Let's try to work together on game information, angles, injuries etc.
Pacers seem like the best bet. Hopefully they come to play.
I feel like Houston can go either way Mil is pretty good too.
Id go first half with Memphis. It seems like that is where they cover most. They just can't hang in a full game against a decent
opponent. However the line is super fishy. Good luck.
Pacers seem like the best bet. Hopefully they come to play.
I feel like Houston can go either way Mil is pretty good too.
Id go first half with Memphis. It seems like that is where they cover most. They just can't hang in a full game against a decent
opponent. However the line is super fishy. Good luck.
I will go with grizz here
its always scary going against the best ats team so far but fortunately spurs ain’t that good on the road and grizz still a decent home team
i believe they will figure out here
I will go with grizz here
its always scary going against the best ats team so far but fortunately spurs ain’t that good on the road and grizz still a decent home team
i believe they will figure out here
Hi MK, new to posting here, followed it for quite some time though. Love your idea, so I decided to finally try to contribute. I think MEM has a good chance against SA, but SA on a roll and has played MEM well. MEM plays defense pretty good at home. Will wait for further post before deciding. Prior to reading this thread of your, was leaning on SA. Not so sure now. Again, thanks for the posts and the idea.
Hi MK, new to posting here, followed it for quite some time though. Love your idea, so I decided to finally try to contribute. I think MEM has a good chance against SA, but SA on a roll and has played MEM well. MEM plays defense pretty good at home. Will wait for further post before deciding. Prior to reading this thread of your, was leaning on SA. Not so sure now. Again, thanks for the posts and the idea.
Grizz are really volatile, they can have games with only 5-7 made threes and that in todays game won't give you what you need. The question is probably if the spurs come out to play and i can't see pop not having his team ready. Out of their last 10 matchups the grizzlies won only 2 with a combined pointmargin of 5! While the spurs won 8 with an average winning margin of around 8 to 10 (bit lazy here). Feels like if the spurs come around this game shouldn't be a problem to them but if they already look ahead to the thunder double it may become close. Still, for me the spurs are the pick here.
Grizz are really volatile, they can have games with only 5-7 made threes and that in todays game won't give you what you need. The question is probably if the spurs come out to play and i can't see pop not having his team ready. Out of their last 10 matchups the grizzlies won only 2 with a combined pointmargin of 5! While the spurs won 8 with an average winning margin of around 8 to 10 (bit lazy here). Feels like if the spurs come around this game shouldn't be a problem to them but if they already look ahead to the thunder double it may become close. Still, for me the spurs are the pick here.
Great thread and I'd like to contribute
I usually avoid taking dogs with double digits and certainly do not take favourites with lower than 7.5 (-7.5 spread)
Also I avoid teams with no rest(back 2 back)
Lets see the Grizzlies vs Spurs game
Memphis has covered in 9 of their 10 home wins.
Spurs have below .500 road record (7-12) but a 10-9 ATS record on the road
If we check their recent form the Spurs and Grizzlies are going opposite directions.
Clearly the value play is the Spurs though you have to wonder would you ever lay money on a team that's on a big losing streak (>4)? The game smells trap because Spurs are also playing tomorrow (look ahead) plus they already beat Memphis badly a few days ago.Other than that the choice is obvious.
Houston Milwuakee .....I'm not touching
Washington also is a play (from my strategy;mostly fading Philly) but I cannot trust teams below 0.400 therefore avoid.
Lakers also seem to have value and will definetly be a play of mine
Indiana at +7 is also great value and will be a play.
So far I have
Spurs -2.5
Pacers +7
Lakers -2
Problem is all of these teams won their previous games and one has to wonder with what motivation are they going to come out.
At least they are rested.
Great thread and I'd like to contribute
I usually avoid taking dogs with double digits and certainly do not take favourites with lower than 7.5 (-7.5 spread)
Also I avoid teams with no rest(back 2 back)
Lets see the Grizzlies vs Spurs game
Memphis has covered in 9 of their 10 home wins.
Spurs have below .500 road record (7-12) but a 10-9 ATS record on the road
If we check their recent form the Spurs and Grizzlies are going opposite directions.
Clearly the value play is the Spurs though you have to wonder would you ever lay money on a team that's on a big losing streak (>4)? The game smells trap because Spurs are also playing tomorrow (look ahead) plus they already beat Memphis badly a few days ago.Other than that the choice is obvious.
Houston Milwuakee .....I'm not touching
Washington also is a play (from my strategy;mostly fading Philly) but I cannot trust teams below 0.400 therefore avoid.
Lakers also seem to have value and will definetly be a play of mine
Indiana at +7 is also great value and will be a play.
So far I have
Spurs -2.5
Pacers +7
Lakers -2
Problem is all of these teams won their previous games and one has to wonder with what motivation are they going to come out.
At least they are rested.
DET/LAL, both teams too flaky. Thought about this game, I don't like to wager on iffy teams. Staying away for this reason. IND-BOS could go either way. So unsure so I will stay way from that game as well. Should be a well played games, both teams should be up for this one. GL to all.
DET/LAL, both teams too flaky. Thought about this game, I don't like to wager on iffy teams. Staying away for this reason. IND-BOS could go either way. So unsure so I will stay way from that game as well. Should be a well played games, both teams should be up for this one. GL to all.
Indiana back 2 back??? Of course my mistake...Cancelling the bet.Avoid back 2 back
Indiana back 2 back??? Of course my mistake...Cancelling the bet.Avoid back 2 back
Regarding Houston. Their D ranks 28th defending the paint. That is a no no when dealing against the paint freak. I will not bet that game because on the other hand Im terrified of Harden.
Regarding Houston. Their D ranks 28th defending the paint. That is a no no when dealing against the paint freak. I will not bet that game because on the other hand Im terrified of Harden.
I seem to like the Lakers in this spot and it's mostly about fading Detroit.Lakers have dropped two straight at home and last time it was against the lowly Knicks.
They should be fired up for this one since James is nearing a return and losing games at home could cost them for the playoffs seeding.
I expect the Lakers to win by 7.
I seem to like the Lakers in this spot and it's mostly about fading Detroit.Lakers have dropped two straight at home and last time it was against the lowly Knicks.
They should be fired up for this one since James is nearing a return and losing games at home could cost them for the playoffs seeding.
I expect the Lakers to win by 7.
Pacers are on the back end of B2B away games and gave up 70+ to the Cavs last game. Plus it's their third game in four nights. Tag that along with all the Celtics trends in the "revenge spot". Watch for the Pacers to come out firing and fade as the game goes. I played Pacers 1Q +2.5 and 1Q over 55.5 for 5 units each, then Celtics -7 on the game for 10 units.
Pacers are on the back end of B2B away games and gave up 70+ to the Cavs last game. Plus it's their third game in four nights. Tag that along with all the Celtics trends in the "revenge spot". Watch for the Pacers to come out firing and fade as the game goes. I played Pacers 1Q +2.5 and 1Q over 55.5 for 5 units each, then Celtics -7 on the game for 10 units.
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