Mountain West record: 7-4, 1-0ml, 1-0 teasers +6.5
Yesterday: 3-6, 2h 2-0, -1.05
My plays at the bell based on preseason understanding went 0-3-1. Not Good. Thus, no more of that shit. And no more purple either. Time to be much more selective and raise the units on Mountain West plays. I will always scan the card and the overall schedule for good spots, though.
Connecticut -1.5 .5u
Homer pick here: I think UConn win the TO and rebounding battle, Wichita D has been a little leaky thus far, so Uconn should score enough to get the W.
Duquesne -1.5 1u, -3 1u
Getting the much better team. Return 4 starters, Much more experienced team, best player on the court in Saunders. BG is weak in the frontcourt, where Duq is strong, once again with Saunders, but they appear to have to the advantage in the backcourt too. Gotta have good reasons to back a team on the road and these look like good ones to me. Line jumped to 3.5 now. I would play it to 5.
Mountain West Plays
San Diego State -10 2u
Seem like they conserved some energy in the first two games but I was a little surprised to see how minutes the the starters logged for SDS. Nonetheless, Miami OH is a jump shooting team, playing for the third consecutive day. They did not shoot well in the 2h last night and I expect them to have a hard time today against the SDS D. Last two times out SDS has been behind at the 1h. Both times they cruised to easy wins, only covering one number though. No empirical evidence, but feel like they will come out better, more intense in the first half after the two 1h stinkers last two days.
Massachusetts -3 2u
TCU has been surprising so far and had a nice victory (over me) last night against Bradley. 16 lead changes, 10 ties, a tiring game mentally and physically for sure. What was mass doing..umm..watching. TCU has played the last two days, Mass did not play yesterday. TCU is another jump shooting team. Just don't think they will have the legs...and the only reason TCU has been winning a few in the early going is a high shooting %. Mass D is a step up in class, and they make their living around the basket. If TCU doesn't shoot extremely well, they could easily lose by DD. I don't think they shoot well, especially in the 2h. LVSC opened this at pk, and we got it at -3.
Looked at and passed on
Miss ST (Detroit SOS scared me away from that low line)
St. Peter's (like them with the high line as the tempo is gridlock. if offered a total, anything over 123 would seem like a gift.)
Virginia +12.5 (more gridlock, and a high line, think VA got its stinker out of the way)
K st. (with Harris out, virtual home game for k st - line looks light)
Pepperdine (too many pts)
Pacific