3* 6-0, +18.00
2* 7-4, +5.20
1* 18-12, +7.48
Year: 31-16, +30.68
October 2, 2007
Marshall at Memphis
Selection: Marshall +3
I was originally going to bet this game for a unit higher, but because of the tragic shooting death of one of Memphis’ players, I’ll drop a unit from this one. From a person’s standpoint, it’s almost impossible to ignore what happened, but I will give my reasoning behind the play w/o the incidents that occurred over the last 24 hours.
Timing is key here. Take a look at the schedule of Memphis. Just 10 days ago, they went on the road and got their sh*t kicked in by UCF 56-20. Just five days later, they took a 31-6 halftime lead onto the road, only to come out flat in the second half and lose the ballgame 35-31. Now, five days later, and after the death of a teammate, they are asked to concentrate on the task at hand, and play their 3rd game in ten days here. They’re being asked to concentrate when the game plan is installed on a Friday/Saturday/Sunday. The schedule is about as irregular as I’ve seen, and now they’ve been thrown another obstacle. Marshall, on the other hand has had about five more days for preparation for this match up, which should give them a bit more of an edge here.
Marshall is my #3 conference usa east, while Memphis is my #5. Looking more into it, these teams aren’t as bad as their combined 1 win shows, it’s just a matter of the opponent, and that’s where I see another advantage. Having played the likes of Miami, WVU, and Cincy, Marshall should come in battle tested. Memphis, on the other hand has played a not so tough schedule. Anyone looking at strength of schedule would point out that Marshall’s ranks #5 in the nation, while Memphis comes in at #120, second worst in Conference USA.
I got a team playing with more concentration, a team that I thought was better coming into this year, and a team that’s battle tested. I’ll take the points…
1* Marshall +3
Gl..
That’s probably it for the weeknight games, unless I see a total I like. Going to work on Saturday’s conference action here in a bit, and pull the rest on Wednesday.
3* 6-0, +18.00
2* 7-4, +5.20
1* 18-12, +7.48
Year: 31-16, +30.68
October 2, 2007
Marshall at Memphis
Selection: Marshall +3
I was originally going to bet this game for a unit higher, but because of the tragic shooting death of one of Memphis’ players, I’ll drop a unit from this one. From a person’s standpoint, it’s almost impossible to ignore what happened, but I will give my reasoning behind the play w/o the incidents that occurred over the last 24 hours.
Timing is key here. Take a look at the schedule of Memphis. Just 10 days ago, they went on the road and got their sh*t kicked in by UCF 56-20. Just five days later, they took a 31-6 halftime lead onto the road, only to come out flat in the second half and lose the ballgame 35-31. Now, five days later, and after the death of a teammate, they are asked to concentrate on the task at hand, and play their 3rd game in ten days here. They’re being asked to concentrate when the game plan is installed on a Friday/Saturday/Sunday. The schedule is about as irregular as I’ve seen, and now they’ve been thrown another obstacle. Marshall, on the other hand has had about five more days for preparation for this match up, which should give them a bit more of an edge here.
Marshall is my #3 conference usa east, while Memphis is my #5. Looking more into it, these teams aren’t as bad as their combined 1 win shows, it’s just a matter of the opponent, and that’s where I see another advantage. Having played the likes of Miami, WVU, and Cincy, Marshall should come in battle tested. Memphis, on the other hand has played a not so tough schedule. Anyone looking at strength of schedule would point out that Marshall’s ranks #5 in the nation, while Memphis comes in at #120, second worst in Conference USA.
I got a team playing with more concentration, a team that I thought was better coming into this year, and a team that’s battle tested. I’ll take the points…
1* Marshall +3
Gl..
That’s probably it for the weeknight games, unless I see a total I like. Going to work on Saturday’s conference action here in a bit, and pull the rest on Wednesday.
Just for arguments sake...Miami ain't all that. They struggled with both Florida Int'l and Duke. And playing WV was an in state rivalry game at home for them...Marshall hung in there and played well for a half, I will give them that. How about giving up 48 points at home to a 1-AA team (New Hampshire)? Thats not exactly battle tested. Not saying Memphis is battle tested or a much better team...I just like them here at home in the one.
Just for arguments sake...Miami ain't all that. They struggled with both Florida Int'l and Duke. And playing WV was an in state rivalry game at home for them...Marshall hung in there and played well for a half, I will give them that. How about giving up 48 points at home to a 1-AA team (New Hampshire)? Thats not exactly battle tested. Not saying Memphis is battle tested or a much better team...I just like them here at home in the one.
How about giving up 48 points at home to a 1-AA team (New Hampshire)?
The quarterback for New Hampshire won the Walter Payton award last year in 1-AA, which, in retrospect is the 1-AA's version of the Heisman. He's going to finish in the record books this year at the top of all three passing categories (competions, touchdowns, yardage). And, this is the third straight year he's beaten up a 1-A team.
GL
How about giving up 48 points at home to a 1-AA team (New Hampshire)?
The quarterback for New Hampshire won the Walter Payton award last year in 1-AA, which, in retrospect is the 1-AA's version of the Heisman. He's going to finish in the record books this year at the top of all three passing categories (competions, touchdowns, yardage). And, this is the third straight year he's beaten up a 1-A team.
GL
October 6, 2007
Oklahoma at Texas
Selection: Texas +11
Really can’t see laying off here, catching 10.5 points at home w/ my #1 pre-season against my #2 pre-season w/ Oklahoma playing third straight road game (w/ a short week in there too). I don’t see a need to look into it further, so I’ll leave it at that. Line is probably dead on, but I play on value, and catching 10.5 on the home squad in this match up is something that just doesn’t happen too often.
October 6, 2007
Miami OH at Kent State
Selection: Miami OH +10
I looked at Miami OH’s schedule a few weeks back, and knew that I’d be on them this game. This is for the conference. It’s a big game for both schools. Miami OH my #1 pre-season, while Kent at my #6. I can basically say the same things I’ve said about Miami all year, they’re a senior ridden group. They know what it takes to prepare for a ballgame, and they know what it takes to give your team a chance to win. Their defense has played above and beyond what I expected them to do this year, and it’s the offense that is struggling. They play their conference competition well, not having lost a conference road game by more than 10 points since around a year ago. And dating back 3 years (including a 2-10 season last year), they’ve lost two conference games on the road by more than 10 points.
Now, this is Kent State’s homecoming, they’ll be fired up here, but 10 points is still too much. Miami OH is coming off a big win at home vs. Syracuse, and now travels on the road where they have already beat my #2 in the east, Ball State in the season opener. They’ve had three really tough non-conference victories, while Kent’s already played a couple division games. Even through a 2-10 season last year, Miami OH had a realistic chance to beat Kent State at home, they just fell short w/ the 2 point conversion. Revenge will be on their minds, and while I typically do not like playing against a “homecoming” team, I will do it here. Kent State also travels to Ohio State next week.
I think Miami OH is the better squad. They just haven’t shown the flash yet. I will admit, their offense has looked putrid thus far at times, but their defense has carried them throughout the year. I’ll take the points, and hope for a team focusing on revenge, and with what I feel is the better all-around squad…
1* Miami OH +10
Some thoughts, not plays:
CMU +13…
Line is probably about dead on too. Coming into this year, I would’ve never thought that there would be a 13 point difference between the two teams, but it is dead on. Despite winning 35-10 last week, CMU did give up 500 yards of offense. There are a few keys to the game, one being CMU’s piss-poor road performances, and two, the ability of CMU to establish a run game. Sure, the statistics show that they are a passing team, but if Ontario Sneed doesn’t get going early, then they get blown out here. I’m actually thinking long and hard about the under here. I know both coaches, and while neither one of them minds an offensive shootout, both of them plan according to their counterpart, and both will plan on keeping the other’s offense off the field by running the ball more than average. Still think this game gets into the 45-50 range, but this game is basically for a conference championship and defense should win it. CMU my #4, and Ball State my #2.
TCU +2.5…
Only reason I lean is b/c TCU my #1, and Wyoming my #5. However, I told myself at the beginning of the year I will not bet against this Wyoming defense at home and I’ll live up to it.
Nebraska +7…
Nebraska’s 0fer against the spread, while Missouri hasn’t lost ats. Nebraska my #1, and only catching 7 here against my #2. Missouri has basically had half a month off, yah, they played a tough 1AA school in Illinois State, but let’s be serious. How are they not ready for this game w/ a good 3 weeks to work some stuff in…
San Diego State +13…
Seriously, Colorado State has not won a ballgame in over a year. SDST my #7, and CSU my #6, and I’m just not sure the MWC is separated by 13 points middle of the pack wise…
October 6, 2007
Oklahoma at Texas
Selection: Texas +11
Really can’t see laying off here, catching 10.5 points at home w/ my #1 pre-season against my #2 pre-season w/ Oklahoma playing third straight road game (w/ a short week in there too). I don’t see a need to look into it further, so I’ll leave it at that. Line is probably dead on, but I play on value, and catching 10.5 on the home squad in this match up is something that just doesn’t happen too often.
October 6, 2007
Miami OH at Kent State
Selection: Miami OH +10
I looked at Miami OH’s schedule a few weeks back, and knew that I’d be on them this game. This is for the conference. It’s a big game for both schools. Miami OH my #1 pre-season, while Kent at my #6. I can basically say the same things I’ve said about Miami all year, they’re a senior ridden group. They know what it takes to prepare for a ballgame, and they know what it takes to give your team a chance to win. Their defense has played above and beyond what I expected them to do this year, and it’s the offense that is struggling. They play their conference competition well, not having lost a conference road game by more than 10 points since around a year ago. And dating back 3 years (including a 2-10 season last year), they’ve lost two conference games on the road by more than 10 points.
Now, this is Kent State’s homecoming, they’ll be fired up here, but 10 points is still too much. Miami OH is coming off a big win at home vs. Syracuse, and now travels on the road where they have already beat my #2 in the east, Ball State in the season opener. They’ve had three really tough non-conference victories, while Kent’s already played a couple division games. Even through a 2-10 season last year, Miami OH had a realistic chance to beat Kent State at home, they just fell short w/ the 2 point conversion. Revenge will be on their minds, and while I typically do not like playing against a “homecoming” team, I will do it here. Kent State also travels to Ohio State next week.
I think Miami OH is the better squad. They just haven’t shown the flash yet. I will admit, their offense has looked putrid thus far at times, but their defense has carried them throughout the year. I’ll take the points, and hope for a team focusing on revenge, and with what I feel is the better all-around squad…
1* Miami OH +10
Some thoughts, not plays:
CMU +13…
Line is probably about dead on too. Coming into this year, I would’ve never thought that there would be a 13 point difference between the two teams, but it is dead on. Despite winning 35-10 last week, CMU did give up 500 yards of offense. There are a few keys to the game, one being CMU’s piss-poor road performances, and two, the ability of CMU to establish a run game. Sure, the statistics show that they are a passing team, but if Ontario Sneed doesn’t get going early, then they get blown out here. I’m actually thinking long and hard about the under here. I know both coaches, and while neither one of them minds an offensive shootout, both of them plan according to their counterpart, and both will plan on keeping the other’s offense off the field by running the ball more than average. Still think this game gets into the 45-50 range, but this game is basically for a conference championship and defense should win it. CMU my #4, and Ball State my #2.
TCU +2.5…
Only reason I lean is b/c TCU my #1, and Wyoming my #5. However, I told myself at the beginning of the year I will not bet against this Wyoming defense at home and I’ll live up to it.
Nebraska +7…
Nebraska’s 0fer against the spread, while Missouri hasn’t lost ats. Nebraska my #1, and only catching 7 here against my #2. Missouri has basically had half a month off, yah, they played a tough 1AA school in Illinois State, but let’s be serious. How are they not ready for this game w/ a good 3 weeks to work some stuff in…
San Diego State +13…
Seriously, Colorado State has not won a ballgame in over a year. SDST my #7, and CSU my #6, and I’m just not sure the MWC is separated by 13 points middle of the pack wise…
Conference rankings
Marshall #3 at Memphis #5
Rice #5 at Southern Miss #1
Kentucky #5 at South Carolina #4
Cincy #6 at Rutgers #3
Wisky #2 at Illinois #8
Minny #7 at Indiana #10
Northwestern #11 at Michigan State #9
Miami FL #2 at North Carolina #5
Central Michigan #4 at Ball State #2
Ohio #2 at Buffalo #7
TCU #1 at Wyoming #5
Okie State #5 at Texas A&M #4
Miami OH #1 at Kent State #6
Kansas #4 at Kansas State #3
Oklahoma #2 at Texas #1
Nebraska #1 at Missouri #2
Iowa #5 at Penn State #3
NC State #6 at Florida State #1
Georgia #2 at Tennessee #3
Fresno #4 at Nevada #3
Idaho #8 at San Jose #5
San Diego St #7 at CSU #6
Arizona #7 at OSU #4
Stanford #10 at USC #1
UCF #2 at ECU #4
OSU #4 at Purdue #6
UNLV #9 at Air Force #8
Tulsa #2 at UTEP #4
ASU #5 at WSU #8
Utah State #9 at Hawaii #2
Arky St #2 at Monroe #6
North Texas #7 at Lafayette #4
Troy #1 at Florida Int’l #8
Gl…
Conference rankings
Marshall #3 at Memphis #5
Rice #5 at Southern Miss #1
Kentucky #5 at South Carolina #4
Cincy #6 at Rutgers #3
Wisky #2 at Illinois #8
Minny #7 at Indiana #10
Northwestern #11 at Michigan State #9
Miami FL #2 at North Carolina #5
Central Michigan #4 at Ball State #2
Ohio #2 at Buffalo #7
TCU #1 at Wyoming #5
Okie State #5 at Texas A&M #4
Miami OH #1 at Kent State #6
Kansas #4 at Kansas State #3
Oklahoma #2 at Texas #1
Nebraska #1 at Missouri #2
Iowa #5 at Penn State #3
NC State #6 at Florida State #1
Georgia #2 at Tennessee #3
Fresno #4 at Nevada #3
Idaho #8 at San Jose #5
San Diego St #7 at CSU #6
Arizona #7 at OSU #4
Stanford #10 at USC #1
UCF #2 at ECU #4
OSU #4 at Purdue #6
UNLV #9 at Air Force #8
Tulsa #2 at UTEP #4
ASU #5 at WSU #8
Utah State #9 at Hawaii #2
Arky St #2 at Monroe #6
North Texas #7 at Lafayette #4
Troy #1 at Florida Int’l #8
Gl…
You do a great job Neil, your fine record is prrof enough of that. Jmho, but Kent State BEAT Miami of Ohio at MOO last year. Now, KSU has 17 returning starters, MOO has 13. MOO record in 2006 was 2 - 10, KSU was 6 - 6. I think 10 is a little, I was expecting 12 - 14. KSU has NO injuries to report, while MOO has BOTH leading rushers out (well, 2nd leading rusher Bratton is day-to day with a knee injury) a starting OL, and a back up OL. Not good. I think it is a non-play, but I would lean towrds KSU in this one by 2 TD's. Like I said, GREAT capping on your part, alwasy look for your posts (and have taken many of your picks) just humbly disagree with you on this one. GL, thanks again for all your write-ups. You are a real asset to this board.||Peace_5.gif' border=0>
You do a great job Neil, your fine record is prrof enough of that. Jmho, but Kent State BEAT Miami of Ohio at MOO last year. Now, KSU has 17 returning starters, MOO has 13. MOO record in 2006 was 2 - 10, KSU was 6 - 6. I think 10 is a little, I was expecting 12 - 14. KSU has NO injuries to report, while MOO has BOTH leading rushers out (well, 2nd leading rusher Bratton is day-to day with a knee injury) a starting OL, and a back up OL. Not good. I think it is a non-play, but I would lean towrds KSU in this one by 2 TD's. Like I said, GREAT capping on your part, alwasy look for your posts (and have taken many of your picks) just humbly disagree with you on this one. GL, thanks again for all your write-ups. You are a real asset to this board.||Peace_5.gif' border=0>
Really can’t see laying off here, catching 10.5 points at home w/ my #1 pre-season against my #2 pre-season w/ Oklahoma playing third straight road game (w/ a short week in there too). I don’t see a need to look into it further, so I’ll leave it at that. Line is probably dead on, but I play on value, and catching 10.5 on the home squad in this match up is something that just doesn’t happen too often.
Nropp,
Ive been following you for one year(great work) and just trying to help you out. Texas is not the home team, they meet in Dallas at a mutual site. Nothing home about it and I took OU -12. By the way, I live in Austin, Texas and UT is not looking good this year. Take it for what its worth.
Really can’t see laying off here, catching 10.5 points at home w/ my #1 pre-season against my #2 pre-season w/ Oklahoma playing third straight road game (w/ a short week in there too). I don’t see a need to look into it further, so I’ll leave it at that. Line is probably dead on, but I play on value, and catching 10.5 on the home squad in this match up is something that just doesn’t happen too often.
Nropp,
Ive been following you for one year(great work) and just trying to help you out. Texas is not the home team, they meet in Dallas at a mutual site. Nothing home about it and I took OU -12. By the way, I live in Austin, Texas and UT is not looking good this year. Take it for what its worth.
with ya on Texas Neil.Its a total mismatch OU is the MUCH better team but this is a rivalry throw out whos etter much like IowaSt vs Iowa and several other rivalry games.Certain teams bring out the best in others and to catch 10.5 with Texas is a good value play.Much more of a home field for Texas playing in "TEXAS" than Oklahoma playing in "TEXAS.Keep up the great work Neil looking forward to your 3* picks this weekend.Might take more of your games but ive been holding my own.Did go with ya on WMich saturday night.||thumbs_up.gif' border=0>||moneybag.gif' border=0>||Peace_5.gif' border=0>
with ya on Texas Neil.Its a total mismatch OU is the MUCH better team but this is a rivalry throw out whos etter much like IowaSt vs Iowa and several other rivalry games.Certain teams bring out the best in others and to catch 10.5 with Texas is a good value play.Much more of a home field for Texas playing in "TEXAS" than Oklahoma playing in "TEXAS.Keep up the great work Neil looking forward to your 3* picks this weekend.Might take more of your games but ive been holding my own.Did go with ya on WMich saturday night.||thumbs_up.gif' border=0>||moneybag.gif' border=0>||Peace_5.gif' border=0>
EAGLESFAN01 you show what a misinformed individual you are by saying texas has more of a home field advantage because they are playing in texas....the cotton bowl is divided in 1/2 for this game and has been for decades 1/2 ou 1/2 texas. so there is no home field advantage. also i am a texas fan and they will lose by 17 or more. O who will take them out to the woodshed this game....look forward to see what remarks you make after the game....once again there is no home field advantage but if you knew anything about this rivalry you never would hv the comment
EAGLESFAN01 you show what a misinformed individual you are by saying texas has more of a home field advantage because they are playing in texas....the cotton bowl is divided in 1/2 for this game and has been for decades 1/2 ou 1/2 texas. so there is no home field advantage. also i am a texas fan and they will lose by 17 or more. O who will take them out to the woodshed this game....look forward to see what remarks you make after the game....once again there is no home field advantage but if you knew anything about this rivalry you never would hv the comment
Thanks for the comments men, and while it seems that most of you don't agree, I like the fact that y'all are sharing why.
Again, thanks for the comments.
Thanks for the comments men, and while it seems that most of you don't agree, I like the fact that y'all are sharing why.
Again, thanks for the comments.
October 6, 2007
NIU at Temple
Selection: Temple +3.5
If any of you read last week’s write-up, I said that I would basically lay a –3 on anyone at home when NIU visits, so what is exactly different with a +3.5? Nothing. This is a homecoming game for Temple, and while the record does not show it, they have actually gotten better. This is a team who had lost 20 straight going into Bowling Green last year, and they won that game 28-14. One important thing to note, that yes, that was their homecoming game as well.
Temple is a team on the upswing. Joining the MAC this year gives them an opportunity to get a few more wins than expected. Northern is a team on the downswing. I had both of these teams at 4-8 for the season, but Northern has suffered some major blows. Their best defensive player, LB Tim McCarthy has been out for half a month and is probably out for the rest of the year w/ an MCL tear. They don’t have a single strength on defense except for Phil Brown (who had a good 2005 year, missed 2006 w/ an injury), but he hasn’t’ bounced back into the player I thought he could be. This is a team that I had labeled as it’s only strength was it’s defense coming into the year, and now losing McCarthy, they have showed that their defense just isn’t a strength anymore. The offense is definitely this teams weakness. They don’t have a leader, a playmaker, nothing. Nicholson (QB) has carried the load, but he’s not a leader. Losing Wolfe, meant losing this team. Having a defense like they had last year with everyone healthy, meant running the ball, picking up first downs, and putting Wolfe in the precarious spot of winning ball games for you. This team doesn’t have that this year, period.
The line is inflated. The Huskies have finished first or second in this division five of the last 6 seasons, and they’ve been to a few bowl games in that time slot as well. With NIU, as I pointed out, the problem is leadership. That is Temple’s problem as well. The temple offensive line should be the difference in this game. Heck, it had showed thus far this year. The kept a game w/ Navy, that wasn’t supposed to be close. They were blown out by Buffalo (thank you buffalo), they kept games at Uconn close, and Bowling Green, and I don’t think anyone expected them to keep it close at Army, being the end of a 3 game roady. They now come home, after that 3 game roady, glad to be at home, on homecoming, where there only win in the last 2 years took place, against a better Bowling Green squad than what is coming in this year. I have no doubt in my mind that the Huskies could give 2 shits about this game as its their third straight roady, with revenge for Western Michigan on deck
I honestly feel that the wrong team is favored here, and just as last week, I’ll fade the inflated team.
3* Temple +3.5
October 6, 2007
NIU at Temple
Selection: Temple +3.5
If any of you read last week’s write-up, I said that I would basically lay a –3 on anyone at home when NIU visits, so what is exactly different with a +3.5? Nothing. This is a homecoming game for Temple, and while the record does not show it, they have actually gotten better. This is a team who had lost 20 straight going into Bowling Green last year, and they won that game 28-14. One important thing to note, that yes, that was their homecoming game as well.
Temple is a team on the upswing. Joining the MAC this year gives them an opportunity to get a few more wins than expected. Northern is a team on the downswing. I had both of these teams at 4-8 for the season, but Northern has suffered some major blows. Their best defensive player, LB Tim McCarthy has been out for half a month and is probably out for the rest of the year w/ an MCL tear. They don’t have a single strength on defense except for Phil Brown (who had a good 2005 year, missed 2006 w/ an injury), but he hasn’t’ bounced back into the player I thought he could be. This is a team that I had labeled as it’s only strength was it’s defense coming into the year, and now losing McCarthy, they have showed that their defense just isn’t a strength anymore. The offense is definitely this teams weakness. They don’t have a leader, a playmaker, nothing. Nicholson (QB) has carried the load, but he’s not a leader. Losing Wolfe, meant losing this team. Having a defense like they had last year with everyone healthy, meant running the ball, picking up first downs, and putting Wolfe in the precarious spot of winning ball games for you. This team doesn’t have that this year, period.
The line is inflated. The Huskies have finished first or second in this division five of the last 6 seasons, and they’ve been to a few bowl games in that time slot as well. With NIU, as I pointed out, the problem is leadership. That is Temple’s problem as well. The temple offensive line should be the difference in this game. Heck, it had showed thus far this year. The kept a game w/ Navy, that wasn’t supposed to be close. They were blown out by Buffalo (thank you buffalo), they kept games at Uconn close, and Bowling Green, and I don’t think anyone expected them to keep it close at Army, being the end of a 3 game roady. They now come home, after that 3 game roady, glad to be at home, on homecoming, where there only win in the last 2 years took place, against a better Bowling Green squad than what is coming in this year. I have no doubt in my mind that the Huskies could give 2 shits about this game as its their third straight roady, with revenge for Western Michigan on deck
I honestly feel that the wrong team is favored here, and just as last week, I’ll fade the inflated team.
3* Temple +3.5
I'll be following that 3* play nropp... got me Central Michigan last week and there's no reason to stop now!
GL this week, bud.
||an_cheers.gif' border=0>
I'll be following that 3* play nropp... got me Central Michigan last week and there's no reason to stop now!
GL this week, bud.
||an_cheers.gif' border=0>
October 6, 2007
Minnesota at Indiana
Selection: Minnesota +14.5
Simply put, both teams have shown glimpses, but looking at the big picture, both teams are middle of the road in a down year in the Big 10. Minnesota has the offense to compete here, and while Indiana also has the offense to compete, they have simply lacked the killer mentality to put a ballgame away. They have allowed teams to hang around late into ballgames this year, and they have struggled with teams that can move the ball on them. The Minnesota defense has shown signs of life, and have held three teams this year under 7 points in a half, and with a letdown spot for Indiana after a big road win last week, and Michigan State on deck, I look for Minny to bounce back after a moral victory against OSU last week, and the money line is not out of the question here…Indiana is dominated in the trenches here I believe, and I’ll take the better offense in a game that’s probably lined around 70…
1* Minnesota +14.5
October 6, 2007
Minnesota at Indiana
Selection: Minnesota +14.5
Simply put, both teams have shown glimpses, but looking at the big picture, both teams are middle of the road in a down year in the Big 10. Minnesota has the offense to compete here, and while Indiana also has the offense to compete, they have simply lacked the killer mentality to put a ballgame away. They have allowed teams to hang around late into ballgames this year, and they have struggled with teams that can move the ball on them. The Minnesota defense has shown signs of life, and have held three teams this year under 7 points in a half, and with a letdown spot for Indiana after a big road win last week, and Michigan State on deck, I look for Minny to bounce back after a moral victory against OSU last week, and the money line is not out of the question here…Indiana is dominated in the trenches here I believe, and I’ll take the better offense in a game that’s probably lined around 70…
1* Minnesota +14.5
I'd be careful with the Longhorns. It's obvious by now that they were far overrated at the start of the year & they have had trouble with every decent team they've played despite 4 of 5 being in Austin. This includes barely gettin by Ark St 21-13 & UCF 35-32 before gettin handled easily by Kansas St at home. They beat TCU by 3 td's, but the final score wasn't reflective of the game.
The TX/OU battle in the Cotton Bowl isn't a home game for anyone - it's an entity onto itself with as many OU fans as 'Horn fans if not more. And usually (don't know this year) about a quarter or more of the OU team is made up of native Texans. OU will be loaded for bear this week after gettin knocked off by Col in Boulder at over 5K ft (can happen to anyone) and though I'm a UT fan, I'm leaning to OU covering in this one. GL||clover.gif' border=0>
I'd be careful with the Longhorns. It's obvious by now that they were far overrated at the start of the year & they have had trouble with every decent team they've played despite 4 of 5 being in Austin. This includes barely gettin by Ark St 21-13 & UCF 35-32 before gettin handled easily by Kansas St at home. They beat TCU by 3 td's, but the final score wasn't reflective of the game.
The TX/OU battle in the Cotton Bowl isn't a home game for anyone - it's an entity onto itself with as many OU fans as 'Horn fans if not more. And usually (don't know this year) about a quarter or more of the OU team is made up of native Texans. OU will be loaded for bear this week after gettin knocked off by Col in Boulder at over 5K ft (can happen to anyone) and though I'm a UT fan, I'm leaning to OU covering in this one. GL||clover.gif' border=0>
nroop i always read your threads because your legit , i almost went with you on you 3 star last weak just like to know a little bit about the teams im going to roll with , this week i see you have temple , im talking about laying a dime and a hlf you think its a legit 3 star play like last week ?
nroop i always read your threads because your legit , i almost went with you on you 3 star last weak just like to know a little bit about the teams im going to roll with , this week i see you have temple , im talking about laying a dime and a hlf you think its a legit 3 star play like last week ?
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