And so will the public, as they pile on the favorite (The Heat) against the home dog (The Pacers). There are times in sports betting that one gets to have his cake and eat it too, and tomorrow's Pacers/Heat game offers such an occasion. The public (finally) has the books by the balls and they will make them pay. I watched that Miami game again last night and I can tell you, Miami was there in body but not in spirit. That was especially true on defense and that's all you need to know for game 2.
In fact, this is a much better spot for Miami than game 4 of the Nets series, where the line was also around -2/-2.5 and both sharps and public were pounding that one. That was hardly a must win game for Miami, while this one surely is. Go down 0-2 and you have to win 4 out of the next 5. Go down 0-2 and you are almost assured of having to win this thing in 7, on the road, against a very good home team. Go down 0-2 and you leave yourself no room for error, a gaff, a last second, lucky shot. That's why this line is so good. You are gonna get the Heat's best effort, probably for the entire playoffs thus far, at only -2/-2.5. There may not be another situation like this (for Heat backers) the entire series. And by situation I mean, a great line, for not only the better team (which, IMO, the Heat, despite their flaws, still are) but also the more desperate team.
Looking at previous playoff games between these two teams, the two times that Miami was in a must win type situation--game 4 in 2012 (with the Heat down 2-1, playing in Indi) and game 7 last year--the Heat won handily, with LBJ getting to the foul line 16 times in each of those games (even though he averaged around 6-7 for the series).
Meanwhile, when was the last time the Pacers put two solid games together? Even more importantly, when was the last time this team got so many free throws? A tiny drop off in their play, and a huge drop off in free throw attempts, along with the Heat's raised level of play, should be enough to cover this line and then some.
And so will the public, as they pile on the favorite (The Heat) against the home dog (The Pacers). There are times in sports betting that one gets to have his cake and eat it too, and tomorrow's Pacers/Heat game offers such an occasion. The public (finally) has the books by the balls and they will make them pay. I watched that Miami game again last night and I can tell you, Miami was there in body but not in spirit. That was especially true on defense and that's all you need to know for game 2.
In fact, this is a much better spot for Miami than game 4 of the Nets series, where the line was also around -2/-2.5 and both sharps and public were pounding that one. That was hardly a must win game for Miami, while this one surely is. Go down 0-2 and you have to win 4 out of the next 5. Go down 0-2 and you are almost assured of having to win this thing in 7, on the road, against a very good home team. Go down 0-2 and you leave yourself no room for error, a gaff, a last second, lucky shot. That's why this line is so good. You are gonna get the Heat's best effort, probably for the entire playoffs thus far, at only -2/-2.5. There may not be another situation like this (for Heat backers) the entire series. And by situation I mean, a great line, for not only the better team (which, IMO, the Heat, despite their flaws, still are) but also the more desperate team.
Looking at previous playoff games between these two teams, the two times that Miami was in a must win type situation--game 4 in 2012 (with the Heat down 2-1, playing in Indi) and game 7 last year--the Heat won handily, with LBJ getting to the foul line 16 times in each of those games (even though he averaged around 6-7 for the series).
Meanwhile, when was the last time the Pacers put two solid games together? Even more importantly, when was the last time this team got so many free throws? A tiny drop off in their play, and a huge drop off in free throw attempts, along with the Heat's raised level of play, should be enough to cover this line and then some.
You might be right the Heat might win this game but you and most others are missing one thing this Pacers team was built to beat the Heat and that is it's only mission. Ya they looked like crap against Atlanta and Washington because they only wanted Miami and played well enough to get there. I would say this series and each game is a toss up and Miami might win but to say they are the better team.... NOT THIS TIME. I would not be surprised to see Indy win tomorrow and one in Miami. Now you can say Miami this and Miami that but you can not tell me they are a better team they are not. They have James and that is it the rest are OK role players. Pacers are a real match-up problem for Hear so if anyone tells you to bet your house on then they are ignorant fools.
You might be right the Heat might win this game but you and most others are missing one thing this Pacers team was built to beat the Heat and that is it's only mission. Ya they looked like crap against Atlanta and Washington because they only wanted Miami and played well enough to get there. I would say this series and each game is a toss up and Miami might win but to say they are the better team.... NOT THIS TIME. I would not be surprised to see Indy win tomorrow and one in Miami. Now you can say Miami this and Miami that but you can not tell me they are a better team they are not. They have James and that is it the rest are OK role players. Pacers are a real match-up problem for Hear so if anyone tells you to bet your house on then they are ignorant fools.
I did see a dream last night where the Pacers scored in the 70's, but was not gonna post a play based on my dreams:)
Back in the day (?!) I had a dream that Vernon Maxwell (starting point guard for the Houston Rockets) would be suspended for the next day's matchup against Portland. But I went ahead and laid the 5 points anyway. Sure enough, morning of the game, Maxwell, although not suuspended, was in jail, nabbed during a traffic stop for possessing an unregistered gun.
Playing without Maxwell, the Rockets were getting buried in the first half. But luck was on my side that night. Maxwell arrived at the arena in time to start the second half, and lit it up, leading the Rocket comeback. The bet came down to the last six seconds, with the Rockets up 4 and Olajuwan canning two free throws for the cover.
I did see a dream last night where the Pacers scored in the 70's, but was not gonna post a play based on my dreams:)
Back in the day (?!) I had a dream that Vernon Maxwell (starting point guard for the Houston Rockets) would be suspended for the next day's matchup against Portland. But I went ahead and laid the 5 points anyway. Sure enough, morning of the game, Maxwell, although not suuspended, was in jail, nabbed during a traffic stop for possessing an unregistered gun.
Playing without Maxwell, the Rockets were getting buried in the first half. But luck was on my side that night. Maxwell arrived at the arena in time to start the second half, and lit it up, leading the Rocket comeback. The bet came down to the last six seconds, with the Rockets up 4 and Olajuwan canning two free throws for the cover.
And so will the public, as they pile on the favorite (The Heat) against the home dog (The Pacers). There are times in sports betting that one gets to have his cake and eat it too, and tomorrow's Pacers/Heat game offers such an occasion. The public (finally) has the books by the balls and they will make them pay. I watched that Miami game again last night and I can tell you, Miami was there in body but not in spirit. That was especially true on defense and that's all you need to know for game 2.
In fact, this is a much better spot for Miami than game 4 of the Nets series, where the line was also around -2/-2.5 and both sharps and public were pounding that one. That was hardly a must win game for Miami, while this one surely is. Go down 0-2 and you have to win 4 out of the next 5. Go down 0-2 and you are almost assured of having to win this thing in 7, on the road, against a very good home team. Go down 0-2 and you leave yourself no room for error, a gaff, a last second, lucky shot. That's why this line is so good. You are gonna get the Heat's best effort, probably for the entire playoffs thus far, at only -2/-2.5. There may not be another situation like this (for Heat backers) the entire series. And by situation I mean, a great line, for not only the better team (which, IMO, the Heat, despite their flaws, still are) but also the more desperate team.
Looking at previous playoff games between these two teams, the two times that Miami was in a must win type situation--game 4 in 2012 (with the Heat down 2-1, playing in Indi) and game 7 last year--the Heat won handily, with LBJ getting to the foul line 16 times in each of those games (even though he averaged around 6-7 for the series).
Meanwhile, when was the last time the Pacers put two solid games together? Even more importantly, when was the last time this team got so many free throws? A tiny drop off in their play, and a huge drop off in free throw attempts, along with the Heat's raised level of play, should be enough to cover this line and then some.
The Play: The Heat -2 (I hate the hook)
fuggin fantastic write-up can't get more logical on insights than that. throw in Joe Crawford & Callahan for good measure and you can walk away even more confidence after you make your wager.
And so will the public, as they pile on the favorite (The Heat) against the home dog (The Pacers). There are times in sports betting that one gets to have his cake and eat it too, and tomorrow's Pacers/Heat game offers such an occasion. The public (finally) has the books by the balls and they will make them pay. I watched that Miami game again last night and I can tell you, Miami was there in body but not in spirit. That was especially true on defense and that's all you need to know for game 2.
In fact, this is a much better spot for Miami than game 4 of the Nets series, where the line was also around -2/-2.5 and both sharps and public were pounding that one. That was hardly a must win game for Miami, while this one surely is. Go down 0-2 and you have to win 4 out of the next 5. Go down 0-2 and you are almost assured of having to win this thing in 7, on the road, against a very good home team. Go down 0-2 and you leave yourself no room for error, a gaff, a last second, lucky shot. That's why this line is so good. You are gonna get the Heat's best effort, probably for the entire playoffs thus far, at only -2/-2.5. There may not be another situation like this (for Heat backers) the entire series. And by situation I mean, a great line, for not only the better team (which, IMO, the Heat, despite their flaws, still are) but also the more desperate team.
Looking at previous playoff games between these two teams, the two times that Miami was in a must win type situation--game 4 in 2012 (with the Heat down 2-1, playing in Indi) and game 7 last year--the Heat won handily, with LBJ getting to the foul line 16 times in each of those games (even though he averaged around 6-7 for the series).
Meanwhile, when was the last time the Pacers put two solid games together? Even more importantly, when was the last time this team got so many free throws? A tiny drop off in their play, and a huge drop off in free throw attempts, along with the Heat's raised level of play, should be enough to cover this line and then some.
The Play: The Heat -2 (I hate the hook)
fuggin fantastic write-up can't get more logical on insights than that. throw in Joe Crawford & Callahan for good measure and you can walk away even more confidence after you make your wager.
as I mentioned in another post (and like you say)...this is the best line you'll get for the next 3 games at least ....worst case scenario ? you lose with little juice and double up the when they get back home. BUT, regression to the mean is REAL and we'll see it tonight.
as I mentioned in another post (and like you say)...this is the best line you'll get for the next 3 games at least ....worst case scenario ? you lose with little juice and double up the when they get back home. BUT, regression to the mean is REAL and we'll see it tonight.
Interesting fact. Was listening to the radio and this reporter was talking about Evan Turner. He said the Pacers are 6-1 or 7-1 in the playoffs when Turner takes less than three shots. He thought the Pacers should quarantine the guy for the rest of the year (considering those stats and the fact that the Pacer's troubles started with the trade that brought him over). Turner will be active tonight.
Interesting fact. Was listening to the radio and this reporter was talking about Evan Turner. He said the Pacers are 6-1 or 7-1 in the playoffs when Turner takes less than three shots. He thought the Pacers should quarantine the guy for the rest of the year (considering those stats and the fact that the Pacer's troubles started with the trade that brought him over). Turner will be active tonight.
begginerboy listen to what you are saying. NBA vs Vegas, cant both win? Heat win a 1 point game???? Or if vegas as you say have to take it in the can for one night so nba gets spurs/heat than why wouldnt vegas make heat more of a fade? Doesnt that make you think twice? Everyone knows heat are desperate and supposed to be in finals so everyone will be hammering them tonight, so why did vegas open this line 1 point lower than game 1? which thet lost wire to wire? Doesnt this make you think twice? I personally hate both teams but this line is telling me pacers go up 2-0 or lose by 1. My 2 cents goodluck to you tonight sir
begginerboy listen to what you are saying. NBA vs Vegas, cant both win? Heat win a 1 point game???? Or if vegas as you say have to take it in the can for one night so nba gets spurs/heat than why wouldnt vegas make heat more of a fade? Doesnt that make you think twice? Everyone knows heat are desperate and supposed to be in finals so everyone will be hammering them tonight, so why did vegas open this line 1 point lower than game 1? which thet lost wire to wire? Doesnt this make you think twice? I personally hate both teams but this line is telling me pacers go up 2-0 or lose by 1. My 2 cents goodluck to you tonight sir
Your subconscious is feeling u that heat will lose buying the hook to 2. Pacers breeze through again u have a beer chance of getting the heat at halftime once down double digits
Your subconscious is feeling u that heat will lose buying the hook to 2. Pacers breeze through again u have a beer chance of getting the heat at halftime once down double digits
Interesting fact. Was listening to the radio and this reporter was talking about Evan Turner. He said the Pacers are 6-1 or 7-1 in the playoffs when Turner takes less than three shots. He thought the Pacers should quarantine the guy for the rest of the year (considering those stats and the fact that the Pacer's troubles started with the trade that brought him over). Turner will be active tonight.
Interesting fact. Was listening to the radio and this reporter was talking about Evan Turner. He said the Pacers are 6-1 or 7-1 in the playoffs when Turner takes less than three shots. He thought the Pacers should quarantine the guy for the rest of the year (considering those stats and the fact that the Pacer's troubles started with the trade that brought him over). Turner will be active tonight.
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