Ok so from now on, to make it easier on myself and to avoid having to create a new thread each day, I'm just going to make a single thread for each sport weekly. All my Picks for each sport will be in the corresponding weekly thread. For example this thread is my NCAAF picks for 12/18 through 12/23. I'll also have a separate thread for this weeks picks for the NFL, NBA, and NCAAB. Weeks will start on Mondays, end on Sundays. Hope that makes sense.
I'll have My bowl picks up for this week in the coming days
Ok so from now on, to make it easier on myself and to avoid having to create a new thread each day, I'm just going to make a single thread for each sport weekly. All my Picks for each sport will be in the corresponding weekly thread. For example this thread is my NCAAF picks for 12/18 through 12/23. I'll also have a separate thread for this weeks picks for the NFL, NBA, and NCAAB. Weeks will start on Mondays, end on Sundays. Hope that makes sense.
I'll have My bowl picks up for this week in the coming days
Not a whole lot to look at in this game IMO. It comes down to two things. First San Diego St. has been very one dimensional after Katz went down in mid October. They are a very run heavy team. Say what you want about "mis leading defensive stats for BYU", but I've watched this team many times this year. This defense is fast and physical, and is very good against the run. They will put San Diego St. in a lot of 3rd and longs here, and the SDSt. QB hasn't shown me enough consistency to be able to win this game throwing tonight. Yes they won 4 games in a row with the back up qb to end the season, but three we're against very weak opponents. In the Boise win they only registered 105 yards passing. They did beat Boise at Boise, but I think this BYU run defense is better, and it's going to be very hard for SDSt. to win with only 100 yards passing again.
The second is the BYU running game vs. San Diego St. Defense. I believe a lot of people are forgetting that this San Diego St defense isn't that good. Their running defense is suspect at times and they give up around 140 a game on the ground. Their secondary is worse than their run Defesne. So as mediocre as Riley Nelson and company have been, they shouldn't find it too difficult to make some throws here. BYU has struggles offensively at times, but it's been against very good defensive teams.
From a matchup standpoint and what these two teams like to do offensively, I think BYU has a big advantage here. It's never good when the public is backing the dog, as they are with San Diego St. BYU as a fav with a lesser record and somewhat on the road should give you a hint here IMO. Also many argue that BYU hasn't played or beaten a good team. Well if you put these two teams schedule side by side, it's clear BYU had the much tougher schedule. It includes road games at Notre Dame, San Jose St, Georgia Tech, Utah and Boise St. I included Utah in this list because they were a very competitive team, and BYU had them very early in the season, before many of the injuries. BYU also had to play home games vs. Utah St, and Oregon St. Two top 25 teams. San Diego St.s schedule also includes Boise St on the road, but after that you find road losses to Fresno St, and Washington, and a one point win against Nevada. Their best opponent they faced at home was San Jose st, a game in which they lost.
Not a whole lot to look at in this game IMO. It comes down to two things. First San Diego St. has been very one dimensional after Katz went down in mid October. They are a very run heavy team. Say what you want about "mis leading defensive stats for BYU", but I've watched this team many times this year. This defense is fast and physical, and is very good against the run. They will put San Diego St. in a lot of 3rd and longs here, and the SDSt. QB hasn't shown me enough consistency to be able to win this game throwing tonight. Yes they won 4 games in a row with the back up qb to end the season, but three we're against very weak opponents. In the Boise win they only registered 105 yards passing. They did beat Boise at Boise, but I think this BYU run defense is better, and it's going to be very hard for SDSt. to win with only 100 yards passing again.
The second is the BYU running game vs. San Diego St. Defense. I believe a lot of people are forgetting that this San Diego St defense isn't that good. Their running defense is suspect at times and they give up around 140 a game on the ground. Their secondary is worse than their run Defesne. So as mediocre as Riley Nelson and company have been, they shouldn't find it too difficult to make some throws here. BYU has struggles offensively at times, but it's been against very good defensive teams.
From a matchup standpoint and what these two teams like to do offensively, I think BYU has a big advantage here. It's never good when the public is backing the dog, as they are with San Diego St. BYU as a fav with a lesser record and somewhat on the road should give you a hint here IMO. Also many argue that BYU hasn't played or beaten a good team. Well if you put these two teams schedule side by side, it's clear BYU had the much tougher schedule. It includes road games at Notre Dame, San Jose St, Georgia Tech, Utah and Boise St. I included Utah in this list because they were a very competitive team, and BYU had them very early in the season, before many of the injuries. BYU also had to play home games vs. Utah St, and Oregon St. Two top 25 teams. San Diego St.s schedule also includes Boise St on the road, but after that you find road losses to Fresno St, and Washington, and a one point win against Nevada. Their best opponent they faced at home was San Jose st, a game in which they lost.
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