Tue 09/27 #1: Toronto Blue Jays +121 White
Sox have never seen Alvarez before and the kid has great stuff.
Toronto is the 5th best hitting team against Buehrle, who's been
struggling lately, and is on the down-slope of his career. I could say
that I'm backing a better starter and a better offense in this one. But
honestly, the fact that Ozzie won't be on the ChiSox sidelines for the
first time in the last 8 years could be the greatest factor here.
Baseball is a mental game, and it will be very 'different' for these
White Sox players in their first game without their 'old' skipper.
====================================
Action Parlay: Giants ML / Barcelona ML (SPL) -130(combined odds)
Good luck!
_________________ '10 MLBP: 20 - 8 @ 71% for +$13,130 '10 NFL: 58-44 @ 57% for +$9,600 '10 NFLP: 8-2 @ 80% for +$5,800 '10 CFB: 55-54 @ 51% for -$4,400 '10 CFBP: 4-4 @ 50% for -$400 '10 CBB: 39-18 @ 68% for +$19,200 '10 CBBP: 16-6 @ 73% for +$9,400 '10 NBA: 151-99 @ 60% for +$42,100 '10 NBAP: 30-26 @ 54% for +$1,400 '10 NHL: 18-9 @ 67% for +$6,175 '10 NHLP: 16-7 @ 70% for +$5,575
----------------------------------- TOTAL: 415-277 @ 60% for +$107,580
"A dollar won is twice as sweet as a dollar earned"
Tue 09/27 #1: Toronto Blue Jays +121 White
Sox have never seen Alvarez before and the kid has great stuff.
Toronto is the 5th best hitting team against Buehrle, who's been
struggling lately, and is on the down-slope of his career. I could say
that I'm backing a better starter and a better offense in this one. But
honestly, the fact that Ozzie won't be on the ChiSox sidelines for the
first time in the last 8 years could be the greatest factor here.
Baseball is a mental game, and it will be very 'different' for these
White Sox players in their first game without their 'old' skipper.
====================================
Action Parlay: Giants ML / Barcelona ML (SPL) -130(combined odds)
Good luck!
_________________ '10 MLBP: 20 - 8 @ 71% for +$13,130 '10 NFL: 58-44 @ 57% for +$9,600 '10 NFLP: 8-2 @ 80% for +$5,800 '10 CFB: 55-54 @ 51% for -$4,400 '10 CFBP: 4-4 @ 50% for -$400 '10 CBB: 39-18 @ 68% for +$19,200 '10 CBBP: 16-6 @ 73% for +$9,400 '10 NBA: 151-99 @ 60% for +$42,100 '10 NBAP: 30-26 @ 54% for +$1,400 '10 NHL: 18-9 @ 67% for +$6,175 '10 NHLP: 16-7 @ 70% for +$5,575
----------------------------------- TOTAL: 415-277 @ 60% for +$107,580
"A dollar won is twice as sweet as a dollar earned"
Philadelphia Phillies 100-60 (63%) @ Atlanta Braves 89-71 (56%)
R.
Oswalt, starting for Philadelphia Phillies, has a FIP of 3.5 (#49 in
MLB), xFIP of 3.97 (#105 in MLB), and tERA of 3.85 (#59 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .321, LOB% of 73%, and E-F of 0.36. He has a K/BB ratio of
2.78, with a WHIP of 1.37, and opponent BA of .28. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 45%, FB%: 35% for a 1.26 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 6%.
D. Lowe, starting for Atlanta Braves, has a
FIP of 3.67 (#67 in MLB), xFIP of 3.65 (#53 in MLB), and tERA of 3.99
(#71 in MLB), with a BABIP of .327, LOB% of 67%, and E-F of 1.25. He has
a K/BB ratio of 1.93, with a WHIP of 1.51, and opponent BA of .279. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 59%, FB%: 22% for a 2.65
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.
Philadelphia Phillies have the
#20 bullpen, #14 offense, and are rated #18 in fielding. They have a
road record of 48-31 (61%), ranked #1 in MLB and have Won 2 in a row.
Atlanta
Braves have the #1 bullpen, #22 offense, and are rated #25 in fielding.
They have a home record of 47-32 (59%), ranked #7 in MLB and have Lost 3
in a row.
Washington Nationals 79-80 (50%) @ Florida Marlins 71-89 (44%)
J.
Lannan, starting for Washington Nationals, has a FIP of 4.3 (#151 in
MLB), xFIP of 4.2 (#142 in MLB), and tERA of 5 (#177 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .299, LOB% of 73%, and E-F of -0.57. He has a K/BB ratio of
1.4, with a WHIP of 1.48, and opponent BA of .271. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 55%, FB%: 24% for a 2.23 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 11%.
J. Vazquez, starting for Florida Marlins, has
a FIP of 3.62 (#61 in MLB), xFIP of 3.96 (#102 in MLB), and tERA of
3.87 (#61 in MLB), with a BABIP of .282, LOB% of 69%, and E-F of 0.15.
He has a K/BB ratio of 3.06, with a WHIP of 1.21, and opponent BA of
.242. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 34%, FB%: 47% for a
0.72 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 8%.
Washington Nationals have
the #10 bullpen, #23 offense, and are rated #22 in fielding. They have a
road record of 35-44 (44%), ranked #22 in MLB and have Won 3 in a row.
Florida
Marlins have the #9 bullpen, #20 offense, and are rated #17 in
fielding. They have a home record of 30-46 (39%), ranked #28 in MLB and
have Lost 4 in a row.
Cincinnati Reds 78-82 (49%) @ New York Mets 76-84 (48%)
B.
Arroyo, starting for Cincinnati Reds, has a FIP of 5.72 (#240 in MLB),
xFIP of 4.57 (#194 in MLB), and tERA of 6.1 (#229 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .278, LOB% of 74%, and E-F of -0.63. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.32,
with a WHIP of 1.37, and opponent BA of .282. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 38%, FB%: 43% for a 0.88 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 16%.
C. Capuano, starting for New York Mets, has a
FIP of 4 (#106 in MLB), xFIP of 3.73 (#67 in MLB), and tERA of 3.81
(#54 in MLB), with a BABIP of .311, LOB% of 72%, and E-F of 0.53. He has
a K/BB ratio of 3.12, with a WHIP of 1.35, and opponent BA of .266. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 42%, FB%: 41% for a 1.03
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 11%.
Cincinnati Reds have the #25
bullpen, #10 offense, and are rated #3 in fielding. They have a road
record of 36-43 (46%), ranked #18 in MLB and have Won 2 in a row.
New
York Mets have the #16 bullpen, #10 offense, and are rated #30 in
fielding. They have a home record of 33-46 (42%), ranked #27 in MLB and
have Lost 2 in a row.
St Louis Cardinals 88-72 (55%) @ Houston Astros 56-104 (35%)
J.
Westbrook, starting for St Louis Cardinals, has a FIP of 4.27 (#139 in
MLB), xFIP of 4.06 (#121 in MLB), and tERA of 4.42 (#116 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .307, LOB% of 70%, and E-F of 0.2. He has a K/BB ratio of
1.42, with a WHIP of 1.51, and opponent BA of .279. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 60%, FB%: 22% for a 2.69 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 12%.
H. Sosa, starting for Houston Astros, has a
FIP of 4.8 (#203 in MLB), xFIP of 4.39 (#166 in MLB), and tERA of 4.72
(#154 in MLB), with a BABIP of .286, LOB% of 74%, and E-F of -0.12. He
has a K/BB ratio of 1.76, with a WHIP of 1.4, and opponent BA of .257.
His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 45%, FB%: 38% for a 1.19
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 13%.
St Louis Cardinals have the #19
bullpen, #5 offense, and are rated #26 in fielding. They have a road
record of 43-36 (54%), ranked #5 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
Houston
Astros have the #26 bullpen, #24 offense, and are rated #23 in
fielding. They have a home record of 31-48 (39%), ranked #29 in MLB and
have Won 1 in a row.
R.
Ohlendorf, starting for Pittsburgh Pirates, has a FIP of 5.43 (#234 in
MLB), xFIP of 4.94 (#230 in MLB), and tERA of 6.09 (#228 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .398, LOB% of 60%, and E-F of 2.86. He has a K/BB ratio of 2,
with a WHIP of 1.99, and opponent BA of .359. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 25%, GB%: 35%, FB%: 40% for a 0.88 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 12%.
R. Wolf, starting for Milwaukee Brewers, has a
FIP of 4.3 (#151 in MLB), xFIP of 4.43 (#172 in MLB), and tERA of 4.92
(#173 in MLB), with a BABIP of .282, LOB% of 76%, and E-F of -0.69. He
has a K/BB ratio of 2.08, with a WHIP of 1.3, and opponent BA of .257.
His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 23%, GB%: 37%, FB%: 40% for a 0.93
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 9%.
Pittsburgh Pirates have the #13
bullpen, #26 offense, and are rated #19 in fielding. They have a road
record of 36-43 (46%), ranked #18 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
Milwaukee
Brewers have the #3 bullpen, #8 offense, and are rated #8 in fielding.
They have a home record of 55-24 (70%), ranked #1 in MLB and have Lost 1
in a row.
Philadelphia Phillies 100-60 (63%) @ Atlanta Braves 89-71 (56%)
R.
Oswalt, starting for Philadelphia Phillies, has a FIP of 3.5 (#49 in
MLB), xFIP of 3.97 (#105 in MLB), and tERA of 3.85 (#59 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .321, LOB% of 73%, and E-F of 0.36. He has a K/BB ratio of
2.78, with a WHIP of 1.37, and opponent BA of .28. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 45%, FB%: 35% for a 1.26 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 6%.
D. Lowe, starting for Atlanta Braves, has a
FIP of 3.67 (#67 in MLB), xFIP of 3.65 (#53 in MLB), and tERA of 3.99
(#71 in MLB), with a BABIP of .327, LOB% of 67%, and E-F of 1.25. He has
a K/BB ratio of 1.93, with a WHIP of 1.51, and opponent BA of .279. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 59%, FB%: 22% for a 2.65
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.
Philadelphia Phillies have the
#20 bullpen, #14 offense, and are rated #18 in fielding. They have a
road record of 48-31 (61%), ranked #1 in MLB and have Won 2 in a row.
Atlanta
Braves have the #1 bullpen, #22 offense, and are rated #25 in fielding.
They have a home record of 47-32 (59%), ranked #7 in MLB and have Lost 3
in a row.
Washington Nationals 79-80 (50%) @ Florida Marlins 71-89 (44%)
J.
Lannan, starting for Washington Nationals, has a FIP of 4.3 (#151 in
MLB), xFIP of 4.2 (#142 in MLB), and tERA of 5 (#177 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .299, LOB% of 73%, and E-F of -0.57. He has a K/BB ratio of
1.4, with a WHIP of 1.48, and opponent BA of .271. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 55%, FB%: 24% for a 2.23 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 11%.
J. Vazquez, starting for Florida Marlins, has
a FIP of 3.62 (#61 in MLB), xFIP of 3.96 (#102 in MLB), and tERA of
3.87 (#61 in MLB), with a BABIP of .282, LOB% of 69%, and E-F of 0.15.
He has a K/BB ratio of 3.06, with a WHIP of 1.21, and opponent BA of
.242. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 34%, FB%: 47% for a
0.72 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 8%.
Washington Nationals have
the #10 bullpen, #23 offense, and are rated #22 in fielding. They have a
road record of 35-44 (44%), ranked #22 in MLB and have Won 3 in a row.
Florida
Marlins have the #9 bullpen, #20 offense, and are rated #17 in
fielding. They have a home record of 30-46 (39%), ranked #28 in MLB and
have Lost 4 in a row.
Cincinnati Reds 78-82 (49%) @ New York Mets 76-84 (48%)
B.
Arroyo, starting for Cincinnati Reds, has a FIP of 5.72 (#240 in MLB),
xFIP of 4.57 (#194 in MLB), and tERA of 6.1 (#229 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .278, LOB% of 74%, and E-F of -0.63. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.32,
with a WHIP of 1.37, and opponent BA of .282. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 38%, FB%: 43% for a 0.88 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 16%.
C. Capuano, starting for New York Mets, has a
FIP of 4 (#106 in MLB), xFIP of 3.73 (#67 in MLB), and tERA of 3.81
(#54 in MLB), with a BABIP of .311, LOB% of 72%, and E-F of 0.53. He has
a K/BB ratio of 3.12, with a WHIP of 1.35, and opponent BA of .266. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 42%, FB%: 41% for a 1.03
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 11%.
Cincinnati Reds have the #25
bullpen, #10 offense, and are rated #3 in fielding. They have a road
record of 36-43 (46%), ranked #18 in MLB and have Won 2 in a row.
New
York Mets have the #16 bullpen, #10 offense, and are rated #30 in
fielding. They have a home record of 33-46 (42%), ranked #27 in MLB and
have Lost 2 in a row.
St Louis Cardinals 88-72 (55%) @ Houston Astros 56-104 (35%)
J.
Westbrook, starting for St Louis Cardinals, has a FIP of 4.27 (#139 in
MLB), xFIP of 4.06 (#121 in MLB), and tERA of 4.42 (#116 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .307, LOB% of 70%, and E-F of 0.2. He has a K/BB ratio of
1.42, with a WHIP of 1.51, and opponent BA of .279. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 60%, FB%: 22% for a 2.69 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 12%.
H. Sosa, starting for Houston Astros, has a
FIP of 4.8 (#203 in MLB), xFIP of 4.39 (#166 in MLB), and tERA of 4.72
(#154 in MLB), with a BABIP of .286, LOB% of 74%, and E-F of -0.12. He
has a K/BB ratio of 1.76, with a WHIP of 1.4, and opponent BA of .257.
His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 45%, FB%: 38% for a 1.19
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 13%.
St Louis Cardinals have the #19
bullpen, #5 offense, and are rated #26 in fielding. They have a road
record of 43-36 (54%), ranked #5 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
Houston
Astros have the #26 bullpen, #24 offense, and are rated #23 in
fielding. They have a home record of 31-48 (39%), ranked #29 in MLB and
have Won 1 in a row.
R.
Ohlendorf, starting for Pittsburgh Pirates, has a FIP of 5.43 (#234 in
MLB), xFIP of 4.94 (#230 in MLB), and tERA of 6.09 (#228 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .398, LOB% of 60%, and E-F of 2.86. He has a K/BB ratio of 2,
with a WHIP of 1.99, and opponent BA of .359. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 25%, GB%: 35%, FB%: 40% for a 0.88 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 12%.
R. Wolf, starting for Milwaukee Brewers, has a
FIP of 4.3 (#151 in MLB), xFIP of 4.43 (#172 in MLB), and tERA of 4.92
(#173 in MLB), with a BABIP of .282, LOB% of 76%, and E-F of -0.69. He
has a K/BB ratio of 2.08, with a WHIP of 1.3, and opponent BA of .257.
His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 23%, GB%: 37%, FB%: 40% for a 0.93
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 9%.
Pittsburgh Pirates have the #13
bullpen, #26 offense, and are rated #19 in fielding. They have a road
record of 36-43 (46%), ranked #18 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
Milwaukee
Brewers have the #3 bullpen, #8 offense, and are rated #8 in fielding.
They have a home record of 55-24 (70%), ranked #1 in MLB and have Lost 1
in a row.
Chicago Cubs 70-90 (44%) @ San Diego Padres 70-90 (44%)
M.
Garza, starting for Chicago Cubs, has a FIP of 3 (#14 in MLB), xFIP of
3.23 (#17 in MLB), and tERA of 3.65 (#41 in MLB), with a BABIP of .307,
LOB% of 70%, and E-F of 0.34. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.1, with a WHIP of
1.27, and opponent BA of .242. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%:
21%, GB%: 46%, FB%: 33% for a 1.37 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 8%.
A.
Bass, starting for San Diego Padres, has a FIP of 4.12 (#123 in MLB),
xFIP of 6.13 (#258 in MLB), and tERA of 3.14 (#12 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .206, LOB% of 92%, and E-F of -3.22. He has a K/BB ratio of 0.4, with
a WHIP of 1.2, and opponent BA of .194. His batted-ball peripherals
are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 47%, FB%: 32% for a 1.47 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of
5%.
Chicago Cubs have the #14 bullpen, #14 offense, and are
rated #21 in fielding. They have a road record of 31-48 (39%), ranked
#24 in MLB and have Lost 3 in a row.
San Diego Padres have the #8
bullpen, #29 offense, and are rated #9 in fielding. They have a home
record of 34-45 (43%), ranked #26 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
Colorado Rockies 72-88 (45%) @ San Francisco Giants 85-75 (53%)
A.
White, starting for Colorado Rockies, has a FIP of 7.06 (#250 in MLB),
xFIP of 4.85 (#221 in MLB), and tERA of 7.07 (#248 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .3, LOB% of 69%, and E-F of -0.02. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.57, with
a WHIP of 1.67, and opponent BA of .295. His batted-ball peripherals
are: LD%: 14%, GB%: 43%, FB%: 43% for a 1.02 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of
24%.
M. Bumgarner, starting for San Francisco Giants, has a FIP
of 2.73 (#7 in MLB), xFIP of 3.14 (#11 in MLB), and tERA of 3.32 (#21 in
MLB), with a BABIP of .326, LOB% of 72%, and E-F of 0.59. He has a K/BB
ratio of 3.96, with a WHIP of 1.24, and opponent BA of .26. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 46%, FB%: 33% for a 1.38
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 6%.
Colorado Rockies have the #14
bullpen, #7 offense, and are rated #20 in fielding. They have a road
record of 34-45 (43%), ranked #23 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
San
Francisco Giants have the #2 bullpen, #27 offense, and are rated #10 in
fielding. They have a home record of 45-34 (57%), ranked #8 in MLB and
have Won 1 in a row.
Cleveland Indians 80-80 (50%) @ Detroit Tigers 93-67 (58%)
J.
Gomez, starting for Cleveland Indians, has a FIP of 3.77 (#78 in MLB),
xFIP of 3.93 (#98 in MLB), and tERA of 4.18 (#89 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .315, LOB% of 75%, and E-F of -0.22. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.08,
with a WHIP of 1.42, and opponent BA of .29. His batted-ball peripherals
are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 53%, FB%: 28% for a 1.92 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB
of 8%.
M. Scherzer, starting for Detroit Tigers, has a FIP of
4.22 (#136 in MLB), xFIP of 3.72 (#65 in MLB), and tERA of 4.61 (#142 in
MLB), with a BABIP of .31, LOB% of 74%, and E-F of 0.16. He has a K/BB
ratio of 3.09, with a WHIP of 1.34, and opponent BA of .268. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 40%, FB%: 40% for a 1 GB/FB
ratio, and a HR/FB of 13%.
Cleveland Indians have the #17
bullpen, #18 offense, and are rated #28 in fielding. They have a road
record of 36-43 (46%), ranked #18 in MLB and have Lost 2 in a row.
Detroit
Tigers have the #22 bullpen, #4 offense, and are rated #16 in fielding.
They have a home record of 48-31 (61%), ranked #6 in MLB and have Won 2
in a row.
Boston Red Sox 89-71 (56%) @ Baltimore Orioles 68-92 (43%)
E.
Bedard, starting for Boston Red Sox, has a FIP of 3.57 (#55 in MLB),
xFIP of 3.55 (#39 in MLB), and tERA of 3.84 (#57 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .289, LOB% of 70%, and E-F of -0.07. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.64,
with a WHIP of 1.25, and opponent BA of .236. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 42%, FB%: 38% for a 1.13 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 10%.
Z. Britton, starting for Baltimore Orioles,
has a FIP of 3.84 (#88 in MLB), xFIP of 4.06 (#121 in MLB), and tERA of
4.35 (#107 in MLB), with a BABIP of .303, LOB% of 63%, and E-F of 0.6.
He has a K/BB ratio of 1.58, with a WHIP of 1.43, and opponent BA of
.265. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 53%, FB%: 28% for a
1.88 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 7%.
Boston Red Sox have the #7
bullpen, #1 offense, and are rated #2 in fielding. They have a road
record of 44-35 (56%), ranked #3 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
Baltimore
Orioles have the #28 bullpen, #13 offense, and are rated #29 in
fielding. They have a home record of 38-41 (48%), ranked #21 in MLB and
have Won 1 in a row.
Odds: BOS -159 (61%) BAL +149 (40%) O/U = 9.5
Lean: UNDER
=======================================
New York Yankees 97-63 (61%) @ Tampa Bay Rays 89-71 (56%)
B.
Colon, starting for New York Yankees, has a FIP of 3.86 (#91 in MLB),
xFIP of 3.57 (#44 in MLB), and tERA of 4.12 (#84 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .304, LOB% of 70%, and E-F of 0.17. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.4, with a
WHIP of 1.28, and opponent BA of .265. His batted-ball peripherals are:
LD%: 19%, GB%: 45%, FB%: 36% for a 1.23 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of
11%.
J. Hellickson, starting for Tampa Bay Rays, has a FIP of
4.34 (#155 in MLB), xFIP of 4.63 (#198 in MLB), and tERA of 4.46 (#126
in MLB), with a BABIP of .222, LOB% of 82%, and E-F of -1.44. He has a
K/BB ratio of 1.73, with a WHIP of 1.13, and opponent BA of .207. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 35%, FB%: 45% for a 0.78
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 8%.
New York Yankees have the #4
bullpen, #2 offense, and are rated #6 in fielding. They have a road
record of 45-34 (57%), ranked #2 in MLB and have Lost 2 in a row.
Tampa
Bay Rays have the #27 bullpen, #14 offense, and are rated #4 in
fielding. They have a home record of 45-34 (57%), ranked #8 in MLB and
have Won 3 in a row.
Odds: NYY +161 (38%) TBR -172 (63%) O/U = 8.5
Lean: UNDER
=======================================
Chicago Cubs 70-90 (44%) @ San Diego Padres 70-90 (44%)
M.
Garza, starting for Chicago Cubs, has a FIP of 3 (#14 in MLB), xFIP of
3.23 (#17 in MLB), and tERA of 3.65 (#41 in MLB), with a BABIP of .307,
LOB% of 70%, and E-F of 0.34. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.1, with a WHIP of
1.27, and opponent BA of .242. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%:
21%, GB%: 46%, FB%: 33% for a 1.37 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 8%.
A.
Bass, starting for San Diego Padres, has a FIP of 4.12 (#123 in MLB),
xFIP of 6.13 (#258 in MLB), and tERA of 3.14 (#12 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .206, LOB% of 92%, and E-F of -3.22. He has a K/BB ratio of 0.4, with
a WHIP of 1.2, and opponent BA of .194. His batted-ball peripherals
are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 47%, FB%: 32% for a 1.47 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of
5%.
Chicago Cubs have the #14 bullpen, #14 offense, and are
rated #21 in fielding. They have a road record of 31-48 (39%), ranked
#24 in MLB and have Lost 3 in a row.
San Diego Padres have the #8
bullpen, #29 offense, and are rated #9 in fielding. They have a home
record of 34-45 (43%), ranked #26 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
Colorado Rockies 72-88 (45%) @ San Francisco Giants 85-75 (53%)
A.
White, starting for Colorado Rockies, has a FIP of 7.06 (#250 in MLB),
xFIP of 4.85 (#221 in MLB), and tERA of 7.07 (#248 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .3, LOB% of 69%, and E-F of -0.02. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.57, with
a WHIP of 1.67, and opponent BA of .295. His batted-ball peripherals
are: LD%: 14%, GB%: 43%, FB%: 43% for a 1.02 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of
24%.
M. Bumgarner, starting for San Francisco Giants, has a FIP
of 2.73 (#7 in MLB), xFIP of 3.14 (#11 in MLB), and tERA of 3.32 (#21 in
MLB), with a BABIP of .326, LOB% of 72%, and E-F of 0.59. He has a K/BB
ratio of 3.96, with a WHIP of 1.24, and opponent BA of .26. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 46%, FB%: 33% for a 1.38
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 6%.
Colorado Rockies have the #14
bullpen, #7 offense, and are rated #20 in fielding. They have a road
record of 34-45 (43%), ranked #23 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
San
Francisco Giants have the #2 bullpen, #27 offense, and are rated #10 in
fielding. They have a home record of 45-34 (57%), ranked #8 in MLB and
have Won 1 in a row.
Cleveland Indians 80-80 (50%) @ Detroit Tigers 93-67 (58%)
J.
Gomez, starting for Cleveland Indians, has a FIP of 3.77 (#78 in MLB),
xFIP of 3.93 (#98 in MLB), and tERA of 4.18 (#89 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .315, LOB% of 75%, and E-F of -0.22. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.08,
with a WHIP of 1.42, and opponent BA of .29. His batted-ball peripherals
are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 53%, FB%: 28% for a 1.92 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB
of 8%.
M. Scherzer, starting for Detroit Tigers, has a FIP of
4.22 (#136 in MLB), xFIP of 3.72 (#65 in MLB), and tERA of 4.61 (#142 in
MLB), with a BABIP of .31, LOB% of 74%, and E-F of 0.16. He has a K/BB
ratio of 3.09, with a WHIP of 1.34, and opponent BA of .268. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 40%, FB%: 40% for a 1 GB/FB
ratio, and a HR/FB of 13%.
Cleveland Indians have the #17
bullpen, #18 offense, and are rated #28 in fielding. They have a road
record of 36-43 (46%), ranked #18 in MLB and have Lost 2 in a row.
Detroit
Tigers have the #22 bullpen, #4 offense, and are rated #16 in fielding.
They have a home record of 48-31 (61%), ranked #6 in MLB and have Won 2
in a row.
Boston Red Sox 89-71 (56%) @ Baltimore Orioles 68-92 (43%)
E.
Bedard, starting for Boston Red Sox, has a FIP of 3.57 (#55 in MLB),
xFIP of 3.55 (#39 in MLB), and tERA of 3.84 (#57 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .289, LOB% of 70%, and E-F of -0.07. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.64,
with a WHIP of 1.25, and opponent BA of .236. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 42%, FB%: 38% for a 1.13 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 10%.
Z. Britton, starting for Baltimore Orioles,
has a FIP of 3.84 (#88 in MLB), xFIP of 4.06 (#121 in MLB), and tERA of
4.35 (#107 in MLB), with a BABIP of .303, LOB% of 63%, and E-F of 0.6.
He has a K/BB ratio of 1.58, with a WHIP of 1.43, and opponent BA of
.265. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 53%, FB%: 28% for a
1.88 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 7%.
Boston Red Sox have the #7
bullpen, #1 offense, and are rated #2 in fielding. They have a road
record of 44-35 (56%), ranked #3 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
Baltimore
Orioles have the #28 bullpen, #13 offense, and are rated #29 in
fielding. They have a home record of 38-41 (48%), ranked #21 in MLB and
have Won 1 in a row.
Odds: BOS -159 (61%) BAL +149 (40%) O/U = 9.5
Lean: UNDER
=======================================
New York Yankees 97-63 (61%) @ Tampa Bay Rays 89-71 (56%)
B.
Colon, starting for New York Yankees, has a FIP of 3.86 (#91 in MLB),
xFIP of 3.57 (#44 in MLB), and tERA of 4.12 (#84 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .304, LOB% of 70%, and E-F of 0.17. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.4, with a
WHIP of 1.28, and opponent BA of .265. His batted-ball peripherals are:
LD%: 19%, GB%: 45%, FB%: 36% for a 1.23 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of
11%.
J. Hellickson, starting for Tampa Bay Rays, has a FIP of
4.34 (#155 in MLB), xFIP of 4.63 (#198 in MLB), and tERA of 4.46 (#126
in MLB), with a BABIP of .222, LOB% of 82%, and E-F of -1.44. He has a
K/BB ratio of 1.73, with a WHIP of 1.13, and opponent BA of .207. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 35%, FB%: 45% for a 0.78
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 8%.
New York Yankees have the #4
bullpen, #2 offense, and are rated #6 in fielding. They have a road
record of 45-34 (57%), ranked #2 in MLB and have Lost 2 in a row.
Tampa
Bay Rays have the #27 bullpen, #14 offense, and are rated #4 in
fielding. They have a home record of 45-34 (57%), ranked #8 in MLB and
have Won 3 in a row.
Odds: NYY +161 (38%) TBR -172 (63%) O/U = 8.5
Lean: UNDER
=======================================
Kansas City Royals 71-89 (44%) @ Minnesota Twins 61-99 (38%)
S.
O'Sullivan, starting for Kansas City Royals, has a FIP of 6.08 (#246 in
MLB), xFIP of 5.83 (#252 in MLB), and tERA of 6.42 (#239 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .303, LOB% of 62%, and E-F of 0.48. He has a K/BB ratio of
0.68, with a WHIP of 1.76, and opponent BA of .305. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 42%, FB%: 40% for a 1.05 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 11%.
A. Swarzak, starting for Minnesota Twins, has
a FIP of 4.17 (#130 in MLB), xFIP of 4.72 (#208 in MLB), and tERA of
4.11 (#83 in MLB), with a BABIP of .276, LOB% of 63%, and E-F of 0.54.
He has a K/BB ratio of 2.31, with a WHIP of 1.26, and opponent BA of
.259. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 38%, FB%: 44% for a
0.87 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 7%.
Kansas City Royals have the
#24 bullpen, #6 offense, and are rated #14 in fielding. They have a
road record of 31-48 (39%), ranked #24 in MLB and have Won 2 in a row.
Minnesota
Twins have the #29 bullpen, #27 offense, and are rated #11 in fielding.
They have a home record of 31-48 (39%), ranked #29 in MLB and have Lost
1 in a row.
Toronto Blue Jays 80-80 (50%) @ Chicago White Sox 78-82 (49%)
H.
Alvarez, starting for Toronto Blue Jays, has a FIP of 4.06 (#112 in
MLB), xFIP of 3.52 (#35 in MLB), and tERA of 4.75 (#157 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .279, LOB% of 76%, and E-F of -0.41. He has a K/BB ratio of
4.25, with a WHIP of 1.15, and opponent BA of .259. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 54%, FB%: 25% for a 2.15 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 15%.
M. Buehrle, starting for Chicago White Sox,
has a FIP of 4.07 (#114 in MLB), xFIP of 4.22 (#148 in MLB), and tERA of
4.57 (#136 in MLB), with a BABIP of .294, LOB% of 73%, and E-F of
-0.35. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.29, with a WHIP of 1.31, and opponent BA
of .274. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 45%, FB%: 36%
for a 1.24 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 9%.
Toronto Blue Jays have
the #23 bullpen, #9 offense, and are rated #24 in fielding. They have a
road record of 38-41 (48%), ranked #17 in MLB and have Lost 3 in a row.
Chicago
White Sox have the #6 bullpen, #19 offense, and are rated #13 in
fielding. They have a home record of 35-44 (44%), ranked #25 in MLB and
have Won 1 in a row.
Odds: TOR +122 (45%) CHW -130 (57%) O/U = 8
Lean: Blue Jays
=======================================
T.
Cahill, starting for Oakland Athletics, has a FIP of 4.19 (#132 in
MLB), xFIP of 3.94 (#99 in MLB), and tERA of 4.42 (#116 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .304, LOB% of 72%, and E-F of 0.12. He has a K/BB ratio of
1.73, with a WHIP of 1.45, and opponent BA of .267. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 57%, FB%: 25% for a 2.26 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 13%.
B. Beavan, starting for Seattle Mariners, has
a FIP of 4.27 (#139 in MLB), xFIP of 4.46 (#176 in MLB), and tERA of
4.69 (#150 in MLB), with a BABIP of .276, LOB% of 76%, and E-F of -0.46.
He has a K/BB ratio of 2.92, with a WHIP of 1.21, and opponent BA of
.269. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 22%, GB%: 38%, FB%: 40% for a
0.97 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 9%.
Oakland Athletics have the
#11 bullpen, #25 offense, and are rated #27 in fielding. They have a
road record of 29-50 (37%), ranked #28 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
Seattle
Mariners have the #18 bullpen, #30 offense, and are rated #15 in
fielding. They have a home record of 39-43 (48%), ranked #22 in MLB and
have Won 1 in a row.
Kansas City Royals 71-89 (44%) @ Minnesota Twins 61-99 (38%)
S.
O'Sullivan, starting for Kansas City Royals, has a FIP of 6.08 (#246 in
MLB), xFIP of 5.83 (#252 in MLB), and tERA of 6.42 (#239 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .303, LOB% of 62%, and E-F of 0.48. He has a K/BB ratio of
0.68, with a WHIP of 1.76, and opponent BA of .305. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 42%, FB%: 40% for a 1.05 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 11%.
A. Swarzak, starting for Minnesota Twins, has
a FIP of 4.17 (#130 in MLB), xFIP of 4.72 (#208 in MLB), and tERA of
4.11 (#83 in MLB), with a BABIP of .276, LOB% of 63%, and E-F of 0.54.
He has a K/BB ratio of 2.31, with a WHIP of 1.26, and opponent BA of
.259. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 38%, FB%: 44% for a
0.87 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 7%.
Kansas City Royals have the
#24 bullpen, #6 offense, and are rated #14 in fielding. They have a
road record of 31-48 (39%), ranked #24 in MLB and have Won 2 in a row.
Minnesota
Twins have the #29 bullpen, #27 offense, and are rated #11 in fielding.
They have a home record of 31-48 (39%), ranked #29 in MLB and have Lost
1 in a row.
Toronto Blue Jays 80-80 (50%) @ Chicago White Sox 78-82 (49%)
H.
Alvarez, starting for Toronto Blue Jays, has a FIP of 4.06 (#112 in
MLB), xFIP of 3.52 (#35 in MLB), and tERA of 4.75 (#157 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .279, LOB% of 76%, and E-F of -0.41. He has a K/BB ratio of
4.25, with a WHIP of 1.15, and opponent BA of .259. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 54%, FB%: 25% for a 2.15 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 15%.
M. Buehrle, starting for Chicago White Sox,
has a FIP of 4.07 (#114 in MLB), xFIP of 4.22 (#148 in MLB), and tERA of
4.57 (#136 in MLB), with a BABIP of .294, LOB% of 73%, and E-F of
-0.35. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.29, with a WHIP of 1.31, and opponent BA
of .274. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 45%, FB%: 36%
for a 1.24 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 9%.
Toronto Blue Jays have
the #23 bullpen, #9 offense, and are rated #24 in fielding. They have a
road record of 38-41 (48%), ranked #17 in MLB and have Lost 3 in a row.
Chicago
White Sox have the #6 bullpen, #19 offense, and are rated #13 in
fielding. They have a home record of 35-44 (44%), ranked #25 in MLB and
have Won 1 in a row.
Odds: TOR +122 (45%) CHW -130 (57%) O/U = 8
Lean: Blue Jays
=======================================
T.
Cahill, starting for Oakland Athletics, has a FIP of 4.19 (#132 in
MLB), xFIP of 3.94 (#99 in MLB), and tERA of 4.42 (#116 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .304, LOB% of 72%, and E-F of 0.12. He has a K/BB ratio of
1.73, with a WHIP of 1.45, and opponent BA of .267. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 57%, FB%: 25% for a 2.26 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 13%.
B. Beavan, starting for Seattle Mariners, has
a FIP of 4.27 (#139 in MLB), xFIP of 4.46 (#176 in MLB), and tERA of
4.69 (#150 in MLB), with a BABIP of .276, LOB% of 76%, and E-F of -0.46.
He has a K/BB ratio of 2.92, with a WHIP of 1.21, and opponent BA of
.269. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 22%, GB%: 38%, FB%: 40% for a
0.97 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 9%.
Oakland Athletics have the
#11 bullpen, #25 offense, and are rated #27 in fielding. They have a
road record of 29-50 (37%), ranked #28 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
Seattle
Mariners have the #18 bullpen, #30 offense, and are rated #15 in
fielding. They have a home record of 39-43 (48%), ranked #22 in MLB and
have Won 1 in a row.
C.
Lewis, starting for Texas Rangers, has a FIP of 4.62 (#184 in MLB),
xFIP of 4.11 (#129 in MLB), and tERA of 4.63 (#145 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .268, LOB% of 74%, and E-F of -0.17. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.98,
with a WHIP of 1.23, and opponent BA of .243. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 17%, GB%: 34%, FB%: 49% for a 0.7 GB/FB ratio, and
a HR/FB of 12%.
E. Santana, starting for LAA Angels, has a FIP
of 3.99 (#103 in MLB), xFIP of 3.92 (#97 in MLB), and tERA of 4.19 (#91
in MLB), with a BABIP of .272, LOB% of 77%, and E-F of -0.61. He has a
K/BB ratio of 2.47, with a WHIP of 1.22, and opponent BA of .238. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 44%, FB%: 38% for a 1.16
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.
Texas Rangers have the #30
bullpen, #3 offense, and are rated #7 in fielding. They have a road
record of 42-37 (53%), ranked #7 in MLB and have Won 4 in a row.
LAA
Angels have the #20 bullpen, #14 offense, and are rated #5 in fielding.
They have a home record of 45-34 (57%), ranked #8 in MLB and have Lost 2
in a row.
Los Angeles Dodgers 81-78 (51%) @ Arizona Diamondbacks 93-67 (58%)
H.
Kuroda, starting for Los Angeles Dodgers, has a FIP of 3.85 (#89 in
MLB), xFIP of 3.58 (#45 in MLB), and tERA of 4.33 (#104 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .287, LOB% of 80%, and E-F of -0.68. He has a K/BB ratio of
3.18, with a WHIP of 1.22, and opponent BA of .251. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 22%, GB%: 43%, FB%: 35% for a 1.22 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 11%.
Parker's first start in MLB.
Los
Angeles Dodgers have the #5 bullpen, #21 offense, and are rated #12 in
fielding. They have a road record of 39-39 (50%), ranked #13 in MLB and
have Won 2 in a row.
Arizona Diamondbacks have the #12 bullpen,
#12 offense, and are rated #1 in fielding. They have a home record of
50-29 (63%), ranked #5 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
C.
Lewis, starting for Texas Rangers, has a FIP of 4.62 (#184 in MLB),
xFIP of 4.11 (#129 in MLB), and tERA of 4.63 (#145 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .268, LOB% of 74%, and E-F of -0.17. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.98,
with a WHIP of 1.23, and opponent BA of .243. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 17%, GB%: 34%, FB%: 49% for a 0.7 GB/FB ratio, and
a HR/FB of 12%.
E. Santana, starting for LAA Angels, has a FIP
of 3.99 (#103 in MLB), xFIP of 3.92 (#97 in MLB), and tERA of 4.19 (#91
in MLB), with a BABIP of .272, LOB% of 77%, and E-F of -0.61. He has a
K/BB ratio of 2.47, with a WHIP of 1.22, and opponent BA of .238. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 44%, FB%: 38% for a 1.16
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.
Texas Rangers have the #30
bullpen, #3 offense, and are rated #7 in fielding. They have a road
record of 42-37 (53%), ranked #7 in MLB and have Won 4 in a row.
LAA
Angels have the #20 bullpen, #14 offense, and are rated #5 in fielding.
They have a home record of 45-34 (57%), ranked #8 in MLB and have Lost 2
in a row.
Los Angeles Dodgers 81-78 (51%) @ Arizona Diamondbacks 93-67 (58%)
H.
Kuroda, starting for Los Angeles Dodgers, has a FIP of 3.85 (#89 in
MLB), xFIP of 3.58 (#45 in MLB), and tERA of 4.33 (#104 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .287, LOB% of 80%, and E-F of -0.68. He has a K/BB ratio of
3.18, with a WHIP of 1.22, and opponent BA of .251. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 22%, GB%: 43%, FB%: 35% for a 1.22 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 11%.
Parker's first start in MLB.
Los
Angeles Dodgers have the #5 bullpen, #21 offense, and are rated #12 in
fielding. They have a road record of 39-39 (50%), ranked #13 in MLB and
have Won 2 in a row.
Arizona Diamondbacks have the #12 bullpen,
#12 offense, and are rated #1 in fielding. They have a home record of
50-29 (63%), ranked #5 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
hey Bodio, been following you for the past six months. thanks for all your hard work. I had a couple questions. what are your thoughts on MLB -1 lines vs. moneylines? you save on the juice but I don't know how many games actually finish a one run margin. I typically use the -1 lines when the ml is greater than -150.
my second question is do you send out your plays through email as sometimes i miss out on a win from one of your plays when I'm busy or when the forums are cluttered up and I can't find your thread.
the last thing I wanted to ask was whether or not you are going to be setting up a service in the future or do you plan on continuing to post your plays on this forum free of charge?
what are your thoughts on Tampa as a side play? seems like they have a lot riding on this game
thanks for your hard work and best of luck on your plays
hey Bodio, been following you for the past six months. thanks for all your hard work. I had a couple questions. what are your thoughts on MLB -1 lines vs. moneylines? you save on the juice but I don't know how many games actually finish a one run margin. I typically use the -1 lines when the ml is greater than -150.
my second question is do you send out your plays through email as sometimes i miss out on a win from one of your plays when I'm busy or when the forums are cluttered up and I can't find your thread.
the last thing I wanted to ask was whether or not you are going to be setting up a service in the future or do you plan on continuing to post your plays on this forum free of charge?
what are your thoughts on Tampa as a side play? seems like they have a lot riding on this game
thanks for your hard work and best of luck on your plays
With regards to this being Bodio's final card of the regular season.....I highly doubt it as I'm sure he will find his 200th winner of the season on that card somewhere. I mean how many times have you seen him sit out a Wednesday this year?
I'm most impressed with his NFL capping this past week. Not only was it a winning weekend but he predicted the EXACT score of the Bears/Packers game. Who does that? Couldn't let that one go unrecognized.
Looking forward to MLB playoffs. Keep it rollin' man, an impressive body of work for sure.
With regards to this being Bodio's final card of the regular season.....I highly doubt it as I'm sure he will find his 200th winner of the season on that card somewhere. I mean how many times have you seen him sit out a Wednesday this year?
I'm most impressed with his NFL capping this past week. Not only was it a winning weekend but he predicted the EXACT score of the Bears/Packers game. Who does that? Couldn't let that one go unrecognized.
Looking forward to MLB playoffs. Keep it rollin' man, an impressive body of work for sure.
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