As bettors it is easy to become sheep herding towards the cliff. Take a game like much state, a line that looks suspect but inticing. We know that when a line is abnormally low the probability that Vegas knows something is high. But still loads of punters line up and put their $$$$ down in heavy fashion on the favorite. It is so hard to lay off small lines that look soon easy to cover. There is one or two like this every few weeks where the books clean up, but I don't think they want this kind of action all the time, where the public just gets ripped, they have to let our tolls build up again. They say the house wins about 70% of the time and I believe that to be true. So to come out ahead at the end of a season is truly a thing to be proud of. I don't think they go out of their way to trap we just fall for those lines that we know can't be right or look to good to be true?
As bettors it is easy to become sheep herding towards the cliff. Take a game like much state, a line that looks suspect but inticing. We know that when a line is abnormally low the probability that Vegas knows something is high. But still loads of punters line up and put their $$$$ down in heavy fashion on the favorite. It is so hard to lay off small lines that look soon easy to cover. There is one or two like this every few weeks where the books clean up, but I don't think they want this kind of action all the time, where the public just gets ripped, they have to let our tolls build up again. They say the house wins about 70% of the time and I believe that to be true. So to come out ahead at the end of a season is truly a thing to be proud of. I don't think they go out of their way to trap we just fall for those lines that we know can't be right or look to good to be true?
their goal is absolute 50/50, they take zero risk and win a ton that way, they don't always get this but I know for 100% certainty that is their goal when setting a line, I've talked to the right people about this very subject in the past
100% fact, no conspiracy theories on my end, just truth
their goal is absolute 50/50, they take zero risk and win a ton that way, they don't always get this but I know for 100% certainty that is their goal when setting a line, I've talked to the right people about this very subject in the past
100% fact, no conspiracy theories on my end, just truth
As bettors it is easy to become sheep herding towards the cliff. Take a game like much state, a line that looks suspect but inticing. We know that when a line is abnormally low the probability that Vegas knows something is high. But still loads of punters line up and put their $$$$ down in heavy fashion on the favorite. It is so hard to lay off small lines that look soon easy to cover. There is one or two like this every few weeks where the books clean up, but I don't think they want this kind of action all the time, where the public just gets ripped, they have to let our tolls build up again. They say the house wins about 70% of the time and I believe that to be true. So to come out ahead at the end of a season is truly a thing to be proud of. I don't think they go out of their way to trap we just fall for those lines that we know can't be right or look to good to be true?
As bettors it is easy to become sheep herding towards the cliff. Take a game like much state, a line that looks suspect but inticing. We know that when a line is abnormally low the probability that Vegas knows something is high. But still loads of punters line up and put their $$$$ down in heavy fashion on the favorite. It is so hard to lay off small lines that look soon easy to cover. There is one or two like this every few weeks where the books clean up, but I don't think they want this kind of action all the time, where the public just gets ripped, they have to let our tolls build up again. They say the house wins about 70% of the time and I believe that to be true. So to come out ahead at the end of a season is truly a thing to be proud of. I don't think they go out of their way to trap we just fall for those lines that we know can't be right or look to good to be true?
A sportsbook maximizes its profitability by setting the line between the true line and the line that splits the action. Books that try to live off the juice will be put out of business by books that employ the superior business strategy,
A sportsbook maximizes its profitability by setting the line between the true line and the line that splits the action. Books that try to live off the juice will be put out of business by books that employ the superior business strategy,
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