3:35 EST -Oakland Athletics @ Los Angeles Angels Over 7.5(-105)
Weaver is vulnerable during the day (averages almost 2 home runs per start in 5 day games this year). He's been struggling more in the second half of the season and Oakland's offense has been as good as it gets over the last 45 days. Anderson's excellent numbers are not likely to continue especially against a line-up loaded with lefties like the Angels. In fact, look at both of these line-ups (in particular, look at their handedness versus the handedness of the starting pitcher). These line-ups can do some damage today. It looks like Vegas and the sharps agree by setting this day game line between two aces at 7 and then quickly bumping it to 7.5. They're shielding the over and they're not doing it because the public thinks it's the right play. My model doesn't show value on this play, but after looking at recent play, the line-ups and line analysis, it looks like the right play.
3:35 EST -Oakland Athletics @ Los Angeles Angels Over 7.5(-105)
Weaver is vulnerable during the day (averages almost 2 home runs per start in 5 day games this year). He's been struggling more in the second half of the season and Oakland's offense has been as good as it gets over the last 45 days. Anderson's excellent numbers are not likely to continue especially against a line-up loaded with lefties like the Angels. In fact, look at both of these line-ups (in particular, look at their handedness versus the handedness of the starting pitcher). These line-ups can do some damage today. It looks like Vegas and the sharps agree by setting this day game line between two aces at 7 and then quickly bumping it to 7.5. They're shielding the over and they're not doing it because the public thinks it's the right play. My model doesn't show value on this play, but after looking at recent play, the line-ups and line analysis, it looks like the right play.
Angels will have to turn it up a notch. That right handed loaded hitting lineup is going against 11 hits and 2 walks in 18 innings vs right handed hitters, with a .177 ba, 1.00 era, 8:1 k/bb ratio and 1.85:1 gb/fb ratio. Regression? Possibly, at some point almost surely, but we have no way of knowing when. If they contribute to an over they will definitely have earned it. I don't know if they will, but on a good day if the A's knock out Weaver early they may get you the over anyway. BOL
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
Angels will have to turn it up a notch. That right handed loaded hitting lineup is going against 11 hits and 2 walks in 18 innings vs right handed hitters, with a .177 ba, 1.00 era, 8:1 k/bb ratio and 1.85:1 gb/fb ratio. Regression? Possibly, at some point almost surely, but we have no way of knowing when. If they contribute to an over they will definitely have earned it. I don't know if they will, but on a good day if the A's knock out Weaver early they may get you the over anyway. BOL
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