YTD: 313-298-26, +310.7 Units, +10.2% RoR
3-5, -6.85 Units Tuesday brings the week to 7-8, +2.9 Units
backdoor_cover: Gutsy call on the Grand Salami UNDER yesterday. Almost remarkable the books offered 131 and my number was 129 and you split the difference, 130! Kudos!
Back to the business at hand.
5 & 9 Inning Plays Today
Cardinals -.5, +110, -1.5, +135, (Lohse / Richard)
Finally, an ideal situation for the Cardinals to bust out and look like a contender. A Lohse-Richard matchup with the Cardinals embarrassed and looking for a win is almost a gimme.
Orioles +110, +113, (Cobb / Gonzalez)
Offense and bullpen, smoke and mirrors, who gives a damn about how the Orioles are doing it? The important is that they continue to do it. The Rays were my pre season pick for the division but injuries to an offense that could not afford them have probably cost them a playoff birth. I honestly think if they finish first or second in the division it will be due to a Yankee collapse. The Orioles play with too much heart to think they will give in.
Pirates +127, +129, (Burnett / Bailey)
He is not eligible because the award is for a player that missed all or most of last season due to injury, but if I were allowed to nominate or name a “Comeback Player Of The Year” it might be A.J. Burnett. This man has salvaged a career many thought was over and added maturity and professionalism to a staff that badly needed it. I am not a big Homer Bailey fan and his fall off at the end of the year is not unexpected or any different than we have seen in prior years, the man simply runs out of gas in August.
A’s +112, +114, (Griffin / Santana)
KEYMetrics are neither SABRmetrics nor traditional era vs. batting average handicapping. Many factors are employed to arrive at a true probability as opposed to the perceived probability which the linemakers use to build a line for the public to bet into. Today they offer the Angels (again) as the favorite, due to home field advantage and your very public perception of the Angels as the “better team”. I have ridden the A’s to four straight wins (5 & 9) so far because the Angels do have home field advantage, of minimal value at best, they are NOT the better team. Today’s mismatch is the worst of the three so far and there is absolutely no reason the A’s should not win.
BOL