Quote Originally Posted by mafioso:
Posting the picks not talking about them will help you win an argument.
Where are these winners that you placed posted so we can all see how you are hitting at a phenomenal rate?
See what I mean?
No need for you to question anything I write
all one has to do is go back and check, its all here in college and pro football.
Cant say the same for you.
If Im coming off a little harsh it is because you started your 8th post ever on this forum saying you laugh at people who are using a strategy that has worked for decades.
no refuting that fact, Can this season continue with this anomaly and the favorites finish another 8 or 10 games above where they are now?
Sure
Im gonna pay if thats the case
Im using my money
Not yours
try contributing why you think the favorites are gonna continue at this ridiculous pace?
Any answers?
I have stated why I am doing what I am doing
Can you state one valid reason why it will continue?
I just know the NBA. Before the playoffs started I had a feeling these games were going to be complete garbage and I was right. GS, SA, and the Cavs are at the top, OKC in tier 2, everyone else is way, way below them (excluding LAC since they had no shot without CP3). There hasn't been this much diversity between the top teams and the 3,4,5,6 seeds since I've been capping the NBA. I don't look at the favorite and automatically lean towards them since they're hitting at an unprecedented rate, I factor in the match up, team characteristics (ex: Raptors are choke artists), the line, etc. The Cavs were a huge mismatch for ATL. Even back to last season. For whatever reason, Vegas gave me -7.5, -7.5, -2.5 and then -5. Okay, well going into the playoffs I knew the Cavs were much better than the regular season team, unlike most people. I felt Vegas had these lines completely wrong (besides GM 4), and that was the case. I didn't think trap or the classic Vegas is begging you to take them. Taking ATL +5 was a no brainier. Of course going for a sweep they're going to just mop ATL, so Vegas set it at -5, that's when my mind was like now this is a trap. I'm gonna take the +5 and put the Cavs ML in a parlay with the Cubs. I'm just really good at reading lines and applying by knowledge of the NBA and the perception of the public behind making a pick. I've taken every underdog in games with Toronto playing no matter the circumstances. They choke, theyre the worst 2 seed of all time, etc. That strategy will change if they play the Cavs cuz Toronto has played even level competition. So look at match ups, what are teams made of? Do they choke, have someone to turn to late in the 4th? A good coach or a bad one? (Casey and Donovan are the worst coaches out of the remaining ones), what the line is telling you, etc. Spurs opened at -6.5. This told me if it was lower Vegas wouldn't get action on both sides, only Spurs. Which would drive the line up in most cases. So I think that the -6.5 has value because if it was lower, it would get hammered. Factor in how the Spurs lost GM 4 and are now at home (zig zag theory), they're the better team, better coach, I'm taking the Spurs with high confidence. That's how I process making a pick.