Despite an extremely disappointing loss with Alabama last week that cost me a 3-team parlay, I had a monster 9 & 3 week, and went 3 & 0 on my "Best Bets." That certainly helped ease some of the pain of the Alabama loss.
I've also started off 2 & 0 this week with winners on NIU -6 and Western Michigan +13 last night. Anyhow, after last Saturday my YTD now stands at 82-53-3 (60.7%), and 19-9-1 (67.9%) on "Best Bets". I started the season a little slow on my "Best Bets," but I've been on fire with them lately. Hopefully I won't jinx myself.
I'm not really crazy about tonight's MAC game between Miami (Ohio) & Temple, but softball got rained out tonight so I'm going to make a small play on OVER 44 just to have a little something to root for.
Despite an extremely disappointing loss with Alabama last week that cost me a 3-team parlay, I had a monster 9 & 3 week, and went 3 & 0 on my "Best Bets." That certainly helped ease some of the pain of the Alabama loss.
I've also started off 2 & 0 this week with winners on NIU -6 and Western Michigan +13 last night. Anyhow, after last Saturday my YTD now stands at 82-53-3 (60.7%), and 19-9-1 (67.9%) on "Best Bets". I started the season a little slow on my "Best Bets," but I've been on fire with them lately. Hopefully I won't jinx myself.
I'm not really crazy about tonight's MAC game between Miami (Ohio) & Temple, but softball got rained out tonight so I'm going to make a small play on OVER 44 just to have a little something to root for.
I got some NIU last night. Lost with Toledo but hit the over.
Tonight I took the points with Miami and with you on the over.
I think the points are a good play. I made a play with a local and his line was 11.5 so I stayed away. Bookmaker has it @ 13. His total was 43 however, so I jumped on that. I posted it at 44 above because I knew 43 wasn't available to the betting public. But that's basically why I took the OVER rather than the points.
I got some NIU last night. Lost with Toledo but hit the over.
Tonight I took the points with Miami and with you on the over.
I think the points are a good play. I made a play with a local and his line was 11.5 so I stayed away. Bookmaker has it @ 13. His total was 43 however, so I jumped on that. I posted it at 44 above because I knew 43 wasn't available to the betting public. But that's basically why I took the OVER rather than the points.
How did the Auburn investigation turn out for ya? You know the one where you "promised" everyone "this will be the biggest cheating scandal in the history of the NCAA". How is your "FBI friend" doing?
How did the Auburn investigation turn out for ya? You know the one where you "promised" everyone "this will be the biggest cheating scandal in the history of the NCAA". How is your "FBI friend" doing?
Just curious on your insight for Alabama this week. You think they come out pissed, or do you see a possible hangover?
I hate to sound like a broken record, but I see this game exactly the same way I've seen all of Alabama's other games this season, and that is the that their opponent will not be able to score enough points to cover the spread.
Let me ask you a question? How many points do you think Mississippi State will score in this game? I think it'll be zero. The very best case scenario for them would probably be 7. If they score 7, then Alabama would need to score 26 to cover the spread. Do you think Alabama can score 26 points? I think they probably will.
I don't think MSU will score because they essentially run the old Florida Gators offense, and that is an offense Saban and his staff have spent a lot of time studying in the past. Saban knows how to defend it. That's not good for MSU.
Also, keep in mind that with the loss to LSU, it is imperative that Alabama win as impressively as possible to impress as many voters as they can.
My concerns in this game would be injuries to WR Marquis Maze, LT Barrett Jones and CB Dre Kirkpatrick, but I honestly don't think it'll make any difference at all.
I think the line is relatively sharp, but I think we see a final score of something like 27-0, 24-0, 24-3 . . . something along those lines.
Just curious on your insight for Alabama this week. You think they come out pissed, or do you see a possible hangover?
I hate to sound like a broken record, but I see this game exactly the same way I've seen all of Alabama's other games this season, and that is the that their opponent will not be able to score enough points to cover the spread.
Let me ask you a question? How many points do you think Mississippi State will score in this game? I think it'll be zero. The very best case scenario for them would probably be 7. If they score 7, then Alabama would need to score 26 to cover the spread. Do you think Alabama can score 26 points? I think they probably will.
I don't think MSU will score because they essentially run the old Florida Gators offense, and that is an offense Saban and his staff have spent a lot of time studying in the past. Saban knows how to defend it. That's not good for MSU.
Also, keep in mind that with the loss to LSU, it is imperative that Alabama win as impressively as possible to impress as many voters as they can.
My concerns in this game would be injuries to WR Marquis Maze, LT Barrett Jones and CB Dre Kirkpatrick, but I honestly don't think it'll make any difference at all.
I think the line is relatively sharp, but I think we see a final score of something like 27-0, 24-0, 24-3 . . . something along those lines.
I like Auburn a lot this weekend, and will probable make my play list this week. If Georgia wasn't soooooo motivated to beat the crap out of Auburn, I'd probably make it a "Best Bet." I still might.
I think the bye week will be huge for Mosley. I think he'll do a much better job of running this offense than Trotter did. I like for Mosley to keep this game close.
I like Auburn a lot this weekend, and will probable make my play list this week. If Georgia wasn't soooooo motivated to beat the crap out of Auburn, I'd probably make it a "Best Bet." I still might.
I think the bye week will be huge for Mosley. I think he'll do a much better job of running this offense than Trotter did. I like for Mosley to keep this game close.
I hate to sound like a broken record, but I see this game exactly the same way I've seen all of Alabama's other games this season, and that is the that their opponent will not be able to score enough points to cover the spread.
Let me ask you a question? How many points do you think Mississippi State will score in this game? I think it'll be zero. The very best case scenario for them would probably be 7. If they score 7, then Alabama would need to score 26 to cover the spread. Do you think Alabama can score 26 points? I think they probably will.
I don't think MSU will score because they essentially run the old Florida Gators offense, and that is an offense Saban and his staff have spent a lot of time studying in the past. Saban knows how to defend it. That's not good for MSU.
Also, keep in mind that with the loss to LSU, it is imperative that Alabama win as impressively as possible to impress as many voters as they can.
My concerns in this game would be injuries to WR Marquis Maze, LT Barrett Jones and CB Dre Kirkpatrick, but I honestly don't think it'll make any difference at all.
I think the line is relatively sharp, but I think we see a final score of something like 27-0, 24-0, 24-3 . . . something along those lines.
This will be a beat down... MSU will score... but not a lot and it won't be enough... Tide rolls...
I hate to sound like a broken record, but I see this game exactly the same way I've seen all of Alabama's other games this season, and that is the that their opponent will not be able to score enough points to cover the spread.
Let me ask you a question? How many points do you think Mississippi State will score in this game? I think it'll be zero. The very best case scenario for them would probably be 7. If they score 7, then Alabama would need to score 26 to cover the spread. Do you think Alabama can score 26 points? I think they probably will.
I don't think MSU will score because they essentially run the old Florida Gators offense, and that is an offense Saban and his staff have spent a lot of time studying in the past. Saban knows how to defend it. That's not good for MSU.
Also, keep in mind that with the loss to LSU, it is imperative that Alabama win as impressively as possible to impress as many voters as they can.
My concerns in this game would be injuries to WR Marquis Maze, LT Barrett Jones and CB Dre Kirkpatrick, but I honestly don't think it'll make any difference at all.
I think the line is relatively sharp, but I think we see a final score of something like 27-0, 24-0, 24-3 . . . something along those lines.
This will be a beat down... MSU will score... but not a lot and it won't be enough... Tide rolls...
Looking forward to your opinion on Ducks v Stanford Sat..also if you like the points w/ K state....BOL Jimmy ..
My opinion on this game is probably not what you are expecting.
I think that the Ducks offfense has way too much speed for a slow-footed Stanford defense. Stanford does very well in a fist-fight, but not so well in a track meet, and much like last season, Chip Kelly will do everything in his power to turn this into a track meet. So ordinarily I would love Oregon plus points here.
The reason I won't be betting this game is because if the PAC 10 is anywhere near as corrupt as the SEC (and that would take some doing), they will make sure they have a team in the national championship game. In short, the PAC 10 desperately needs Stanford to win this game, and underestimating the corrupting effect of millions of dollars is foolish IMO. Thus, my gut tells me that somehow, someway Stanford wins this game. Whether they cover the spread I have no clue.
If I were betting this game, and I won't be, my bet would be Stanford on the ML.
Looking forward to your opinion on Ducks v Stanford Sat..also if you like the points w/ K state....BOL Jimmy ..
My opinion on this game is probably not what you are expecting.
I think that the Ducks offfense has way too much speed for a slow-footed Stanford defense. Stanford does very well in a fist-fight, but not so well in a track meet, and much like last season, Chip Kelly will do everything in his power to turn this into a track meet. So ordinarily I would love Oregon plus points here.
The reason I won't be betting this game is because if the PAC 10 is anywhere near as corrupt as the SEC (and that would take some doing), they will make sure they have a team in the national championship game. In short, the PAC 10 desperately needs Stanford to win this game, and underestimating the corrupting effect of millions of dollars is foolish IMO. Thus, my gut tells me that somehow, someway Stanford wins this game. Whether they cover the spread I have no clue.
If I were betting this game, and I won't be, my bet would be Stanford on the ML.
Being my second favorite team, I follow the Hokies pretty closely. The winner of tonight's game will have the inside track to represent the ACC Coastal Division in the ACC Championship Game.
The Hokies enter this game as 1-point road chalk, but I think this line is based largely on reputation rather than performance, and the fact that they rank 5th in the nation at defending the run surrendering only 86.33 ypg. At first blush that stat would seem to favor the Hokies in this contest until you look closely at the competition they've accumulated those stats against, and factor in all of the season-ending inuries they've suffered on the defensive side of the ball.
Recall prior to the season future bettors were flocking to bet OVER on VT's season win total, and for them to win the ACC Coastal based largely on their weak schedule. But as weak as their schedule has been, they have struggle almost every week to eek out wins against seemingly inferior foes. We can see that vividly by way of their abysmal 2 & 7 ATS record - and they are only 2 @ 7 if you count their big ATS victory over Appalachian State.
The Hokies were very fortunate to walk out of Lane Stadium with a victory against GT last season. I remember the game well because I had the Yellow Jackets +12.5. GT was leading the Hokies 14-0 in the 2nd quarter when GT QB Josh Nesbitt was intercepted at the VT 1 yard line, and then sustained a season-ending injury making a tackle on the play. They ended up beating GT 28-21 on 90-yard kickoff return for a TD despite being outgained 426-335.
The extra days of preparation will definitely help VT heal up a bit and prepare for the Yellow Jacket option attack, but I don't think it'll be nearly enough to rescue them from a DD defeat at Bobby Dodd Stadium tonight.
Being my second favorite team, I follow the Hokies pretty closely. The winner of tonight's game will have the inside track to represent the ACC Coastal Division in the ACC Championship Game.
The Hokies enter this game as 1-point road chalk, but I think this line is based largely on reputation rather than performance, and the fact that they rank 5th in the nation at defending the run surrendering only 86.33 ypg. At first blush that stat would seem to favor the Hokies in this contest until you look closely at the competition they've accumulated those stats against, and factor in all of the season-ending inuries they've suffered on the defensive side of the ball.
Recall prior to the season future bettors were flocking to bet OVER on VT's season win total, and for them to win the ACC Coastal based largely on their weak schedule. But as weak as their schedule has been, they have struggle almost every week to eek out wins against seemingly inferior foes. We can see that vividly by way of their abysmal 2 & 7 ATS record - and they are only 2 @ 7 if you count their big ATS victory over Appalachian State.
The Hokies were very fortunate to walk out of Lane Stadium with a victory against GT last season. I remember the game well because I had the Yellow Jackets +12.5. GT was leading the Hokies 14-0 in the 2nd quarter when GT QB Josh Nesbitt was intercepted at the VT 1 yard line, and then sustained a season-ending injury making a tackle on the play. They ended up beating GT 28-21 on 90-yard kickoff return for a TD despite being outgained 426-335.
The extra days of preparation will definitely help VT heal up a bit and prepare for the Yellow Jacket option attack, but I don't think it'll be nearly enough to rescue them from a DD defeat at Bobby Dodd Stadium tonight.
I hate to sound like a broken record, but I see this game exactly the same way I've seen all of Alabama's other games this season, and that is the that their opponent will not be able to score enough points to cover the spread.
Let me ask you a question? How many points do you think Mississippi State will score in this game? I think it'll be zero. The very best case scenario for them would probably be 7. If they score 7, then Alabama would need to score 26 to cover the spread. Do you think Alabama can score 26 points? I think they probably will.
I don't think MSU will score because they essentially run the old Florida Gators offense, and that is an offense Saban and his staff have spent a lot of time studying in the past. Saban knows how to defend it. That's not good for MSU.
Also, keep in mind that with the loss to LSU, it is imperative that Alabama win as impressively as possible to impress as many voters as they can.
My concerns in this game would be injuries to WR Marquis Maze, LT Barrett Jones and CB Dre Kirkpatrick, but I honestly don't think it'll make any difference at all.
I think the line is relatively sharp, but I think we see a final score of something like 27-0, 24-0, 24-3 . . . something along those lines.
Another grind it out game in Starksville. Miss State will not get blanked out lol. They probably won't break 10 but a shutout is unlikely. I see very little value in betting Alabama after lose to LSU, the tide is going on the road during the night against a decent defensive SEC team. The line is now -18/19 at some books. You will probably need Alabama to score 30 points against MSU for a good chance of covering the spread. Can they do that? Yes . Will they? Probably, but not enough for me to put my money on them.
I hate to sound like a broken record, but I see this game exactly the same way I've seen all of Alabama's other games this season, and that is the that their opponent will not be able to score enough points to cover the spread.
Let me ask you a question? How many points do you think Mississippi State will score in this game? I think it'll be zero. The very best case scenario for them would probably be 7. If they score 7, then Alabama would need to score 26 to cover the spread. Do you think Alabama can score 26 points? I think they probably will.
I don't think MSU will score because they essentially run the old Florida Gators offense, and that is an offense Saban and his staff have spent a lot of time studying in the past. Saban knows how to defend it. That's not good for MSU.
Also, keep in mind that with the loss to LSU, it is imperative that Alabama win as impressively as possible to impress as many voters as they can.
My concerns in this game would be injuries to WR Marquis Maze, LT Barrett Jones and CB Dre Kirkpatrick, but I honestly don't think it'll make any difference at all.
I think the line is relatively sharp, but I think we see a final score of something like 27-0, 24-0, 24-3 . . . something along those lines.
Another grind it out game in Starksville. Miss State will not get blanked out lol. They probably won't break 10 but a shutout is unlikely. I see very little value in betting Alabama after lose to LSU, the tide is going on the road during the night against a decent defensive SEC team. The line is now -18/19 at some books. You will probably need Alabama to score 30 points against MSU for a good chance of covering the spread. Can they do that? Yes . Will they? Probably, but not enough for me to put my money on them.
My opinion on this game is probably not what you are expecting.
I think that the Ducks offfense has way too much speed for a slow-footed Stanford defense. Stanford does very well in a fist-fight, but not so well in a track meet, and much like last season, Chip Kelly will do everything in his power to turn this into a track meet. So ordinarily I would love Oregon plus points here.
The reason I won't be betting this game is because if the PAC 10 is anywhere near as corrupt as the SEC (and that would take some doing), they will make sure they have a team in the national championship game. In short, the PAC 10 desperately needs Stanford to win this game, and underestimating the corrupting effect of millions of dollars is foolish IMO. Thus, my gut tells me that somehow, someway Stanford wins this game. Whether they cover the spread I have no clue.
If I were betting this game, and I won't be, my bet would be Stanford on the ML.
My opinion on this game is probably not what you are expecting.
I think that the Ducks offfense has way too much speed for a slow-footed Stanford defense. Stanford does very well in a fist-fight, but not so well in a track meet, and much like last season, Chip Kelly will do everything in his power to turn this into a track meet. So ordinarily I would love Oregon plus points here.
The reason I won't be betting this game is because if the PAC 10 is anywhere near as corrupt as the SEC (and that would take some doing), they will make sure they have a team in the national championship game. In short, the PAC 10 desperately needs Stanford to win this game, and underestimating the corrupting effect of millions of dollars is foolish IMO. Thus, my gut tells me that somehow, someway Stanford wins this game. Whether they cover the spread I have no clue.
If I were betting this game, and I won't be, my bet would be Stanford on the ML.
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