Beavan is a young pitcher who has a 3.59 K/9 ratio and 5.11 FIP this year. His advantage is that he has never faced this Indians lineup before. Well, the same thing could have been said in his last start when he faced the Blue Jays, who promptly put up 5 runs and 3 HR's on him. Actually, Beavan gave up 6 HR"s in his last 2 starts. What is interesting is that 5 of those HR"s were hit by left-handed batters. Hmmm. Beavan's HR/9 rate against lefties is 2.36 this year. Check out Cleveland's lineup today:
1. Ezequiel Carrera (L) LF 2. Asdrubal Cabrera (S) SS 3. Shin-Soo Choo (L) RF 4. Carlos Santana (S) C 5. Kosuke Fukudome (L) CF 6. Lonnie Chisenhall (L) DH 7. Matt LaPorta (R) 1B 8. Jack Hannahan (L) 3B 9. Luis Valbuena (L) 2B
8 out of 9 'bats' are left-handed. Clearly, Indians' manager is paying attention. Opposite Beavan is Masterson who just like Beavan has also given up 6 HR's........ for the whole 2011 season! That's 6 HR"s in 173 innings pitched (Beavan 9 HR's in 52 innings). Just like Beavan, Masterson has a bit of the 'unfamiliarity' factor in his favor as well: 5 of the 9 batters in Mariners' lineup have never seen him before. With that being said, we have a much better starting pitcher, better offense, and better bullpen in our favor in this one. The wind is blowing out at 7 MPH and I expect the Indians to belt a couple of homers today.
Good luck!
PS: I'm still researching a couple more games. Those plays will be posted in a little bit.
_________________ '10 MLBP: 20 - 8 @ 71% for +$13,130 '10 NFL: 58-44 @ 57% for +$9,600 '10 NFLP: 8-2 @ 80% for +$5,800 '10 CFB: 55-54 @ 51% for -$4,400 '10 CFBP: 4-4 @ 50% for -$400 '10 CBB: 39-18 @ 68% for +$19,200 '10 CBBP: 16-6 @ 73% for +$9,400 '10 NBA: 151-99 @ 60% for +$42,100 '10 NBAP: 30-26 @ 54% for +$1,400 '10 NHL: 18-9 @ 67% for +$6,175 '10 NHLP: 16-7 @ 70% for +$5,575
----------------------------------- TOTAL: 415-277 @ 60% for +$107,580
"A dollar won is twice as sweet as a dollar earned"
Beavan is a young pitcher who has a 3.59 K/9 ratio and 5.11 FIP this year. His advantage is that he has never faced this Indians lineup before. Well, the same thing could have been said in his last start when he faced the Blue Jays, who promptly put up 5 runs and 3 HR's on him. Actually, Beavan gave up 6 HR"s in his last 2 starts. What is interesting is that 5 of those HR"s were hit by left-handed batters. Hmmm. Beavan's HR/9 rate against lefties is 2.36 this year. Check out Cleveland's lineup today:
1. Ezequiel Carrera (L) LF 2. Asdrubal Cabrera (S) SS 3. Shin-Soo Choo (L) RF 4. Carlos Santana (S) C 5. Kosuke Fukudome (L) CF 6. Lonnie Chisenhall (L) DH 7. Matt LaPorta (R) 1B 8. Jack Hannahan (L) 3B 9. Luis Valbuena (L) 2B
8 out of 9 'bats' are left-handed. Clearly, Indians' manager is paying attention. Opposite Beavan is Masterson who just like Beavan has also given up 6 HR's........ for the whole 2011 season! That's 6 HR"s in 173 innings pitched (Beavan 9 HR's in 52 innings). Just like Beavan, Masterson has a bit of the 'unfamiliarity' factor in his favor as well: 5 of the 9 batters in Mariners' lineup have never seen him before. With that being said, we have a much better starting pitcher, better offense, and better bullpen in our favor in this one. The wind is blowing out at 7 MPH and I expect the Indians to belt a couple of homers today.
Good luck!
PS: I'm still researching a couple more games. Those plays will be posted in a little bit.
_________________ '10 MLBP: 20 - 8 @ 71% for +$13,130 '10 NFL: 58-44 @ 57% for +$9,600 '10 NFLP: 8-2 @ 80% for +$5,800 '10 CFB: 55-54 @ 51% for -$4,400 '10 CFBP: 4-4 @ 50% for -$400 '10 CBB: 39-18 @ 68% for +$19,200 '10 CBBP: 16-6 @ 73% for +$9,400 '10 NBA: 151-99 @ 60% for +$42,100 '10 NBAP: 30-26 @ 54% for +$1,400 '10 NHL: 18-9 @ 67% for +$6,175 '10 NHLP: 16-7 @ 70% for +$5,575
----------------------------------- TOTAL: 415-277 @ 60% for +$107,580
"A dollar won is twice as sweet as a dollar earned"
M. Estrada, starting for Milwaukee Brewers, has a FIP of 3.76 (#84 in MLB), xFIP of 3.34 (#27 in MLB), and tERA of 4.21 (#91 in MLB), with a BABIP of .267, LOB% of 73%, and E-F of 0.17. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.1, with a WHIP of 1.11, and opponent BA of .224. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 37%, FB%: 44% for a 0.85 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.
R. Ohlendorf, starting for Pittsburgh Pirates, has a FIP of 6.35 (#224 in MLB), xFIP of 5.58 (#226 in MLB), and tERA of 5.11 (#169 in MLB), with a BABIP of .321, LOB% of 68%, and E-F of 0.92. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.2, with a WHIP of 1.85, and opponent BA of .306. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 11%, GB%: 32%, FB%: 57% for a 0.56 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 13%.
Milwaukee Brewers have the #5 bullpen, #9 offense, and are rated #8 in fielding. They have a road record of 30-37 (45%), ranked #18 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
Pittsburgh Pirates have the #16 bullpen, #26 offense, and are rated #15 in fielding. They have a home record of 30-36 (45%), ranked #23 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
Arizona Diamondbacks 69-59 (54%) @ Washington Nationals 62-64 (49%)
I. Kennedy, starting for Arizona Diamondbacks, has a FIP of 3.62 (#64 in MLB), xFIP of 3.63 (#58 in MLB), and tERA of 4.3 (#103 in MLB), with a BABIP of .266, LOB% of 78%, and E-F of -0.4. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.11, with a WHIP of 1.13, and opponent BA of .227. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 39%, FB%: 39% for a 1.01 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 9%.
J. Zimmermann, starting for Washington Nationals, has a FIP of 2.93 (#21 in MLB), xFIP of 3.65 (#62 in MLB), and tERA of 3.22 (#19 in MLB), with a BABIP of .292, LOB% of 73%, and E-F of 0.18. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.07, with a WHIP of 1.13, and opponent BA of .246. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 40%, FB%: 41% for a 0.97 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 5%.
Arizona Diamondbacks have the #11 bullpen, #11 offense, and are rated #1 in fielding. They have a road record of 33-33 (50%), ranked #14 in MLB and have Lost 6 in a row.
Washington Nationals have the #15 bullpen, #22 offense, and are rated #20 in fielding. They have a home record of 37-25 (60%), ranked #7 in MLB and have Won 2 in a row.
New York Mets 60-67 (47%) @ Philadelphia Phillies 82-44 (65%)
J. Niese, starting for New York Mets, has a FIP of 3.22 (#33 in MLB), xFIP of 3.23 (#16 in MLB), and tERA of 3.57 (#34 in MLB), with a BABIP of .324, LOB% of 69%, and E-F of 0.72. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.07, with a WHIP of 1.37, and opponent BA of .268. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 52%, FB%: 28% for a 1.85 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 9%.
V. Worley, starting for Philadelphia Phillies, has a FIP of 3.19 (#32 in MLB), xFIP of 3.76 (#73 in MLB), and tERA of 3.98 (#72 in MLB), with a BABIP of .259, LOB% of 76%, and E-F of -0.41. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.45, with a WHIP of 1.13, and opponent BA of .214. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 22%, GB%: 40%, FB%: 38% for a 1.04 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 6%.
New York Mets have the #20 bullpen, #6 offense, and are rated #29 in fielding. They have a road record of 35-32 (52%), ranked #7 in MLB and have Lost 4 in a row.
Philadelphia Phillies have the #14 bullpen, #13 offense, and are rated #21 in fielding. They have a home record of 45-20 (69%), ranked #2 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
Phillies are below-average against left-handed pitchers.
J. Cueto, starting for Cincinnati Reds, has a FIP of 3.45 (#44 in MLB), xFIP of 3.88 (#89 in MLB), and tERA of 3.43 (#26 in MLB), with a BABIP of .225, LOB% of 78%, and E-F of -1.56. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.24, with a WHIP of 1.01, and opponent BA of .197. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 15%, GB%: 53%, FB%: 32% for a 1.64 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 6%.
R. Nolasco, starting for Florida Marlins, has a FIP of 3.47 (#45 in MLB), xFIP of 3.53 (#39 in MLB), and tERA of 4.5 (#127 in MLB), with a BABIP of .327, LOB% of 69%, and E-F of 0.78. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.13, with a WHIP of 1.39, and opponent BA of .284. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 24%, GB%: 44%, FB%: 32% for a 1.39 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 9%.
Cincinnati Reds have the #16 bullpen, #10 offense, and are rated #4 in fielding. They have a road record of 28-35 (44%), ranked #20 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
Florida Marlins have the #9 bullpen, #19 offense, and are rated #18 in fielding. They have a home record of 24-39 (38%), ranked #29 in MLB and have Lost 5 in a row.
Atlanta Braves 77-52 (60%) @ Chicago Cubs 56-72 (44%)
M. Minor, starting for Atlanta Braves, has a FIP of 2.32 (#3 in MLB), xFIP of 3.44 (#33 in MLB), and tERA of 3.79 (#55 in MLB), with a BABIP of .372, LOB% of 69%, and E-F of 1.95. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.42, with a WHIP of 1.52, and opponent BA of .287. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 30%, GB%: 40%, FB%: 31% for a 1.3 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 0%.
C. Coleman, starting for Chicago Cubs, has a FIP of 4.8 (#183 in MLB), xFIP of 5.25 (#221 in MLB), and tERA of 5.39 (#185 in MLB), with a BABIP of .372, LOB% of 66%, and E-F of 2.25. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.17, with a WHIP of 2.04, and opponent BA of .32. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 40%, FB%: 39% for a 1.03 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 8%.
Atlanta Braves have the #1 bullpen, #20 offense, and are rated #28 in fielding. They have a road record of 36-27 (57%), ranked #4 in MLB and have Won 5 in a row.
Chicago Cubs have the #20 bullpen, #13 offense, and are rated #22 in fielding. They have a home record of 31-35 (47%), ranked #22 in MLB and have Lost 2 in a row.
M. Estrada, starting for Milwaukee Brewers, has a FIP of 3.76 (#84 in MLB), xFIP of 3.34 (#27 in MLB), and tERA of 4.21 (#91 in MLB), with a BABIP of .267, LOB% of 73%, and E-F of 0.17. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.1, with a WHIP of 1.11, and opponent BA of .224. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 37%, FB%: 44% for a 0.85 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.
R. Ohlendorf, starting for Pittsburgh Pirates, has a FIP of 6.35 (#224 in MLB), xFIP of 5.58 (#226 in MLB), and tERA of 5.11 (#169 in MLB), with a BABIP of .321, LOB% of 68%, and E-F of 0.92. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.2, with a WHIP of 1.85, and opponent BA of .306. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 11%, GB%: 32%, FB%: 57% for a 0.56 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 13%.
Milwaukee Brewers have the #5 bullpen, #9 offense, and are rated #8 in fielding. They have a road record of 30-37 (45%), ranked #18 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
Pittsburgh Pirates have the #16 bullpen, #26 offense, and are rated #15 in fielding. They have a home record of 30-36 (45%), ranked #23 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
Arizona Diamondbacks 69-59 (54%) @ Washington Nationals 62-64 (49%)
I. Kennedy, starting for Arizona Diamondbacks, has a FIP of 3.62 (#64 in MLB), xFIP of 3.63 (#58 in MLB), and tERA of 4.3 (#103 in MLB), with a BABIP of .266, LOB% of 78%, and E-F of -0.4. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.11, with a WHIP of 1.13, and opponent BA of .227. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 39%, FB%: 39% for a 1.01 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 9%.
J. Zimmermann, starting for Washington Nationals, has a FIP of 2.93 (#21 in MLB), xFIP of 3.65 (#62 in MLB), and tERA of 3.22 (#19 in MLB), with a BABIP of .292, LOB% of 73%, and E-F of 0.18. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.07, with a WHIP of 1.13, and opponent BA of .246. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 40%, FB%: 41% for a 0.97 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 5%.
Arizona Diamondbacks have the #11 bullpen, #11 offense, and are rated #1 in fielding. They have a road record of 33-33 (50%), ranked #14 in MLB and have Lost 6 in a row.
Washington Nationals have the #15 bullpen, #22 offense, and are rated #20 in fielding. They have a home record of 37-25 (60%), ranked #7 in MLB and have Won 2 in a row.
New York Mets 60-67 (47%) @ Philadelphia Phillies 82-44 (65%)
J. Niese, starting for New York Mets, has a FIP of 3.22 (#33 in MLB), xFIP of 3.23 (#16 in MLB), and tERA of 3.57 (#34 in MLB), with a BABIP of .324, LOB% of 69%, and E-F of 0.72. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.07, with a WHIP of 1.37, and opponent BA of .268. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 52%, FB%: 28% for a 1.85 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 9%.
V. Worley, starting for Philadelphia Phillies, has a FIP of 3.19 (#32 in MLB), xFIP of 3.76 (#73 in MLB), and tERA of 3.98 (#72 in MLB), with a BABIP of .259, LOB% of 76%, and E-F of -0.41. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.45, with a WHIP of 1.13, and opponent BA of .214. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 22%, GB%: 40%, FB%: 38% for a 1.04 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 6%.
New York Mets have the #20 bullpen, #6 offense, and are rated #29 in fielding. They have a road record of 35-32 (52%), ranked #7 in MLB and have Lost 4 in a row.
Philadelphia Phillies have the #14 bullpen, #13 offense, and are rated #21 in fielding. They have a home record of 45-20 (69%), ranked #2 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
Phillies are below-average against left-handed pitchers.
J. Cueto, starting for Cincinnati Reds, has a FIP of 3.45 (#44 in MLB), xFIP of 3.88 (#89 in MLB), and tERA of 3.43 (#26 in MLB), with a BABIP of .225, LOB% of 78%, and E-F of -1.56. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.24, with a WHIP of 1.01, and opponent BA of .197. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 15%, GB%: 53%, FB%: 32% for a 1.64 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 6%.
R. Nolasco, starting for Florida Marlins, has a FIP of 3.47 (#45 in MLB), xFIP of 3.53 (#39 in MLB), and tERA of 4.5 (#127 in MLB), with a BABIP of .327, LOB% of 69%, and E-F of 0.78. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.13, with a WHIP of 1.39, and opponent BA of .284. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 24%, GB%: 44%, FB%: 32% for a 1.39 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 9%.
Cincinnati Reds have the #16 bullpen, #10 offense, and are rated #4 in fielding. They have a road record of 28-35 (44%), ranked #20 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
Florida Marlins have the #9 bullpen, #19 offense, and are rated #18 in fielding. They have a home record of 24-39 (38%), ranked #29 in MLB and have Lost 5 in a row.
Atlanta Braves 77-52 (60%) @ Chicago Cubs 56-72 (44%)
M. Minor, starting for Atlanta Braves, has a FIP of 2.32 (#3 in MLB), xFIP of 3.44 (#33 in MLB), and tERA of 3.79 (#55 in MLB), with a BABIP of .372, LOB% of 69%, and E-F of 1.95. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.42, with a WHIP of 1.52, and opponent BA of .287. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 30%, GB%: 40%, FB%: 31% for a 1.3 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 0%.
C. Coleman, starting for Chicago Cubs, has a FIP of 4.8 (#183 in MLB), xFIP of 5.25 (#221 in MLB), and tERA of 5.39 (#185 in MLB), with a BABIP of .372, LOB% of 66%, and E-F of 2.25. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.17, with a WHIP of 2.04, and opponent BA of .32. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 40%, FB%: 39% for a 1.03 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 8%.
Atlanta Braves have the #1 bullpen, #20 offense, and are rated #28 in fielding. They have a road record of 36-27 (57%), ranked #4 in MLB and have Won 5 in a row.
Chicago Cubs have the #20 bullpen, #13 offense, and are rated #22 in fielding. They have a home record of 31-35 (47%), ranked #22 in MLB and have Lost 2 in a row.
Los Angeles Dodgers 58-69 (46%) @ St Louis Cardinals 67-61 (52%)
C. Kershaw, starting for Los Angeles Dodgers, has a FIP of 2.54 (#4 in MLB), xFIP of 2.8 (#4 in MLB), and tERA of 2.59 (#6 in MLB), with a BABIP of .273, LOB% of 77%, and E-F of 0.05. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.33, with a WHIP of 1.01, and opponent BA of .206. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 43%, FB%: 39% for a 1.11 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 7%.
K. Lohse, starting for St Louis Cardinals, has a FIP of 3.82 (#90 in MLB), xFIP of 4.13 (#123 in MLB), and tERA of 4.34 (#107 in MLB), with a BABIP of .254, LOB% of 72%, and E-F of -0.49. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.41, with a WHIP of 1.12, and opponent BA of .236. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 40%, FB%: 39% for a 1.04 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 7%.
Los Angeles Dodgers have the #12 bullpen, #25 offense, and are rated #12 in fielding. They have a road record of 27-35 (44%), ranked #22 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
St Louis Cardinals have the #18 bullpen, #4 offense, and are rated #25 in fielding. They have a home record of 32-28 (53%), ranked #15 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
B. Norris, starting for Houston Astros, has a FIP of 3.95 (#102 in MLB), xFIP of 3.65 (#62 in MLB), and tERA of 4.37 (#111 in MLB), with a BABIP of .296, LOB% of 74%, and E-F of -0.34. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.46, with a WHIP of 1.33, and opponent BA of .245. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 39%, FB%: 40% for a 0.98 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 11%.
A. White, starting for Colorado Rockies, has a FIP of 5.67 (#217 in MLB), xFIP of 4.28 (#143 in MLB), and tERA of 4.89 (#155 in MLB), with a BABIP of .268, LOB% of 85%, and E-F of -2.07. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.44, with a WHIP of 1.53, and opponent BA of .246. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 10%, GB%: 55%, FB%: 36% for a 1.53 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 20%.
Houston Astros have the #27 bullpen, #23 offense, and are rated #27 in fielding. They have a road record of 19-44 (30%), ranked #30 in MLB and have Lost 2 in a row.
Colorado Rockies have the #13 bullpen, #6 offense, and are rated #17 in fielding. They have a home record of 33-33 (50%), ranked #18 in MLB and have Won 3 in a row.
San Diego Padres 59-70 (46%) @ San Francisco Giants 68-60 (53%)
M. Latos, starting for San Diego Padres, has a FIP of 3.24 (#34 in MLB), xFIP of 3.6 (#51 in MLB), and tERA of 2.88 (#11 in MLB), with a BABIP of .293, LOB% of 69%, and E-F of 0.59. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.78, with a WHIP of 1.24, and opponent BA of .237. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 16%, GB%: 42%, FB%: 42% for a 0.98 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 7%.
M. Cain, starting for San Francisco Giants, has a FIP of 2.76 (#11 in MLB), xFIP of 3.58 (#49 in MLB), and tERA of 3.19 (#17 in MLB), with a BABIP of .267, LOB% of 72%, and E-F of 0.1. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.18, with a WHIP of 1.09, and opponent BA of .217. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 41%, FB%: 39% for a 1.05 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 4%.
San Diego Padres have the #6 bullpen, #28 offense, and are rated #10 in fielding. They have a road record of 31-32 (49%), ranked #15 in MLB and have Won 4 in a row.
San Francisco Giants have the #3 bullpen, #29 offense, and are rated #9 in fielding. They have a home record of 35-25 (58%), ranked #8 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
Kansas City Royals 52-76 (41%) @ Toronto Blue Jays 65-62 (51%)
B. Chen, starting for Kansas City Royals, has a FIP of 4.91 (#191 in MLB), xFIP of 4.74 (#192 in MLB), and tERA of 5.39 (#185 in MLB), with a BABIP of .295, LOB% of 76%, and E-F of -0.74. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.65, with a WHIP of 1.44, and opponent BA of .274. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 37%, FB%: 43% for a 0.86 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.
B. Morrow, starting for Toronto Blue Jays, has a FIP of 2.95 (#22 in MLB), xFIP of 3.32 (#23 in MLB), and tERA of 3.5 (#30 in MLB), with a BABIP of .302, LOB% of 63%, and E-F of 1.46. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.08, with a WHIP of 1.24, and opponent BA of .225. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 23%, GB%: 35%, FB%: 42% for a 0.83 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 7%.
Kansas City Royals have the #23 bullpen, #12 offense, and are rated #14 in fielding. They have a road record of 19-39 (33%), ranked #28 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
Toronto Blue Jays have the #19 bullpen, #6 offense, and are rated #19 in fielding. They have a home record of 31-29 (52%), ranked #17 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
Oakland Athletics 57-70 (45%) @ New York Yankees 77-48 (62%)
B. McCarthy, starting for Oakland Athletics, has a FIP of 2.82 (#13 in MLB), xFIP of 3.39 (#29 in MLB), and tERA of 3.36 (#24 in MLB), with a BABIP of .315, LOB% of 64%, and E-F of 0.92. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.28, with a WHIP of 1.23, and opponent BA of .272. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 22%, GB%: 47%, FB%: 31% for a 1.51 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 5%.
B. Colon, starting for New York Yankees, has a FIP of 3.83 (#91 in MLB), xFIP of 3.51 (#37 in MLB), and tERA of 4.01 (#76 in MLB), with a BABIP of .296, LOB% of 74%, and E-F of -0.33. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.03, with a WHIP of 1.26, and opponent BA of .255. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 46%, FB%: 35% for a 1.3 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 11%.
Oakland Athletics have the #7 bullpen, #24 offense, and are rated #26 in fielding. They have a road record of 22-40 (35%), ranked #26 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
New York Yankees have the #2 bullpen, #1 offense, and are rated #6 in fielding. They have a home record of 40-24 (63%), ranked #4 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
Yankees are 21-4 against OAK in the last 25 games.
Odds: OAK +183 (35%) NYY -195 (66%) O/U = 9.5
Lean: A's + UNDER =======================================
Los Angeles Dodgers 58-69 (46%) @ St Louis Cardinals 67-61 (52%)
C. Kershaw, starting for Los Angeles Dodgers, has a FIP of 2.54 (#4 in MLB), xFIP of 2.8 (#4 in MLB), and tERA of 2.59 (#6 in MLB), with a BABIP of .273, LOB% of 77%, and E-F of 0.05. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.33, with a WHIP of 1.01, and opponent BA of .206. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 43%, FB%: 39% for a 1.11 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 7%.
K. Lohse, starting for St Louis Cardinals, has a FIP of 3.82 (#90 in MLB), xFIP of 4.13 (#123 in MLB), and tERA of 4.34 (#107 in MLB), with a BABIP of .254, LOB% of 72%, and E-F of -0.49. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.41, with a WHIP of 1.12, and opponent BA of .236. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 40%, FB%: 39% for a 1.04 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 7%.
Los Angeles Dodgers have the #12 bullpen, #25 offense, and are rated #12 in fielding. They have a road record of 27-35 (44%), ranked #22 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
St Louis Cardinals have the #18 bullpen, #4 offense, and are rated #25 in fielding. They have a home record of 32-28 (53%), ranked #15 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
B. Norris, starting for Houston Astros, has a FIP of 3.95 (#102 in MLB), xFIP of 3.65 (#62 in MLB), and tERA of 4.37 (#111 in MLB), with a BABIP of .296, LOB% of 74%, and E-F of -0.34. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.46, with a WHIP of 1.33, and opponent BA of .245. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 39%, FB%: 40% for a 0.98 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 11%.
A. White, starting for Colorado Rockies, has a FIP of 5.67 (#217 in MLB), xFIP of 4.28 (#143 in MLB), and tERA of 4.89 (#155 in MLB), with a BABIP of .268, LOB% of 85%, and E-F of -2.07. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.44, with a WHIP of 1.53, and opponent BA of .246. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 10%, GB%: 55%, FB%: 36% for a 1.53 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 20%.
Houston Astros have the #27 bullpen, #23 offense, and are rated #27 in fielding. They have a road record of 19-44 (30%), ranked #30 in MLB and have Lost 2 in a row.
Colorado Rockies have the #13 bullpen, #6 offense, and are rated #17 in fielding. They have a home record of 33-33 (50%), ranked #18 in MLB and have Won 3 in a row.
San Diego Padres 59-70 (46%) @ San Francisco Giants 68-60 (53%)
M. Latos, starting for San Diego Padres, has a FIP of 3.24 (#34 in MLB), xFIP of 3.6 (#51 in MLB), and tERA of 2.88 (#11 in MLB), with a BABIP of .293, LOB% of 69%, and E-F of 0.59. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.78, with a WHIP of 1.24, and opponent BA of .237. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 16%, GB%: 42%, FB%: 42% for a 0.98 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 7%.
M. Cain, starting for San Francisco Giants, has a FIP of 2.76 (#11 in MLB), xFIP of 3.58 (#49 in MLB), and tERA of 3.19 (#17 in MLB), with a BABIP of .267, LOB% of 72%, and E-F of 0.1. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.18, with a WHIP of 1.09, and opponent BA of .217. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 41%, FB%: 39% for a 1.05 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 4%.
San Diego Padres have the #6 bullpen, #28 offense, and are rated #10 in fielding. They have a road record of 31-32 (49%), ranked #15 in MLB and have Won 4 in a row.
San Francisco Giants have the #3 bullpen, #29 offense, and are rated #9 in fielding. They have a home record of 35-25 (58%), ranked #8 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
Kansas City Royals 52-76 (41%) @ Toronto Blue Jays 65-62 (51%)
B. Chen, starting for Kansas City Royals, has a FIP of 4.91 (#191 in MLB), xFIP of 4.74 (#192 in MLB), and tERA of 5.39 (#185 in MLB), with a BABIP of .295, LOB% of 76%, and E-F of -0.74. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.65, with a WHIP of 1.44, and opponent BA of .274. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 37%, FB%: 43% for a 0.86 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.
B. Morrow, starting for Toronto Blue Jays, has a FIP of 2.95 (#22 in MLB), xFIP of 3.32 (#23 in MLB), and tERA of 3.5 (#30 in MLB), with a BABIP of .302, LOB% of 63%, and E-F of 1.46. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.08, with a WHIP of 1.24, and opponent BA of .225. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 23%, GB%: 35%, FB%: 42% for a 0.83 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 7%.
Kansas City Royals have the #23 bullpen, #12 offense, and are rated #14 in fielding. They have a road record of 19-39 (33%), ranked #28 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
Toronto Blue Jays have the #19 bullpen, #6 offense, and are rated #19 in fielding. They have a home record of 31-29 (52%), ranked #17 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
Oakland Athletics 57-70 (45%) @ New York Yankees 77-48 (62%)
B. McCarthy, starting for Oakland Athletics, has a FIP of 2.82 (#13 in MLB), xFIP of 3.39 (#29 in MLB), and tERA of 3.36 (#24 in MLB), with a BABIP of .315, LOB% of 64%, and E-F of 0.92. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.28, with a WHIP of 1.23, and opponent BA of .272. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 22%, GB%: 47%, FB%: 31% for a 1.51 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 5%.
B. Colon, starting for New York Yankees, has a FIP of 3.83 (#91 in MLB), xFIP of 3.51 (#37 in MLB), and tERA of 4.01 (#76 in MLB), with a BABIP of .296, LOB% of 74%, and E-F of -0.33. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.03, with a WHIP of 1.26, and opponent BA of .255. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 46%, FB%: 35% for a 1.3 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 11%.
Oakland Athletics have the #7 bullpen, #24 offense, and are rated #26 in fielding. They have a road record of 22-40 (35%), ranked #26 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
New York Yankees have the #2 bullpen, #1 offense, and are rated #6 in fielding. They have a home record of 40-24 (63%), ranked #4 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
Yankees are 21-4 against OAK in the last 25 games.
Odds: OAK +183 (35%) NYY -195 (66%) O/U = 9.5
Lean: A's + UNDER =======================================
Detroit Tigers 69-58 (54%) @ Tampa Bay Rays 69-57 (55%)
B. Penny, starting for Detroit Tigers, has a FIP of 4.77 (#181 in MLB), xFIP of 4.67 (#188 in MLB), and tERA of 4.95 (#161 in MLB), with a BABIP of .298, LOB% of 70%, and E-F of 0.2. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.23, with a WHIP of 1.48, and opponent BA of .289. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 17%, GB%: 49%, FB%: 34% for a 1.47 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.
D. Price, starting for Tampa Bay Rays, has a FIP of 3.36 (#40 in MLB), xFIP of 3.26 (#21 in MLB), and tERA of 3.52 (#31 in MLB), with a BABIP of .282, LOB% of 75%, and E-F of 0.23. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.81, with a WHIP of 1.12, and opponent BA of .231. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 44%, FB%: 37% for a 1.19 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.
Detroit Tigers have the #24 bullpen, #5 offense, and are rated #24 in fielding. They have a road record of 32-31 (51%), ranked #12 in MLB and have Won 4 in a row.
Tampa Bay Rays have the #26 bullpen, #16 offense, and are rated #5 in fielding. They have a home record of 34-29 (54%), ranked #13 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
Boston Red Sox 77-50 (61%) @ Texas Rangers 74-55 (57%)
J. Lackey, starting for Boston Red Sox, has a FIP of 4.7 (#173 in MLB), xFIP of 4.51 (#174 in MLB), and tERA of 5.36 (#183 in MLB), with a BABIP of .332, LOB% of 66%, and E-F of 1.31. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.32, with a WHIP of 1.55, and opponent BA of .298. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 22%, GB%: 39%, FB%: 39% for a 0.99 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.
C. Lewis, starting for Texas Rangers, has a FIP of 4.53 (#152 in MLB), xFIP of 4.03 (#109 in MLB), and tERA of 4.43 (#117 in MLB), with a BABIP of .255, LOB% of 78%, and E-F of -0.7. He has a K/BB ratio of 3, with a WHIP of 1.18, and opponent BA of .233. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 16%, GB%: 34%, FB%: 50% for a 0.69 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 12%.
Boston Red Sox have the #4 bullpen, #2 offense, and are rated #2 in fielding. They have a road record of 39-26 (60%), ranked #3 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
Texas Rangers have the #29 bullpen, #3 offense, and are rated #7 in fielding. They have a home record of 40-23 (63%), ranked #3 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
Odds: BOS +140 (42%) TEX -149 (60%) O/U = 10
Lean: OVER =======================================
A. Simon, starting for Baltimore Orioles, has a FIP of 4.27 (#131 in MLB), xFIP of 4.48 (#171 in MLB), and tERA of 4.97 (#162 in MLB), with a BABIP of .327, LOB% of 69%, and E-F of 0.43. He has a K/BB ratio of 2, with a WHIP of 1.52, and opponent BA of .3. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 41%, FB%: 39% for a 1.03 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 8%.
B. Duensing, starting for Minnesota Twins, has a FIP of 4.18 (#124 in MLB), xFIP of 3.9 (#96 in MLB), and tERA of 4.46 (#122 in MLB), with a BABIP of .321, LOB% of 70%, and E-F of 0.51. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.55, with a WHIP of 1.44, and opponent BA of .286. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 43%, FB%: 37% for a 1.18 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 11%.
Baltimore Orioles have the #27 bullpen, #15 offense, and are rated #30 in fielding. They have a road record of 19-42 (31%), ranked #29 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
Minnesota Twins have the #30 bullpen, #26 offense, and are rated #13 in fielding. They have a home record of 28-34 (45%), ranked #25 in MLB and have Lost 2 in a row.
Chicago White Sox 63-63 (50%) @ LAA Angels 69-59 (54%)
M. Buehrle, starting for Chicago White Sox, has a FIP of 3.81 (#89 in MLB), xFIP of 4.06 (#111 in MLB), and tERA of 4.06 (#80 in MLB), with a BABIP of .286, LOB% of 76%, and E-F of -0.67. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.53, with a WHIP of 1.23, and opponent BA of .264. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 46%, FB%: 37% for a 1.26 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 8%.
E. Santana, starting for LAA Angels, has a FIP of 3.69 (#75 in MLB), xFIP of 3.62 (#55 in MLB), and tERA of 3.82 (#58 in MLB), with a BABIP of .274, LOB% of 78%, and E-F of -0.58. He has a K/BB ratio of 3, with a WHIP of 1.17, and opponent BA of .237. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 44%, FB%: 38% for a 1.14 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.
Chicago White Sox have the #8 bullpen, #17 offense, and are rated #16 in fielding. They have a road record of 34-27 (56%), ranked #5 in MLB and have Won 2 in a row.
LAA Angels have the #24 bullpen, #21 offense, and are rated #3 in fielding. They have a home record of 36-28 (56%), ranked #11 in MLB and have Won 4 in a row.
B. Beavan, starting for Seattle Mariners, has a FIP of 5.11 (#198 in MLB), xFIP of 4.52 (#175 in MLB), and tERA of 5.82 (#204 in MLB), with a BABIP of .261, LOB% of 79%, and E-F of -1.01. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.33, with a WHIP of 1.23, and opponent BA of .267. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 23%, GB%: 39%, FB%: 38% for a 1.01 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 13%.
J. Masterson, starting for Cleveland Indians, has a FIP of 2.91 (#19 in MLB), xFIP of 3.42 (#31 in MLB), and tERA of 3.12 (#15 in MLB), with a BABIP of .293, LOB% of 75%, and E-F of -0.19. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.72, with a WHIP of 1.19, and opponent BA of .242. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 55%, FB%: 27% for a 2.05 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 4%.
Seattle Mariners have the #22 bullpen, #30 offense, and are rated #11 in fielding. They have a road record of 22-40 (35%), ranked #26 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
Cleveland Indians have the #9 bullpen, #17 offense, and are rated #23 in fielding. They have a home record of 33-26 (56%), ranked #12 in MLB and have Lost 4 in a row.
Detroit Tigers 69-58 (54%) @ Tampa Bay Rays 69-57 (55%)
B. Penny, starting for Detroit Tigers, has a FIP of 4.77 (#181 in MLB), xFIP of 4.67 (#188 in MLB), and tERA of 4.95 (#161 in MLB), with a BABIP of .298, LOB% of 70%, and E-F of 0.2. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.23, with a WHIP of 1.48, and opponent BA of .289. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 17%, GB%: 49%, FB%: 34% for a 1.47 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.
D. Price, starting for Tampa Bay Rays, has a FIP of 3.36 (#40 in MLB), xFIP of 3.26 (#21 in MLB), and tERA of 3.52 (#31 in MLB), with a BABIP of .282, LOB% of 75%, and E-F of 0.23. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.81, with a WHIP of 1.12, and opponent BA of .231. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 44%, FB%: 37% for a 1.19 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.
Detroit Tigers have the #24 bullpen, #5 offense, and are rated #24 in fielding. They have a road record of 32-31 (51%), ranked #12 in MLB and have Won 4 in a row.
Tampa Bay Rays have the #26 bullpen, #16 offense, and are rated #5 in fielding. They have a home record of 34-29 (54%), ranked #13 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
Boston Red Sox 77-50 (61%) @ Texas Rangers 74-55 (57%)
J. Lackey, starting for Boston Red Sox, has a FIP of 4.7 (#173 in MLB), xFIP of 4.51 (#174 in MLB), and tERA of 5.36 (#183 in MLB), with a BABIP of .332, LOB% of 66%, and E-F of 1.31. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.32, with a WHIP of 1.55, and opponent BA of .298. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 22%, GB%: 39%, FB%: 39% for a 0.99 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.
C. Lewis, starting for Texas Rangers, has a FIP of 4.53 (#152 in MLB), xFIP of 4.03 (#109 in MLB), and tERA of 4.43 (#117 in MLB), with a BABIP of .255, LOB% of 78%, and E-F of -0.7. He has a K/BB ratio of 3, with a WHIP of 1.18, and opponent BA of .233. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 16%, GB%: 34%, FB%: 50% for a 0.69 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 12%.
Boston Red Sox have the #4 bullpen, #2 offense, and are rated #2 in fielding. They have a road record of 39-26 (60%), ranked #3 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
Texas Rangers have the #29 bullpen, #3 offense, and are rated #7 in fielding. They have a home record of 40-23 (63%), ranked #3 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
Odds: BOS +140 (42%) TEX -149 (60%) O/U = 10
Lean: OVER =======================================
A. Simon, starting for Baltimore Orioles, has a FIP of 4.27 (#131 in MLB), xFIP of 4.48 (#171 in MLB), and tERA of 4.97 (#162 in MLB), with a BABIP of .327, LOB% of 69%, and E-F of 0.43. He has a K/BB ratio of 2, with a WHIP of 1.52, and opponent BA of .3. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 41%, FB%: 39% for a 1.03 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 8%.
B. Duensing, starting for Minnesota Twins, has a FIP of 4.18 (#124 in MLB), xFIP of 3.9 (#96 in MLB), and tERA of 4.46 (#122 in MLB), with a BABIP of .321, LOB% of 70%, and E-F of 0.51. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.55, with a WHIP of 1.44, and opponent BA of .286. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 43%, FB%: 37% for a 1.18 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 11%.
Baltimore Orioles have the #27 bullpen, #15 offense, and are rated #30 in fielding. They have a road record of 19-42 (31%), ranked #29 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
Minnesota Twins have the #30 bullpen, #26 offense, and are rated #13 in fielding. They have a home record of 28-34 (45%), ranked #25 in MLB and have Lost 2 in a row.
Chicago White Sox 63-63 (50%) @ LAA Angels 69-59 (54%)
M. Buehrle, starting for Chicago White Sox, has a FIP of 3.81 (#89 in MLB), xFIP of 4.06 (#111 in MLB), and tERA of 4.06 (#80 in MLB), with a BABIP of .286, LOB% of 76%, and E-F of -0.67. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.53, with a WHIP of 1.23, and opponent BA of .264. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 46%, FB%: 37% for a 1.26 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 8%.
E. Santana, starting for LAA Angels, has a FIP of 3.69 (#75 in MLB), xFIP of 3.62 (#55 in MLB), and tERA of 3.82 (#58 in MLB), with a BABIP of .274, LOB% of 78%, and E-F of -0.58. He has a K/BB ratio of 3, with a WHIP of 1.17, and opponent BA of .237. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 44%, FB%: 38% for a 1.14 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.
Chicago White Sox have the #8 bullpen, #17 offense, and are rated #16 in fielding. They have a road record of 34-27 (56%), ranked #5 in MLB and have Won 2 in a row.
LAA Angels have the #24 bullpen, #21 offense, and are rated #3 in fielding. They have a home record of 36-28 (56%), ranked #11 in MLB and have Won 4 in a row.
B. Beavan, starting for Seattle Mariners, has a FIP of 5.11 (#198 in MLB), xFIP of 4.52 (#175 in MLB), and tERA of 5.82 (#204 in MLB), with a BABIP of .261, LOB% of 79%, and E-F of -1.01. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.33, with a WHIP of 1.23, and opponent BA of .267. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 23%, GB%: 39%, FB%: 38% for a 1.01 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 13%.
J. Masterson, starting for Cleveland Indians, has a FIP of 2.91 (#19 in MLB), xFIP of 3.42 (#31 in MLB), and tERA of 3.12 (#15 in MLB), with a BABIP of .293, LOB% of 75%, and E-F of -0.19. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.72, with a WHIP of 1.19, and opponent BA of .242. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 55%, FB%: 27% for a 2.05 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 4%.
Seattle Mariners have the #22 bullpen, #30 offense, and are rated #11 in fielding. They have a road record of 22-40 (35%), ranked #26 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
Cleveland Indians have the #9 bullpen, #17 offense, and are rated #23 in fielding. They have a home record of 33-26 (56%), ranked #12 in MLB and have Lost 4 in a row.
I love the Tribe tonight, but they are so inconsistent, that is a lot of juice for a team that you don't know who will show up!
What do you think about the Reds tonight? The Fish are terrible at home, Cueto is facing a team that has all the power from the Right side of the plate with batters hitting a measly .190 off him, so he should shut them down, and Nolasco is facing a team that has their power from the left side, and he should get pounded by Votto and Bruce. Marlins are riddled with injuries lost 5 in a row and the Reds have a huge advantage in every category from Split match ups, to starting pitching, to hitting to pen.
I love the Tribe tonight, but they are so inconsistent, that is a lot of juice for a team that you don't know who will show up!
What do you think about the Reds tonight? The Fish are terrible at home, Cueto is facing a team that has all the power from the Right side of the plate with batters hitting a measly .190 off him, so he should shut them down, and Nolasco is facing a team that has their power from the left side, and he should get pounded by Votto and Bruce. Marlins are riddled with injuries lost 5 in a row and the Reds have a huge advantage in every category from Split match ups, to starting pitching, to hitting to pen.
Tks Bodio...love how u always break out the lefty/rightie angle...HUGE factor! Tailed you for this one...looking forward to your other plays....leaning Brewers myself
Tks Bodio...love how u always break out the lefty/rightie angle...HUGE factor! Tailed you for this one...looking forward to your other plays....leaning Brewers myself
I love the Tribe tonight, but they are so inconsistent, that is a lot of juice for a team that you don't know who will show up!
What do you think about the Reds tonight? The Fish are terrible at home, Cueto is facing a team that has all the power from the Right side of the plate with batters hitting a measly .190 off him, so he should shut them down, and Nolasco is facing a team that has their power from the left side, and he should get pounded by Votto and Bruce. Marlins are riddled with injuries lost 5 in a row and the Reds have a huge advantage in every category from Split match ups, to starting pitching, to hitting to pen.
Nolasco is a bit worse against lefties than righties, but that's to be expected. Prior to this year, his xFIP against lefties were 3.32 in 2010 and 3.31 in 2009, both above average. Cueto's career xFIP against righties is actually 4.11 which is below-average.
Marlins have a much better bullpen than Cincy but are worse offensively. Cincy is ranked 20th in away games and Marlins are 29th at home with a 38% winning percentage. Either way, all this does not justify laying -140 on the Reds IMO, as that would project them winning this game 58% of the time. I don't see it.
I love the Tribe tonight, but they are so inconsistent, that is a lot of juice for a team that you don't know who will show up!
What do you think about the Reds tonight? The Fish are terrible at home, Cueto is facing a team that has all the power from the Right side of the plate with batters hitting a measly .190 off him, so he should shut them down, and Nolasco is facing a team that has their power from the left side, and he should get pounded by Votto and Bruce. Marlins are riddled with injuries lost 5 in a row and the Reds have a huge advantage in every category from Split match ups, to starting pitching, to hitting to pen.
Nolasco is a bit worse against lefties than righties, but that's to be expected. Prior to this year, his xFIP against lefties were 3.32 in 2010 and 3.31 in 2009, both above average. Cueto's career xFIP against righties is actually 4.11 which is below-average.
Marlins have a much better bullpen than Cincy but are worse offensively. Cincy is ranked 20th in away games and Marlins are 29th at home with a 38% winning percentage. Either way, all this does not justify laying -140 on the Reds IMO, as that would project them winning this game 58% of the time. I don't see it.
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