated, same with Jay Cutler. Johnny Knox is a solid player, but not a #1 guy. Defense beefed up a little with Peppers, but I'm not sure he still has enough gas in the tank. Tough schedule for them as well, as they are going up against quite a bit a good defenses. 10-13 points a game will be the norm for da Bears.
Great offense, great defense, great home field advantage. Not sure what else you really need. They should easily be among the best in the NFC all season long. Offensive line might be a little shaky, and as with any team an injury could make things tough...but the Packers are very good this year. Where I see them getting in trouble is if they get pass happy with Rodgers, rather than trusting the run game with Grant.
Minnesota Vikings 9-7
Too many issues with the wide receivers this year. Teams will not underestimate Favre again, which is a major reason why I think he did what he did last year. Peterson is a beast, but if he hasn't learned how to stop fumbling I don't see them making the playoffs, which is good because then Favre really won't come back. Their defense is still tops in the league though, so a winning record shouldn't be unrealistic.
Detroit Lions 5-11
Much improved in a lot of areas, and I like Matthew Stafford to make a solid jump this year. Kevin Smith looks healthy, and the offense should be able to hang in games...the defensive secondary is still sketchy at best.
Chicago Bears 5-11
Could be the worst offensive team in the league. Forte had a good first season, but I still see him being very overrated, same with Jay Cutler. Johnny Knox is a solid player, but not a #1 guy. Defense beefed up a little with Peppers, but I'm not sure he still has enough gas in the tank. Tough schedule for them as well, as they are going up against quite a bit a good defenses. 10-13 points a game will be the norm for da Bears.
Still the best team in the divsion, but I don't see them being as great as they were last year. Super Bowl hangover will be in effect. Plus, with Sharper missing a significant portion of the season, they will be more susceptible to the pass...and with an already average to below average secondary, it could be tough. Still in a weak division with a favorable schedule though.
Atlanta Falcons 10-6
Playoff quality team. Good QB, good RB, good WR, and solid offensive line. But no matter how much I look at it, I don't like their defensive line. Going up against primarily running teams will hurt this team.
Carolina Panthers 6-10
Rebuilding year at a lot of positions...especially at QB and on defense. Not an incredibly strong offensive line will mean a lot of sacks and turnovers for Matt Moore. Luckily they don't have incredibly difficult schedule so this number could be anywhere realistically. If they face a team that has the ability to shut down Steve Smith, I really can't see this team being able to put up 20 points per game.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3-13
Will be able to stay in a lot of games simply because of their defensive secondary. Talib and Barber are very good, so is Ruud. This number could bump up to 5 at best if the defensive line shows up and plays to its potential. Other than that, they still need an elite receiver or running back to be able to hold down a lead.
Still the best team in the divsion, but I don't see them being as great as they were last year. Super Bowl hangover will be in effect. Plus, with Sharper missing a significant portion of the season, they will be more susceptible to the pass...and with an already average to below average secondary, it could be tough. Still in a weak division with a favorable schedule though.
Atlanta Falcons 10-6
Playoff quality team. Good QB, good RB, good WR, and solid offensive line. But no matter how much I look at it, I don't like their defensive line. Going up against primarily running teams will hurt this team.
Carolina Panthers 6-10
Rebuilding year at a lot of positions...especially at QB and on defense. Not an incredibly strong offensive line will mean a lot of sacks and turnovers for Matt Moore. Luckily they don't have incredibly difficult schedule so this number could be anywhere realistically. If they face a team that has the ability to shut down Steve Smith, I really can't see this team being able to put up 20 points per game.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3-13
Will be able to stay in a lot of games simply because of their defensive secondary. Talib and Barber are very good, so is Ruud. This number could bump up to 5 at best if the defensive line shows up and plays to its potential. Other than that, they still need an elite receiver or running back to be able to hold down a lead.
A lot obviously depends on the health of their offensive players, but if Hasselbeck and the receivers can stay healthy, then this team is the best team in the NFC West. Their defense is fast and aggressive, but without points last year they stumbled. I like getting Okung to protect Hasselbeck...and Branch/Houshmanzadeh are a very good 1-2 combo on the edges. They also have a top 5 tight end with John Carlson.
San Francisco 49ers 9-7
Almost time to make the jump. Expectations have been there for the Niners for several years now...but with Singletary having more control and knowing this team better, they should be able to get over .500. A good team needs to be able to run the ball and play defense, and that's what the Niners do. Gore is a beast, and this defense (linebackers especially) is very very good. One offensive playmaker away IMO.
Arizona Cardinals 9-7
Still a decent team, even without Warner. But they won't be close to as efficient an offense as they have been in the past. Their defense has gotten better every year however, and I see them playing with a chip on their shoulder after that playoff embarassment. I would go with Anderson over Leinart as well, always go with the better arm.
St. Louis Rams 4-12
Bradford looks pretty solid so far in preseason, but there is no question that this is still a bad team. I like the direction they are heading however. Will win a couple games this year.
A lot obviously depends on the health of their offensive players, but if Hasselbeck and the receivers can stay healthy, then this team is the best team in the NFC West. Their defense is fast and aggressive, but without points last year they stumbled. I like getting Okung to protect Hasselbeck...and Branch/Houshmanzadeh are a very good 1-2 combo on the edges. They also have a top 5 tight end with John Carlson.
San Francisco 49ers 9-7
Almost time to make the jump. Expectations have been there for the Niners for several years now...but with Singletary having more control and knowing this team better, they should be able to get over .500. A good team needs to be able to run the ball and play defense, and that's what the Niners do. Gore is a beast, and this defense (linebackers especially) is very very good. One offensive playmaker away IMO.
Arizona Cardinals 9-7
Still a decent team, even without Warner. But they won't be close to as efficient an offense as they have been in the past. Their defense has gotten better every year however, and I see them playing with a chip on their shoulder after that playoff embarassment. I would go with Anderson over Leinart as well, always go with the better arm.
St. Louis Rams 4-12
Bradford looks pretty solid so far in preseason, but there is no question that this is still a bad team. I like the direction they are heading however. Will win a couple games this year.
Neither SEA or AZ will have a winning record this year. CHI, MIN and GB will all be neck and neck down the stretch and two teams from that division will go to the playoffs (DET could also surprise a few this year). SF and ATL will win the division. BOL!
Neither SEA or AZ will have a winning record this year. CHI, MIN and GB will all be neck and neck down the stretch and two teams from that division will go to the playoffs (DET could also surprise a few this year). SF and ATL will win the division. BOL!
Neither SEA or AZ will have a winning record this year. CHI, MIN and GB will all be neck and neck down the stretch and two teams from that division will go to the playoffs (DET could also surprise a few this year). SF and ATL will win the division. BOL!
You really see Chicago making that big of a jump in that division?
I have them winning Week 1 vs Det, Week 6 vs. Sea, Week 7 vs. Wash, Week 9 vs. Buf, and Week 13 vs. Buffalo
Neither SEA or AZ will have a winning record this year. CHI, MIN and GB will all be neck and neck down the stretch and two teams from that division will go to the playoffs (DET could also surprise a few this year). SF and ATL will win the division. BOL!
You really see Chicago making that big of a jump in that division?
I have them winning Week 1 vs Det, Week 6 vs. Sea, Week 7 vs. Wash, Week 9 vs. Buf, and Week 13 vs. Buffalo
I see Cutler being an absolute disaster in Martz' offense. He is not a great decision maker and too much of a gunslinger to have the same success Kurt Warner did. Not too mention QB's take quite a bit of sacks in this scheme because they have to wait so long for a play to develop. This will not bode well against D-Lines like the Vikings, Packers & Lions.
I see Cutler being an absolute disaster in Martz' offense. He is not a great decision maker and too much of a gunslinger to have the same success Kurt Warner did. Not too mention QB's take quite a bit of sacks in this scheme because they have to wait so long for a play to develop. This will not bode well against D-Lines like the Vikings, Packers & Lions.
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