Enjoyed the back and forth in Sparky's thread that he posted yesterday night for today's games. Don't see a thread out there for tomorrow's games, so I figured I'd start one. Use this thread to post your thoughts on tomorrow's card.
Myself, I have already played the Royals +164. Si1ly had some good info in his thread about how Francis has struggled with right handed batters, of which the Jays will have plenty tomorrow. However, I just feel like this line is a bit too high.
Just a couple weeks ago, Brett Cecil was -135 at home to Rich Harden and the A's. Is there really all that much difference between Harden and the A's and Francis and the Royals. What would Harden and the A's be against Francis and the Royals on a neutral field? Probably around -115 or -120 or so. Therefore, I just don't see how Cecil can go from laying -135 against Harden and the A's to -175 against Francis and the Royals. I think this line settles from around the -155 or -160 range, maybe less, so I grabbed the +164 immediately. I believe this line opened at this inflated number due to a combination of Cecil's recent solid outings and Francis's recent struggles.
Enjoyed the back and forth in Sparky's thread that he posted yesterday night for today's games. Don't see a thread out there for tomorrow's games, so I figured I'd start one. Use this thread to post your thoughts on tomorrow's card.
Myself, I have already played the Royals +164. Si1ly had some good info in his thread about how Francis has struggled with right handed batters, of which the Jays will have plenty tomorrow. However, I just feel like this line is a bit too high.
Just a couple weeks ago, Brett Cecil was -135 at home to Rich Harden and the A's. Is there really all that much difference between Harden and the A's and Francis and the Royals. What would Harden and the A's be against Francis and the Royals on a neutral field? Probably around -115 or -120 or so. Therefore, I just don't see how Cecil can go from laying -135 against Harden and the A's to -175 against Francis and the Royals. I think this line settles from around the -155 or -160 range, maybe less, so I grabbed the +164 immediately. I believe this line opened at this inflated number due to a combination of Cecil's recent solid outings and Francis's recent struggles.
dont mind the pirates at +152. jackson has been nothing special for the cards and they just came off an ugly sweep that was probably the nail in the coffin for post season hopes.
dont mind the pirates at +152. jackson has been nothing special for the cards and they just came off an ugly sweep that was probably the nail in the coffin for post season hopes.
BoSox @ +150? Miller has been kinda pedestrian but so has Ogando lately. The Sox bats are on fire and a +150 who can hang a 10 spot any night sounds like a shot to me. Thoughts?
BoSox @ +150? Miller has been kinda pedestrian but so has Ogando lately. The Sox bats are on fire and a +150 who can hang a 10 spot any night sounds like a shot to me. Thoughts?
Anybody know when was the last time Yankee been swept at home by a team not named red sox? They need to bounce back but is Phil Hughes the guy to do it.
Anybody know when was the last time Yankee been swept at home by a team not named red sox? They need to bounce back but is Phil Hughes the guy to do it.
BoSox @ +150? Miller has been kinda pedestrian but so has Ogando lately. The Sox bats are on fire and a +150 who can hang a 10 spot any night sounds like a shot to me. Thoughts?
I've noticed Ogando gets a lot of respect from the linemakers.
This is purely a no play for me. I don't want to lay -160 against a team mashing the ball like the Red Sox are right now, but I also don't want to only get +150 with Andrew Miller on the road against Ogando and the Rangers. Don't like either option.
BoSox @ +150? Miller has been kinda pedestrian but so has Ogando lately. The Sox bats are on fire and a +150 who can hang a 10 spot any night sounds like a shot to me. Thoughts?
I've noticed Ogando gets a lot of respect from the linemakers.
This is purely a no play for me. I don't want to lay -160 against a team mashing the ball like the Red Sox are right now, but I also don't want to only get +150 with Andrew Miller on the road against Ogando and the Rangers. Don't like either option.
This seems really tricky or maybe I'm over thinking this? I know it's Miller, but a team that has crushed their opponent first 2 games +150? vs a pitcher like Oganado, who seems to be gassed? Ogando has never pitched this much ever before.
What's better Yankees RL or over? I thought Yankees would come out pissed today, but that didn't really look like the case...
Am I over thinking these two games thinking they might be traps?
This seems really tricky or maybe I'm over thinking this? I know it's Miller, but a team that has crushed their opponent first 2 games +150? vs a pitcher like Oganado, who seems to be gassed? Ogando has never pitched this much ever before.
What's better Yankees RL or over? I thought Yankees would come out pissed today, but that didn't really look like the case...
Am I over thinking these two games thinking they might be traps?
right now as i picked for the contest adn i have a .5 unit play on tigers because i loved when i saw no boesch or miggy..and line didnt move much on my site..
tone..u always talk about cents differential in home or away..i forgot what u sed it is..but i remember i was on garza 2 weeks ago wen he say beachy and beachy was like -190 or so..now hes -125 on the road to garza? i remember u saying its like a 30-40 cents swing it is supposed to be..correct?
right now as i picked for the contest adn i have a .5 unit play on tigers because i loved when i saw no boesch or miggy..and line didnt move much on my site..
tone..u always talk about cents differential in home or away..i forgot what u sed it is..but i remember i was on garza 2 weeks ago wen he say beachy and beachy was like -190 or so..now hes -125 on the road to garza? i remember u saying its like a 30-40 cents swing it is supposed to be..correct?
cubs are my favorite play tomorrow. Garza outduels beachy
Constanza back in the line up for Braves, their 3 main weapons Uggla,Freeman & Constaza are the ones that always gives Garza a real challenge for todays game.
cubs are my favorite play tomorrow. Garza outduels beachy
Constanza back in the line up for Braves, their 3 main weapons Uggla,Freeman & Constaza are the ones that always gives Garza a real challenge for todays game.
right now as i picked for the contest adn i have a .5 unit play on tigers because i loved when i saw no boesch or miggy..and line didnt move much on my site..
tone..u always talk about cents differential in home or away..i forgot what u sed it is..but i remember i was on garza 2 weeks ago wen he say beachy and beachy was like -190 or so..now hes -125 on the road to garza? i remember u saying its like a 30-40 cents swing it is supposed to be..correct?
hitter, sorry I didn't see this sooner to answer question.
In terms of the swing from home to road, generally speaking it's anywhere from 30 to 40 cents. Usually, for a game involving an exceptionally good home team like the Braves, I'll use 40 cents. There seems to be a premium on the Phillies, Yankees, and Red Sox where it even tends to be around 50 cents.
I know you said your new book had messed up lines... I think this may be the case here because the Braves closed -155 against Garza on 8/14, not -190. Applying the 40 cent move, I expected a line of -115/+105 in favor of ATL, which is pretty close to where it closed at.
right now as i picked for the contest adn i have a .5 unit play on tigers because i loved when i saw no boesch or miggy..and line didnt move much on my site..
tone..u always talk about cents differential in home or away..i forgot what u sed it is..but i remember i was on garza 2 weeks ago wen he say beachy and beachy was like -190 or so..now hes -125 on the road to garza? i remember u saying its like a 30-40 cents swing it is supposed to be..correct?
hitter, sorry I didn't see this sooner to answer question.
In terms of the swing from home to road, generally speaking it's anywhere from 30 to 40 cents. Usually, for a game involving an exceptionally good home team like the Braves, I'll use 40 cents. There seems to be a premium on the Phillies, Yankees, and Red Sox where it even tends to be around 50 cents.
I know you said your new book had messed up lines... I think this may be the case here because the Braves closed -155 against Garza on 8/14, not -190. Applying the 40 cent move, I expected a line of -115/+105 in favor of ATL, which is pretty close to where it closed at.
hitter, sorry I didn't see this sooner to answer question.
In terms of the swing from home to road, generally speaking it's anywhere from 30 to 40 cents. Usually, for a game involving an exceptionally good home team like the Braves, I'll use 40 cents. There seems to be a premium on the Phillies, Yankees, and Red Sox where it even tends to be around 50 cents.
I know you said your new book had messed up lines... I think this may be the case here because the Braves closed -155 against Garza on 8/14, not -190. Applying the 40 cent move, I expected a line of -115/+105 in favor of ATL, which is pretty close to where it closed at.
yea thank god im a dog bettor..this site is juiced the hell up..i got tigers +160 on my site..i see most got +150..
hitter, sorry I didn't see this sooner to answer question.
In terms of the swing from home to road, generally speaking it's anywhere from 30 to 40 cents. Usually, for a game involving an exceptionally good home team like the Braves, I'll use 40 cents. There seems to be a premium on the Phillies, Yankees, and Red Sox where it even tends to be around 50 cents.
I know you said your new book had messed up lines... I think this may be the case here because the Braves closed -155 against Garza on 8/14, not -190. Applying the 40 cent move, I expected a line of -115/+105 in favor of ATL, which is pretty close to where it closed at.
yea thank god im a dog bettor..this site is juiced the hell up..i got tigers +160 on my site..i see most got +150..
BoSox @ +150? Miller has been kinda pedestrian but so has Ogando lately. The Sox bats are on fire and a +150 who can hang a 10 spot any night sounds like a shot to me. Thoughts?
+150 is fools gold IMO... Of course the name Ogando brings a lot of respect from the linemakers but Andrew Miller is dogshit. He walks way too many and in the heat i expect Miller to get aggravated and tired and give up runs. I think the Rangers bats wake up tonight .
If you like the Sox in this one you might as well bet the over too because i think the Sox will have to score 6+ to win this game.
BoSox @ +150? Miller has been kinda pedestrian but so has Ogando lately. The Sox bats are on fire and a +150 who can hang a 10 spot any night sounds like a shot to me. Thoughts?
+150 is fools gold IMO... Of course the name Ogando brings a lot of respect from the linemakers but Andrew Miller is dogshit. He walks way too many and in the heat i expect Miller to get aggravated and tired and give up runs. I think the Rangers bats wake up tonight .
If you like the Sox in this one you might as well bet the over too because i think the Sox will have to score 6+ to win this game.
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so. It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly. Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality. Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it. As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.