In a bowl game like this, statistics do not have much value to me. It is all about motivation. I feel that lies with Arkansas St. Here is a team in the SunBelt that is 10-2 with losses to Illinois and Va Tech. At 10-2 they are still being undervalued being that they are 10-2 ATS this year and 4-1 ATS in their last 5. Usually, this is spot to fade a team. However, not for me tonight. I have followed this Northern Illinois team this year having bet against them when they played Toledo. Northern Illinois's defense is worse than swiss cheese. Gus Malzahn will take over this program next year and they are exited about that. Usually, coaching changes in the bowl season are a detriment to a team but not when you are in the Sun Belt, you didn't play in a bowl game last season, and a chance to showcase your program right before the national championship game and make a case to be apart of a AQ conference in the near future. Northern Illinois won their bowl game last year 40-17 over Fresno St. This is a dual threat offense facing a rush heavy offense in Northern Illinois. Northern Illinois will not be able to stop this Arkansas St team and this one should be a shootout. Slight lean to the over at 67. Again, no statistical breakdown needed here. BOL whichever side you play.
In a bowl game like this, statistics do not have much value to me. It is all about motivation. I feel that lies with Arkansas St. Here is a team in the SunBelt that is 10-2 with losses to Illinois and Va Tech. At 10-2 they are still being undervalued being that they are 10-2 ATS this year and 4-1 ATS in their last 5. Usually, this is spot to fade a team. However, not for me tonight. I have followed this Northern Illinois team this year having bet against them when they played Toledo. Northern Illinois's defense is worse than swiss cheese. Gus Malzahn will take over this program next year and they are exited about that. Usually, coaching changes in the bowl season are a detriment to a team but not when you are in the Sun Belt, you didn't play in a bowl game last season, and a chance to showcase your program right before the national championship game and make a case to be apart of a AQ conference in the near future. Northern Illinois won their bowl game last year 40-17 over Fresno St. This is a dual threat offense facing a rush heavy offense in Northern Illinois. Northern Illinois will not be able to stop this Arkansas St team and this one should be a shootout. Slight lean to the over at 67. Again, no statistical breakdown needed here. BOL whichever side you play.
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