RANGERS / As OVER 7.5 Derek Holland has given up 5 ER in each of his last 3 starts. McCarthy was throwing batting practice in his last outing vs. the Angels. Both pitchers are certainly capable of better, but I'd rather follow the trend for this game.
GIANTS / NATIONALS OVER 7.5 Madison Bumgarner pitched well last start vs. the Pirates, but the for season, he is in sophomore slump, a much different pitcher from the rookie we saw last year. Gorzelanny seems due for a letdown.
ANGELS / RED SOX OVER 8 Both pitchers are coming off of ailments. Jeff Weaver was scratched on Sunday due to a weekend bout with stomach virus. Buchholz was also pushed back due to "intestinal turmoil." Maybe both aces come out strong, but maybe a few extra runs squirt across the plate.
BREWERS / BRAVES UNDER 7.5 The Braves should win this game with Jurrjens on the mound, but they've given away low-scoring leads and the offense is still a question mark. Despite Gallardo's struggles, reports say that his fastball velocity and movement are still good with the problem being location. Gallardo has held the Braves to a .198 in 96 ABs. I suspect that I will know in first two innings whether or not this play will work.
ORIOLES +100 White Sox are in a terrible funk, losing 14 of their last 18 games and now face a 4-game sweep at home. Sox send Buehrle to the mound - in his six starts, he's given up 4 or more ER in 4 of them. Guthrie, on the other hand, has delivered 4 high quality starts in his 5 outings.
MARLINS / CARDINALS OVER 8.5 Fading both starting pitchers. Lohse has been terrific (and he's won some games for me) but his best year (2008) was a 3.78 ERA and 1.30 WHIP - Lohse is currently around 1/2 of those two ratios. You also get a kicker with the Cardinals bullpen.
DODGERS RUN LINE -1.5 +105 Kershaw at home is usually a solid play. He's up against James Russell. He is a journeyman minor leaguer who has not had much success in at any level. Dodgers should be able to hang 4+ on him.
RANGERS / As OVER 7.5 Derek Holland has given up 5 ER in each of his last 3 starts. McCarthy was throwing batting practice in his last outing vs. the Angels. Both pitchers are certainly capable of better, but I'd rather follow the trend for this game.
GIANTS / NATIONALS OVER 7.5 Madison Bumgarner pitched well last start vs. the Pirates, but the for season, he is in sophomore slump, a much different pitcher from the rookie we saw last year. Gorzelanny seems due for a letdown.
ANGELS / RED SOX OVER 8 Both pitchers are coming off of ailments. Jeff Weaver was scratched on Sunday due to a weekend bout with stomach virus. Buchholz was also pushed back due to "intestinal turmoil." Maybe both aces come out strong, but maybe a few extra runs squirt across the plate.
BREWERS / BRAVES UNDER 7.5 The Braves should win this game with Jurrjens on the mound, but they've given away low-scoring leads and the offense is still a question mark. Despite Gallardo's struggles, reports say that his fastball velocity and movement are still good with the problem being location. Gallardo has held the Braves to a .198 in 96 ABs. I suspect that I will know in first two innings whether or not this play will work.
ORIOLES +100 White Sox are in a terrible funk, losing 14 of their last 18 games and now face a 4-game sweep at home. Sox send Buehrle to the mound - in his six starts, he's given up 4 or more ER in 4 of them. Guthrie, on the other hand, has delivered 4 high quality starts in his 5 outings.
MARLINS / CARDINALS OVER 8.5 Fading both starting pitchers. Lohse has been terrific (and he's won some games for me) but his best year (2008) was a 3.78 ERA and 1.30 WHIP - Lohse is currently around 1/2 of those two ratios. You also get a kicker with the Cardinals bullpen.
DODGERS RUN LINE -1.5 +105 Kershaw at home is usually a solid play. He's up against James Russell. He is a journeyman minor leaguer who has not had much success in at any level. Dodgers should be able to hang 4+ on him.
RANGERS / As OVER 7.5 Derek
Holland has given up 5 ER in each of his last 3 starts. McCarthy was
throwing batting practice in his last outing vs. the Angels. Both
pitchers are certainly capable of better, but I'd rather follow the
trend for this game.
McCarthy must've been on the over today. When you are on the "over" unearned runs are like candy. When the pitcher himself is the source of those runs, you just have to smile.
Nice 1-0 to start Monday . . . let's keep this going!
========================================
GIANTS / NATIONALS OVER 7.5 Madison
Bumgarner pitched well last start vs. the Pirates, but the for season,
he is in sophomore slump, a much different pitcher from the rookie we
saw last year. Gorzelanny seems due for a letdown.
ANGELS / RED SOX OVER 8 Both
pitchers are coming off of ailments. Jeff Weaver was scratched on
Sunday due to a weekend bout with stomach virus. Buchholz was also
pushed back due to "intestinal turmoil." Maybe both aces come out
strong, but maybe a few extra runs squirt across the plate.
BREWERS / BRAVES UNDER 7.5 The
Braves should win this game with Jurrjens on the mound, but they've
given away low-scoring leads and the offense is still a question mark.
Despite Gallardo's struggles, reports say that his fastball velocity and
movement are still good with the problem being location. Gallardo has
held the Braves to a .198 in 96 ABs. I suspect that I will know in first
two innings whether or not this play will work.
ORIOLES +100 White
Sox are in a terrible funk, losing 14 of their last 18 games and now
face a 4-game sweep at home. Sox send Buehrle to the mound - in his six
starts, he's given up 4 or more ER in 4 of them. Guthrie, on the other
hand, has delivered 4 high quality starts in his 5 outings.
MARLINS / CARDINALS OVER 8.5 Fading
both starting pitchers. Lohse has been terrific (and he's won some
games for me) but his best year (2008) was a 3.78 ERA and 1.30 WHIP -
Lohse is currently around 1/2 of those two ratios. You also get a kicker
with the Cardinals bullpen.
DODGERS RUN LINE -1.5 +105 Kershaw
at home is usually a solid play. He's up against James Russell. He is a
journeyman minor leaguer who has not had much success in at any level.
Dodgers should be able to hang 4+ on him.
RANGERS / As OVER 7.5 Derek
Holland has given up 5 ER in each of his last 3 starts. McCarthy was
throwing batting practice in his last outing vs. the Angels. Both
pitchers are certainly capable of better, but I'd rather follow the
trend for this game.
McCarthy must've been on the over today. When you are on the "over" unearned runs are like candy. When the pitcher himself is the source of those runs, you just have to smile.
Nice 1-0 to start Monday . . . let's keep this going!
========================================
GIANTS / NATIONALS OVER 7.5 Madison
Bumgarner pitched well last start vs. the Pirates, but the for season,
he is in sophomore slump, a much different pitcher from the rookie we
saw last year. Gorzelanny seems due for a letdown.
ANGELS / RED SOX OVER 8 Both
pitchers are coming off of ailments. Jeff Weaver was scratched on
Sunday due to a weekend bout with stomach virus. Buchholz was also
pushed back due to "intestinal turmoil." Maybe both aces come out
strong, but maybe a few extra runs squirt across the plate.
BREWERS / BRAVES UNDER 7.5 The
Braves should win this game with Jurrjens on the mound, but they've
given away low-scoring leads and the offense is still a question mark.
Despite Gallardo's struggles, reports say that his fastball velocity and
movement are still good with the problem being location. Gallardo has
held the Braves to a .198 in 96 ABs. I suspect that I will know in first
two innings whether or not this play will work.
ORIOLES +100 White
Sox are in a terrible funk, losing 14 of their last 18 games and now
face a 4-game sweep at home. Sox send Buehrle to the mound - in his six
starts, he's given up 4 or more ER in 4 of them. Guthrie, on the other
hand, has delivered 4 high quality starts in his 5 outings.
MARLINS / CARDINALS OVER 8.5 Fading
both starting pitchers. Lohse has been terrific (and he's won some
games for me) but his best year (2008) was a 3.78 ERA and 1.30 WHIP -
Lohse is currently around 1/2 of those two ratios. You also get a kicker
with the Cardinals bullpen.
DODGERS RUN LINE -1.5 +105 Kershaw
at home is usually a solid play. He's up against James Russell. He is a
journeyman minor leaguer who has not had much success in at any level.
Dodgers should be able to hang 4+ on him.
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