your totally right about nog no debate, other than the fact that sylvia just has this squeeky win propensity i think nog is far from a big dog i just like the price on tim.
we know nothing about lesnar---nothing---i do know a about this shell of what used to be Mir and he can not beat this young bull---i really just dont think ufc will let lesnar fail. this isnt sokadju where we are told hes an up and comer and need to be sold (i bet machida huge) this i a bona fide draw and im taking the money here. i will say the old bjj submission stud would've prob beaten lesnar but not this one i also would've be mir at the +290 it opened at but no that the odds have settled here im not passing up the bull.
i couldnt disagree more on horn, he lost to jorge he is filling in and is cooked over finished, his lone victory will come cheering for sylvia
your totally right about nog no debate, other than the fact that sylvia just has this squeeky win propensity i think nog is far from a big dog i just like the price on tim.
we know nothing about lesnar---nothing---i do know a about this shell of what used to be Mir and he can not beat this young bull---i really just dont think ufc will let lesnar fail. this isnt sokadju where we are told hes an up and comer and need to be sold (i bet machida huge) this i a bona fide draw and im taking the money here. i will say the old bjj submission stud would've prob beaten lesnar but not this one i also would've be mir at the +290 it opened at but no that the odds have settled here im not passing up the bull.
i couldnt disagree more on horn, he lost to jorge he is filling in and is cooked over finished, his lone victory will come cheering for sylvia
ONCE AGAIN I WAS DEAD ASS WRONG-
nostradamous im not and even worse i actually put my money where my mouth is. i should just stick with my first impression on mma it is right at a much higher clip than the one i bet with. when this card was anounced i liked nog and mir and slowly changed as i thought about it. that being said im wrong you all were right.
i lost 200 on sylvia and only can say he is a box, to get caught in a guiotine that late with that much persperation and with not having to lunge up at him with only his torso from the bottom tim has no heart he shouldve pulled out or flipped over or tried one slam like tebow. (i know 235lbs tough to slam) the overal pt is these heavy weights in generall and sylvia esp. are so damn unatheletic the fights 9/10 just suck.
but that dovetails nicely into my lesnar analysis:
This guy is going to be champ inside of 18 months and he will hold it for a long long time. Never before has the betting public had as little information ahead of a fight and still been able to so accurately predict the outcome. All knew mirs only shot was armbar or anklelock (traps just to big for anything else) and all knew if lesnar could manage to avoid basic submissions he'd maul and out cardio mir. that is what happened. lesnar can avoid the lunacy of trying to run away from an ankle lock with a little training and i believe randy and quest will try to convince him to come out there and learn this basic submission defense. In that weightclass all lesnar needs is basic bjj defense and basic striking and he wont be in the same zip as anyone around including fedor by the time he finally gets over.
ONCE AGAIN I WAS DEAD ASS WRONG-
nostradamous im not and even worse i actually put my money where my mouth is. i should just stick with my first impression on mma it is right at a much higher clip than the one i bet with. when this card was anounced i liked nog and mir and slowly changed as i thought about it. that being said im wrong you all were right.
i lost 200 on sylvia and only can say he is a box, to get caught in a guiotine that late with that much persperation and with not having to lunge up at him with only his torso from the bottom tim has no heart he shouldve pulled out or flipped over or tried one slam like tebow. (i know 235lbs tough to slam) the overal pt is these heavy weights in generall and sylvia esp. are so damn unatheletic the fights 9/10 just suck.
but that dovetails nicely into my lesnar analysis:
This guy is going to be champ inside of 18 months and he will hold it for a long long time. Never before has the betting public had as little information ahead of a fight and still been able to so accurately predict the outcome. All knew mirs only shot was armbar or anklelock (traps just to big for anything else) and all knew if lesnar could manage to avoid basic submissions he'd maul and out cardio mir. that is what happened. lesnar can avoid the lunacy of trying to run away from an ankle lock with a little training and i believe randy and quest will try to convince him to come out there and learn this basic submission defense. In that weightclass all lesnar needs is basic bjj defense and basic striking and he wont be in the same zip as anyone around including fedor by the time he finally gets over.
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