Been an up and down year in NCAAF, ending our year 61-51-3 for the season. We are back for bowl SZN! LETS GO!
12:30pm PST
UAB vs BYU (13)
UAB +6.5 -110 <1 unit>
Its going to be raining in this one! We are backing the dogs here in the Independence Bowl. This line has moved off a key number and we believe there are a couple items that could have caused it, one starting off with Sharp Money. We see more betting tickets on BYU as the ranked team here, yet the money is on UAB which implies bigger bets.
Initially, we were worried about Jaren Hall in this one as he is a dangerous playmaker with his legs and arms, however with possible rain and winds between 12-14mph, this will give UAB’s defense an advantage. Offensively, we like UAB in this weather as they are a run first team with two solid RB’s, and they control the ball very well ranking 22nd in time of possession. BYU does NOT have a solid rush defense so we expect UAB to have some success today.
We know BYU has a solid RB that will head to the NFL, but UAB has a solid front 7 and they only gave up 3 yards per carry this year, which is ranked 8th in the nation. Again, this is another reason why we like the dogs here in this type of weather. Their secondary ain't no slouch either, having the 9th best coverage grade under Pro Football Focus. We also heard the BYU coach interviewed for the Oregon position, and you know we hate distractions during bowl season. With all that said, we are taking the Dogs in this one. Lets go! Good Luck!
Been an up and down year in NCAAF, ending our year 61-51-3 for the season. We are back for bowl SZN! LETS GO!
12:30pm PST
UAB vs BYU (13)
UAB +6.5 -110 <1 unit>
Its going to be raining in this one! We are backing the dogs here in the Independence Bowl. This line has moved off a key number and we believe there are a couple items that could have caused it, one starting off with Sharp Money. We see more betting tickets on BYU as the ranked team here, yet the money is on UAB which implies bigger bets.
Initially, we were worried about Jaren Hall in this one as he is a dangerous playmaker with his legs and arms, however with possible rain and winds between 12-14mph, this will give UAB’s defense an advantage. Offensively, we like UAB in this weather as they are a run first team with two solid RB’s, and they control the ball very well ranking 22nd in time of possession. BYU does NOT have a solid rush defense so we expect UAB to have some success today.
We know BYU has a solid RB that will head to the NFL, but UAB has a solid front 7 and they only gave up 3 yards per carry this year, which is ranked 8th in the nation. Again, this is another reason why we like the dogs here in this type of weather. Their secondary ain't no slouch either, having the 9th best coverage grade under Pro Football Focus. We also heard the BYU coach interviewed for the Oregon position, and you know we hate distractions during bowl season. With all that said, we are taking the Dogs in this one. Lets go! Good Luck!
We are backing Utep in the New Mexico Bowl today. This line has already moved 3.5 points and that has a lot to do with Fresno State’s coach and offensive coordinator leaving the program and will not be coaching todays game.
In addition to this, starting QB for Fresno State stated that he would be leaving the program to head to Washington to transfer with his coach, but then turned his decision back and has decided to remain at Fresno, however, they may not start him in this game due to the team knowing he was ready to leave. They have not announced who the QB will be today, with that said, they may be starting a freshman at QB in his first start. With the line moving almost 4 points, we believe that Hanear will not be starting for Fresno St today.
Bowl games are all about motivation, coaching, and stability heading into the game, something UTEP has today. With Fresno State playing teams like ranked Oregon, UCLA, SDSU, Boise State, it will be tough for them to get up for the New Mexico Bowl to play UTEP. With coaches leaving early, it only implies that they do not care about this game to stay and help the team win before the send off. We are taking the points in this one. Good Luck!
We are backing Utep in the New Mexico Bowl today. This line has already moved 3.5 points and that has a lot to do with Fresno State’s coach and offensive coordinator leaving the program and will not be coaching todays game.
In addition to this, starting QB for Fresno State stated that he would be leaving the program to head to Washington to transfer with his coach, but then turned his decision back and has decided to remain at Fresno, however, they may not start him in this game due to the team knowing he was ready to leave. They have not announced who the QB will be today, with that said, they may be starting a freshman at QB in his first start. With the line moving almost 4 points, we believe that Hanear will not be starting for Fresno St today.
Bowl games are all about motivation, coaching, and stability heading into the game, something UTEP has today. With Fresno State playing teams like ranked Oregon, UCLA, SDSU, Boise State, it will be tough for them to get up for the New Mexico Bowl to play UTEP. With coaches leaving early, it only implies that they do not care about this game to stay and help the team win before the send off. We are taking the points in this one. Good Luck!
4:30pm PST Utah State vs Oregon Stare Utah State +7 -120 <1 unit>
With the line now moving off the hook, we are going to take Utah St. Utah st is coming in with some momentum here beating SDSU in the mountain west championship game. Not only did they beat them, they walloped them 46-13. Oregon state is coming off a 38-29 loss to their rivals Oregon in the Civil War game. That was a massive loss to them as they had high hopes on taking them down. Now they need to get up for Utah State.
Utah state will get to play back to back teams who are pretty similar with the style of play, one dimensional. Both teams focus on the run and we just saw Utah st take out Greg And Chance Bell. They know exactly what to Expect from Oregon state, which is BJ Baylor. Stop him and it will be rough for Oregon state. Utah state actually had a solid rush defense so they will match up well here. On the other end, Oregon State allows 5.9 yards per play, which ranked 92nd in the country. Utah state should be able to drive the ball today.
We like Logan Bonner and Devin Thompkings. With linebacker Avery Roberts, who led the Pac-12 in tackles, out for Oregon State, it only helps Utah states offense. This defense allowed over 255 passing yards per game, which ranks 99th in the nation, so we are taking Utah State to cover and potentially upset Oregon State. Good luck!
4:30pm PST Utah State vs Oregon Stare Utah State +7 -120 <1 unit>
With the line now moving off the hook, we are going to take Utah St. Utah st is coming in with some momentum here beating SDSU in the mountain west championship game. Not only did they beat them, they walloped them 46-13. Oregon state is coming off a 38-29 loss to their rivals Oregon in the Civil War game. That was a massive loss to them as they had high hopes on taking them down. Now they need to get up for Utah State.
Utah state will get to play back to back teams who are pretty similar with the style of play, one dimensional. Both teams focus on the run and we just saw Utah st take out Greg And Chance Bell. They know exactly what to Expect from Oregon state, which is BJ Baylor. Stop him and it will be rough for Oregon state. Utah state actually had a solid rush defense so they will match up well here. On the other end, Oregon State allows 5.9 yards per play, which ranked 92nd in the country. Utah state should be able to drive the ball today.
We like Logan Bonner and Devin Thompkings. With linebacker Avery Roberts, who led the Pac-12 in tackles, out for Oregon State, it only helps Utah states offense. This defense allowed over 255 passing yards per game, which ranks 99th in the nation, so we are taking Utah State to cover and potentially upset Oregon State. Good luck!
11:30am PST Old Dominion vs Tulsa Tulsa -9 -105 <1 unit>
Alright guys. We took a good amount of dogs to start our bowl season, but we are backing the Favorite here this morning. After further research, it just feels like Vegas wants you to take Old Dominion here, but we need to back the team that had the way more difficult SOS.
So you guys are asking about motivation? Well, if Tulsa didn’t want to be here, they wouldn't have gone all out against SMU as dogs to get a bowl bid. Getting this bid gave the coach a contract extension through 2024, so this game does mean something to the coach and his players. This was a very tough season SOS wise for Tulsa, and this is a game we believe Tulsa will utilize to send off their upperclassman the right way with a Win.
Everyone is talking about Old Dominion's winning streak to end the season, but after further inspection, they beat teams that had a total of 21-wins and 40-losses during that streak. In addition, they beat 1 bowl team the entire year and lost to 5. Yes, they changed things around late in the year, but this team isn’t as impressive as one may think. Tulsas secondary has only allowed 5-passing touchdowns in their last 6-games games, so this will be hard for Old Dom to get into the end zone today.
Neither of these teams are particularly dominant teams, and other than our assumption on motivation we don't really see many advantages for Old Dominion today. We are backing the better defense that has been more battle tested to pull away and cover ATS. We found it interesting that Tulsa has only won by double digits once this year and their is RLM taking place moving the line up to 9 even though action has been coming in on Old Dominion. We are taking Tulsa and laying the points. Good luck!
11:30am PST Old Dominion vs Tulsa Tulsa -9 -105 <1 unit>
Alright guys. We took a good amount of dogs to start our bowl season, but we are backing the Favorite here this morning. After further research, it just feels like Vegas wants you to take Old Dominion here, but we need to back the team that had the way more difficult SOS.
So you guys are asking about motivation? Well, if Tulsa didn’t want to be here, they wouldn't have gone all out against SMU as dogs to get a bowl bid. Getting this bid gave the coach a contract extension through 2024, so this game does mean something to the coach and his players. This was a very tough season SOS wise for Tulsa, and this is a game we believe Tulsa will utilize to send off their upperclassman the right way with a Win.
Everyone is talking about Old Dominion's winning streak to end the season, but after further inspection, they beat teams that had a total of 21-wins and 40-losses during that streak. In addition, they beat 1 bowl team the entire year and lost to 5. Yes, they changed things around late in the year, but this team isn’t as impressive as one may think. Tulsas secondary has only allowed 5-passing touchdowns in their last 6-games games, so this will be hard for Old Dom to get into the end zone today.
Neither of these teams are particularly dominant teams, and other than our assumption on motivation we don't really see many advantages for Old Dominion today. We are backing the better defense that has been more battle tested to pull away and cover ATS. We found it interesting that Tulsa has only won by double digits once this year and their is RLM taking place moving the line up to 9 even though action has been coming in on Old Dominion. We are taking Tulsa and laying the points. Good luck!
Your thought process is eerily similar to mine. Haven't been doing write-ups lately, busy and just don't always have the time. If you were to go back and read my all my write-ups, you'd understand. Continued success
"I'm afraid all we may have done is awakened a sleeping giant."
Your thought process is eerily similar to mine. Haven't been doing write-ups lately, busy and just don't always have the time. If you were to go back and read my all my write-ups, you'd understand. Continued success
Thanks for the comments guys. LETS KEEP THIS RUN GOING! GOOD LUCK EVERYONE!!!
12:30pm PST
Kent St vs Wyoming
Wyoming -3.5 EVEN <1 unit>
We like the MWC in bowl games and will again back one today. Kent St has some explosive offensive numbers, but most of that came from playing in their conference. They did not look impressive when playing out of conference. Their hope was to take down the MAC Title and are now off a disappointing loss. Yes, you can say they are motivated to bounce back but against a 6-6 Wyoming? Umm….
Wyoming is off a bad loss to Hawaii, but they were off beating Utah State as underdogs, that same team won the MWC. They clinched a bowl game after that win, and then laid an egg to end their season. They were already looking ahead and have almost a month to prepare for this game. This team held Fresno State to 17 points, Utah State to 17 points, and Boise State to 23 points, all explosive offenses. Yes, their rush defense has been terrible and Kent St has a chance to exploit that today, but they bend and dont break and we dont believe this Kent St team will be able to just run the ball for all 4 quarters. Wyoming’s secondary has a top 10 secondary in pass coverage, so lets see how long Kent St takes to finally break.
Kent St’s defense struggled all year. Their run D was straight trash and Wyoming is a rush first team. This team allowed 6.1 yards per play ranking 105th in the nation. Wyoming doesnt throw much but Kent State's coverage grade is horrible. There could be a good amount of play action opportunities here. With all that said, Wyoming will be able to score, and will eventually make a stop or two on Kent State's offense to seal this game. We are taking Wyoming, Good Luck!
Trend Snippet - Wyoming is led by coach Craig Bohl, who sports a 10-3 career ATS record in the postseason (7-3 ATS with FCS North Dakota State, 3-0 ATS with Wyoming).
Thanks for the comments guys. LETS KEEP THIS RUN GOING! GOOD LUCK EVERYONE!!!
12:30pm PST
Kent St vs Wyoming
Wyoming -3.5 EVEN <1 unit>
We like the MWC in bowl games and will again back one today. Kent St has some explosive offensive numbers, but most of that came from playing in their conference. They did not look impressive when playing out of conference. Their hope was to take down the MAC Title and are now off a disappointing loss. Yes, you can say they are motivated to bounce back but against a 6-6 Wyoming? Umm….
Wyoming is off a bad loss to Hawaii, but they were off beating Utah State as underdogs, that same team won the MWC. They clinched a bowl game after that win, and then laid an egg to end their season. They were already looking ahead and have almost a month to prepare for this game. This team held Fresno State to 17 points, Utah State to 17 points, and Boise State to 23 points, all explosive offenses. Yes, their rush defense has been terrible and Kent St has a chance to exploit that today, but they bend and dont break and we dont believe this Kent St team will be able to just run the ball for all 4 quarters. Wyoming’s secondary has a top 10 secondary in pass coverage, so lets see how long Kent St takes to finally break.
Kent St’s defense struggled all year. Their run D was straight trash and Wyoming is a rush first team. This team allowed 6.1 yards per play ranking 105th in the nation. Wyoming doesnt throw much but Kent State's coverage grade is horrible. There could be a good amount of play action opportunities here. With all that said, Wyoming will be able to score, and will eventually make a stop or two on Kent State's offense to seal this game. We are taking Wyoming, Good Luck!
Trend Snippet - Wyoming is led by coach Craig Bohl, who sports a 10-3 career ATS record in the postseason (7-3 ATS with FCS North Dakota State, 3-0 ATS with Wyoming).
We are taking the OVER in tonight's Armed Services Bowl. The weather should have no effect here, but the total has been dropping the last few weeks. This is mostly due to Star RB Tyler Badie opting out of the game. In addition to that, there is controversy with which QB will start in Missouri as Connor Bazelak struggled off returning from injury. Even with all that said, Missouri has almost an entire month to prepare for this game, as well as footage from the Navy vs Army game to help with their prepping to score on this defense.
We are hearing the motivation factor with an SEC team that's 6-6 playing Army will not show up, but there wouldn't be any QB controversy if they were not going into this game trying to win. They had a HUGE emotional win over Florida on November 20th to lock up a bowl bid then laid an egg to Arkansas. I wouldnt look at the 17 points they scored vs Arkansas as a gauge on how they will do tonight.
Army is off a huge loss and will be pumped to light up the scoreboard here. They scored 13 freaking points to Navy, which was the lowest output this entire year. They are now going against one of the worst rush defenses in the country ranking 119th in yards per rush allowed and has given up 30 TD’s on the ground. They allowed 229.3 rush yards per game guys, so basically Army should score here.
With that said, the anomaly is with Missouri. We have hopes that they will show something different tonight with this much time to prepare and also give other students a chance to play and gain some experience for next year. There are a few DBs and DLs that opted out for Missouri that will only help Army score. We looked at backing Army but we have no idea what MIssouri team will show up tonight besides assuming they will lay an egg, so we are backing the OVER tonight. Good Luck!
Trend Snippet - Since 2015, service academies went 9-2 to the OVER in bowl games. Lets go!
We are taking the OVER in tonight's Armed Services Bowl. The weather should have no effect here, but the total has been dropping the last few weeks. This is mostly due to Star RB Tyler Badie opting out of the game. In addition to that, there is controversy with which QB will start in Missouri as Connor Bazelak struggled off returning from injury. Even with all that said, Missouri has almost an entire month to prepare for this game, as well as footage from the Navy vs Army game to help with their prepping to score on this defense.
We are hearing the motivation factor with an SEC team that's 6-6 playing Army will not show up, but there wouldn't be any QB controversy if they were not going into this game trying to win. They had a HUGE emotional win over Florida on November 20th to lock up a bowl bid then laid an egg to Arkansas. I wouldnt look at the 17 points they scored vs Arkansas as a gauge on how they will do tonight.
Army is off a huge loss and will be pumped to light up the scoreboard here. They scored 13 freaking points to Navy, which was the lowest output this entire year. They are now going against one of the worst rush defenses in the country ranking 119th in yards per rush allowed and has given up 30 TD’s on the ground. They allowed 229.3 rush yards per game guys, so basically Army should score here.
With that said, the anomaly is with Missouri. We have hopes that they will show something different tonight with this much time to prepare and also give other students a chance to play and gain some experience for next year. There are a few DBs and DLs that opted out for Missouri that will only help Army score. We looked at backing Army but we have no idea what MIssouri team will show up tonight besides assuming they will lay an egg, so we are backing the OVER tonight. Good Luck!
Trend Snippet - Since 2015, service academies went 9-2 to the OVER in bowl games. Lets go!
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