12/03/08 - NOCAR 98 vs. MCHST 63..... yes i know its a different team than earlier in the year but im posting this because i think it will be the same result. carolina wins by 10+.. not 35 but i think they cover the number
12/03/08 - NOCAR 98 vs. MCHST 63..... yes i know its a different team than earlier in the year but im posting this because i think it will be the same result. carolina wins by 10+.. not 35 but i think they cover the number
Couple of things about that game earlier in the year . . .
Someone was out for Michigan State and it may have been Suton.
Also, Izzo said the result of that game was partly his blame for scheduling 3 games in 4 days.
And I think we can all agree that MSU is playing its best ball of the year right now.
Still . . . . North Carolina's like an NBA team.
Villanova, who to me looked like the best team in the tournament previous to last night, was never really in that game.
Offensively they get points from everywhere. Knocking down 3's like they're 10 footers - Ty Lawson blowing by people off the dribble - and going inside to Hansbourough who's no offensive juggernaut but he's certainly reliable.
And then, defensively they gave the Wildcats all kinds of problems with their range and size.
I like Michigan State alot and I'd love to think they can give us a good game but I just don't know if they can.
Couple of things about that game earlier in the year . . .
Someone was out for Michigan State and it may have been Suton.
Also, Izzo said the result of that game was partly his blame for scheduling 3 games in 4 days.
And I think we can all agree that MSU is playing its best ball of the year right now.
Still . . . . North Carolina's like an NBA team.
Villanova, who to me looked like the best team in the tournament previous to last night, was never really in that game.
Offensively they get points from everywhere. Knocking down 3's like they're 10 footers - Ty Lawson blowing by people off the dribble - and going inside to Hansbourough who's no offensive juggernaut but he's certainly reliable.
And then, defensively they gave the Wildcats all kinds of problems with their range and size.
I like Michigan State alot and I'd love to think they can give us a good game but I just don't know if they can.
UNC is the best team in the field and Roy knows Izzo is dangerous. He's going to run up the score on them until the last 2 minutes of the game (when MSU might bring the lead below 20!).
UNC has crushed a lot of dreams this year, MSU is next!
UNC is the best team in the field and Roy knows Izzo is dangerous. He's going to run up the score on them until the last 2 minutes of the game (when MSU might bring the lead below 20!).
UNC has crushed a lot of dreams this year, MSU is next!
Not sure about the result here, but it seems like if you are going to bet UNC, you might was well parlay it with the over...If Michigan St controls the pace they might have a chance, but I can't see this thing staying under if UNC wins by 10+...
Not sure about the result here, but it seems like if you are going to bet UNC, you might was well parlay it with the over...If Michigan St controls the pace they might have a chance, but I can't see this thing staying under if UNC wins by 10+...
After watching MSU take out Louisville and UConn, smart money should be on them with the points. Unfortunately I dropped the rest of my bankroll on UConn so I will just be watching this for fun.
GLA. Don't blow your whole stack on UNC, take it from me (a very sore loser right now).
After watching MSU take out Louisville and UConn, smart money should be on them with the points. Unfortunately I dropped the rest of my bankroll on UConn so I will just be watching this for fun.
GLA. Don't blow your whole stack on UNC, take it from me (a very sore loser right now).
I've bet on N.C. every game in the the tourney. They are 5 and 0 ats so far. They will win Monday night. Will they cover the points? Absolutely. I don't think they played that well against Nova and still won by double digits. They are on a mission and I think they are gonna run Izzo and company out of the building. NC 90 MSU 70. Good luck boys.
I've bet on N.C. every game in the the tourney. They are 5 and 0 ats so far. They will win Monday night. Will they cover the points? Absolutely. I don't think they played that well against Nova and still won by double digits. They are on a mission and I think they are gonna run Izzo and company out of the building. NC 90 MSU 70. Good luck boys.
Not sure about the result here, but it seems like if you are going to bet UNC, you might was well parlay it with the over...If Michigan St controls the pace they might have a chance, but I can't see this thing staying under if UNC wins by 10+...
I'm not sure I'd got that route, 152.5 is tricky
UNC would need to score at least 81 and then MSU would need to score 72
Now I know MSU can probably score 72 against UNC if they run with them but will they? And how many times has MSU given up 81 this season? I think it would be a huge mistake for MSU to try to run with UNC. They need to try and slow the game down as much as possible and play their press D after made baskets. If they are successful, this one could end up Under the total.
JMO, I just think the total is a real tricky number
Not sure about the result here, but it seems like if you are going to bet UNC, you might was well parlay it with the over...If Michigan St controls the pace they might have a chance, but I can't see this thing staying under if UNC wins by 10+...
I'm not sure I'd got that route, 152.5 is tricky
UNC would need to score at least 81 and then MSU would need to score 72
Now I know MSU can probably score 72 against UNC if they run with them but will they? And how many times has MSU given up 81 this season? I think it would be a huge mistake for MSU to try to run with UNC. They need to try and slow the game down as much as possible and play their press D after made baskets. If they are successful, this one could end up Under the total.
JMO, I just think the total is a real tricky number
I've bet on N.C. every game in the the tourney. They are 5 and 0 ats so far. They will win Monday night. Will they cover the points? Absolutely. I don't think they played that well against Nova and still won by double digits. They are on a mission and I think they are gonna run Izzo and company out of the building. NC 90 MSU 70. Good luck boys.
In case you didn't know, the Tarheels are not the only team playing tonight that's 5-0 ats. I've bet Michigan State every game and have yet to lose.........so be careful. GL to all
I've bet on N.C. every game in the the tourney. They are 5 and 0 ats so far. They will win Monday night. Will they cover the points? Absolutely. I don't think they played that well against Nova and still won by double digits. They are on a mission and I think they are gonna run Izzo and company out of the building. NC 90 MSU 70. Good luck boys.
In case you didn't know, the Tarheels are not the only team playing tonight that's 5-0 ats. I've bet Michigan State every game and have yet to lose.........so be careful. GL to all
under. everytime I bet an under with UNC I hold my breathe since they are capible of putting up 85-100pts everytime they get on the court. Had the under vs Oklahoma and Villanova and both covered. I will go with the under here, partly because the line opened at 155 w/ 75% on the over the line dropped to 153 or 152.5. I'll ride with the under and look for some defense. I'm a big fan of the underdog so will be on MSU ML too.
under. everytime I bet an under with UNC I hold my breathe since they are capible of putting up 85-100pts everytime they get on the court. Had the under vs Oklahoma and Villanova and both covered. I will go with the under here, partly because the line opened at 155 w/ 75% on the over the line dropped to 153 or 152.5. I'll ride with the under and look for some defense. I'm a big fan of the underdog so will be on MSU ML too.
I've gone back and forth on this one. I've gotten burned betting against the heels a couple times this tourney but have made plenty betting with Sparty. The regular-season game weighs in the back of my mind (even though MSU didn't have Suton). My initial lean was UNC but I may be talking myself out of this.
Both teams are 5-0 ATS but MSU is looking better and better, in my opinion.
1. Home court- a minor advantage, but still in their favor
2. Goran Suton is playing the best basketball of his life in this tournameny (outside of the UConn game). Even though Suton didn't have his best game against UConn, the Spartans still won. That's encouraging.
3. MSU has beaten two number one seeds in the tournament so far, including the overall number one and hottest team in the country in L'Ville.
This game will come down to whether or not MSU executes offensively (can't have a slow start) and limits those little runs that UNC is so good at putting together. It seems like they can go from being up 4 to up 13 in no time.
Still not sure about this one, but I want to take Michigan State after a lot of thought.
I've gone back and forth on this one. I've gotten burned betting against the heels a couple times this tourney but have made plenty betting with Sparty. The regular-season game weighs in the back of my mind (even though MSU didn't have Suton). My initial lean was UNC but I may be talking myself out of this.
Both teams are 5-0 ATS but MSU is looking better and better, in my opinion.
1. Home court- a minor advantage, but still in their favor
2. Goran Suton is playing the best basketball of his life in this tournameny (outside of the UConn game). Even though Suton didn't have his best game against UConn, the Spartans still won. That's encouraging.
3. MSU has beaten two number one seeds in the tournament so far, including the overall number one and hottest team in the country in L'Ville.
This game will come down to whether or not MSU executes offensively (can't have a slow start) and limits those little runs that UNC is so good at putting together. It seems like they can go from being up 4 to up 13 in no time.
Still not sure about this one, but I want to take Michigan State after a lot of thought.
I covered UNC twice this year. Seen them off and on all year. These last three games are the most I've seen the T.Heel offense click all year long. Ty has taken his game to another level, Green is playing is best ball of the year. I've read a lot about UNC not being all that on defense. This is only a function of T.Hell offensive tempo. UNC is only allowing 38% during the tourney and actually ranked ahead of MSU in FG% allowed on the year. UNC is also netting a coll 46% of their three's in the Tourney if you need 'em.
MSU is strong, GNC strong on the glass. UNC has been a little shakey here. But that's about it. UNC has major backcourt edges in Steals and Turnover's. That's code for extra possessions.
I want Magic Johnson State to win. I give that about a 30% chance to happen. UNC goes cold, MSU heats up (both can happen in a 1 and done format), or State pulls a one-legged 'Nova vs. Georgetown and slows the pace to a 60's point total crawl. But I'm not seeing that.
I covered UNC twice this year. Seen them off and on all year. These last three games are the most I've seen the T.Heel offense click all year long. Ty has taken his game to another level, Green is playing is best ball of the year. I've read a lot about UNC not being all that on defense. This is only a function of T.Hell offensive tempo. UNC is only allowing 38% during the tourney and actually ranked ahead of MSU in FG% allowed on the year. UNC is also netting a coll 46% of their three's in the Tourney if you need 'em.
MSU is strong, GNC strong on the glass. UNC has been a little shakey here. But that's about it. UNC has major backcourt edges in Steals and Turnover's. That's code for extra possessions.
I want Magic Johnson State to win. I give that about a 30% chance to happen. UNC goes cold, MSU heats up (both can happen in a 1 and done format), or State pulls a one-legged 'Nova vs. Georgetown and slows the pace to a 60's point total crawl. But I'm not seeing that.
Well this is actually a very interesting game to try and cap in my opinion with two very distinct camps. But here is my take.
Tangibles:
UNC is realistically hell on wheels and they are really seeing some strong contribution from all of their players. Their pace of play coupled with their offensive efficiency helps me believe that a UNC money line bet is a good one in this situation.
Michigan St on the other hand has a better defensive efficiency and offensively they aren't too far off from UNC. Their pace of play though is dramatically lower which correspondes into fewer opportunities to score than UNC will realize. Additionally MICH ST has a marked advantage in strength of schedule both in conference and out of conference. In this situation makes a MICH ST +7.5 a strong possiblity.
Intangibles:
Both teams are playing some of their best ball at the right time. UNC is seeing contribution from a lot of their players and MICH ST is throwing anybody who fits into a green jersey on the floor and they just appeared to where the last two teams they played down. This fast and furious pace is a deviation from the statistical numbers for pace of play that they posted during the previous part of the season.
Finally MICH ST is going to be wearing a HUGE chip on their shoulder here. They were embarassed by UNC earlier in the year, insert appropriate excuse here, and it is very hard to beat a top caliber team twice in one year. By MICH ST advancing to this level of post season play they earned the "high caliber" moniker. Additionally MICH ST will benefit fully from the home court advantage since their campus is 75 miles from where they are playing and at least 6 of their players are Michigan natives.
So...I personally will be on the MICH ST +7.5 as I believe it to have the most value. Either way it should be a hell of a game.
Well this is actually a very interesting game to try and cap in my opinion with two very distinct camps. But here is my take.
Tangibles:
UNC is realistically hell on wheels and they are really seeing some strong contribution from all of their players. Their pace of play coupled with their offensive efficiency helps me believe that a UNC money line bet is a good one in this situation.
Michigan St on the other hand has a better defensive efficiency and offensively they aren't too far off from UNC. Their pace of play though is dramatically lower which correspondes into fewer opportunities to score than UNC will realize. Additionally MICH ST has a marked advantage in strength of schedule both in conference and out of conference. In this situation makes a MICH ST +7.5 a strong possiblity.
Intangibles:
Both teams are playing some of their best ball at the right time. UNC is seeing contribution from a lot of their players and MICH ST is throwing anybody who fits into a green jersey on the floor and they just appeared to where the last two teams they played down. This fast and furious pace is a deviation from the statistical numbers for pace of play that they posted during the previous part of the season.
Finally MICH ST is going to be wearing a HUGE chip on their shoulder here. They were embarassed by UNC earlier in the year, insert appropriate excuse here, and it is very hard to beat a top caliber team twice in one year. By MICH ST advancing to this level of post season play they earned the "high caliber" moniker. Additionally MICH ST will benefit fully from the home court advantage since their campus is 75 miles from where they are playing and at least 6 of their players are Michigan natives.
So...I personally will be on the MICH ST +7.5 as I believe it to have the most value. Either way it should be a hell of a game.
So it all comes down to this hopefully it will be a good 1 and since it is for all the marbles I will have to bet on both teams to play lights out and roll with the-- OVER 153
So it all comes down to this hopefully it will be a good 1 and since it is for all the marbles I will have to bet on both teams to play lights out and roll with the-- OVER 153
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