To me this is the dumbest bet you can make in the NBA. Last year DD dogs hit at 62% (look it up) and I think I bet blindly around 90% of every DD dog like I do every year. They're opening up a new arena which is reason enough to run from the Magic. Or if that wasn't enough they're playing the Heat tomorrow night on the road so they're traveling after the game. Your're not laying -14, in reality there's roughly 35% chance your laying -17 because you know they are going to give up the wide open 3 or if the guy decides to drive their won't be one guy w/in 10 feet of stopping him. Than you guys will cry and bitch of a bad beat which in reality there is no such thing but that's a story for another day. You may win tonight because of simple variance and the best play still has a 40% chance of losing. But there is so many things wrong with this wager on so many levels, just mindboggling to me anyone who wants to lay -14 in an NBA game. The only way to make money in this league is taking ugly dogs nobody wants. I will be going large again on every DD dog again this year. Wiz +14 to win 3 units and first half ML +425 risk 1 and +7.5 to win 1.
3-5 -5.5 units. Ugly start to say the least, only 7 months to go.