Both teams are coming into this one having played last night. Sixers had a very easy game, blowing out the Hawks for the whole game. Orlando, played a pretty close game all the way until the middle of the 4th quarter when they pulled away. As the Sixers had the luxury of resting their starters in the 4th, Orlando did not and I expect them to be more 'sluggish' today. Magic are only 5-9 ATS on 2nd of b2b while Sixers are 7-6 ATS in the same scenario, but are 6-2 ATS in their last 8. We also have a scenario where the bookies are over-valuing this Magic team, while under-valuing the Sixers are home. For the season, Magic are only 1-6 ATS as road favorites of 3 points or less, while Sixers are 4-0 ATS as home 'dogs' of 3 points or less. Hmmmm.... Looking at the home/away splits, Sixers are a solid 16-8 SU at home this year while Magic are only 14-13 in road games. So why are the Magic favorite here? Well, public perception of course.
Sixers have a 'revenge' angle in this one, as they lost their last game against Magic in Orlando by 1 point. They were 9 point dogs in that one. Sixers played well, holding Orlando to only 90 points in regulation (they lost 99-98 in OT). Everyone knows that Sixers' D is much better at home, and they held their last 5 home opponents to 95 ppg. When you look at who those opponents were, that 95 ppg # is even more impressive: Knicks, Nuggz, Grizz, Suns, and Jazz. All these teams are high scoring and Sixers have outplayed most of them, going 4-1 in these last 5 games. Now they get to face Orlando at home, in a 'revenge' game, in which Sixers are 21-9 ATS this season. Obviously this team takes their losses personally, and puts out max effort to 'avenge' them in future meetings.
Magic are only 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games, 1-4-1 ATS following an ATS win, and 3-13-1 ATS against teams with a home winning percentage above .600. Sixers, on the other hand, are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 as home dogs, 13-6 ATS at home, and 8-1 ATS when playing a team with a winning record. Philly has already covered both meetings this year (1-1 SU) and I see no reason why they don't have a great chance of winning this one at home.
#2: Detroit Pistons +1
This is a straight 'fade' of the Cavaliers. The Pistons are a better team (all teams are better than the Cavs) and even though I know Cleveland will be motivated for this one, I think Detroit will bring max effort as well. I know this might be a big 'sucker' bet, since Cleveland has been playing much better in their last 4 games, but I have to fade a team on a 25-game losing streak when they're listed as a favorite.
Both teams are coming into this one having played last night. Sixers had a very easy game, blowing out the Hawks for the whole game. Orlando, played a pretty close game all the way until the middle of the 4th quarter when they pulled away. As the Sixers had the luxury of resting their starters in the 4th, Orlando did not and I expect them to be more 'sluggish' today. Magic are only 5-9 ATS on 2nd of b2b while Sixers are 7-6 ATS in the same scenario, but are 6-2 ATS in their last 8. We also have a scenario where the bookies are over-valuing this Magic team, while under-valuing the Sixers are home. For the season, Magic are only 1-6 ATS as road favorites of 3 points or less, while Sixers are 4-0 ATS as home 'dogs' of 3 points or less. Hmmmm.... Looking at the home/away splits, Sixers are a solid 16-8 SU at home this year while Magic are only 14-13 in road games. So why are the Magic favorite here? Well, public perception of course.
Sixers have a 'revenge' angle in this one, as they lost their last game against Magic in Orlando by 1 point. They were 9 point dogs in that one. Sixers played well, holding Orlando to only 90 points in regulation (they lost 99-98 in OT). Everyone knows that Sixers' D is much better at home, and they held their last 5 home opponents to 95 ppg. When you look at who those opponents were, that 95 ppg # is even more impressive: Knicks, Nuggz, Grizz, Suns, and Jazz. All these teams are high scoring and Sixers have outplayed most of them, going 4-1 in these last 5 games. Now they get to face Orlando at home, in a 'revenge' game, in which Sixers are 21-9 ATS this season. Obviously this team takes their losses personally, and puts out max effort to 'avenge' them in future meetings.
Magic are only 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games, 1-4-1 ATS following an ATS win, and 3-13-1 ATS against teams with a home winning percentage above .600. Sixers, on the other hand, are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 as home dogs, 13-6 ATS at home, and 8-1 ATS when playing a team with a winning record. Philly has already covered both meetings this year (1-1 SU) and I see no reason why they don't have a great chance of winning this one at home.
#2: Detroit Pistons +1
This is a straight 'fade' of the Cavaliers. The Pistons are a better team (all teams are better than the Cavs) and even though I know Cleveland will be motivated for this one, I think Detroit will bring max effort as well. I know this might be a big 'sucker' bet, since Cleveland has been playing much better in their last 4 games, but I have to fade a team on a 25-game losing streak when they're listed as a favorite.
i dunno...maybe a "on the other side, but GL" would've been a little more considerate...but fuck it, this is a public forum and i'm not gonna waste my time with all the BS that comes with it
i dunno...maybe a "on the other side, but GL" would've been a little more considerate...but fuck it, this is a public forum and i'm not gonna waste my time with all the BS that comes with it
Bodio - i think the strek has a chnce to end soon , but, i agree with you , not tonight.
I think the effort in Dallas, going down , coming back , going down again and the climbing almost all the way back has got to put the Cavs in a little bit of a letdown spot tonight. Is it a winnable game for them , sure , if the Pistons don't show up , they could win.
But - i like that fact that the Pistons did not extend themselves last night and should have plenty in the tank to hold off the Cavs tonight in my opinion.
As for the Philly / Orlando game , i lean the other way but have to look at it some more - g/l
Bodio - i think the strek has a chnce to end soon , but, i agree with you , not tonight.
I think the effort in Dallas, going down , coming back , going down again and the climbing almost all the way back has got to put the Cavs in a little bit of a letdown spot tonight. Is it a winnable game for them , sure , if the Pistons don't show up , they could win.
But - i like that fact that the Pistons did not extend themselves last night and should have plenty in the tank to hold off the Cavs tonight in my opinion.
As for the Philly / Orlando game , i lean the other way but have to look at it some more - g/l
i dunno...maybe a "on the other side, but GL" would've been a little more considerate...but fuck it, this is a public forum and i'm not gonna waste my time with all the BS that comes with it
Exactly. Just don't let stuff like that get to you. It really ain't a big deal. It makes some people feel better so be it. At the end of the day all that matters is the +/- in the $$ column..
i dunno...maybe a "on the other side, but GL" would've been a little more considerate...but fuck it, this is a public forum and i'm not gonna waste my time with all the BS that comes with it
Exactly. Just don't let stuff like that get to you. It really ain't a big deal. It makes some people feel better so be it. At the end of the day all that matters is the +/- in the $$ column..
any thoughts on the Bulls tmr Bodio? decent price on them against a struggling jazz team and a few ex-jazz players on bulls..
Yeah, I looked at that game really hard. Bulls definitely have value at +2 / +2.5 but Jazz are a good home team (17-10). Bulls' road record is 11-12. I just feel that Jazz players are going to be a bit more motivated to win this one than Boozer. GL
any thoughts on the Bulls tmr Bodio? decent price on them against a struggling jazz team and a few ex-jazz players on bulls..
Yeah, I looked at that game really hard. Bulls definitely have value at +2 / +2.5 but Jazz are a good home team (17-10). Bulls' road record is 11-12. I just feel that Jazz players are going to be a bit more motivated to win this one than Boozer. GL
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