https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=101568922
If you have never read my wagering strategy I encourage you to do so. Whether or not you adopt is it your choice.
MLB 2012 Regular Season: 363-369 +245.87 Units 6.72% ROI
MLB 2012 Playoffs: 12-9-3 +10.29 Units 14.6% ROI
MLB 2012 @ 1 unit per play = +51.23 Net Units
2013 - ?????????????
5 & 9 Innings – 4/01/13 ALWAYS Specify Pitchers – NO action plays
All plays today are 5 units, per my strategy
Giants (+135) (+138) over Dodgers (Cain / Kershaw)
Questionable whether Matt Cain should ever be an underdog to anyone, even Clayton Kershaw, but given the proven offensive superiority of the Giants over the Dodgers we have a bonus $ situation that should not exist, except in the minds of those willing to pay an exorbitant price for HFA.
Angels (-106) (-101) over Reds (Weaver / Cueto) (94.34 / 99.00)
I already went out on a limb and called the AL West the best division in baseball and the Angels the best of the best in that division, so it is time to put my money where my mouth is. Angels in this role with their top gun on the hill is far better than the “true line” I computed at -133.
Royals (+122) (+127) over White Sox (Shields / Sales)
Going against Sales is tough, but these Royals are an inspired bunch that can hit all the way through the lineup. Dog opportunities may be far and few between in the near future.
Phillies (-101) (+103) (Hamels /
I have been saying for a couple years now that there was a Cy Young award in Hamels future. This may be the year as he ascends to “top gun” status on a very good staff and has a healthier offense behind him that is still very much a threat to the opposing pitchers.
Mariners (-104) (+101) (Hernandez / Anderson) (96.15)
As stated in my totals post I believe these two teams are headed in opposite directions this year and they may as well show it on opening day. The Mariners were not nearly as bad as folks thought last year and the edges by which the A’s won the West were really very slim.
One other note; Waiting for 5 inning lines to open caused me some odds on the 9 inning line. As of today I think I will play and post 9 inning plays asap, like the night before, then update the thread for 5 inning play when the 5 inning lines open.
BOL