These are the Thursday games that I find interesting:
TB/FLA: Can't see any reason why Hendrickson should not continue to give up runs, TB liking LHP also recently. Garza keeping them in the game; if TB can get 3-4 off Hendrickson, that should be enough for Garza.
CWS/LAD: Vegas sends this out as a pick 'em, which tells me that they think Danks is the better young pitcher here...and I agree. Kershaw looks more like he's learning while Danks has a touch of dominance to his numbers. If the Sox can hit a little like they did against Lowe, this should be a win for them.
MIN/SD: SD's inability to score runs, Baker's superb ratio of K's to walks, Banks also in a decent control groove....Makes this game a double: MIN & the UNDER
PHI/OAK: Adam Eaton's last 3 games: 17 2/3 innnings pitched, 29 hits, 5 k's, 6 walks....Rich Harden's last 3 games: 17 2/3 innings pitched, 12 hits, 23 k's, 6 walks. Two SP's going in the opposite direction. The juice might call for a runline bet; but OAK looks obvious here.
SF/CLE: First 2 games went under and this is the best pitching matchup so far....gonna look for the under (4) again...4 1/2 would be great; but I'll take 4 with Cain and Lee.
CIN/TOR: This is a huge value bet on CIN. Litsch is having a very rough time of it in his last 4 games....lots of hits, earned runs, and it reflects TOR being the last place team....Volquez just keeps throwing great and keeping CIN in the game. In CIN, this should be at least -130; but we're getting a pick 'em in this matchup and that's strong value.
These are the Thursday games that I find interesting:
TB/FLA: Can't see any reason why Hendrickson should not continue to give up runs, TB liking LHP also recently. Garza keeping them in the game; if TB can get 3-4 off Hendrickson, that should be enough for Garza.
CWS/LAD: Vegas sends this out as a pick 'em, which tells me that they think Danks is the better young pitcher here...and I agree. Kershaw looks more like he's learning while Danks has a touch of dominance to his numbers. If the Sox can hit a little like they did against Lowe, this should be a win for them.
MIN/SD: SD's inability to score runs, Baker's superb ratio of K's to walks, Banks also in a decent control groove....Makes this game a double: MIN & the UNDER
PHI/OAK: Adam Eaton's last 3 games: 17 2/3 innnings pitched, 29 hits, 5 k's, 6 walks....Rich Harden's last 3 games: 17 2/3 innings pitched, 12 hits, 23 k's, 6 walks. Two SP's going in the opposite direction. The juice might call for a runline bet; but OAK looks obvious here.
SF/CLE: First 2 games went under and this is the best pitching matchup so far....gonna look for the under (4) again...4 1/2 would be great; but I'll take 4 with Cain and Lee.
CIN/TOR: This is a huge value bet on CIN. Litsch is having a very rough time of it in his last 4 games....lots of hits, earned runs, and it reflects TOR being the last place team....Volquez just keeps throwing great and keeping CIN in the game. In CIN, this should be at least -130; but we're getting a pick 'em in this matchup and that's strong value.
Can't really give you an opinion on the fullgame over because I never do any research into bullpens....that's why I only post a 5-inning thread.....as to the 5-inning over, Garza is capable of throwing a scoreless 5, so you would have to believe that TB can do the over by themselves....I'd rather bet against Hendrickson (again) and take the side than look at a total....
Can't really give you an opinion on the fullgame over because I never do any research into bullpens....that's why I only post a 5-inning thread.....as to the 5-inning over, Garza is capable of throwing a scoreless 5, so you would have to believe that TB can do the over by themselves....I'd rather bet against Hendrickson (again) and take the side than look at a total....
Thx King.......I think that both your dogs have a decent shot...neither Robertson or Mussina are very dominant pitchers...they do give the opponent a chance to score. I didn't pick them because I see each game as a "coinflip" and prefer to see dominance. They are competitive dogs and, therefore, give you some value, just not the way that I play..but wish you luck...hope you go 4-0 (cause you also have 2 of my plays)
Thx King.......I think that both your dogs have a decent shot...neither Robertson or Mussina are very dominant pitchers...they do give the opponent a chance to score. I didn't pick them because I see each game as a "coinflip" and prefer to see dominance. They are competitive dogs and, therefore, give you some value, just not the way that I play..but wish you luck...hope you go 4-0 (cause you also have 2 of my plays)
I think when a team goes off for more than 11-20 runs in a game, they score a lot less the next game. It may not happen everytime but I played Tor yesterday with Halladay @ home and after they went off Tues night they couldnt get easy runs in the game against garbarge pitching in multiple situations. I am not saying TB is going to lose just maybe lower than expected.
I think when a team goes off for more than 11-20 runs in a game, they score a lot less the next game. It may not happen everytime but I played Tor yesterday with Halladay @ home and after they went off Tues night they couldnt get easy runs in the game against garbarge pitching in multiple situations. I am not saying TB is going to lose just maybe lower than expected.
I am leaning towards Garza and the under in 5, but wouldn't be surprised if somewhere along the way throughout the game that the Marlins will be pissed off from last night and take their frustration out on him.
I am leaning towards Garza and the under in 5, but wouldn't be surprised if somewhere along the way throughout the game that the Marlins will be pissed off from last night and take their frustration out on him.
I am leaning towards Garza and the under in 5, but wouldn't be surprised if somewhere along the way throughout the game that the Marlins will be pissed off from last night and take their frustration out on him.
I am leaning towards Garza and the under in 5, but wouldn't be surprised if somewhere along the way throughout the game that the Marlins will be pissed off from last night and take their frustration out on him.
I am leaning towards Garza and the under in 5, but wouldn't be surprised if somewhere along the way throughout the game that the Marlins will be pissed off from last night and take their frustration out on him.
I am leaning towards Garza and the under in 5, but wouldn't be surprised if somewhere along the way throughout the game that the Marlins will be pissed off from last night and take their frustration out on him.
I think that every professional baseball player wants to hit well, pitch well, field well...and, well, win the game....and feel that, with the exception of an intentional hit batsman or a player in the field getting spiked...and, therefore, having revenge as a motive, what happened yesterday, last week, last year as far as wins and losses and the margins of victory means almost nothing today.
The professional is taught and encouraged to wipe it from their mind and play the game today as a fresh slate that starts with a score of 0-0.
If you think that Garza will continue to pitch well and that Hendrickson will continue to pitch poorly, then that's the foundation of your analysis...the score yesterday is not important to what happens today.
Thanks for coming into the thread (3 times )...and wish you luck today.....
I think that every professional baseball player wants to hit well, pitch well, field well...and, well, win the game....and feel that, with the exception of an intentional hit batsman or a player in the field getting spiked...and, therefore, having revenge as a motive, what happened yesterday, last week, last year as far as wins and losses and the margins of victory means almost nothing today.
The professional is taught and encouraged to wipe it from their mind and play the game today as a fresh slate that starts with a score of 0-0.
If you think that Garza will continue to pitch well and that Hendrickson will continue to pitch poorly, then that's the foundation of your analysis...the score yesterday is not important to what happens today.
Thanks for coming into the thread (3 times )...and wish you luck today.....
These are the Thursday games that I find interesting:
TB/FLA: Can't see any reason why Hendrickson should not continue to give up runs, TB liking LHP also recently. Garza keeping them in the game; if TB can get 3-4 off Hendrickson, that should be enough for Garza.
CWS/LAD: Vegas sends this out as a pick 'em, which tells me that they think Danks is the better young pitcher here...and I agree. Kershaw looks more like he's learning while Danks has a touch of dominance to his numbers. If the Sox can hit a little like they did against Lowe, this should be a win for them.
MIN/SD: SD's inability to score runs, Baker's superb ratio of K's to walks, Banks also in a decent control groove....Makes this game a double: MIN & the UNDER
PHI/OAK: Adam Eaton's last 3 games: 17 2/3 innnings pitched, 29 hits, 5 k's, 6 walks....Rich Harden's last 3 games: 17 2/3 innings pitched, 12 hits, 23 k's, 6 walks. Two SP's going in the opposite direction. The juice might call for a runline bet; but OAK looks obvious here.
SF/CLE: First 2 games went under and this is the best pitching matchup so far....gonna look for the under (4) again...4 1/2 would be great; but I'll take 4 with Cain and Lee.
CIN/TOR: This is a huge value bet on CIN. Litsch is having a very rough time of it in his last 4 games....lots of hits, earned runs, and it reflects TOR being the last place team....Volquez just keeps throwing great and keeping CIN in the game. In CIN, this should be at least -130; but we're getting a pick 'em in this matchup and that's strong value.
That's it for today.......let's discuss.
MrO
I like your OAK pick and your CHW pick. any thoughts on the CHC?
These are the Thursday games that I find interesting:
TB/FLA: Can't see any reason why Hendrickson should not continue to give up runs, TB liking LHP also recently. Garza keeping them in the game; if TB can get 3-4 off Hendrickson, that should be enough for Garza.
CWS/LAD: Vegas sends this out as a pick 'em, which tells me that they think Danks is the better young pitcher here...and I agree. Kershaw looks more like he's learning while Danks has a touch of dominance to his numbers. If the Sox can hit a little like they did against Lowe, this should be a win for them.
MIN/SD: SD's inability to score runs, Baker's superb ratio of K's to walks, Banks also in a decent control groove....Makes this game a double: MIN & the UNDER
PHI/OAK: Adam Eaton's last 3 games: 17 2/3 innnings pitched, 29 hits, 5 k's, 6 walks....Rich Harden's last 3 games: 17 2/3 innings pitched, 12 hits, 23 k's, 6 walks. Two SP's going in the opposite direction. The juice might call for a runline bet; but OAK looks obvious here.
SF/CLE: First 2 games went under and this is the best pitching matchup so far....gonna look for the under (4) again...4 1/2 would be great; but I'll take 4 with Cain and Lee.
CIN/TOR: This is a huge value bet on CIN. Litsch is having a very rough time of it in his last 4 games....lots of hits, earned runs, and it reflects TOR being the last place team....Volquez just keeps throwing great and keeping CIN in the game. In CIN, this should be at least -130; but we're getting a pick 'em in this matchup and that's strong value.
That's it for today.......let's discuss.
MrO
I like your OAK pick and your CHW pick. any thoughts on the CHC?
looks like we are thinking alike again today. took TB early, and the following are all pretty solid:
minn-ml: at a pickem this is great value and may just be my play of the day. baker has been in a great groove and how can you go against a team that has won 8 in a row. when i first looked at this game last night i thought the under was the play but i could see the twinkies getting to banks today so i feel safer with just the ml play on the twins.
cin ml: one word here, VOLQUEZ. enough said.
cubs -1/2: even though i am not a big fan of the 1/2 run line(would rather get a push than a loss) i will reduce the juice and feel fairly safe the cubs can get to liz for 3-4. my only worry is no fukedome today and they have been going good since he has been hitting leadoff. marquis has been good enough for me to take a chance here as well.
looks like we are thinking alike again today. took TB early, and the following are all pretty solid:
minn-ml: at a pickem this is great value and may just be my play of the day. baker has been in a great groove and how can you go against a team that has won 8 in a row. when i first looked at this game last night i thought the under was the play but i could see the twinkies getting to banks today so i feel safer with just the ml play on the twins.
cin ml: one word here, VOLQUEZ. enough said.
cubs -1/2: even though i am not a big fan of the 1/2 run line(would rather get a push than a loss) i will reduce the juice and feel fairly safe the cubs can get to liz for 3-4. my only worry is no fukedome today and they have been going good since he has been hitting leadoff. marquis has been good enough for me to take a chance here as well.
My thoughts on the Cubbies......How come the line isn't higher?????? This is one of those red flags to me....If I were to play the game, I'd play Cubs -1/2; but this line should be much higher....
My thoughts on the Cubbies......How come the line isn't higher?????? This is one of those red flags to me....If I were to play the game, I'd play Cubs -1/2; but this line should be much higher....
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