Not sure how much I'll be around on Saturday fellas but here's what I'm liking thus far.
Saturday:
TEXAS A & M - 9
The Aggies have been money burners of late surrendering big leads and covering none of their last 4 games. I look for that to change in this game as A & M owns the Baylor Bears. The Aggies have covered 4 of the last 5 between these two and should be very focused to get back on track. I think both teams are pretty equal on offense while A & M has the much better defense and the huge home field advantage. In the last 4 games at Kyle field A & M has won by an average of over 30 ppg over the Bears and I think they can get the cover here.
MICHIGAN ST -2
Big Blue has played well thus far to start the season but they haven't faced a defense this good yet. State had 9 sacks in their win at the horseshoe and while I don't think they'll get 9 on Denard I think they'll get to him enough to rattle him just a bit. Michigan trailed NW at the half last week by 10 and thanks to a couple NW turnovers they were able to come back and pull away. I don't see that being the case this week. M St's defense is as good as advertised and if they get Denard into throwing situations or one dimensional trying to come from behind it may get ugly. States defense is the difference here and I really doubt Blue will be able to run the ball. Ohio St tried and tried and tried and I couldn't believe it when I looked it up. 39 attempts......35 total yards. Come on State , make it 4 straight win and covers over Big Blue for us.
TEXAS +8
Okie St is as hot as a two dollar pistol but really? 8 point favorites against Big Tex? Come on maaaan. OSU has won 5 straight to start the year going 4-1 ats.Last week was a disaster as predicted for Texas as they were embarrassed by my Sooners. This week however I seriously doubt they'll turn it over 4 times like they did against OU. Mack will have his boys ready to make amends for their embarrasement last week and hang tough as they usually do after playing OU covering 11 of the last 12 times. Infact the Longhorns have beaten State in 12 of the last 13 games straight up! Looks too easy and I hate it when that happens. I'll jump right in though and may sprinkle a little on the ML.
SOUTH FLORIDA -7 (hook)
You think UCONN misses HC Randy E? They have compiled just 2 wins on the season beating Buffalo and Big Bad Fordahm. Lol...Seriously there are several angles I like in this one. The main one being the Head Coach. Paulie has always been horrible imo and I think alot of ol Skip and you can bet your bottom dollar he has worked his boys over for not one but two weeks now as they are coming off their lone loss this year against Pitt. A game in which they were favored to win. Also like the fact that we have a little revenge on the minds of South Florida as they were beat by this UCONN team last season. USF has lost their last two games ats. This is another reason they are a play on for me. I had to go all the way back to November of 2009 to find the last time the Bulls dropped 3 straight ats.
TENNESSEE +17
Just way to much value for me to pass here. LSU knows they are easily the superior team here and should be able to name the scoore. As ol Corso would say....Not so fast my friend. WTF is LSU laying 17 points on the conference road for? Do you really think they are going to be up for Tenny with Big Bad Bama on deck for what is as good as a Nat'l championship type game. They will be looking ahead and they will do everything they can to keep players from being injured. I just don't see it. LSU has covered just 1 of their last 6 as a DD road favorite. In the last 10 times these two have played LSU has never won by more than 9 points. Hmmmm. You fellas remember last year? Tenny beat LSU as a 17 point dog. Well not really. They had to many men on the field on 4TH down on the last play of the game or very late in the game and LSU escaped with a 1 point win after they got the TD on their 2nd opportunity. Once again...Looks to easy and I hate it when that happens.
Not sure how much I'll be around on Saturday fellas but here's what I'm liking thus far.
Saturday:
TEXAS A & M - 9
The Aggies have been money burners of late surrendering big leads and covering none of their last 4 games. I look for that to change in this game as A & M owns the Baylor Bears. The Aggies have covered 4 of the last 5 between these two and should be very focused to get back on track. I think both teams are pretty equal on offense while A & M has the much better defense and the huge home field advantage. In the last 4 games at Kyle field A & M has won by an average of over 30 ppg over the Bears and I think they can get the cover here.
MICHIGAN ST -2
Big Blue has played well thus far to start the season but they haven't faced a defense this good yet. State had 9 sacks in their win at the horseshoe and while I don't think they'll get 9 on Denard I think they'll get to him enough to rattle him just a bit. Michigan trailed NW at the half last week by 10 and thanks to a couple NW turnovers they were able to come back and pull away. I don't see that being the case this week. M St's defense is as good as advertised and if they get Denard into throwing situations or one dimensional trying to come from behind it may get ugly. States defense is the difference here and I really doubt Blue will be able to run the ball. Ohio St tried and tried and tried and I couldn't believe it when I looked it up. 39 attempts......35 total yards. Come on State , make it 4 straight win and covers over Big Blue for us.
TEXAS +8
Okie St is as hot as a two dollar pistol but really? 8 point favorites against Big Tex? Come on maaaan. OSU has won 5 straight to start the year going 4-1 ats.Last week was a disaster as predicted for Texas as they were embarrassed by my Sooners. This week however I seriously doubt they'll turn it over 4 times like they did against OU. Mack will have his boys ready to make amends for their embarrasement last week and hang tough as they usually do after playing OU covering 11 of the last 12 times. Infact the Longhorns have beaten State in 12 of the last 13 games straight up! Looks too easy and I hate it when that happens. I'll jump right in though and may sprinkle a little on the ML.
SOUTH FLORIDA -7 (hook)
You think UCONN misses HC Randy E? They have compiled just 2 wins on the season beating Buffalo and Big Bad Fordahm. Lol...Seriously there are several angles I like in this one. The main one being the Head Coach. Paulie has always been horrible imo and I think alot of ol Skip and you can bet your bottom dollar he has worked his boys over for not one but two weeks now as they are coming off their lone loss this year against Pitt. A game in which they were favored to win. Also like the fact that we have a little revenge on the minds of South Florida as they were beat by this UCONN team last season. USF has lost their last two games ats. This is another reason they are a play on for me. I had to go all the way back to November of 2009 to find the last time the Bulls dropped 3 straight ats.
TENNESSEE +17
Just way to much value for me to pass here. LSU knows they are easily the superior team here and should be able to name the scoore. As ol Corso would say....Not so fast my friend. WTF is LSU laying 17 points on the conference road for? Do you really think they are going to be up for Tenny with Big Bad Bama on deck for what is as good as a Nat'l championship type game. They will be looking ahead and they will do everything they can to keep players from being injured. I just don't see it. LSU has covered just 1 of their last 6 as a DD road favorite. In the last 10 times these two have played LSU has never won by more than 9 points. Hmmmm. You fellas remember last year? Tenny beat LSU as a 17 point dog. Well not really. They had to many men on the field on 4TH down on the last play of the game or very late in the game and LSU escaped with a 1 point win after they got the TD on their 2nd opportunity. Once again...Looks to easy and I hate it when that happens.
Actually Auburn is on deck for LSU, but that is a revenge game for them. I doubt the Vols will play them as close as last year (unless they remember how to run block), but the more people I hear talking about how LSU is free money, and the more the line climbs, the more I might consider putting a tad on my Vols.
Actually Auburn is on deck for LSU, but that is a revenge game for them. I doubt the Vols will play them as close as last year (unless they remember how to run block), but the more people I hear talking about how LSU is free money, and the more the line climbs, the more I might consider putting a tad on my Vols.
Agree with all of them except for Tennessee. That game is going to get ugly. People have disected LSU's motivation, but I haven't seen one person in this forum present an argument for how Tennessee is going to score over 14 pts with a makeshift offense against a top two D. This is not the week to break in a new backfield. And LSU doesn't play Bama until Nov 5th
Agree with all of them except for Tennessee. That game is going to get ugly. People have disected LSU's motivation, but I haven't seen one person in this forum present an argument for how Tennessee is going to score over 14 pts with a makeshift offense against a top two D. This is not the week to break in a new backfield. And LSU doesn't play Bama until Nov 5th
Actually Auburn is on deck for LSU, but that is a revenge game for them. I doubt the Vols will play them as close as last year (unless they remember how to run block), but the more people I hear talking about how LSU is free money, and the more the line climbs, the more I might consider putting a tad on my Vols.
You are correct. I should have looked at the schedule before I said that. They play Bama after Auburn. I still think they come out flat and do just enough to get a W.
Actually Auburn is on deck for LSU, but that is a revenge game for them. I doubt the Vols will play them as close as last year (unless they remember how to run block), but the more people I hear talking about how LSU is free money, and the more the line climbs, the more I might consider putting a tad on my Vols.
You are correct. I should have looked at the schedule before I said that. They play Bama after Auburn. I still think they come out flat and do just enough to get a W.
Like them all but Tenn. I dont think they will score more than 10 points. All the same things people said why Florida would cover apply here. Its almost the same scenario (back up qb, on the road), except Florida has a better defense than the Vols....LSU should be able to pound the ball and win by 30+....
Like them all but Tenn. I dont think they will score more than 10 points. All the same things people said why Florida would cover apply here. Its almost the same scenario (back up qb, on the road), except Florida has a better defense than the Vols....LSU should be able to pound the ball and win by 30+....
Decidede to pass all around on Thurday night.Not laying points on the road with SC and nearly made a case to play Cal but I keep thinking back to that 2nd half performance last week.
Decidede to pass all around on Thurday night.Not laying points on the road with SC and nearly made a case to play Cal but I keep thinking back to that 2nd half performance last week.
Agree with all of them except for Tennessee. That game is going to get ugly. People have disected LSU's motivation, but I haven't seen one person in this forum present an argument for how Tennessee is going to score over 14 pts with a makeshift offense against a top two D. This is not the week to break in a new backfield. And LSU doesn't play Bama until Nov 5th
People keep saying it's a new backfield, but it isn't. The QB and RB are the same guys who started against LSU last year.
I still don't see Tennessee getting over 14 or so without a lot of short fields, but it's not like they're starting a lot of guys who have never played before. Da'Rick Rogers and Mychal Rivera are the only offensive starts with fewer than 6 starts under their belt (five each). I could definitely see a 24-14 type game though. Probably won't bet on it, but something like LSU's trip to Starkville last month.
Agree with all of them except for Tennessee. That game is going to get ugly. People have disected LSU's motivation, but I haven't seen one person in this forum present an argument for how Tennessee is going to score over 14 pts with a makeshift offense against a top two D. This is not the week to break in a new backfield. And LSU doesn't play Bama until Nov 5th
People keep saying it's a new backfield, but it isn't. The QB and RB are the same guys who started against LSU last year.
I still don't see Tennessee getting over 14 or so without a lot of short fields, but it's not like they're starting a lot of guys who have never played before. Da'Rick Rogers and Mychal Rivera are the only offensive starts with fewer than 6 starts under their belt (five each). I could definitely see a 24-14 type game though. Probably won't bet on it, but something like LSU's trip to Starkville last month.
Like them all but Tenn. I dont think they will score more than 10 points. All the same things people said why Florida would cover apply here. Its almost the same scenario (back up qb, on the road), except Florida has a better defense than the Vols....LSU should be able to pound the ball and win by 30+....
It's not on the road, the QB isn't a freshman who's never started before, the line is 6 points higher, and there's a potential look-ahead. Other than that, it's the same situation.
I feel like I'm trying to argue a Tennessee cover, but I'm really just correcting factual errors.
Like them all but Tenn. I dont think they will score more than 10 points. All the same things people said why Florida would cover apply here. Its almost the same scenario (back up qb, on the road), except Florida has a better defense than the Vols....LSU should be able to pound the ball and win by 30+....
It's not on the road, the QB isn't a freshman who's never started before, the line is 6 points higher, and there's a potential look-ahead. Other than that, it's the same situation.
I feel like I'm trying to argue a Tennessee cover, but I'm really just correcting factual errors.
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