Georgia Tech +5 UCF
analysis to follow
Georgia Tech +5.5 UCF
What happens when two 6-6 teams collide in a bowl game? I guess it doesn’t matter because no one really cares. The good news about this game is that the opt outs are limited, so we actually might have a game between two teams that care. The game will be played in Tampa, which is USF’s back yard but it’s enemy territory for UCF – so the home field advantage might be mitigated. In handicapping this game, the logical criteria would be to take a look at how each team did against comparable opponents.
UCF is likely the better squad, but the point spread of 5.6 weighs heavily into this analysis. Coming out of the Big 12, there’s no doubt that UCF had the tougher schedule overall so their 6-6 record is somewhat better than Georgia Tech’s 6-6 record. However, if you look more closely at the teams that UCF played that are comps to Georgia Tech, then they don’t look so hot. Among these 4 opponents, UCF defeated 3 of them: Boise State 18-16, Cincinnati 28-26 and Houston 27-13. The one game that they lost was a 36-35 defeat to Baylor. Notable in all of this is that they covered the 5.5 points in only one of the four contests.
The Yellow Jackets were a model of inconsistency all year. But when they had to be tough, they were very good. That’s why I like them as a dog. The three teams that they played that were comps to UCF were Louisville, Miami and North Carolina. They lost to Louisville 39-34 but they actually defeated both Miami and North Carolina in close games (23-20 to Miami and 46-42 to UNC). So in all 3 of these games, they covered the point spread.
UCF does have a couple of injuries in their secondary, which could end up being a factor. Their QB was injured during the season and he is not 100%, wearing a leg brace. The Ramblin Wreck QB has quietly been very good. He is one of two players in the nation with at least 2,700 passing yards, 600 rushing yards, 25 touchdown passes and five touchdown runs this season. Want to know the other one? It’s the Heisman Trophy winner.
Georgia Tech faced down Georgia in their last game, losing by the score of 31-23. If they only lost by 8 points to mighty Georgia, surely they will find a way to cover this spread. This game will be two evenly matched teams. Georgia Tech has the better quarterback throwing against a dinged up secondary and they have been able to keep games close. Getting the points here is huge, so I’m taking them.
Georgia Tech +5.5 UCF
What happens when two 6-6 teams collide in a bowl game? I guess it doesn’t matter because no one really cares. The good news about this game is that the opt outs are limited, so we actually might have a game between two teams that care. The game will be played in Tampa, which is USF’s back yard but it’s enemy territory for UCF – so the home field advantage might be mitigated. In handicapping this game, the logical criteria would be to take a look at how each team did against comparable opponents.
UCF is likely the better squad, but the point spread of 5.6 weighs heavily into this analysis. Coming out of the Big 12, there’s no doubt that UCF had the tougher schedule overall so their 6-6 record is somewhat better than Georgia Tech’s 6-6 record. However, if you look more closely at the teams that UCF played that are comps to Georgia Tech, then they don’t look so hot. Among these 4 opponents, UCF defeated 3 of them: Boise State 18-16, Cincinnati 28-26 and Houston 27-13. The one game that they lost was a 36-35 defeat to Baylor. Notable in all of this is that they covered the 5.5 points in only one of the four contests.
The Yellow Jackets were a model of inconsistency all year. But when they had to be tough, they were very good. That’s why I like them as a dog. The three teams that they played that were comps to UCF were Louisville, Miami and North Carolina. They lost to Louisville 39-34 but they actually defeated both Miami and North Carolina in close games (23-20 to Miami and 46-42 to UNC). So in all 3 of these games, they covered the point spread.
UCF does have a couple of injuries in their secondary, which could end up being a factor. Their QB was injured during the season and he is not 100%, wearing a leg brace. The Ramblin Wreck QB has quietly been very good. He is one of two players in the nation with at least 2,700 passing yards, 600 rushing yards, 25 touchdown passes and five touchdown runs this season. Want to know the other one? It’s the Heisman Trophy winner.
Georgia Tech faced down Georgia in their last game, losing by the score of 31-23. If they only lost by 8 points to mighty Georgia, surely they will find a way to cover this spread. This game will be two evenly matched teams. Georgia Tech has the better quarterback throwing against a dinged up secondary and they have been able to keep games close. Getting the points here is huge, so I’m taking them.
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