I’ve recently added more projections to the daily numbers. Along with the line and total I’ve now added:
-Score for each team
-projection for runs/hits/errors
-Chance of a score in the 1st inning and the money line connected with that.
Here are the daily numbers with these factors added in. (Numbers get a little bunched in this format but you’ll see next to each team a run score and a money line if that team is projected to be the favorite.)
4/7 projections
Away– Washington Nationals Stephen Strasburg -115 3.7
Home– Cincinnati Reds Johnny Cueto 3.63
Projected Game Total 7.33
Total Runs/Hits/Errors 24.83
Chance of Scoring 1st Inn. 47.43% 111
Away– Miami Marlins Jose Fernandez 3.52
Home– New York Mets Aaron Laffey -152 4.14
Projected Game Total 7.67
Total Runs/Hits/Errors 25.42
Chance of Scoring 1st Inn. 48.56% 106
Away– Chicago Cubs Jeff Samardzija 2.97
Home– Atlanta Braves Tim Hudson -181 4.02
Projected Game Total 6.99
Total Runs/Hits/Errors 24.24
Chance of Scoring 1st Inn. 46.28% 116
Away– Arizona Diamondbacks Ian Kennedy 3.74
Home– Milwaukee Brewers Yovani Gallardo -113 3.79
Projected Game Total 7.53
Total Runs/Hits/Errors 25.17
Chance of Scoring 1st Inn. 48.09% 108
Away– Pittsburgh Pirates Jeff Locke 3.07
Home– Los Angeles Dodgers Hyun Jin Ryu -164 3.87
Projected Game Total 6.94
Total Runs/Hits/Errors 24.14
Chance of Scoring 1st Inn. 46.09% 117
Away– St. Louis Cardinals Adam Wainwright 3.09
Home– San Francisco Giants Matt Cain -125 3.31
Projected Game Total 6.4
Total Runs/Hits/Errors 23.2
Chance of Scoring 1st Inn. 44.27% 126
Away– San Diego Padres Edinson Volquez 5.17
Home– Colorado Rockies Jhoulys Chacin -137 5.57
Projected Game Total 10.75
Total Runs/Hits/Errors 30.81
Chance of Scoring 1st Inn. 59.04% -144
Away– Oakland Athletics Brett Anderson -149 4.3
Home– Houston Astros Lucas Harrell 3.72
Projected Game Total 8.03
Total Runs/Hits/Errors 26.05
Chance of Scoring 1st Inn. 49.79% 101
Away– New York Yankees C.C. Sabathia 2.89
Home– Detroit Tigers Justin Verlander -190 4.08
Projected Game Total 6.97
Total Runs/Hits/Errors 24.2
Chance of Scoring 1st Inn. 46.21% 116
Away– Boston Red Sox Jon Lester 3.75
Home– Toronto Blue Jays R.A. Dickey -128 4.02
Projected Game Total 7.77
Total Runs/Hits/Errors 25.6
Chance of Scoring 1st Inn. 48.92% 104
Away– Minnesota Twins Pedro Hernandez 3.83
Home– Baltimore Orioles Jason Hammel -168 4.69
Projected Game Total 8.52
Total Runs/Hits/Errors 26.9
Chance of Scoring 1st Inn. 51.46% -106
Away– Cleveland Indians Justin Masterson 2.84
Home– Tampa Bay Rays David Price -192 4.06
Projected Game Total 6.9
Total Runs/Hits/Errors 24.07
Chance of Scoring 1st Inn. 45.94% 118
Away– Seattle Mariners Hisahi Iwakuma 3.33
Home– Chicago White Sox Chris Sale -141 3.79
Projected Game Total 7.12
Total Runs/Hits/Errors 24.46
Chance of Scoring 1st Inn. 46.71% 114
Away– Los Angeles Angels Jered Weaver 4.28
Home– Texas Rangers Yu Darvish -123 4.48
Projected Game Total 8.76
Total Runs/Hits/Errors 27.33
Chance of Scoring 1st Inn. 52.28% -110
Away– Kansas City Royals James Shields 3.29
Home– Philadelphia Phillies Cole Hamels -140 3.74
Projected Game Total 7.03
Total Runs/Hits/Errors 24.31
Chance of Scoring 1st Inn. 46.41% 115