DENVER +4.5 ( 3 units ) This is a huge game as far as playoff implications are concerned. Neither team has secured a post season spot . The Nuggets have the upper hand and will clinch a playoff spot with a win this afternoon. The Suns are a solid 15-8 ats as a favorite but i find this stat a little misleading. Only 4 out of the 15 wins have come against teams that currently have a winning record. ( HOU,UTAH,LAK and CLIP ) The Nuggets road scoring is ranked #1 in the Nba at 103.8 ppg. Denver has beaten the Suns five straight and that should help their confidence level. Given the importance of this game , my line here would of been Phoenix -2. The Nuggets are 3-1 ats when playing on at least 2 days rest. One of those wins was a 109-92 against Phoenix back on 2/14. Ironically the line in the game was DENVER -10.5!!!!! YOU GOTTA LOVE THE VALUE TODAY GIVEN THE CURRENT CIRCUMSTANCES. I BELIEVE DENVER WILL WIN THIS GAME STRAIGHT UP.
DENVER +4.5 ( 3 units ) This is a huge game as far as playoff implications are concerned. Neither team has secured a post season spot . The Nuggets have the upper hand and will clinch a playoff spot with a win this afternoon. The Suns are a solid 15-8 ats as a favorite but i find this stat a little misleading. Only 4 out of the 15 wins have come against teams that currently have a winning record. ( HOU,UTAH,LAK and CLIP ) The Nuggets road scoring is ranked #1 in the Nba at 103.8 ppg. Denver has beaten the Suns five straight and that should help their confidence level. Given the importance of this game , my line here would of been Phoenix -2. The Nuggets are 3-1 ats when playing on at least 2 days rest. One of those wins was a 109-92 against Phoenix back on 2/14. Ironically the line in the game was DENVER -10.5!!!!! YOU GOTTA LOVE THE VALUE TODAY GIVEN THE CURRENT CIRCUMSTANCES. I BELIEVE DENVER WILL WIN THIS GAME STRAIGHT UP.
You gotta remember though that PHX was playing like stinky cowshit back then. They've started playing much better after the AS break. On the same side too, though. My only other concern is that PHX might give it their all since they don't have games to look forward to (they have a couple days' rest, methinks).
You gotta remember though that PHX was playing like stinky cowshit back then. They've started playing much better after the AS break. On the same side too, though. My only other concern is that PHX might give it their all since they don't have games to look forward to (they have a couple days' rest, methinks).
DENVER +4.5 ( 3 units ) This is a huge game as far as playoff implications are concerned. Neither team has secured a post season spot . The Nuggets have the upper hand and will clinch a playoff spot with a win this afternoon. The Suns are a solid 15-8 ats as a favorite but i find this stat a little misleading. Only 4 out of the 15 wins have come against teams that currently have a winning record. ( HOU,UTAH,LAK and CLIP ) The Nuggets road scoring is ranked #1 in the Nba at 103.8 ppg. Denver has beaten the Suns five straight and that should help their confidence level. Given the importance of this game , my line here would of been Phoenix -2. The Nuggets are 3-1 ats when playing on at least 2 days rest. One of those wins was a 109-92 against Phoenix back on 2/14. Ironically the line in the game was DENVER -10.5!!!!! YOU GOTTA LOVE THE VALUE TODAY GIVEN THE CURRENT CIRCUMSTANCES. I BELIEVE DENVER WILL WIN THIS GAME STRAIGHT UP.
GOOD LUCK
Dimes,
I am 100% with you on this play...
The Nuggets should not be Dogs by this much, I am also taking the ML in this one as I think they win SU in this spot...
DENVER +4.5 ( 3 units ) This is a huge game as far as playoff implications are concerned. Neither team has secured a post season spot . The Nuggets have the upper hand and will clinch a playoff spot with a win this afternoon. The Suns are a solid 15-8 ats as a favorite but i find this stat a little misleading. Only 4 out of the 15 wins have come against teams that currently have a winning record. ( HOU,UTAH,LAK and CLIP ) The Nuggets road scoring is ranked #1 in the Nba at 103.8 ppg. Denver has beaten the Suns five straight and that should help their confidence level. Given the importance of this game , my line here would of been Phoenix -2. The Nuggets are 3-1 ats when playing on at least 2 days rest. One of those wins was a 109-92 against Phoenix back on 2/14. Ironically the line in the game was DENVER -10.5!!!!! YOU GOTTA LOVE THE VALUE TODAY GIVEN THE CURRENT CIRCUMSTANCES. I BELIEVE DENVER WILL WIN THIS GAME STRAIGHT UP.
GOOD LUCK
Dimes,
I am 100% with you on this play...
The Nuggets should not be Dogs by this much, I am also taking the ML in this one as I think they win SU in this spot...
Tough board today with some big favorites against some dogs that have played decent down the stretch. This game did catch my eye, and I will probably join you on it. Denver is out of their slump now that George has his rotation in order, and they have gotten back to playing up tempo.
Tough board today with some big favorites against some dogs that have played decent down the stretch. This game did catch my eye, and I will probably join you on it. Denver is out of their slump now that George has his rotation in order, and they have gotten back to playing up tempo.
'' The Nuggets are 3-1 ats when playing on at least 2 days rest. One of those wins was a 109-92 against Phoenix back on 2/14. Ironically the line in the game was DENVER -10.5!!!!!YOU GOTTA LOVE THE VALUE TODAY GIVEN THE CURRENT CIRCUMSTANCES ''
You said Phoenix +9,5 was game of the week with 4 units for that game , which you mention now.You found great value on that game for +9,5 for Phoenix , but now you told about the line difference between today.
Secondly , Phoenix was playing very poor on those weeks and had not a good record.They are better than that time now.
Thirdly, you said Denver blew out but don't forget that Steve Nash and Grant Hill were rested and didn't play any minutes on that game.It was a fun game for Suns , played without their best player.Missing Nash was the main reason of that high line and so Denver blew out , we all know how Phoenix poor without Nash.
Last , I'm also curious about that , when you think a game where the line should be set -2 for home team by the bookies , do you find big value on away team if you have just 2 points more , for +4,5 ? I'm just curious about it.Because I know that if Phoenix covers -2 , they will probably also cover -4.5.Can't see big value , why 3 units ? This question is just for understand your system ?
Don't get this message as a negative review , I know you are a good bettor.I just think here your reasons and angle are not good enough to take it by 3 units and to see it as big value.I don't say Phoenix or Denver to cover , I won't touch it , but there are contradictions on your write up.
'' The Nuggets are 3-1 ats when playing on at least 2 days rest. One of those wins was a 109-92 against Phoenix back on 2/14. Ironically the line in the game was DENVER -10.5!!!!!YOU GOTTA LOVE THE VALUE TODAY GIVEN THE CURRENT CIRCUMSTANCES ''
You said Phoenix +9,5 was game of the week with 4 units for that game , which you mention now.You found great value on that game for +9,5 for Phoenix , but now you told about the line difference between today.
Secondly , Phoenix was playing very poor on those weeks and had not a good record.They are better than that time now.
Thirdly, you said Denver blew out but don't forget that Steve Nash and Grant Hill were rested and didn't play any minutes on that game.It was a fun game for Suns , played without their best player.Missing Nash was the main reason of that high line and so Denver blew out , we all know how Phoenix poor without Nash.
Last , I'm also curious about that , when you think a game where the line should be set -2 for home team by the bookies , do you find big value on away team if you have just 2 points more , for +4,5 ? I'm just curious about it.Because I know that if Phoenix covers -2 , they will probably also cover -4.5.Can't see big value , why 3 units ? This question is just for understand your system ?
Don't get this message as a negative review , I know you are a good bettor.I just think here your reasons and angle are not good enough to take it by 3 units and to see it as big value.I don't say Phoenix or Denver to cover , I won't touch it , but there are contradictions on your write up.
Denver looks great to me. I'm seeing +175 on their moneyline... definitely worth a stab at that price. They have a huge advantage at the rim and getting to the free throw line. Same story as when they played the Clippers the other night - unless Phoenix is really hot from downtown this is Denver's game to lose.
Denver looks great to me. I'm seeing +175 on their moneyline... definitely worth a stab at that price. They have a huge advantage at the rim and getting to the free throw line. Same story as when they played the Clippers the other night - unless Phoenix is really hot from downtown this is Denver's game to lose.
You gotta remember though that PHX was playing like stinky cowshit back then. They've started playing much better after the AS break. On the same side too, though. My only other concern is that PHX might give it their all since they don't have games to look forward to (they have a couple days' rest, methinks).
I realize that, but a 15 point swing in the point spread is a huge differential and therefore the value is on the Nuggets.
You gotta remember though that PHX was playing like stinky cowshit back then. They've started playing much better after the AS break. On the same side too, though. My only other concern is that PHX might give it their all since they don't have games to look forward to (they have a couple days' rest, methinks).
I realize that, but a 15 point swing in the point spread is a huge differential and therefore the value is on the Nuggets.
Yeh I have problems with this one also,I cant figure out how good Denver is,they seem to win the ones they should,but have screwed me a couple times in games like this,now they had some injuries awhile back and are better now,but I can see them trying to hang on to the cover and at the end it could go either way. I wanted to take Denver in this one,but dont think I will,maybe wait until halftime and see if there is a bet there,hope Denver is up 20 for you.
Yeh I have problems with this one also,I cant figure out how good Denver is,they seem to win the ones they should,but have screwed me a couple times in games like this,now they had some injuries awhile back and are better now,but I can see them trying to hang on to the cover and at the end it could go either way. I wanted to take Denver in this one,but dont think I will,maybe wait until halftime and see if there is a bet there,hope Denver is up 20 for you.
If Denver gets the win today, I think odds makers will start respecting them in the next games ahead. Denver is getting underestimated as a 4pt underdog.
If Denver gets the win today, I think odds makers will start respecting them in the next games ahead. Denver is getting underestimated as a 4pt underdog.
'' The Nuggets are 3-1 ats when playing on at least 2 days rest. One of those wins was a 109-92 against Phoenix back on 2/14. Ironically the line in the game was DENVER -10.5!!!!!YOU GOTTA LOVE THE VALUE TODAY GIVEN THE CURRENT CIRCUMSTANCES ''
You said Phoenix +9,5 was game of the week with 4 units for that game , which you mention now.You found great value on that game for +9,5 for Phoenix , but now you told about the line difference between today.
Secondly , Phoenix was playing very poor on those weeks and had not a good record.They are better than that time now.
Thirdly, you said Denver blew out but don't forget that Steve Nash and Grant Hill were rested and didn't play any minutes on that game.It was a fun game for Suns , played without their best player.Missing Nash was the main reason of that high line and so Denver blew out , we all know how Phoenix poor without Nash.
Last , I'm also curious about that , when you think a game where the line should be set -2 for home team by the bookies , do you find big value on away team if you have just 2 points more , for +4,5 ? I'm just curious about it.Because I know that if Phoenix covers -2 , they will probably also cover -4.5.Can't see big value , why 3 units ? This question is just for understand your system ?
Don't get this message as a negative review , I know you are a good bettor.I just think here your reasons and angle are not good enough to take it by 3 units and to see it as big value.I don't say Phoenix or Denver to cover , I won't touch it , but there are contradictions on your write up.
Good Luck man.
If you go back to that game on 2/14 it was the middle game of a B2B2B. The line opened Den -8 and closed at 10.5 or 11 in some some spots because Nash and Hill were rested . If you remember this was a late move because the absence of these players was a game time decision. I was stuck with a big ( 4u wager ) on the Suns +9 because I assumed Nash was going to sit in the third game on the third night. TOO BAD FOR ME !!! That's how this played out.
Today's value is all about the point spread. When you consider that Phoenix has been a favorite 23 times and have covered 15 out of the 23 but only 4 wins against teams currently playing over .500 it represents a false favorite.
Win or lose I still think it's the right play but others may differ. Your comments are always appreciated -----TY
'' The Nuggets are 3-1 ats when playing on at least 2 days rest. One of those wins was a 109-92 against Phoenix back on 2/14. Ironically the line in the game was DENVER -10.5!!!!!YOU GOTTA LOVE THE VALUE TODAY GIVEN THE CURRENT CIRCUMSTANCES ''
You said Phoenix +9,5 was game of the week with 4 units for that game , which you mention now.You found great value on that game for +9,5 for Phoenix , but now you told about the line difference between today.
Secondly , Phoenix was playing very poor on those weeks and had not a good record.They are better than that time now.
Thirdly, you said Denver blew out but don't forget that Steve Nash and Grant Hill were rested and didn't play any minutes on that game.It was a fun game for Suns , played without their best player.Missing Nash was the main reason of that high line and so Denver blew out , we all know how Phoenix poor without Nash.
Last , I'm also curious about that , when you think a game where the line should be set -2 for home team by the bookies , do you find big value on away team if you have just 2 points more , for +4,5 ? I'm just curious about it.Because I know that if Phoenix covers -2 , they will probably also cover -4.5.Can't see big value , why 3 units ? This question is just for understand your system ?
Don't get this message as a negative review , I know you are a good bettor.I just think here your reasons and angle are not good enough to take it by 3 units and to see it as big value.I don't say Phoenix or Denver to cover , I won't touch it , but there are contradictions on your write up.
Good Luck man.
If you go back to that game on 2/14 it was the middle game of a B2B2B. The line opened Den -8 and closed at 10.5 or 11 in some some spots because Nash and Hill were rested . If you remember this was a late move because the absence of these players was a game time decision. I was stuck with a big ( 4u wager ) on the Suns +9 because I assumed Nash was going to sit in the third game on the third night. TOO BAD FOR ME !!! That's how this played out.
Today's value is all about the point spread. When you consider that Phoenix has been a favorite 23 times and have covered 15 out of the 23 but only 4 wins against teams currently playing over .500 it represents a false favorite.
Win or lose I still think it's the right play but others may differ. Your comments are always appreciated -----TY
im considering the ML, but Denver is such a weak team mentally that defends the perimeter very poorly despite all the athletic and aggressive players that they can throw at you
im considering the ML, but Denver is such a weak team mentally that defends the perimeter very poorly despite all the athletic and aggressive players that they can throw at you
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