Here are my computer analysis results for week four. A couple of games jump out at me and I will look at them harder before making plays. (They are the ones highlighted). Last week was a good week for the totals but not so much for the spreads. With three weeks of data in the books on the new season, most lines are very consistent with the actual lines.
Week 3 Totals: 35-17 (67.31%)
Week 3 ATS: 27-25 (51.92%)
YTD Totals: 81-57 (58.70%)
YTD ATS: 77-61 (55.80%)
Mississippi @ South Carolina 48.0 2.9 Missouri @ Nevada 70.2 12.9 South Florida @ Florida State 50.0 -15.1 North Carolina @ Georgia Tech 45.0 -0.4 Minnesota @ Northwestern 49.7 3.6 Indina @ Michigan 51.6 -15.9 Buffalo @ Temple 48.7 -1.2 Michigan State @ Wisconsin 59.3 -0.6 Fresno State @ Cincinnati 55.3 -13.6 Southern Miss @ Kansas 58.7 -12.0 LSU @ Mississippi State 46.6 10.0 Marshall @ Memphis 50.5 -4.6 Wake Forest @ Boston College 39.7 -0.7 San Diego State @ Air Force 53.1 -22.0 UNLV @ Wyoming 51.4 7.1 Western Kentucky @ Navy 52.6 -27.8 Idaho @ Northern Illinois 51.4 -23.0 California @ Oregon 63.0 -3.0 Rutgers @ Maryland 50.2 4.6 Central Florida @ East Carolina 45.0 -14.6 Pittsburgh @ N.C. State 45.4 6.7 UTEP @ Texas 62.7 -33.8 Miami (FL) @ Virginia Tech 47.3 -3.3 TCU @ Clemson 38.7 0.1 Illinois @ Ohio State 49.9 -16.0 Arkansas @ Alabama 49.7 -22.0 Akron @ Central Michigan 58.8 -13.9 UL-Monroe @ Florida Atlantic 56.3 -6.6 Troy @ Arkansas State 51.9 4.3 Florida @ Kentucky 54.2 28.7 Colorado State @ BYU 58.3 -21.4 Miami (OH) @ Kent State 51.6 -5.6 Mid Tenn St. @ North Texas 55.7 10.8 Ohio @ Tennessee 45.6 -19.7 UL-Lafayette @ Nebraska 54.3 -25.8 Boise State @ Bowling Green 56.9 20.1 Arizona State @ Georgia 58.2 -12.4 Army @ Iowa State 46.2 -5.8 Ball State @ Auburn 46.0 -29.1 UAB @ Texas A&M 58.6 -10.0 Toledo @ Florida Int'l 49.3 -5.4 Louisville @ Utah 50.1 -18.9 Arizona @ Oregon State 43.0 -4.5 Vanderbilt @ Rice 49.2 3.4 Iowa @ Penn State 42.6 -7.2 Notre Dame @ Purdue 58.1 3.3 Washington @ Stanford 52.9 -6.1 Texas Tech @ Houston 77.2 5.9 New Mexico State @ New Mexico 46.0 -12.5 Washington State @ USC 52.6 34.8
Here are my computer analysis results for week four. A couple of games jump out at me and I will look at them harder before making plays. (They are the ones highlighted). Last week was a good week for the totals but not so much for the spreads. With three weeks of data in the books on the new season, most lines are very consistent with the actual lines.
Week 3 Totals: 35-17 (67.31%)
Week 3 ATS: 27-25 (51.92%)
YTD Totals: 81-57 (58.70%)
YTD ATS: 77-61 (55.80%)
Mississippi @ South Carolina 48.0 2.9 Missouri @ Nevada 70.2 12.9 South Florida @ Florida State 50.0 -15.1 North Carolina @ Georgia Tech 45.0 -0.4 Minnesota @ Northwestern 49.7 3.6 Indina @ Michigan 51.6 -15.9 Buffalo @ Temple 48.7 -1.2 Michigan State @ Wisconsin 59.3 -0.6 Fresno State @ Cincinnati 55.3 -13.6 Southern Miss @ Kansas 58.7 -12.0 LSU @ Mississippi State 46.6 10.0 Marshall @ Memphis 50.5 -4.6 Wake Forest @ Boston College 39.7 -0.7 San Diego State @ Air Force 53.1 -22.0 UNLV @ Wyoming 51.4 7.1 Western Kentucky @ Navy 52.6 -27.8 Idaho @ Northern Illinois 51.4 -23.0 California @ Oregon 63.0 -3.0 Rutgers @ Maryland 50.2 4.6 Central Florida @ East Carolina 45.0 -14.6 Pittsburgh @ N.C. State 45.4 6.7 UTEP @ Texas 62.7 -33.8 Miami (FL) @ Virginia Tech 47.3 -3.3 TCU @ Clemson 38.7 0.1 Illinois @ Ohio State 49.9 -16.0 Arkansas @ Alabama 49.7 -22.0 Akron @ Central Michigan 58.8 -13.9 UL-Monroe @ Florida Atlantic 56.3 -6.6 Troy @ Arkansas State 51.9 4.3 Florida @ Kentucky 54.2 28.7 Colorado State @ BYU 58.3 -21.4 Miami (OH) @ Kent State 51.6 -5.6 Mid Tenn St. @ North Texas 55.7 10.8 Ohio @ Tennessee 45.6 -19.7 UL-Lafayette @ Nebraska 54.3 -25.8 Boise State @ Bowling Green 56.9 20.1 Arizona State @ Georgia 58.2 -12.4 Army @ Iowa State 46.2 -5.8 Ball State @ Auburn 46.0 -29.1 UAB @ Texas A&M 58.6 -10.0 Toledo @ Florida Int'l 49.3 -5.4 Louisville @ Utah 50.1 -18.9 Arizona @ Oregon State 43.0 -4.5 Vanderbilt @ Rice 49.2 3.4 Iowa @ Penn State 42.6 -7.2 Notre Dame @ Purdue 58.1 3.3 Washington @ Stanford 52.9 -6.1 Texas Tech @ Houston 77.2 5.9 New Mexico State @ New Mexico 46.0 -12.5 Washington State @ USC 52.6 34.8
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