Who are they trying to fool with this line? If Over bettors, well, then they sure as hell got me!
Guthrie is allowing lifetime .312 BA vs the Tigers and we all know the
Tigers are good to give up at least five runs on this solid-hitting
Baltimore squad, especially the pen. Guthrie has a 6.39 ERA Away while Jackson has a 5.68 ERA lifetime vs. the Orioles, not to mention allowing them to hit .283 versus him.
Only way this stays Under if the Tigers' hitters have forgotten about
being embarrassed yesterday and Jackson throws a complete game.
Who are they trying to fool with this line? If Over bettors, well, then they sure as hell got me!
Guthrie is allowing lifetime .312 BA vs the Tigers and we all know the
Tigers are good to give up at least five runs on this solid-hitting
Baltimore squad, especially the pen. Guthrie has a 6.39 ERA Away while Jackson has a 5.68 ERA lifetime vs. the Orioles, not to mention allowing them to hit .283 versus him.
Only way this stays Under if the Tigers' hitters have forgotten about
being embarrassed yesterday and Jackson throws a complete game.
Jackson threw eight shutout innings earlier this season at Baltimore, plus Guthrie's last start against the Tigers was a quality one.
I'd imagine Jackson rebounds nicely from his last start, plus Guthrie will not exactly be facing an offense the calibre of Boston's as he his his last two starts.
8.5 seems about right. I'd lean under if anything.
Jackson threw eight shutout innings earlier this season at Baltimore, plus Guthrie's last start against the Tigers was a quality one.
I'd imagine Jackson rebounds nicely from his last start, plus Guthrie will not exactly be facing an offense the calibre of Boston's as he his his last two starts.
8.5 seems about right. I'd lean under if anything.
Good points, but the lifetime stats speak volumes, although we know Jackson is having his best year this year.
Guthrie struck out 10 against the Tigers last appearance versus them, but he also gave up two HRs.
And the lifetime trend of these two pitchers versus these respective teams is even more pronounced if their last start versus them was a decent one. Only means the next time around has an even better chance of being not as good.
That is, if you put any stock into the lifetime stats versus respective teams. If not, then the quality of the last start will have no bearing on the current one.
I still think 8.5 is way too low for two AL teams, one with red-hot hitting and the other one with an imploding bullpen.
Good points, but the lifetime stats speak volumes, although we know Jackson is having his best year this year.
Guthrie struck out 10 against the Tigers last appearance versus them, but he also gave up two HRs.
And the lifetime trend of these two pitchers versus these respective teams is even more pronounced if their last start versus them was a decent one. Only means the next time around has an even better chance of being not as good.
That is, if you put any stock into the lifetime stats versus respective teams. If not, then the quality of the last start will have no bearing on the current one.
I still think 8.5 is way too low for two AL teams, one with red-hot hitting and the other one with an imploding bullpen.
BTW, last time Guthrie faced the Tigers, Verlander was on the mound for Detroit.
Final Score: 6-3 Tigers, Over 8.5.
I just think this 8.5 is put there to make people think something is up and therefore stay off this play. If it looks too good to be true, yadda yadda.
BTW, last time Guthrie faced the Tigers, Verlander was on the mound for Detroit.
Final Score: 6-3 Tigers, Over 8.5.
I just think this 8.5 is put there to make people think something is up and therefore stay off this play. If it looks too good to be true, yadda yadda.
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