The Dallas road D is just awful this year as they're giving up 104.7ppg on the road this year. LAC are scoring 104.9ppg at home this year. The clippers should get 105+ in this game. The clippers have made a point of putting on a show when at home vs bad defences. I don't see tonight being any different. Clippers don't play again until the 12th. They should go hard. I'm jumping on this early as I see it really moving over the day.
4 units: Los Angeles Lakers @ San Antonio Spurs over 212.5
Another line I'm jumping on early as it should move up over the day as well. The Lakes head to San Antonio off a B2B. I'm a believer in B2Bs affecting defensive effort more then offensive effort. I see the lakers still scoring but I don't see them being able to do anything defensively to slow down SA. Spurs crack 120 tonight as they run all over this small, thin, defensively challenged Lakers squad. Lakers score enough to hit the over.
3 units: Los Angeles Lakers @ San Antonio Spurs -13
I usually cringe at laying this many points but like I said above, this lakers team right now is incredibly banged up and incredibly short on size. The lakers starters may be able to keep it respectable for the first half, but once fatigue sets in like it did tonight vs Houston, and once the second unit has to come on, it's a no contest. This spurs second unit should out score the lakers second unit by at least 30pts tonight and be the reason the spurs roll.
Will post trends later.
Leans:
Hou -3
Hou is 10-1ats last 11, but New Orleans is different team with Eric Gordon.
Tor -4
Would like to see Ross play for tor
Mil +6
Something about Mil that gives Chicago tight games.
The Dallas road D is just awful this year as they're giving up 104.7ppg on the road this year. LAC are scoring 104.9ppg at home this year. The clippers should get 105+ in this game. The clippers have made a point of putting on a show when at home vs bad defences. I don't see tonight being any different. Clippers don't play again until the 12th. They should go hard. I'm jumping on this early as I see it really moving over the day.
4 units: Los Angeles Lakers @ San Antonio Spurs over 212.5
Another line I'm jumping on early as it should move up over the day as well. The Lakes head to San Antonio off a B2B. I'm a believer in B2Bs affecting defensive effort more then offensive effort. I see the lakers still scoring but I don't see them being able to do anything defensively to slow down SA. Spurs crack 120 tonight as they run all over this small, thin, defensively challenged Lakers squad. Lakers score enough to hit the over.
3 units: Los Angeles Lakers @ San Antonio Spurs -13
I usually cringe at laying this many points but like I said above, this lakers team right now is incredibly banged up and incredibly short on size. The lakers starters may be able to keep it respectable for the first half, but once fatigue sets in like it did tonight vs Houston, and once the second unit has to come on, it's a no contest. This spurs second unit should out score the lakers second unit by at least 30pts tonight and be the reason the spurs roll.
Will post trends later.
Leans:
Hou -3
Hou is 10-1ats last 11, but New Orleans is different team with Eric Gordon.
Tor -4
Would like to see Ross play for tor
Mil +6
Something about Mil that gives Chicago tight games.
Nice write-ups NC...tough Hawks game I went with ATL for my STK pick of the day, seemed like a no-brainer given Wolves injury woes and Hawks being due for a bounce-back performance. I would be all over the Spurs if they were slightly lower, like you said, -13 is a lot...as far as your leans, are they in order of how strongly you feel about them? Looking at either HOU -3 or ORL +12 for tomorrow..
Nice write-ups NC...tough Hawks game I went with ATL for my STK pick of the day, seemed like a no-brainer given Wolves injury woes and Hawks being due for a bounce-back performance. I would be all over the Spurs if they were slightly lower, like you said, -13 is a lot...as far as your leans, are they in order of how strongly you feel about them? Looking at either HOU -3 or ORL +12 for tomorrow..
Yeah I'm eyeing that Hornets game as well... feel like they can catch the Rockets sleepwalking on a back to back.... Rockets only a .500 team on the road... Rockets only a clip over .500 vs teams w/ a losing record.... after losing 11 in a row, Hornets 4-3 L7 and welcomed back Gordon w/ open arms... feel like they grind out a dirty game....
Hornets 102-98
-Also last 5 games Hornets D giving up 94/game which is pretty solid... although most numbers show an offensively challanged team @ home 87 ppg in 17 home games, the addition of Gordon has def caused an uptick in their offense, 94ppg last 5 games .. although it is a small sample size....
I just got a funny feeling about this game... Im seeing either a dirty slow tempo or a miserable shooting night for the Rockets...
I am sure most will be on the Rockets and I will pounce once it gets to 4/4.5
Yeah I'm eyeing that Hornets game as well... feel like they can catch the Rockets sleepwalking on a back to back.... Rockets only a .500 team on the road... Rockets only a clip over .500 vs teams w/ a losing record.... after losing 11 in a row, Hornets 4-3 L7 and welcomed back Gordon w/ open arms... feel like they grind out a dirty game....
Hornets 102-98
-Also last 5 games Hornets D giving up 94/game which is pretty solid... although most numbers show an offensively challanged team @ home 87 ppg in 17 home games, the addition of Gordon has def caused an uptick in their offense, 94ppg last 5 games .. although it is a small sample size....
I just got a funny feeling about this game... Im seeing either a dirty slow tempo or a miserable shooting night for the Rockets...
I am sure most will be on the Rockets and I will pounce once it gets to 4/4.5
^great insight. Pretty much my concerns about adding hou. -3 seems like a good line for a Houston team that has been cruising but they're a different team on the road. Hornets are an improving team. Possible trap game. I'm most likely gonna stay away. Only concern will be whether No can keep up. Hou has managed to play an uptempo style against virtually everyone.
^great insight. Pretty much my concerns about adding hou. -3 seems like a good line for a Houston team that has been cruising but they're a different team on the road. Hornets are an improving team. Possible trap game. I'm most likely gonna stay away. Only concern will be whether No can keep up. Hou has managed to play an uptempo style against virtually everyone.
^great insight. Pretty much my concerns about adding hou. -3 seems like a good line for a Houston team that has been cruising but they're a different team on the road. Hornets are an improving team. Possible trap game. I'm most likely gonna stay away. Only concern will be whether No can keep up. Hou has managed to play an uptempo style against virtually everyone.
Agreed...Therein lies the problem for NO... NBA is crazy, sometimes you just gotta take a stand against perceptions... like in the NFL your never as good or bad as your last game....
^great insight. Pretty much my concerns about adding hou. -3 seems like a good line for a Houston team that has been cruising but they're a different team on the road. Hornets are an improving team. Possible trap game. I'm most likely gonna stay away. Only concern will be whether No can keep up. Hou has managed to play an uptempo style against virtually everyone.
Agreed...Therein lies the problem for NO... NBA is crazy, sometimes you just gotta take a stand against perceptions... like in the NFL your never as good or bad as your last game....
I dig the overs, but I don't usually bet totals much in baskets unless I see a real edge. Opposite side on spurs tho. I can see a moose or something happening there.
I dig the overs, but I don't usually bet totals much in baskets unless I see a real edge. Opposite side on spurs tho. I can see a moose or something happening there.
From watching the lakers today against hou it's pretty clear that the players have stepped up big time in hustle and scoring bc they r without their whole interior. They have to run n gun bc they have no choice.
It's all pick and roll w almost no post up which Nash likes.
Spurs should easily put up 110 plus. Lakers could get into the high 90s which is what the lines makers r predicting w the spread at 13.5
From watching the lakers today against hou it's pretty clear that the players have stepped up big time in hustle and scoring bc they r without their whole interior. They have to run n gun bc they have no choice.
It's all pick and roll w almost no post up which Nash likes.
Spurs should easily put up 110 plus. Lakers could get into the high 90s which is what the lines makers r predicting w the spread at 13.5
High probability the spurs score 110+ meaning the over will be decided by how the lakers score. If they throw up an egg the game will go under but spurs will cover easy. Only way spurs don't cover is in the over.
High probability the spurs score 110+ meaning the over will be decided by how the lakers score. If they throw up an egg the game will go under but spurs will cover easy. Only way spurs don't cover is in the over.
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