All right guys good thing we cashed in on Oklahoma yesterday and we hope to kill the books more. I've read all the initial lines, line movements, injuries, matchups and Im sad to say that I have not found any one side play that can be considered trap at all. However, I found one play which may interest you.
IND @ PHI UNDER 184.5 (5 units)
Now you may ask why I should pick under on a matchup between one of the league's leading team in 3FG% (IND, especially on the road) and a team who averages 100.9ppg (PHI).
First reason, Philadelphia is known to blow out most teams at home and Indiana is not an exception. The thing with blow outs is that it tends to kill off the offense of the other team which leads them to score less points than average. What we're trying to hope here is for either Indiana or Philadelphia to blow out their opponents. A close game isnt what we want here, because the game will go over if the lead between these teams is less than 5.
Second reason, at the start of the line (183 - 183.5), a whopping 80% of the public pounded the over. After a few hours, I learned that the line has already risen to 184.5, and the public is still leaning on the over (75%). fishy fishy
Third reason, look at the past ten games between them. You can arguably say that there were no major changes for both teams except maybe the coaching staff but you can see that in the past ten games, the lowest line was 196 (216 being the highest). I feel that by opening at O/U 183.5 then going to 184.5 even after the public pounded the over, this creates a small suspicion that MAAYYYBEE something fishy about it.
Again, there is no sure game at all and everything I said here might only be my speculation. Tail at your own risk, but BOL to those who do.
All right guys good thing we cashed in on Oklahoma yesterday and we hope to kill the books more. I've read all the initial lines, line movements, injuries, matchups and Im sad to say that I have not found any one side play that can be considered trap at all. However, I found one play which may interest you.
IND @ PHI UNDER 184.5 (5 units)
Now you may ask why I should pick under on a matchup between one of the league's leading team in 3FG% (IND, especially on the road) and a team who averages 100.9ppg (PHI).
First reason, Philadelphia is known to blow out most teams at home and Indiana is not an exception. The thing with blow outs is that it tends to kill off the offense of the other team which leads them to score less points than average. What we're trying to hope here is for either Indiana or Philadelphia to blow out their opponents. A close game isnt what we want here, because the game will go over if the lead between these teams is less than 5.
Second reason, at the start of the line (183 - 183.5), a whopping 80% of the public pounded the over. After a few hours, I learned that the line has already risen to 184.5, and the public is still leaning on the over (75%). fishy fishy
Third reason, look at the past ten games between them. You can arguably say that there were no major changes for both teams except maybe the coaching staff but you can see that in the past ten games, the lowest line was 196 (216 being the highest). I feel that by opening at O/U 183.5 then going to 184.5 even after the public pounded the over, this creates a small suspicion that MAAYYYBEE something fishy about it.
Again, there is no sure game at all and everything I said here might only be my speculation. Tail at your own risk, but BOL to those who do.
All right guys good thing we cashed in on Oklahoma yesterday and we hope to kill the books more. I've read all the initial lines, line movements, injuries, matchups and Im sad to say that I have not found any one side play that can be considered trap at all. However, I found one play which may interest you.
IND @ PHI UNDER 184.5 (5 units)
Now you may ask why I should pick under on a matchup between one of the league's leading team in 3FG% (IND, especially on the road) and a team who averages 100.9ppg (PHI).
First reason, Philadelphia is known to blow out most teams at home and Indiana is not an exception. The thing with blow outs is that it tends to kill off the offense of the other team which leads them to score less points than average. What we're trying to hope here is for either Indiana or Philadelphia to blow out their opponents. A close game isnt what we want here, because the game will go over if the lead between these teams is less than 5.
Second reason, at the start of the line (183 - 183.5), a whopping 80% of the public pounded the over. After a few hours, I learned that the line has already risen to 184.5, and the public is still leaning on the over (75%). fishy fishy
Third reason, look at the past ten games between them. You can arguably say that there were no major changes for both teams except maybe the coaching staff but you can see that in the past ten games, the lowest line was 196 (216 being the highest). I feel that by opening at O/U 183.5 then going to 184.5 even after the public pounded the over, this creates a small suspicion that MAAYYYBEE something fishy about it.
Again, there is no sure game at all and everything I said here might only be my speculation. Tail at your own risk, but BOL to those who do.
All right guys good thing we cashed in on Oklahoma yesterday and we hope to kill the books more. I've read all the initial lines, line movements, injuries, matchups and Im sad to say that I have not found any one side play that can be considered trap at all. However, I found one play which may interest you.
IND @ PHI UNDER 184.5 (5 units)
Now you may ask why I should pick under on a matchup between one of the league's leading team in 3FG% (IND, especially on the road) and a team who averages 100.9ppg (PHI).
First reason, Philadelphia is known to blow out most teams at home and Indiana is not an exception. The thing with blow outs is that it tends to kill off the offense of the other team which leads them to score less points than average. What we're trying to hope here is for either Indiana or Philadelphia to blow out their opponents. A close game isnt what we want here, because the game will go over if the lead between these teams is less than 5.
Second reason, at the start of the line (183 - 183.5), a whopping 80% of the public pounded the over. After a few hours, I learned that the line has already risen to 184.5, and the public is still leaning on the over (75%). fishy fishy
Third reason, look at the past ten games between them. You can arguably say that there were no major changes for both teams except maybe the coaching staff but you can see that in the past ten games, the lowest line was 196 (216 being the highest). I feel that by opening at O/U 183.5 then going to 184.5 even after the public pounded the over, this creates a small suspicion that MAAYYYBEE something fishy about it.
Again, there is no sure game at all and everything I said here might only be my speculation. Tail at your own risk, but BOL to those who do.
I liked this wager to at first, but Philly's depth chart along with 100ppg of offense combined with both Indy averaging 80.1 shots per game & Philly averaging 82.7 shots per game led me to believe this total could be set a bit low for an under. BOL though as you will have the power of Indy's defense working in your favor which has jumped from 17th last year in the NBA allowing 100.7ppg to 3rd this year only allowing 89.2ppg. I took the 5 point's along with the ML @+175 in this game...
I liked this wager to at first, but Philly's depth chart along with 100ppg of offense combined with both Indy averaging 80.1 shots per game & Philly averaging 82.7 shots per game led me to believe this total could be set a bit low for an under. BOL though as you will have the power of Indy's defense working in your favor which has jumped from 17th last year in the NBA allowing 100.7ppg to 3rd this year only allowing 89.2ppg. I took the 5 point's along with the ML @+175 in this game...
Granger is a game-time decision due to food poisoning, could be why the line is lower
This could be a bad thing for an under better as he is currently shooting a career low right now @ just 30% this young season as 6 other players have had no trouble finding their way into the double digit scoring department along with Granger. This is a very deep Pacer team this year...
Granger is a game-time decision due to food poisoning, could be why the line is lower
This could be a bad thing for an under better as he is currently shooting a career low right now @ just 30% this young season as 6 other players have had no trouble finding their way into the double digit scoring department along with Granger. This is a very deep Pacer team this year...
I am just playing this according to what the stats and the line says (with a little bit of opinion). But my gut feeling tells me that Indiana will win straight up by 10 points.
I am just playing this according to what the stats and the line says (with a little bit of opinion). But my gut feeling tells me that Indiana will win straight up by 10 points.
I am just playing this according to what the stats and the line says (with a little bit of opinion). But my gut feeling tells me that Indiana will win straight up by 10 points.
I am just playing this according to what the stats and the line says (with a little bit of opinion). But my gut feeling tells me that Indiana will win straight up by 10 points.
I am just playing this according to what the stats and the line says (with a little bit of opinion). But my gut feeling tells me that Indiana will win straight up by 10 points.
when i think a 6 point dog will win by DD i bet them
I am just playing this according to what the stats and the line says (with a little bit of opinion). But my gut feeling tells me that Indiana will win straight up by 10 points.
when i think a 6 point dog will win by DD i bet them
what makes you so dumb? guy has his opinion stats and info about games no one forces you to tail him ..dont like the picks fuck off from this thread then
what makes you so dumb? guy has his opinion stats and info about games no one forces you to tail him ..dont like the picks fuck off from this thread then
another interesting trend (not betting related) is that when granger plays horribly, the team performs better and wins su as a whole. i dont have the whole stats but you can just look at this season.
maybe indiana su may have a chance after all if granger does not play.
another interesting trend (not betting related) is that when granger plays horribly, the team performs better and wins su as a whole. i dont have the whole stats but you can just look at this season.
maybe indiana su may have a chance after all if granger does not play.
Now you may ask why I should pick under on a matchup between one of the league's leading team in 3FG% (IND, especially on the road) and a team who averages 100.9ppg (PHI).
First reason, Philadelphia is known to blow out most teams at home and Indiana is not an exception. The thing with blow outs is that it tends to kill off the offense of the other team which leads them to score less points than average. What we're trying to hope here is for either Indiana or Philadelphia to blow out their opponents. A close game isnt what we want here, because the game will go over if the lead between these teams is less than 5.
Now you may ask why I should pick under on a matchup between one of the league's leading team in 3FG% (IND, especially on the road) and a team who averages 100.9ppg (PHI).
First reason, Philadelphia is known to blow out most teams at home and Indiana is not an exception. The thing with blow outs is that it tends to kill off the offense of the other team which leads them to score less points than average. What we're trying to hope here is for either Indiana or Philadelphia to blow out their opponents. A close game isnt what we want here, because the game will go over if the lead between these teams is less than 5.
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