All plays, unless otherwise noted, are 5 units, FLAT, I do not add the juice. That applies to all plays of any unit size. If anyone is confused by that I will post an example, just ask.
0-4, -20 Units Monday starts the week in a bit of a hole.
The good news: Not as bad as last week, which started -30 units.
More good news: I think I spotted Shrimp at the Orioles game last night. He is about ten years older and thirty pounds heavier than in that picture he uses in his avatar. If I had the right guy spotted he was wearing an Orioles T-shirt about the size of a parachute.
Sorry Getty, we have no photo of you and you didn’t hold up a “Hi Key” sign so I can not testify about you. Anyway, you guys got your wish and the Orioles staggered in with the win. I am not immature or naïve about these things, but come on, Fords first home run in five years and McLouths second of the season? Sheesh!
5 & 9 Inning Plays Today
Mariners +117, +121, (Iwakuma / Diamond)
Reds-Diamondbacks Under 4, +100, Under 8, -120, (Cueto / Miley)
Red Sox +170, +184, (Bucholz / Weaver)
Iwakuma may still be the best kept secret in MLB considering how late in the year it is, and the Mariners offense is vastly under rated because folks look at their overall stats, which include a lot of low numbers, thanks to their home park. Noone seems to notice that opponents they host don’t hit any better there and the Mariners hit much better away from home, particularly east of the Rocky Mountains. False favorite.
Cueto / Miley is the meanest matchup of the night and neither team is hitting particularly well. Yes, the roof will be closed for those that care about that angle. Alan Porter behind the plate fills in the picture nicely.
I don’t really care about any emotional angle some guys may want to tag on to this game. There is no bitter hatred or overwhelming desire tied to this game. These guys are professionals and trades are part of the business. All they are going to do is play a game. Bucholz shows me only one truly weak start in his last start was an aberration and he should bounce back nicely. Weaver is vulnerable and those two factors mean the line is way out of synch with reality. At the current full game line of -197 the Angels would have to have a 66.3% chance of success to earn you 50.8 cents on the dollar. That does not compare well to 184 cents on the dollar, not at a 3.62 to 1 ratio.
BOL